Ballard Power Systems Inc

TSX:BLDP

Earnings Call Transcript 2019-Q2

[Operator]

Welcome to the Ballard Power Systems Q2, 2019 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]I would now like to turn the conference over to Guy McAree, Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

[Guy McAree, Director of Marketing & Investor Relations]

Thanks very much and good morning everyone. Welcome to the Ballard's Second Quarter 2019 Financial and Operating Results Conference Call. Today, we've got Randy MacEwen, our President and CEO; as well as Tony Guglielmin; our Chief Financial Officer on the call.We're going to be making forward-looking statements that are based on management's current expectations, beliefs and assumptions concerning future events. Actual results could be materially different. Please refer to our most recent annual information form and other public filings for a complete disclaimer and related information. So today, Randy is going to provide his perspective on the evolving fuel cell marketplace along with an update on the execution of Ballard's growth strategy. Tony, will then review the Q2, 2019 financial results and then we'll open the call up for question-and-answers.Just a brief note that Ballard is going to be meeting with investors to discuss strategic direction and operational highlights at a couple of upcoming conferences. The Gateway Conference in San Francisco on September 5, and the H.C. Wainwright 21st Annual Global Investment Conference in New York City on September 9 and 10.And I'll turn the call now over to Randy.

[R. Randall MacEwen, CEO, President & Director]

Thanks, Guy. And welcome everyone to today's conference call. In my opinion, this is the most exciting time in the history of the hydrogen and fuel cell industry. In parallel with early commercial adoption, we are seeing unprecedented developments and interest globally in fuel cell electric mobility. The global mega trend towards electrification of mobility is accelerating and putting increased momentum behind fuel cell-based power for motive applications. There are signals, very clear signals that the hydrogen and fuel cell industry is it at the defining stage in its evolution and inflection. As I noted on our last earnings call, the abundance of commercial activities, developments and progress bubbling below the surface has yet to be reflected in our financial results.For the second quarter and first half of 2019, financial results and new contract bookings were consistent with the type of first half of the year we expected. We delivered Q2 revenue of $23.7 million, gross margin of 23% and adjusted EBITDA of negative $5 million, while ending Q2 with a sound financial position with cash reserves of $163.7 million. With material growth in our order book and important developments in our sales pipeline, we have a solid set up for the back half of 2019. As we reiterate our previously stated full year 2019 outlook, we also note our expectations for strong growth in 2020 and beyond to underpin Ballard's continued leadership in powering fuel cell electric vehicles.I've spoken on prior earnings calls about the impact of key global megatrends, including the electrification of mobility on the transportation industry. Against this backdrop, there is a clear role for fuel cell power in use cases involving extended range, rapid refueling heavy payload and route flexibility including for buses, commercial trucks, rail and marine. There was a convergence occurring between government regulatory and fuel cell industry developments along with parallel and consequential developments from major players in the transportation industry.We've spoken previously on the favorable policy environment for fuel cells in China. We also flag again the favorable policy environment in Europe, which in my opinion is underpinning large market opportunities for fuel cell technology. As a reminder, in February, the EU passed landmark legislation to place restrictions on trucks CO2 emissions setting new limits at a 15% reduction by 2025 and 30% by 2030 for heavy-duty trucks. In 2022, these rules will also be extended to medium-duty trucks, buses and trailers. We believe that fuel cell technology is well suited for use cases that feature heavy payload, long range and a need for fast refueling. And for use cases that are enabled by centralized depot refueling or fueling corridors, consistent with our current operating model.Notably on June 14, in advance of the G20 Summit in Japan, the International Energy Agency released an influential 203-page report entitled the future of hydrogen, in which it states that the hydrogen and fuel cell industry is enjoying unprecedented momentum around the world and it could be set on a path to fulfill its long-standing potential as a clean energy source. The IEA report prioritizes the opportunity to use hydrogen as a fuel for fleet vehicles. We're also seeing developments over the past several quarters with major players in the transportation sectors forming defining partnerships in the fuel cell industry.These developments are typified by large investments and they indicate the strategic importance and conviction level that these large players now have on the future value proposition and adoption curve of fuel cell electric vehicle, as part of their overall electrification strategies. Three notable corporate transactions are indicative of the changing fuel cell landscape. The first of these was Weichai Powers landmark strategic partnership and investment in Ballard, which closed in Q4 last year. We've previously spoken about Weichai's powerful position in the commercial vehicle value chain and the elements of our strategic collaboration, including Weichai's 19.9% investment in Ballard and our Weichai-Ballard joint venture in China. Now we expect Weichai-Ballard JV to become the leading player for fuel cell stacks and engines in the massive Chinese market for commercial vehicles.In the second notable transaction in April, Bosch announce to set up a new business unit called Fuel Cell Mobility Solutions, that has licensed certain fuel cell technology from power cell to support the commercialization by Bosch, a fuel-cell systems for automotive applications by 2022. Bosch estimates that 20% of electric vehicles will be fuel cell powered by 2030. And in the third transaction, this one just announced in June, Cummings, another blue chip player in mobility made an offer to acquire Hydrogenics. Each of these transactions implies an investment by each of Weichai, Bosh and Cummings of hundreds of millions of dollars in fuel cell commercialization. These transactions, each initiated by a heavy hitter in the global transportation value chain are the clearest indication yet of the positive future for fuel cells underpinned by the trend towards electrification of mobility in a variety of large market applications including buses, commercial trucks, rail, marine, auto and forklift.Let me now turn to a brief update on the status of Ballard activities in Europe and China, where we had a busy quarter. I'll start with Europe. In June, we announced that Ballard is a founding member of the new H2Bus Consortium, a very exciting step towards large-scale deployment of fuel cell-electric buses. Consortium members including Nel hydrogen, Everfuel, Wright Bus, Hexagon Composites and Ryse Energy and of course Ballard who are currently jointly working together towards the deployment of one thousand fuel cell-electric buses and associated hydrogen infrastructure in European cities by 2023 at commercially competitive rates. The first 600 buses are supported by a EUR40 million grant from the CEF program in Europe with 200 buses planned for deployment at each of Denmark, Latvia and the UK by 2023. The consortium model was designed to offer an attractive total cost of ownership for bus operators.Sample target pricing includes EUR375,000 for a single decker bus, hydrogen priced between EUR5 and EUR7 per kilogram and a bus service price of EUR0.30 per kilometer. Further in total between the H2Bus initiative and the JIVE funding program, we expect to see approximately 1,300 fuel cell-electric buses operating on Europe's roads in the foreseeable future. This represents a significant leg up in the scaling of fuel cell-electric buses in Europe. During Q2, Ballard also announced receipt of a purchase order from Wright Bus for 20 modules to power buses with two decks and zero emissions that are planned for deployment in London under the JIVE funding program. These 20 buses will be part of a total of 55 that are planned to service three London routes under JIVE I, all supporting that cities world's first Ultra Low Emission Zone initiative that was launched earlier this year.Subsequent to the quarter we received a further purchase order from Wright Bus for additional 15 modules to power buses with two decks and zero emissions in Aberdeen, Scotland also under the JIVE program. We expect to ship all 35 modules to Wright Bus later in 2019 with the associated bus deployments expected in London and Aberdeen in 2020. Also subsequent to the quarter, we received an order from Solaris for 12 FCmove fuel cell modules to power JIVE funded buses in Bolzano, Italy, which we expect to ship in 2020. This brings the total number of fuel cell modules that we receive POs for to date under the European JIVE program to 92, for buses that will be deployed in Germany, France, the UK and Italy. We have a very strong position in this market. During Q2, we also announced our collaboration with ABB and other consortium partners in the flagships project to develop and launch a zero-emission river push boat to be deployed on the Rhone River in France in 2021. Using to two Ballard 200-kilowatt modules that we expect to ship in 2020, the boat will push barges along the river. This is an important demonstration project.Turning now to China, in Q2, key Chinese government influencers made strong statements regarding aggressive plans for FCEV deployments. Mr. Wan Gang is Vice Chair of China's National Advisory Board for Policy Making and also known as China's father of electric vehicles. In a June interview Mr. Wan Gang stated about China, we should look into establishing a future hydrogen society. We need to move further towards fuel cells. Mr. Wan Gang's support of fuel cell electric vehicle deployment carries a great deal of weight in China. In addition, during Q2, Mr. Huang Libin spokesperson for MIIT in China noted that hydrogen fuel cell vehicles will coexist and complement fuel cell electric battery vehicles, jointly meeting the people's transportation needs.China's government also announced the Yangtze River Delta Hydrogen Corridor program during the quarter, a watershed plan for fuel cell and hydrogen deployment. By 2030 Phase 3 of this program is planned to include more than 20 hydrogen expressways connecting key cities in the Yangtze River Delta region, including more than 500 refueling stations. And in then just the next three years by 2021, Phase 1 of the program is planned to include the first four hydrogen expressways connecting at least seven cities and including 40 refueling stations.Now in terms of current progress in China, as of June there were approximately 3,700 fuel cell electric vehicles in China, about 40% of which are buses and 60% of which are commercial trucks. Ballard technology is inside roughly two-thirds of these vehicles. In addition, there are now 31 hydrogen fueling stations in service with 36 more under construction. To this point heavy duty motor vehicles with Ballard technology inside, both buses and truck have almost 11 million kilometers of on-road experience in China and about 25 million kilometers worldwide. An unparalleled track record of field experience in the fuel cell industry.In addition, some of the buses in the TFL London fleet have operated for an industry leading 35,000 hours of revenue service without major stock maintenance requirements, demonstrating the high reliability and durability built into Ballard products. Finalize, while we continue to focus on exciting growth opportunities and delivering on our customer promises, we also could you make good progress at Ballard on innovation, continuous improvement and relentless product cost reduction. We're also managing our controllable. We continue to invest in EH&S, talent, research, technology, next-generation products, supply chain management, reduction improvements, quality processes, advanced manufacturing and after sales customer service support. We also continue to prudently manage our cost structure, our CapEx spend and our working capital. We believe our strategic plan anchored by a vision to deliver fuel cell power for sustainable planet will drive significant shareholder value.And with that I will turn the call over to Tony to briefly review the financials.

[Anthony Robert Guglielmin, CFO & VP]

Thanks, Randy and good morning everyone. The top line revenue in Q2 was $23.7 million, down 11% year-over-year with Power Products revenue down 44% and technology solutions revenue up 61%. Within Power Products, Heavy Duty Motive was down 52% or $6.8 million due primarily to a year-over-year decline in MEA product shipments to the Synergy-Ballard joint venture in China. Portable Power/UAV also declined [indiscernible] million reflecting the disposition of the Protonex Power Manager assets in Q4 last year.These reductions were partially offset by an increase of $1.1 million in material handling with backup power essentially flat at $400,000. And within Power Products, you will recall that we had removed all MEA take or pay purchase commitments from the Synergy-Ballard JV from the order book in 12 month -- order backlog, pardon me, in the 12 month order book in 2018. We also indicated at that time. We were in discussions with the Synergy Ballard JV with regard to future opportunities. And we made excellent progress on these discussions and subsequent to Q2, we did sign an amended stack assembly license and MEA long-term supply agreement with the Synergy-Ballard joint venture. The MEA supply agreement also includes $8 million in MEAs to be delivered this year of which we recognized $1.1 million in Q2.Moving to technology solutions, the increase in revenue to $13.8 million in Q2 was due primarily to increased revenue from the Weichai-Ballard JV Technology Solutions program, which more than offset relatively minor declines in other projects. Gross margin for the quarter was 23%, a decline of 13 points from Q2 last year, although an improvement from 14% in Q1. The year-over-year decline resulted from the decrease in high margin revenue from the MEA shipments to China, as well as the lower revenues related to the disposition of the Power Manager assets.For the balance of the year we expect ongoing improvements in gross margin in the second half compared to the first half of the year as the Weichai-Ballard JV program continues ramping up along with increases in product shipments that will positively impact overhead absorption. Cash operating costs were down 20% in Q2 to $8.4 million due primarily to lower product development costs as we transitioned resources to the Weichai-Ballard JV program, along with other minor cost reduction in other areas. Adjusted EBITDA in Q2 was negative $5 million, a decline of $4.2 million compared to the same quarter last year. Adjusted EBITDA in Q2 included Ballard share of losses in our joint venture investments in China of $2.9 million, largely related to our 49% investment in the Weichai-Ballard JV, as it continue to establish operations.Net loss and adjusted net loss in Q2 were $7 million compared to net loss and adjusted net loss of $4.3 million in Q2 last year. And earnings per share and adjusted earnings per share were negative $0.03 in Q2, compared to negative $0.02 in Q2, 2018. Both net loss earnings per share included the same $2.9 million loss in our JV investments in China. Cash provided by operating activities was positive $1.7 million in Q2, consisting of working capital inflows of $2.8 million, partially offset by cash operating losses of $1.1 million. In terms of liquidity, we ended Q2 with cash reserves of $163.7 million, a 365% increase from the same time in 2018 and down just $1.3 million compared to the end of the prior quarter.Finally, we ended Q2 with an order backlog of $211.6 million, an increase of $23.2 million from the end of Q1. And our order book for deliveries in the following 12-month period stood at $126.7 million, up 66% or $50.7 million from the end of Q1. Importantly, both the order backlog and order book do not include any expected orders under the H2Bus program in Europe that Randy discussed earlier or orders from Wright Bus and Solaris for 27 modules to power buses in Europe announced after the end of Q2.And with that let me turn the call back over to the operator for questions.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] First question comes from Rob Brown.

[Robert Duncan Brown, Senior Research Analyst]

First on the synergy deal, it sounds like that's come back kind of nicely. Is that indicative of the Chinese market ramping back and maybe what's sort of your expectations now on that business kind of in the 2020?

[R. Randall MacEwen, CEO, President & Director]

Thanks for the question, Rob. Indeed, I would say it's representative of the new parties that are coming to the China hydrogen fuel cell industry because what's happening there is, there is a new investor that has announced -- I think it's about RMB180 million to RMB200 million financing into synergy, that company is called Meijin Energy, which is a very large coal producer in China. They see lots of opportunity for coal gasification to hydrogen and the use of hydrogen in the near term. They are investing heavily in renewable energy to hydrogen in the future and also have made an acquisition of Feishi Bus in Guangdong Province as well, which is one of the leaders in my opinion at this point in hydrogen fuel cell bus deployments.So they're making a number of investments in the hydrogen and fuel cell industry and this investment in the joint venture is effectively or actually in synergy, is effectively to support the future funding of the JV. They view the stack as many do in the industry as a key part of the value chain and wanted to make sure they had exposure to this. So that financing is expected to close in the very near term and I think positions Synergy and the Synergy-Ballard JV very strongly going forward.We did ship some MEAs actually in Q2 to the JV. We have a new $8 million purchase order for which we -- expect going forward, we expect to see some additional deliveries in 2019. So that's frankly wasn't something we had expected earlier in the year just given the level of uncertainty, but we'll have to wait of course, to see this financing close. But I'm very excited about these developments at Synergy bringing in such a strong player and I've had the opportunity to meet the top executives, including the CEO of Meijin Energy, I'm very impressed with their commitment in the hydrogen fuel cell industry. So I think you've got it right. It's an indication of the level of interest as well as the quality of the counterparties continue to step up including in China.

[Robert Duncan Brown, Senior Research Analyst]

And then in general, I guess moving to the European market, the JIVE program has been shipments, but what's sort of your view on the European bus market opportunity? What sort of penetration rate do you see that can get to and how does that play out? Is it programed like JIVE or it is switching to a traditional kind of supply model?

[R. Randall MacEwen, CEO, President & Director]

Yes, so we've seen a really significant cost reduction in the offering for fuel cell electric buses in the European market, and so this consortium, where we're looking at offering a single deck bus through Wright Bus of EUR375,000, Green hydrogen delivered at EUR5 to EUR7 per kilogram and as service cost of EUR0.30 per kilometer driven. This represents a compelling total cost of ownership that in my mind is, if not at par probably better than best in class pricing for battery electric buses, of course with superior performance though for fuel cell electric buses. And if you contrast the cost of fuel cell electric buses two or three years ago, where maybe the cost of a bus was more in the range of EUR650,000 and say five years ago closer to EUR1 million, the cost reduction this represents is fairly significant. I think what you're going to see is there will be some continued support in the very near term in terms of deployments. This 1,000 fuel cell bus program obviously has some support from the CEF fund and we're very appreciative of that, but we are moving to a model where even at volumes that I would consider relatively small, i.e., a 1,000 we're able to offer as a consortium leaning forward together on cost, a compelling value proposition to transit operators and transit authorities. So I think we'll see a much higher penetration as we move to 2003-2025 and obviously through 2030. And I think the two options for zero emission buses and of course a number of European cities are clamoring for zero emission buses. We can see very high adoption of zero emission buses occurring. I personally believe we're going to have very high penetration for fuel cell buses. In the 2025 time frame, I expect it to be circa 25% in key cities.

[Robert Duncan Brown, Senior Research Analyst]

And then will be moving to the pipeline of new opportunities. How can you characterize that and how does that sort of turn into the order book over the next 18 months?

[Anthony Robert Guglielmin, CFO & VP]

Rob, its Tony here. So you can just -- we don't of course disclose our total pipeline dollars. We've discussed the backlog, which is quite significant. But as we've mentioned in the next 12 months, we have about $126 million to deliver. If you think about -- maybe about, as we said, we've kind of confirmed our outlook for the year, so maybe about half of that for this year and the next year and then in addition to backlog that we have beyond the order book, we see a fair bit of that converting next year. We have some of that of course is the Weichai-Ballard JV.So we do see a fairly high conversion rate going into 2020, but beyond that more to the pipeline, we do have a very significant pipeline of opportunities that we do see moving into the backlog, through the balance of this year into the next year. We'll certainly have more to talk about probably in Q3 and certainly as we go into next year. But very high conversion rate, we would expect to see going into the latter part of the year.

[R. Randall MacEwen, CEO, President & Director]

I'll just to add to that. The pipeline, Tony, obviously has characterized the order book and backlog. The pipeline in my mind is very attractive from a number of ways. Obviously, we're seeing growth in the pipeline particularly in key markets, but there's a lot of diversification developing. So we see contribution in the pipeline, not just from bus, but now a lot of activity on the commercial truck side; much more activity on the rail side much more activity on marine, even say six months ago.So these medium and heavy duty markets, we're seeing a lot of activity. We do expect to see some conversion potentially in the auto space from pipeline to order book and I think forklift is another market where we expect to see over the next 12 months some significant developments that will migrate from pipeline into order book. So a pretty excited about the quality of the opportunities in the pipeline. I'm excited about the conversion rate that we're seeing and I'm excited about the diversification in terms of the market applications as well as the geographic market diversification. In China, we're seeing lots of opportunity for the JV there as well.

[Operator]

The next question comes from Amit Dayal with H.C. Wainwright.

[Amit Dayal]

Randy for you, maybe to begin with, you indicated there were lot of global activities under the surface happening right now. What signals or what sort of development should we be looking for -- to see how this is all progressing? And then when should some of this activity reflect in your financials? Is it a two or three-year period or is it a little sooner than that, any color on that would be helpful?

[R. Randall MacEwen, CEO, President & Director]

So there is a lot of activity occurring in different parts of the value chain and indeed in different market applications as well. I did highlight three corporate transactions that we think are indicative of the conviction level that a number of the strategics now have in fuel cell. That's three of many companies. There are a lot of other companies looking for collaboration opportunities, whether it's in commercial truck, whether it's in pas car, whether it's in forklift. There's just a number of players that now are seeing the opportunity for hydrogen in fuel cells. In a way, frankly, I don't think they saw 12 and 24 months ago. It will take some time for some of these to percolate through from discussions to collaboration, to ensuring we have the right product offering to getting into programs and deployment. So in terms of impact, there may be some modest impact earlier then you're highlighting. But I think 2023 forward, we will see a very steep growth curve in the industry and we think Ballard is at the center of this.So in terms of impact, there may be some modest impact earlier then you're highlighting. But I think 2023 forward we will see a very steep growth curve in the industry and waiting Ballard is at the center of this./

[Amit Dayal]

And then in relation to the H2Bus opportunity, of the 1,000 buses, how should we view Ballard sort of opportunity set here? Are you potentially going to participate in all of these 1,000 buses or a portion of these? How will that play out do you think?

[R. Randall MacEwen, CEO, President & Director]

So just to be clear, the consortium has come together for the deployment of 1,000 fuel cell electric buses in Europe, 600 of them already have secured funding. We expect 200 them to be deployed in Latvia, 200 in the UK and 200 in Denmark, of course, where we have our European head office as well. So what we see, 600 of those as moving forward, all of them, the 600 plus all of the additional 400, and there's lots of work going on to identify these cities and countries for those additional 400. We expect all 1,000 of those to have Ballard fuel cell engines inside. And the way the consortium was structured was that the pricing and the lean forward together the consortium members was based on again what I characterize as relatively modest volume. So we're very excited about this development. It took a lot of work for the consortium to come together and approach cities and countries for these deployments. So we're very pleased with how this consortium has come together. We've got some great partners there and a very powerful opportunity that will showcase, again that was leading fuel cell engines for bus applications in a pretty significant scaling compared to where Europe has been historically.

[Amit Dayal]

With respect to Weichai-Ballard plan, any changes to the timeline or you still expecting commissioning in early 2020?

[R. Randall MacEwen, CEO, President & Director]

You've hit it correct. So we made excellent progress in the second quarter and in fact, year-to-date. We continue to ramp up on staffing. There's a lot of staffing that's occurred in the first half of the year. Facility construction is underway. I'm getting daily pictures from China, of course some visits when I'm there as well. A lot of -- all of the long lead production equipment has been procured and is under manufacturer construction at the supply base. The product development and technology transfer program is going very well ahead of plan. There are some sensitivities from Weichai in terms of making announcements on when certain activities will happen. As you can expect this has high, high visibility in China.This is a major program that's underway and the whole industry and not just Shandong and Beijing have attention on this, but indeed the whole hydrogen fuel cell industry are tracking this with significant interest. So again, we won't get into details about when product -- what product will be produced when, but we're very bullish on the progress that's been made and very confident again in the quality of the counterparty we have here, the relationship with Weichai is very strong.

[Amit Dayal]

Just one last one for Tony, maybe, cash burn, are you still expecting $50 million for 2019, Tony?

[Anthony Robert Guglielmin, CFO & VP]

Yes, we kind of burned about $30 million in the first six months of the year that included an investment into the Weichai-Ballard joint venture in Q1. And so we're looking -- we would expect to burn in the second half of the year, roughly the same as the first half and that includes by the way another roughly $7 million investments into the joint venture in Q4. So I suspect a burn not dissimilar first and second half. We also have and just the other point I'd make, we're also -- we had a very good quarter on working capital. We expect to see a little -- fairly significant items flowing through, but we're also investing a bit in CapEx in the second half on the expansion in MEA and advanced manufacturing. So when you put it altogether, think about a similar burn in the second half to the first half.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Jeff Osborne with Cowen and Company.

[Jeffrey David Osborne, MD & Senior Research Analyst]

A couple of questions on my end. Is there still discussion about Broad-Ocean investing in the Weichai JV, I might have missed that, but I didn't see any reference to it in the MD&A or in your prepared remarks?

[R. Randall MacEwen, CEO, President & Director]

We did have discussions to invite Broad-Ocean to participate in the Weichai-Ballard JV. They've decided not to do that. So we're quite happy with the outcome because we gave them the opportunity to participate, and we like to have in the 49% position. We think the JV is going to have very high value in the future and want to own as much of it as possible.

[Jeffrey David Osborne, MD & Senior Research Analyst]

And then I saw in the filing that -- I think Weichai was around $6.2 million, Tony. And then -- first of all, if that's right, but you flagged that the gross margins would expand throughout the year. Can you just give us a sense of what's driving that margin expansion? I assume Weichai goes up, but is there any other program? Is that the mix towards bus, I'm just trying to get a sense of the moving pieces on the top line that's going to drive the margins?

[Anthony Robert Guglielmin, CFO & VP]

Yes, certainly the TS, Technology Solutions more generally, but certainly the Weichai contribution is going to have an important impact. I also just -- I briefly alluded to overhead absorption as we expect to move more products through the pipeline and into revenue in the second half of the year. So we could see a couple of points of improvement on overhead absorption as well. So I'd say those are the really the two key drivers.

[Jeffrey David Osborne, MD & Senior Research Analyst]

And then certainly, Randy, I agree with your enthusiasm on the broader sort of developments in the space. Is there -- and certainly investors that I speak to are confused around sort of paring fuel cells with batteries together. If you were stuck in an elevator and had to describe the value proposition of pairing the two together, is there any metrics that you can give as you've worked with potential partners around weight savings for trucks by pairing and also what the battery size reduction would be? I can you use a 50% smaller battery paired together with two fuel cells or one fuel cell through on the tank, you net those out, you get to ex-percent weight and what the impact is to costs, either upfront cost or cost per mile, is that anything that you've put together that you could share?

[R. Randall MacEwen, CEO, President & Director]

I think every used case is quite different and we've looked at a number of used cases and have capability in-house here to look at what's the right mix of fuel cells and batteries. So without having a specific metric to give you what I would say in an elevator environment is really what you're doing is, you're taking power density and energy density, and you're optimizing a solution for the duty cycle and providing the customer with a optimized solution that's going to meet the market requirements, I think very strongly. So I don't think there is one metric, it will take a little bit more about and see if something we could help you on that front. But we've modeled a number of different use cases and I've seen different outcomes on those, depending on what the use cases are, but I think the opportunity for driving long-range, keeping cost as low as possible.And in my mind one of the key aspects of this Jeff is, you really have the ability to operate the fuel cell at the right power output, so that you're not having wear and tear on the fuel cell. You have the ability to have the appropriate level of state of discharge on the battery. So you can avoid deep discharge on the battery. So you can preserve the durability of the battery. So I think there is a mix of ways to view this. And one of them is to make sure you're mitigating the pressure points for both the fuel cell technology and the battery technology to have high durability of both components in an optimized solution.

[Jeffrey David Osborne, MD & Senior Research Analyst]

Is there a way of maybe just in broad strokes, rank ordering the applications? It sounds like trucks where weighed as a penalty because there's limitations legally on that plus range. So trucks are first, buses are second and maybe passenger cars are third in terms of the value proposition today, but obviously things improved and pas cars in the mid-2020s might make more sense or...

[R. Randall MacEwen, CEO, President & Director]

Yes, exactly. That sounds right. And for us, you just said pas car in the mid 2020's, of course pas car is such a large market, you only need a small portion of market share there, but what we're really excited about is the longer-term outlook as you've described in your own publications for the opportunity for digital connected autonomous vehicles that have high power requirements on-board, plus have high utilization. And there we see the future growth of fuel cells while we'll see it in 2025 time frame for sure, we expect to see very high adoption of post 2025 as you move to 2030 and 2040.

[Jeffrey David Osborne, MD & Senior Research Analyst]

And then the last one and I might have missed it again trying to speed read the filing, but can you just give us an update on anything going on or lack thereof with Hyster-Yale and CRRC, those are two partners that you've talked about in the past and didn't hear any reference to those?

[R. Randall MacEwen, CEO, President & Director]

There is quite a bit of activity going on in the rail industry in Europe and in China. We're seeing activity with CRRC. In fact, again the CSR Sifang tram line that was supposed to be operational about a year or two has had major construction delays. There are 10 engines we delivered there. Just a couple of days ago, we got the first videos of the first trams actually in on the Gaoming Line in Guangdong Province actually are testing. So that's great to see and the line is supposed to be operational late this year. So that's a very encouraging signal. In my mind, that's a key next step in the gating item for future activity with CSR Sifang and CRRC. There are also some activity going on in Tangshan, and continue to do testing there and see opportunities with TRC, another division of CRRC.So I think there's certainly lots of activity going on. It hasn't translated to new revenue yet, but we do see significant rail opportunity in the China market long term. And in Hyster-Yale, they continue to move forward. I think their results are coming out, I think it came up yesterday or coming on the next day or two, I have forgotten when their sequence is, but they'll comment on the number of deployments they have, obviously in the fuel cell space. I think they're -- from what they've commented on in prior quarters, I think their ramp rate has been a little slower than expected and that's what we've seen as well.

[Operator]

This concludes the question-and-answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Randy MacEwen, CEO, for any closing remarks.

[R. Randall MacEwen, CEO, President & Director]

Thank you for joining us today. We look forward to speaking with you again at the end of October, when we will discuss third quarter 2019 results. Thanks again, everyone.

[Operator]

This concludes, today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating and have a pleasant day.