Canadian National Railway Co
TSX:CNR

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Canadian National Railway Co Logo
Canadian National Railway Co
TSX:CNR
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Price: 155.53 CAD 0.03% Market Closed
Market Cap: 97.8B CAD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one CNR stock under the Base Case scenario is 161.54 CAD. Compared to the current market price of 155.53 CAD, Canadian National Railway Co is Undervalued by 4%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

CNR Intrinsic Value
161.54 CAD
Undervaluation 4%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
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Canadian National Railway Co

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Canadian National Railway Co. (CN) stands as a vital artery of North America's transportation network, a company that not only connects markets but also drives economic growth across the continent. Established in 1919, CN has evolved into one of the largest freight rail networks in the world, spanning over 19,600 miles of track in Canada and the United States. What sets CN apart is its integrated operations, which involve transporting a diverse array of goods—ranging from agricultural products to automotive freight and intermodal containers. This strategic positioning allows the company to capitalize on the increasing demand for freight services, enhanced by the growing economies of the area...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Canadian National Railway Co

Current Assets 3B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 273m
Receivables 1.2B
Other Current Assets 1.5B
Non-Current Assets 51.4B
PP&E 46.6B
Other Non-Current Assets 4.9B
Current Liabilities 4.7B
Accounts Payable 2.6B
Short-Term Debt 873m
Other Current Liabilities 1.2B
Non-Current Liabilities 30.3B
Long-Term Debt 18.6B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 11.7B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Canadian National Railway Co

Revenue
17.2B CAD
Cost of Revenue
-4.4B CAD
Gross Profit
12.7B CAD
Operating Expenses
-6.2B CAD
Operating Income
6.5B CAD
Other Expenses
-1.1B CAD
Net Income
5.4B CAD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Canadian National Railway Co

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In the latest earnings call, CN reported a 2% increase in diluted EPS and a 3% growth in revenue, despite challenges from wildfires and labor strikes. They expect low single-digit adjusted EPS growth for 2024 due to sluggish industrial production. However, growth initiatives signal potential for a 3-5% increase in RTM volumes. Margins are projected to improve in Q4 as they align resources with volume expectations, having previously maintained a 63.1% operating ratio. Strong demand for Canadian grain and specific projects are likely to drive growth, reaffirming their outlook of high single-digit EPS CAGR through 2026.

What is Earnings Call?
Fundamental Scores

CNR Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Canadian National Railway Co's profitability score is 68/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Operating Income
Positive 3-Year Average ROE
68/100
Profitability
Score

Canadian National Railway Co's profitability score is 68/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

CNR Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Canadian National Railway Co's solvency score is 40/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Average Altman Z-Score
Long-Term Solvency
Average D/E
Short-Term Solvency
40/100
Solvency
Score

Canadian National Railway Co's solvency score is 40/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

CNR Price Targets Summary
Canadian National Railway Co

Wall Street analysts forecast CNR stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CNR is 177.75 CAD with a low forecast of 136.35 CAD and a high forecast of 210 CAD.

Lowest
Price Target
136.35 CAD
12% Downside
Average
Price Target
177.75 CAD
14% Upside
Highest
Price Target
210 CAD
35% Upside
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Dividends

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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for CNR is .

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Debt Paydown Yield
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Canadian National Railway Co Logo
Canadian National Railway Co

Country

Canada

Industry

Road & Rail

Market Cap

97.8B CAD

Dividend Yield

2.65%

Description

Canadian National Railway Co. engages in rail and related transportation business. The company is headquartered in Montreal, Quebec and currently employs 22,604 full-time employees. The firm's network of route miles of track spans Canada and the United States. Its network and connections to all Class I railroads provide its customers access to Canada, the United States and Mexico. The company transports over 300 million tons of cargo annually, serving exporters, importers, retailers, farmers and manufacturers. The company offers its goods annually for a range of business sectors, ranging from resource products to manufactured products to consumer goods. Its services include rail, intermodal, trucking, supply chain services, business development, and maps and network. The company offers its services across industries, such as automotive, coal, fertilizer, food and beverages, forest products, dimensional loads, grain, metals and minerals, petroleum and chemicals, consumer goods, customer reports, centerbeam auction program and boxcar auction program.

Contact

QUEBEC
MONTREAL
935 de la Gauchetiere St W
+15143996569.0
www.cn.ca

IPO

1995-11-17

Employees

22 604

Officers

President, CEO & Director
Ms. Tracy A. Robinson
Executive VP & CFO
Mr. Ghislain Houle
Executive VP and Chief Information & Technology Officer
Mr. Dominique Malenfant
Executive VP & Chief Field Operating Officer
Mr. Derek Taylor
Executive VP & Chief Network Operating Officer
Mr. Patrick Timothy Whitehead
Senior Manager of Investor Relations
Greg Hamilton
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Senior VP & Chief Legal Officer
Mr. Olivier Chouc
Senior Manager of Media Relations
Jonathan Abecassis
Senior VP & Chief Human Resources Officer
Ms. Josée Girard
Senior VP & Chief Stakeholder Relations Officer
Ms. Janet Drysdale
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one CNR stock?

The intrinsic value of one CNR stock under the Base Case scenario is 161.54 CAD.

Is CNR stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 155.53 CAD, Canadian National Railway Co is Undervalued by 4%.

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