ARC Resources Ltd
TSX:ARX

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ARC Resources Ltd Logo
ARC Resources Ltd
TSX:ARX
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Price: 25.45 CAD -1.01% Market Closed
Market Cap: 15.1B CAD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one ARX stock under the Base Case scenario is 33.41 CAD. Compared to the current market price of 25.45 CAD, ARC Resources Ltd is Undervalued by 24%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

ARX Intrinsic Value
33.41 CAD
Undervaluation 24%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
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ARC Resources Ltd

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

ARC Resources Ltd. is a dynamic player in the Canadian oil and gas sector, recognized for its strategic focus on efficient resource development and environmental sustainability. Founded in 1996 and headquartered in Calgary, Alberta, ARC has carved out a notable presence in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin, which is rich in natural gas and oil reserves. The company's operations center on a diversified portfolio of high-quality assets, allowing it to capitalize on the growing global demand for energy while maintaining a commitment to responsible resource management. With a strong emphasis on innovation and technology-driven solutions, ARC is well-positioned to navigate the complexities o...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
ARC Resources Ltd

Current Assets 828.2m
Receivables 514.1m
Other Current Assets 314.1m
Non-Current Assets 12.1B
Long-Term Investments 24.8m
PP&E 11.7B
Intangibles 248.2m
Other Non-Current Assets 109.8m
Current Liabilities 887.5m
Accounts Payable 600.6m
Accrued Liabilities 47.9m
Other Current Liabilities 239m
Non-Current Liabilities 4.3B
Long-Term Debt 2.4B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 1.9B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
ARC Resources Ltd

Revenue
5.1B CAD
Cost of Revenue
-1.6B CAD
Gross Profit
3.4B CAD
Operating Expenses
-2.2B CAD
Operating Income
1.2B CAD
Other Expenses
73.3m CAD
Net Income
1.3B CAD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
ARC Resources Ltd

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

In its latest earnings call, ARC Resources reported average production of 327,000 BOE per day, exceeding analyst expectations. The company achieved significant growth in light oil and condensate production, up 20% quarter-over-quarter. A 12% dividend increase reflects confidence in future cash flows due to the Attachie project's successful first phase. For 2025, ARC aims for 10% production growth, projecting $3.2 billion in cash flow and around $1.5 billion in free cash flow. Through disciplined capital management, they plan to return all free cash flow to shareholders and are targeting to triple free cash flow per share by 2028, bolstered by continued operational efficiencies.

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Fundamental Scores

ARX Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

ARC Resources Ltd's profitability score is 65/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Operating Income
Positive 3-Year Average ROE
65/100
Profitability
Score

ARC Resources Ltd's profitability score is 65/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

ARX Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

ARC Resources Ltd's solvency score is 57/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
High Interest Coverage
Average Altman Z-Score
57/100
Solvency
Score

ARC Resources Ltd's solvency score is 57/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

ARX Price Targets Summary
ARC Resources Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast ARX stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ARX is 31.14 CAD with a low forecast of 27.27 CAD and a high forecast of 36.75 CAD.

Lowest
Price Target
27.27 CAD
7% Upside
Average
Price Target
31.14 CAD
22% Upside
Highest
Price Target
36.75 CAD
44% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
Very
Unsafe
Unsafe
Safe
Very
Safe
0
25
50
75
100
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for ARX is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Buyback Yield
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Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
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Average
Highest

Profile

ARC Resources Ltd Logo
ARC Resources Ltd

Country

Canada

Industry

Energy

Market Cap

15.1B CAD

Dividend Yield

3.34%

Description

ARC Resources Ltd. engages in the exploration, development and production of crude oil and natural gas. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Alberta. The firm's activities are focused on the exploration, development and production of unconventional crude oil, condensate, natural gas and Natural gas liquids (NGLs) in western Canada. The firm's assets are located in northeast British Columbia and northern Alberta in the Montney formation. The Company’s operations in Northern Alberta are located near Grande Prairie and include Kakwa and Ante Creek. The firm's operations in northeast British Columbia feature low-emissions assets and a network of owned-and-operated facilities that are connected to third-party egress and hydroelectricity. The Company’s operations in the Northeast British Columbia region include Greater Dawson, Sunrise and Attachie. The Greater Dawson operating area includes Dawson Phases I, II, III and IV and Parkland 3-9.

Contact

ALBERTA
Calgary
1200-308 4 Ave SW
+14035038600.0
www.arcresources.com

IPO

1996-07-11

Employees

422

Officers

President, CEO & Director
Mr. Terry Michael Anderson B.Sc., P.Eng.
Senior VP & CFO
Mr. Kristen J. Bibby B. Comm., B.Com., C.A., CPA
Senior VP & COO
Mr. Armin Jahangiri P.Eng.
Senior Vice President of Marketing
Mr. Ryan Victor Berrett B.Mgmt., M.B.A.
Senior VP & Chief Development Officer
Ms. Larissa Marianne Conrad P.Eng.
Senior Vice President of People & Corporate
Ms. Lisa Ann Olsen B.A.
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Manager of Capital Markets
Mr. Dale Lewko C.F.A.
Corporate Secretary
Mr. Grant A. Zawalsky B. Comm, B.Com., L.L.B.
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one ARX stock?

The intrinsic value of one ARX stock under the Base Case scenario is 33.41 CAD.

Is ARX stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 25.45 CAD, ARC Resources Ltd is Undervalued by 24%.

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