Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp
TSX:AQN

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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2021-Q4

from 0
Operator

Good

morning.

My

name

is

Emma,

and

I

will

be

your

conference

operator

today.

At

this

time,

I

would

like

to

welcome

everyone

to

the

Algonquin

Power

&

Utilities

Corporation

2021

Fourth

Quarter

Earnings

Webcast

and

Conference

Call.

All

lines

have

been

placed

on

mute

to

prevent

any

background

noise.

After

the

speakers'

remarks,

there

will

be

a

question-and-answer

session.

[Operator Instructions]



Thank

you.

Amelia

Tsang,

VP

Investor

Relations.

You

may

begin

your

conference.

A
Amelia See Man Tsang

Good morning,

everyone.

Thanks

for

joining

us

this

morning

for

our

fourth

quarter

and

full

year

2021

earnings

conference

call.

Presenting

on

the

call

today

are

Arun

Banskota,

our

President

and

Chief

Executive

Officer;

and

Arthur

Kacprzak,

our

Chief

Financial

Officer.

Also

joining

us

this

morning

for

the

Q&A

part

of

the

call will

be

Jeff

Norman,

our

Chief

Development

Officer;

and

Johnny

Johnston,

our

Chief

Operating

Officer.

To

accompany

our

earnings

call

today,

we

have

a

supplemental

webcast

presentation

available

on

our

website,

algonquinpowerandutilities.com.

Our

financial

statements, management

discussion

and

analysis

and

annual

information

form

are

also

available

on

the

website

as

well

as

on

SEDAR

and

EDGAR.

Before

continuing

the

call, we

would

like

to

remind

you

that

our

discussion

during

the

call

will

include

certain

forward-looking

information,

including,

but

not

limited

to,

our

expectations

regarding

future

earnings,

capital

expenditures

and

pending

acquisitions.

At

the

end

of

the

call,

I

will

read

a

notice

regarding

both

forward-looking

information

and

non-GAAP

measures.

Please also

refer

to

our

most

recent

MD&A

filed

on

SEDAR

and

EDGAR

and

available

on

our

website

for

additional

important

information

on

these

items.

On

our

call

this

morning,

Arun

will

provide

an

overview

of

our

Q4

and

annual

performance.

Arthur

will

follow

with

the

financial

results,

and

then

Arun

will

conclude

with

an

update

on

our

strategic

plan

for

the

business.

We

will

then

open

the

lines

for

questions.

I

ask

that

you

restrict

your

questions

to

two

and

then

re-queue

if

you

have any

additional

questions

to

allow

others

the

opportunity

to

participate.

And

with

that,

I'll

turn

it over

to

Arun.

A
Arun Banskota

Thank you,

Amelia,

and

a

very

good

morning

to

those

who

have

been

able

to

join

us

on

the

call

and

online.

Given

that

this

is

our

year-end

earnings

call,

I

want

to

provide

some

highlights

and

speak

to

performance,

both

financial

and

operational

for

Q4

and

full

year

2021.

Firstly,

on

financials,

I'm pleased

to

report

steady

year-over-year

growth

in

the

following

key

financial

metrics:

2021

Adjusted

EBITDA

of

nearly

$1.1

billion

increased

24%

year-over-year

from

$869.5

million,

largely

from

new

facilities

that

came

online

in

2021

on

the

Renewable

side,

including

Maverick

Creek

Wind

and

Altavista,

as

well

as

contribution

of

new

facilities

on

the

Regulated

side,

including

Empire

Wind

and

a

full

year

of

contribution

from BELCO

and ESSAL.

Our

2021

Adjusted

Net

Earnings

per

share

of

$0.71

was

up

11%

from

the

$0.64

reported

in

the

prior

year

and

came

in

line

with

our

expectations.

Last

year,

we

reported

annual

dividends

per

share

of

$0.67,

representing

our

10th

consecutive

year

of

dividend

increases.

We

also

exited

the

year

with

approximately

$16.8

billion

in

assets,

a

27%

increase

over

the

$13.2

billion

reported

in

the

prior

year.

Secondly, on

execution,

the

company undertook

a

number

of

successful

growth

initiatives

and

continued

to

execute

on

strategic

priorities

in

2021,

which

are

positioning

us

well

for

the

future.

We

continue to

focus

our

efforts

on

Algonquin's

three

strategic

pillars;

growth,

operational

excellence,

and

sustainability.

And

I

will

provide

more

details

on

each

of

these

pillars.

Earlier

this

year,

we

closed on

the

acquisition

of

New

York

American

Water,

which

services

over

125,000

customer

connections

across

seven

counties

in

Southeastern

New

York,

and

we

officially

welcome

the

New

York

American

Water

employees

into

Liberty.

The

transition has

gone

very

well

as

planned.

Staying

on

the

topic

of

growth,

I

want

to

provide

you

an

update

on

our

pending

$2.8

billion

acquisition

of

Kentucky

Power

Company

and

AEP

Kentucky

Transmission

Company.

We

remain

excited

and

firmly

committed

to

this

transaction

and

look

forward

to

bringing

the

benefits

of

our

local

operating

model

to

Eastern

Kentucky.

As

we

previously

mentioned,

our

expectation

of

enhancing

Kentucky

Power's

local

operating

model,

bringing

benefits

to

customers

by

exploring

opportunities

to

reduce

customer

rates

through

investing

in

green

energy

and

creating

increased

local

employment

are

all

attributes

that

are

expected

to

help

customers

and

the local

communities,

while

driving

value

for

our

shareholders.

To

that

end,

you

are

likely

aware

that

we

jointly

filed

with

AEP

an

application

with

the

Kentucky

Commission

on

January

4 for

the

approval

of

the

acquisition

of

Kentucky

Power.

By

statute, the

Commission

must issue

an

order

on

the

application

within

120

days.

We

expect

to

close

the

transaction

in

mid-2022

after

receipt

of

state

and

first

level

approvals

and

satisfaction

of

all

other

closing

conditions.

To-date,

we

have

already

received

Hart-Scott-Rodino

and CFIUS approvals.

Staying

on

the regulatory

front, our

rate

review

at

Empire

Electric

continues

to

progress

well.

On

February

4, 2022,

a

stipulation

was

reached

among

Empire

Electric,

Office

of

the

Public

Council,

Staff

of

the

Missouri

Public

Service

Commission

and

other

interveners.

Hearings

were

held

on

February

7

on

rate

design,

and

a

hearing

on

the

stipulation

was

held

on

February

10,

with

new

rates

expected

to

be

implemented

in

May

of

2022.

We

believe

the

settlement

represents

a

fair

outcome

for

customers

and

the

company.

We

continue

to

invest in

our

network

to

deliver

mission-critical

services

to

our

communities,

while

keeping

customer

affordability

top

of

mind.

Another

growth pillar

in

our

Regulated

business

is

focused

on

deploying

capital

to

benefit

our

customers.

In 2021,

the

Regulated

Services

Group

invested

over

$1.9

billion,

including

the completion

of

our

Midwest

greening

(sic) [greening the fleet] (00:07:47) initiative,

where

we

brought

600

megawatts

of

wind

generation

online.

In

the

coming years,

we

expect

to

invest

between $800

million

and

$1.2

billion

annually

into

our

rate

base

to

improve

safety,

security,

reliability,

resiliency

and

customer

experience.

Turning

to

the growth

levers

on

our

Renewable

business.

In

this

business,

our

ability

to

originate

and

execute

projects

is

a

critical

growth

lever. 2021

has

been

a

record

year

for

Algonquin,

with

nearly

1,200 megawatts

of

new

Renewable

projects

either

closing

or

reaching

commercial

operations.

In

December

2021,

we

completed

our

latest

project

to

achieve

commercial

operations,

the

24-megawatt

EBR

wind

facility

in

Québec,

with

all

of the

energy

being

sold

to

Hydro-Québec.

The

175-megawatt

Blue Hill

facility

in

Saskatchewan,

with

all

of

the energy

under

contract

with

SaskPower,

is

on

track

to

achieve

commercial

operations

in

March

2021.

Our

construction program

continues

with

the

expected

start

of

construction

in

Q2

2022

of

the

Deerfield

2

and

Sandy

Ridge

2

wind

projects.

Also,

we

continue

to

progress

our

partnership

with

Chevron

and

expect

to

start

construction

on

the

first

two

of

these

solar

projects

in

mid-year.

The

fact

that

we

continue

to

successfully

execute

on

construction

in

the

midst

of

the

COVID

pandemic

and

supply

chain

challenges

is

a

testament

to

the

hard

work,

entrepreneurial

culture

and

experience

base

of

our

employees.

At

our

Investor Day,

we

discussed

our

strong

development

platform,

where

our

ongoing

development

has

resulted

in

growing

our

greenfield

pipeline

of

prospective

generation

projects

to

3,800

megawatts

by

the

end

of

2021.

This

growth

is

net

of

projects

totaling

640

megawatts,

which

advanced

from

our greenfield

pipeline

into

our

five-year

capital

plan. The

640

megawatts

that

advanced

includes

the

Riverbend

Wind

Project

in

Michigan,

the

Blue

Violet

combined

wind/solar

project

in

Illinois,

and

four

projects

being

developed

in

partnership

with

Chevron

in

New

Mexico

and

Texas.

Two

other

important

initiatives

in

2021

to

establish

a

strong

foundation

for

future

growth

include

building a

1,700

megawatt

hour

pipeline

of

prospective

energy

storage

projects

and

entry

into

renewable

natural

gas

with

the

agreement

to

acquire

Sandhill,

a

developer

of

RNG

projects. Sandhill

represents

an

attractive

platform,

giving

us

immediate

entry

via

its

portfolio of

four

projects

in

the

state

of

Wisconsin,

two

of

which

are

currently

under

construction

with

first

production

expected

around

the

end

of

Q1

and

two

projects

which

are

in

late-stage

development.

According

to

a

US

Environmental

Protection

Agency

report,

Wisconsin

represents

the

state

with

the

second

largest

universe

of

renewable

natural

gas

opportunities,

and

we

are

excited

to

utilize

Sandhill

as

an

RNG

growth

platform.

This

acquisition

is

expected

to

close

in

the

first

half

of

2022.

Moving

on

now

to

operational

excellence.

In

a

mission-critical

industry,

safety

and

reliability

are

always

key

areas

of

focus. I'm

very

pleased

to

share

that

we

have

passed

the

impressive

milestone

of

over

750

days.

That

is

nearly

11

million

work

hours

without

a

single

lost

time

injury

across

our

North

American

business,

while

keeping

our

customers

and

communities

safe

and

maintaining

our

system

reliability

and

resiliency.

I

want

to

thank

all

of

our

employees

for

their

ongoing

focus

on

safety

and

preparedness

for

weather

events.

I

want to

particularly

call

out

and

thank

the

electric

team

in

Tahoe

as

that

area

received

record

breaking

snowfall

over

the

Christmas

holidays. Liberty

crews

worked

hard

throughout

the

holiday

weekend

to

restore

power

to

our

customers

and

communities

as

quickly

and

safely

as

possible

during

harsh

weather

conditions.

The

hard

work

and dedication

of

our

employees

did

not

go

unnoticed

by

the

customers

and

local

communities

we

serve.

And

finally,

we

remain

firmly committed

to

sustainability

through

the

inclusion

of

environmental,

social

and

governance

values

in

our

broader

corporate

strategy

and

day-to-day

operations.

In

2021, we

announced

our

target

for

net

zero

for

Scope

1

and

2

emissions

by

2050

with

a

credible

path

supported

by

our

strong

decarbonization

track

record,

extensive

experience

in

regulated

utility

management,

and

deep

expertise

in

renewables

development.

On

the governance

side,

we

successfully

embedded

sustainability

into

our

management's

compensation

model,

continuing

to

enhance

how

ESG

factors

are

embedded

throughout

the

organization's

business

goals. And

finally,

in

2021, AQN's ESG

ratings

continued

to

improve

in

the

aggregate,

positioning

the

company

as

a

sustainability

leader.

More

recently,

I'm

pleased to

report

the

company's

inclusion

in

the

2022

Bloomberg

Gender-Equality

Index

for

the

third

year

in

a

row.

Our

inclusion into

their

Index

is

a

testament

to

our

continued

efforts

for

continued

gender

equality

– improved

gender

equality

and

transparency

as

we

target

above-market

gender

representation

at

our

board

and

executive

levels.

With

that, I'll

pass

it

over

to

Arthur,

who

will

speak

to

our

fourth

quarter

and

full year

2021

financial

results.

Arthur?

A
Arthur Kacprzak

Thank

you,

Arun,

and

good

morning,

everyone.

I'm

pleased

to

report

that

Algonquin

has

reported

steady

fourth

quarter

and

full year

results,

reflecting

the

benefits

of

our

diversified

and

resilient

business

model

and

proven

track

record

of

disciplined

growth.

Our

fourth

quarter

2021

consolidated

Adjusted

EBITDA

was

$297.6

million,

which

is

up

approximately

18%

from

the

$253.1

million

we

reported

for

the

same

period

last

year.

The

Regulated

Services

Group

delivered

$191.4

million

in

operating

profit

in

the

current

quarter,

which

compares

to

$162.4

million

in

the

same

quarter

last

year,

an

increase

of

about

18%.

This

improvement reflects

contributions

from

our

Midwest

wind

facilities,

which

were

placed

in

service

in

2021,

as

well

as

contributions

from

BELCO,

our

Bermuda

electric

utility;

and

ESSAL,

our

Chilean

water

utility

as

both

acquisitions

closed

during

Q4

of

2020.

Results

also

benefited

from

new

rates

implemented at

CalPeco

and

Granite

State

Electric

Systems

as

well

as

Park

Water

and

Apple

Valley

Water

systems

in

California.

This

was offset

by

lower

consumption

driven

by

milder

weather. Results

were

also

impacted

by

higher

non-pass

through

fuel

costs

at

Empire

Electric

as

well

as

higher

operating

costs

at

Granite

State

and CalPeco.

The

Renewable Energy

Group

reported

fourth

quarter

divisional

operating

profit

of

$123.9

million,

which

compares

to

$97.9

million

in

the

same

quarter

last

year,

an

increase

of

about

27%.

The

addition

of

the Sugar

Creek

and

Maverick

Creek

wind

generation

facilities

contributed

to

the

year-over-year

increase

in

operating

profit.

Our

investment

in

Atlantica

also

continued

to

provide

benefits

with

dividends

received

increasing

by

$4.4

million

over

the

prior

year.

Q4

also

benefited

from

the

sale

of

our

New

Market

Solar

facility

to

a

joint

venture

with

our

renewable

construction

partner

Ares,

resulting

in

a

recognized

gain

reflecting

a

step-up

in

the

value

created

through

the

development

process.

However, this

increase

was

partially

offset

by

lower

overall

production

on

some

of

our

wind

and

solar

generation

facilities

and

higher

operating

costs,

while

performance

at

our Sanger facility

was

negatively

impacted

this

quarter

by

higher

compliance

costs

and

lower

capacity

payments.

Our

investment

in

the Texas

Coastal

Wind

Facilities

was

also

negatively

impacted

by

higher

than

expected

basis

cost,

lower

than

expected

production

and

an

acceleration

of

HLBV

losses

of

$9

million

related

to

Q1

hedge

settlements

caused

by

winter

storm

Uri

that

were

expected

to

largely

reverse

in

the

future.

Fourth

quarter

corporate

expenses were higher

by

approximately

$10.5

million

as

compared

to

last

year,

driven

primarily

by

higher

administrative

expenses

and

higher

overall

net

development

expenses

as

compared

to

last

year.

In

total,

our

Q4

Adjusted

Net

Earnings

per

share

came

in

at

$0.21,

which

is

in

line

with

last

year.

In

addition

to the

drivers

discussed,

our

results

were

negatively

impacted

by

financing

costs

associated

with

the

capital

deployed

in

2021

and

an

increase

in

the

weighted

average

shares

related

to

the

Kentucky

Power

acquisition

funding.

For

the

full

year,

Adjusted

Net

EPS

came

in

at

$0.71

and

compares

to

$0.64

reported

in

the

prior

year,

representing

an

annual

growth

in

Adjusted

Net

EPS

of

11%,

showing

solid

year-over-year

growth.

Although

we delivered

strong

results,

we

did

encounter

various

headwinds

throughout

the

year.

As

a

result

of

record

load

wind

resources

experienced

throughout

the

early

part

of

the

year,

which

was

an

industry-wide

phenomenon,

generation

on

our

wind

facilities

was

down

approximately

10%

from

long-term

averages.

Also, much

warmer-than-normal

weather

in

the

Midwest

negatively

affected

customer

usage

in

the

early

and

latter

parts

of

the

year.

Compared

to

normalized

weather

patterns,

this

represents

an

impact

of

approximately

$48

million

on

our

2021

operating

profit,

or

about

$0.055

on

our

Adjusted

EPS.

Moving

on

to the

balance

sheet

and

financing

activities.

First,

I

wanted

to

spend

a

few

minutes

to

provide

an

update

on

our

progress

towards

the

financing

of

the

Kentucky

Power

acquisition.

On

announcement of

the

deal

back

in

October

of

last

year,

we

executed

a

Canadian

dollar

bought

deal

offering

of

common

shares,

raising

a

US

dollar

equivalent

of

approximately

$640

million

in

proceeds.

Early

this

year,

we

issued

approximately

$1.1

billion

of

hybrid

debt

and

a

concurrent

public

offerings

in

the

US

and

Canada.

Recall

that

hybrid

debt

receives

50%

equity

credit

from

S&P

and

Fitch

and

never

converts

to

common

shares.

We

have

issued

this

financing

on

an

attractive

expected

10-year

rate

of

approximately

4.95%

after

factoring

hedging.

That brings

the

total raise

for

the

transaction

to

just

over

$1.7

billion

towards

the

$2.8

billion

purchase

price. On

closing,

we

expect

to

assume

approximately

$1.2

billion

of

Kentucky

Power

company

debt

of

which

approximately

$500 million

is

targeted

to

be

refinanced

using

Liberty

Utilities'

established

144A

debt

platform,

which

we

would

expect

would

benefit

our

future

Kentucky

customers.

We

continue to

see

this

acquisition

as

providing

compelling

value

and

look

forward

to

closing

later

this

year.

Moving

on

to

the

broader

capital

and

financing

plan.

In

2021,

Algonquin

deployed

$3.7

billion

of

capital

on

our

organic

initiatives

relating

to

the

safety,

reliability

of our

electric,

water

and

gas

systems,

as

well

as

delivering

new

renewable

generation

from

our

projects,

including

Maverick

Creek

Wind,

Altavista

Solar

and

our

Midwest

Greening.

For

2022,

Algonquin

is

targeting

to

spend

over

$4.3

billion

in

capital,

with

the

majority

related

to

the

acquisitions

of

New

York

American

Water,

which

closed

earlier

this

year

and

Kentucky

Power,

which

is

expected

to close

in

the

middle

of

this

year.

Our

funding plan

for

the

remainder

of

the

year

is

predicated

on

maintaining

a

strong

and

resilient

balance

sheet,

targeting

a

BBB

investment-grade

credit

rating.

I

spoke to

the

funding

associated

with

the

Kentucky

Power

acquisition

already.

The

remaining

funding

requirements

can

be

solved

by

a

combination

of

various

funding

sources

available

to

us,

including

retain

cash,

some

more

hybrid

debt,

proceeds

from

securitization

of

certain

regulatory

assets

and

as

well

as

issuance

of

long-term

debt.

As

we

discussed

during

our

Investor

Day,

asset

recycling

or

selling

down

a

portion

of

our

non-regulated

renewables

can

also

be

viewed

as

another

source

of

potential

value-accretive

capital

for

us

this

year.

Considering

the

various

funding

sources

available,

we

do

not

expect

to

raise

additional

capital,

but

we

have

issuance

of

discrete

common

equity

for

the

remainder

of

this

year.

Our

funding plan

is

supported

by

a

strong

liquidity

position.

At

the

end

of

2021,

we

had approximately

$2

billion

of

committed

capital

in

reserves

available,

not

counting

the

acquisition

facility

that

was

arranged

in

connection

with

the

Kentucky

Power

transaction.

Before turning

things

over

to

Arun,

I'd

like

to

provide

a

brief

update

on

our

2022's

Adjusted

Net

EPS

guidance.

We

continue

to

expect

our

2022

Adjusted

Net

EPS

per

share

to

be

within

a

range

of

$0.72

to

$0.77,

which

was

communicated

previously

at our

Investor

Day.

We

continue

to

assume

in

our

earnings

guidance,

normalized

weather

patterns

and

rate

decisions

in

line

with

expectations,

as

well

as

resource

production

and

realized

pricing

at our

renewable-generating

facilities

consistent

with

long-term

averages.

We

also

assume

that

there

are

no

impacts

from

COVID-19

on

our

operations.

We

look

forward to

continuing

to

deliver

solid

earnings

from

our

diversified

and

growth-oriented

business

model,

which

along

with

our

history

of

superior

dividend

growth,

we

believe,

will

continue

to

drive

strong

shareholder

return.

With

that,

I

will

now

hand

it

back

to

Arun

to

outline

our

strategic

plans.

A
Arun Banskota

Thanks,

Arthur.

Before

we

close

out

our

prepared

comments

this

morning,

I

want

to give

an

update

on

our

strategic

initiatives.

At

our

December

Investor

Day,

we

updated

our

five year

capital

investment

program,

which

projects

$12.4

billion

from

2022

through

the

end

of

2026

with

a

very

visible

capital

plan.

Of

that,

we

have already

closed

on

New

York

American

Water

earlier

this

year,

executing

on

approximately

$600

million

of

the

capital

plan

in

January.

On

the Regulated

side

of the

business,

the

additions

of

New

York American

Water

and

Kentucky

Power

are

expected to

drive

long-term

Adjusted

Net

EPS

growth,

while

a

large

portion

of

the

capital

plan

is

being

spent

on

organic

investments

to

improve

the

safety,

reliability

and

resiliency

of

our

network.

On

the

Renewable side,

we

are

excited

about

the

growth

potential

and

believe

that

we

have

a

once

in

a

generation

opportunity

to

accelerate

renewables

growth

and

add

shareholder

value.

In

just

over

a

period

of

one

year,

we

have

made

investments

and have

grown

our

prospective

greenfield

pipeline

from

3,400

megawatt

to

3,800

megawatts,

while

converting

640

megawatts

from

that

greenfield

pipeline

into

our

new

five year

capital

plan.

We

also introduced

our

new prospective

pipeline

of

storage

opportunities

of

1,700

megawatt

hours

at

our

December

Investor

Day.

We

believe

this

validates

the

strength

of

our

development

platform.

We

now

have

scale

across

both

our

development

platform

as

discussed,

and

we

own

and

have

investments

in

over

4,000

megawatts

of

renewable

generation.

At

our

Investor

Day,

we

spoke

of

accelerating

renewables

growth

and

adding

shareholder

value

as

we

plan

to

increase

our

investments

in

greenfield

development,

which

we

expect will

allow

us

to

capture

the

higher

development

margins

and

take

a

number

of

those

projects

through

construction.

Once

in

construction, we

see

an

opportunity

to

partner

with

institutional

investors

wishing

to

make

alternate,

sustainable

investments

with

our

ability

to

develop

and

deliver

on

long-term

contracted

sustainable

assets.

In

particular,

we

should

be

able

to

sell

down

to

the

investors,

while

earning

an

operating

fee.

We

could

then

deploy

some

or

all

of

the

capital

gains

in

further

greenfield

development,

creating

a

potential

new

recurring

source

of

earnings

for

our

investors.

With

scale,

we

expect

to get

incremental

benefits,

including

improved

negotiating

power,

lower

transaction

costs

and

access

to

greater

opportunities.

We

are

on

our

way

to

completing

planning

and

plan

to

execute

this

strategy

in

2022.

I'm

excited

about

the

prospects

for

Algonquin's

Regulated

and

Renewables

businesses,

which

are

both

well-positioned

to

contribute

to

and

benefit

from

the

decarbonization

transformation

that

is

currently

underway

and

which

will

only

accelerate

over

the

coming

years.

In

summary,

our

three

strategic

pillars

of

operational

excellence,

growth

and

sustainability

would

be

a

key

foundation

as

we

continue

to

build

the

business

and

strive

to

bring

long-term

value

to

our

shareholders.

We

remain

well-positioned

to

continue

to

execute

on

our

growth

strategies,

while

pursuing

our

sustainability

goals.

With

that,

I

will

turn

the

call over

to

the

operator

for

any

questions

from

those

on

the

line.

[Operator Instructions]

Operator

Your

first

question

today

comes

from

the

line

of

Sean

Steuart

with

TD

Securities.

Your

line

is

now

open.

S
Sean Steuart
Analyst, TD Securities, Inc.

Thank

you.

Good

morning,

everyone.

A
Arun Banskota

Good

morning,

Sean.

S
Sean Steuart
Analyst, TD Securities, Inc.

Good

morning.

A

couple of

questions,

the

New

Market

Solar

Project

sale

to

the

joint

venture

with

Ares,

how

should

we

think

about

that

project

pipeline

going

forward

for

future

sales

into

that

vehicle?

A
Arun Banskota

Sure, Sean.

So,

look,

we

have

been

talking

a

few

times

now

about

the

ability

for

us

to

provide

recurring

shareholder

value

through

the

growth

of

our

development

and

construction

pipeline.

And

so

what

I

talked

about

towards the

end

of

my

presentation

was

really

how

that

New

Market

Solar

also

fits

into

our

strategy

of

producing

recurring

shareholder

value

through

such

sell-downs.

So

because

of

the

fact

that

we

believe

it's

going

to be

a

recurring

source,

we

thought –

believe

it

is

prudent

to

knot

just

that

out

of

our

earnings.

S
Sean Steuart
Analyst, TD Securities, Inc.

Okay.

Understood.

The

pace

going

forward,

though,

for

future

projects

to

be

sold

into

that

vehicle,

any

context

you

can

provide

there?

A
Arun Banskota

Well,

we're

about

done

with

our

planning

process,

I mean

starting

our

execution

process

on

that,

Sean.

So,

we'll

probably

be

able

to

give

a

lot

more

detail

at

that at the

next

quarterly

call.

S
Sean Steuart
Analyst, TD Securities, Inc.

Okay.

Thanks

for

that.

The

Sandhill

acquisition

and

I

guess

context

on

the

amount

of

capital

you

expect

to

invest

into

those

projects,

and more

broadly

speaking,

larger

investment

opportunities

for

whether

it's

RNG

or

other

energy

transition-type

investments.

Any

details

you

can

provide

on

that

front?

J
Jeffery Todd Norman

Hey, Sean,

it's

Jeff.

Yeah,

I

think

the

Sandhill

acquisition

and

the

four

projects

are

anaerobic

digesters.

And

so,

they're

relatively

small

in

terms

of

CapEx.

It's

important

to

us

because

of

the

benefits

of

advancing

RNG

and

improving

our

knowledge

in

that

area,

more

so

than

an

absolute

capital

play.

That

being

said,

we

do

see

RNG

expanding.

RNG

includes

hydrogen.

And

so,

as

we

start

to

build

our

knowledge,

start

to

build

how

we

trade

and

expand

more,

we

do

see

that

as

an

important

area.

But

there's

still a

lot

of

information

to

unfold.

S
Sean Steuart
Analyst, TD Securities, Inc.

Okay.

Thanks,

Jeff.

That's

all

I

have

for

now.

Thanks,

guys.

A
Arun Banskota

Thanks,

Sean.

Operator

Your

next

question

comes

from

the

line

of

David

Quezada

with

Raymond

James.

Your

line

is

now

open.

D
David Quezada
Analyst, Raymond James Ltd.

Thanks.

Morning,

everyone.

My

first

question

here,

just

on

New

York

American

Water,

now

that

that's

closed,

I'm

curious

what

kind

of

potential

you

see

there,

I

guess

for

spending

CapEx

either

organic

or

otherwise.

I

think

at

the

time

of

the

acquisition, there

were

some

talk

about

opportunities

for

consolidation

there. So,

any

thoughts

around

that

would

be

appreciated.

A
Arun Banskota

Look,

I

mean, we

are

very

much

in

the

planning

process

for

continued

investments

in

New

York

American

Water.

Our

next

rate

case

is

not

due

for

some

time.

But,

as

with

all

of our

other

utilities,

we

continue

to

invest

in

the

safety

and

reliability

and

resiliency

of

that

water

system

as

with

anything

else.

Now,

given

our

unique

positioning

in

terms

of

renewable

energy,

as

you

know, there's

quite

a

bit

of

energy

required

to

transport

water.

One

of

the

unique

things

we

do

do

is

look at

opportunities

to

see

how

we

can

substitute

the

current

energy

profile

with

our

renewable

energy

generation

to

serve

our

water

utilities

also,

which

I

think

is

a

unique

capability

that

we

have.

And

we

have

utilized

that

already.

So

that's

something

we're

taking

a

close

look

at

as

well.

D
David Quezada
Analyst, Raymond James Ltd.

Excellent.

Thanks,

Arun.

Maybe

just

one

more

from

me

just

on

the

topic

of

cost

inflation,

and I'm

thinking

specifically

about

your

Regulated

business.

Curious

if

you've

had

any

discussions

with

regulators,

especially

on

your

active

regulatory

dockets,

if

inflation

has

been

raised

as

a

concern

there

at

all

and

how

are

those

discussions

going.

A
Arun Banskota

Sure.

Look,

David,

I

mean,

inflation

is

the

current

topic

du jour,

right?

So

obviously

we're

seeing

more

inflation

than

we

have

seen

in

the

past,

probably,

what,

10, 15

years

at

least,

I

think.

On

the

Regulated

side

of

the

business,

look,

I

mean,

inflation

is

largely

a

pass-through.

But

at

the

same

time,

we

are

acutely

aware

of

the

potential

impact

on

customer

affordability,

so

we

track

that

extremely

closely.

And

that's

a

continuing

source

of

discussion

we

have

with

the

regulators

on

how

to

balance

all

the

cost

increases

vis-Ă -vis

the

right

level

of

customer

rate.

On

the

renewable

energy

side,

it's

largely

a

function,

in

our

minds,

of

you have

three

significant

contracts

on

the

renewable

energy

side,

right?

You've

got

your

large

equipment

contracts, you've

got

your EPC

contracts,

you've

got

your

offtake

contracts.

Once

you

sign

those

three

agreements,

all

of

them

are

fixed

price

contracts.

And

so,

in

our

mind,

the

strategy

that we

employ

is

trying

to

sign

those

three

contracts

as

closely

concurrently

as

possible,

so

that

we

are

not

left

holding

the

inflation

risk.

So –

and

that's

the

way

we've

been

able

to

protect

our

return

margins.

D
David Quezada
Analyst, Raymond James Ltd.

Excellent.

Appreciate

the

color.

Thanks,

Arun.

That's

all

I

had.

A
Arun Banskota

Thank

you,

David.

Operator

Your

next

question

comes

from

the

line

of

Rob

Hope

with

Scotiabank.

Your

line

is

now

open.

R
Robert Hope
Analyst, Scotia Capital, Inc.

Good

morning,

everyone.

First

question

is just

on

the –

it

looks

like

a

little

bit

of

a

pivot

on

the

renewable

power

strategy

to

a

bit

more

of

a

capital

light

strategy.

Is

this

what's

driving

the

investment

in capital

projects

in

the

Renewable

Energy

Group

of

$5

million

to

$30 million

in

2022?

Because,

if

I

look

at

slide

7,

it

looks

like

it

should

be

a

relatively

busy

year.

So

is

the

assumption

that

you're

going to

be

kind

of

bending

down

more

than

half

of these

projects,

equity

count

for

them

and

kind

of

recoup

your

capital

here

pretty

quick?

A
Arthur Kacprzak

That's

basically

it,

Rob.

What

you're

seeing

there

is

basically

the

spend

that's

really

beyond

balance

sheet

spend,

but

obviously,

a

lot

of

activity

going

on

in

the

year

and

certainly,

a

lot

of

development

spend

and

continuing

construction

spend,

but

that

spend

is

mostly

reflected

in

our

construction

JVs.

A
Arun Banskota

And

that

activity

is only

likely

to

keep

on

increasing,

Rob.

And

that's

why,

if

you

notice,

we've

started

including

a

slide

that

shows

you

the

level

of

construction

activities,

which

is

fairly

significant.

So

we

have

not

slowed

down

in

terms

of

continue

to

advance

our

greenfield

projects

through

the

development

process,

through

construction

and

into

operations.

R
Robert Hope
Analyst, Scotia Capital, Inc.

All

right, that's

helpful.

And

then,

I

guess

the

question

is,

how

should we

think

about

the

$3.6

billion

of

CapEx

that

you

put

forward

at

your

Investor

Day?

Is

that

then

more

of

a

100%

number

and

then

net

to

AQN

could

be

significantly

smaller,

then

we'll

add

on

more

projects

as

they

come?

A
Arthur Kacprzak

Yeah.

You

could

think

of

that

as

the

gross

number.

I

mean,

obviously,

as

we

think

about

how

much

is

actually

retained

versus

monetized

and

so

forth

would

be

determined

in

the

future.

R
Robert Hope
Analyst, Scotia Capital, Inc.

All

right. Thank

you.

A
Arun Banskota

Thanks,

Rob.

Operator

Your

next

question

comes

from

the

line

of

Nelson

Ng

with

RBC

Capital.

Your

line

is

now

open.

N
Nelson Ng
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Great.

Thanks

and

good

morning,

everyone.

Just

a

quick

follow-up

to

that

question

in

terms

of

the

JV.

So

can

you

give

a

bit

more

color

on

your

relationship

with

the

Ares

Management?

Are

they

a

long-term

buyer

of

your

assets?

Is

that

part

of

the

plan?

J
Jeffery Todd Norman

Yeah.

Nelson,

it's

Jeff.

I

wouldn't

characterize

it

as

a

long-term

buyer, so

we've

got

a

strong

relationship

with

Ares,

and

we

expect

to

do

more

than

one

transaction

with

them.

But

it's

not

an

exclusive

relationship.

And

I

think

there's

a

very

robust

market

out

there

and

we

want

to

keep

our

options

open.

N
Nelson Ng
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay.

So,

I

know

in

the

past

you

would

move

assets

into

a JV,

have

it

constructed.

And

then

at

the

end,

you

would

usually kind

of

buy

it

back

at

a

nominal

price.

But

this

isn't

the

case,

right?

Ares

will

be

a

long-term

equity

shareholder

in

New

Market

and

the

other

assets.

Is

that

right?

J
Jeffery Todd Norman

Yeah.

There's

two

elements

to

think

of

– on

that.

The

first

one

is

on

the

development

side,

where

we

are

moving

projects

through

and

are

participating

in

the

risk

on

those

projects.

And

then

there's

the

construction

type

JVs.

I

think

the

primary

difference

is

Ares

–

the

primary

difference

between

the

original

construction

projects

and

this

would

be, we

may

not

take

them

back

at

the

end,

but

it

may

not

be

Ares that

has

the

long-term

hold.

There

may

be

a

third-party

that

picks

up

thereafter

as

well.

So,

that's

not

absolutely

certain

at

this

time.

N
Nelson Ng
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay.

Thanks. And

then just

one

last

follow-up

question,

in

terms

of

timing,

so

is

it

the

plan

to

have

things

sold

down

and

move

to

a

JV,

I

guess,

on

financial

close

or

just

prior

to

construction

or

during

construction,

rather

than

on

or

after

completion?

I

presume

there's

still

a

bit

of

extra

value

to

be

had

if

after

you

hit

COD.

A
Arun Banskota

The

plan

is

that

we're

in

the

best

position

to

de-risk

these

projects

through

development

and

through

construction.

But

those

are

clearly

areas

of

expertise

we

have

and

take

them

through

a

certain

period

of

operation,

take

care

of

all

the

initial

bidding

down

issues

[indiscernible]



(00:38:40) and

then

sell

them.

[indiscernible]

(00:38:45)

N
Nelson Ng
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay.

Thanks

for

that. Yeah. Sorry go

on.

A
Arthur Kacprzak

No.

I was

just

going

to

add,

and

I

mean –

so,

with

the

construction

JVs,

Algonquin

still

looks

to

retain

the

full

obviously

outside

value

throughout

the

construction

cycle.

N
Nelson Ng
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay.

Got

it. All

right,

I'll

get

back

in

the

queue.

Thanks,

everyone.

A
Arun Banskota

Thanks,

Nelson.

Operator

Your

next

question

comes

from

the

line

of

Ryan

Greenwald

with

Bank

of

America.

Your

line

is

now

open.

R
Ryan Greenwald
Analyst, BofA Securities, Inc.

Hey.

Good morning,

everyone.

Maybe

starting

with

any

additional

color

how

you're

thinking

about

the

dividend

growth

going

forward?

Looks

like

excluding

the

gain

on

the

sale

here,

you

guys

were

tracking

at

approximately

100%

payout

ratio.

So

any

way

to

help

frame

how

you're

thinking

about

that

ahead

of

the

annual

cadence

in which

you

would typically

revisit

it?

A
Arthur Kacprzak

Yeah. I'd

say

it's

– our

stance

really

hasn't

changed

what

we

communicated

previously.

Look,

our

dividends,

we

certainly

want it

to

be

a

sustainable

dividend.

And

I

think

we've

communicated

in

the

past

an

80%

to

90%

payout

ratio

target.

I

mean,

it's

a

long-term

target

that

we're

targeting

between

80%

to

90%,

so

there

is

going to

be

a

lumpiness

in

certain

years.

But

from

an

overall

long-term

perspective

that

that's

where

we

end

up

seeing

and

certainly

do

see

some

further

dividend

growth

as

well.

R
Ryan Greenwald
Analyst, BofA Securities, Inc.

Got

it. That's

helpful.

And

then

in

terms

of

the

sale

to Ares

instead

of AY, can

you

just

talk

about

that

and

how

you're

thinking

about

the AY relationship

going

forward?

A
Arun Banskota

Look,

the AY relationship

remains

strong,

right?

I mean,

you

saw

we

have

dropped

down

some

other

assets

into AY

as

well.

Like

I've

told

multiple

times,

I

mean,

we

like

the

ESG

profile

of

Atlantica,

so

the

relationship

remains

strong.

And

I

just

want

to remind

folks

that

in

the

whole

construct

around –

with AY

and

the

dropdowns

were

that

it

is

going

to

be

around

non-regulated,

non-North

American

assets,

right?

So

this

does not

obviously

necessarily

fall

into

that

category.

So

I

think

as

a

company,

as

we

grow

our

Renewables

portfolio,

we

find

ourselves

in

a

good

position

that

we

have

multiple

options.

R
Ryan Greenwald
Analyst, BofA Securities, Inc.

Yeah. Understood.

And

then

maybe

just

one

more, if

I

may.

In

terms

of your

appetite

for

further

M&A

and

the

market

environment, can

you

touch

on

that

a

bit?

And

then

perhaps

separately,

given

where

LDCs

have

been

transacting

from

a

private

valuation

perspective,

would

a

regulated

divestment

be

on

the

table

or

is

any

asset

recycling

going to

be

more

on

the

Renewable

side?

A
Arun Banskota

Look,

I

mean, Ryan

and I

will

tell

you

that

we're

always

looking

to

increase

shareholder

value.

And

then

we're

never

closing

any

doors

and

saying,

there

are

no

sacred

cows

here,

right?

Having

said

that,

from

a

strategic

perspective,

when we

look

at

all

of

our

assets

in

our

portfolio

and

given

the

external

market

as

well,

we

believe

that

the

fourth

phase

is

really

the

sell-down

on

the

Renewable

side

of

the

business

because

we

see

our ability

to

be

able

to

control

more

that

development

pipeline,

the

construction

pipeline,

the

flow

of

the

number

of

projects

into

operations.

So,

it's

a

much

more

recurring

and

it's

a

much

more

controllable

piece

of

recurring

shareholder

value

rather

than

one-offs

right

now.

Having

said

that,

we're

not

against

doing

one-offs

either

and

so,

one

of

the

ways

we

look

at

that

is,

is

any

particular

asset

more

valuable

under

our

ownership

versus

in

somebody

else's

ownership.

So,

that's something

we're

always

looking

at.

R
Ryan Greenwald
Analyst, BofA Securities, Inc.

Great.

I'll leave

it

there.

Thanks

so

much

for

the

time.

A
Arun Banskota

Thanks,

Ryan.

Operator

Your

next

question

comes

from

the

line

of

Ben

Pham

with

BMO.

Your

line

is

now

open.

B
Ben Pham
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets Corp. (Canada)

Hi.

Thanks. Maybe

I

want

to

start

off

–

to

follow

up

on

I mean

some

of

the

questions

you

had

on

Ares

and

some

of

the

structures

that

you

utilize.

And

I'm

wondering

when

you

look

at

asset

dropdowns

or

asset

sales,

like

how

do

you

position

where

it

fits?

Is

Ares

many

development

construction,

AY,

operating

assets

and

then

you

compare

that

to

third-party?

How

do

you

– there's

a

bunch

of

different

structures

going

so

it

would

be

interesting

to see

how

you

think

about

where

things

fit?

A
Arun Banskota

So

basically,

when

we

look

at

development

and

construction, one

of

the

options

we

have,

obviously,

is

to

utilize

this

joint

venture

with Ares,

right?

So

we

do

not

have

any

other

–

but

we

could

develop

it

totally

ourselves

as

well,

so

we

have

that

flexibility

of

doing

either

or. We

are

not

normally

developing

projects

or

going

through

construction

with

Atlantica.

On

the

operational

side,

by

and

large,

we

are

the

operating

entity

on

our

asset

base

and

Atlantica

is the

operator

on

their

set

of

assets.

I

mean,

we

obviously

try

to

learn

from

each

other,

but

those

are

two

separate

operation

platforms.

B
Ben Pham
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets Corp. (Canada)

Okay.

And

then

your

2022

guidance

or

even

thinking

the

7%

to

9%,

I

would

assume,

correct

me

if I'm

wrong,

there's

a

dropdown

element

baked

into

those

numbers?

A
Arthur Kacprzak

Yeah.

We

do

certainly

look

at

extracting

value

out

of

our

greenfield

development

pipeline, and

we

have

baked

that

into

the

guidance.

Now,

whether

it's

a

pure

dropdown

or

a

pure

gain

or

whether

it's

to

extract

it

through

different

ways

such

as

management

fees

and

so

forth,

that's

to

be

still

worked

through. But

there

is

certainly –

and

we

are

looking

at

it is

obviously

some

of

the

value

created

through

our

current

growth

pipeline.

B
Ben Pham
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets Corp. (Canada)

Okay.

I

understand.

And

then

my

last

one,

you

mentioned

some

of

the

bridges

on

the

funding

for

Kentucky

Power.

I

wasn't

sure,

Arthur,

were

you

suggesting

that

you're

now

fully

funded

for

Kentucky

Power

or

there's

still

a

slice

left?

A
Arthur Kacprzak

Yeah,

we're

basically

done

in

terms

of

the

notional

amounts

for

Kentucky

Power

with

our

hybrid

debt

of

$1.1

billion,

which

we

funded

the

cash

purchase

price.

Now,

we

obviously

need

to

kind

of

put

everything

into

the

mix

and

make

sure

our

credit

metrics

come

out

right

on

the

other

side

of

all

of

this.

So

the

rest

of

our

funding

plan

certainly

considers

that.

B
Ben Pham
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets Corp. (Canada)

Okay.

Got

it.

Okay.

Thank

you.

Operator

Your

next question

comes from

the

line

of

Andrew

Kuske

with

Credit

Suisse.

Your

line

is

now

open.

A
Andrew M. Kuske
Analyst, Credit Suisse Securities (Canada), Inc

Thanks.

Good

morning.

I

guess

the

first

question

is

really

around

the

ability

to

monetize

certain

assets,

portions

or

entirely

and

then

use

those

proceeds

to

effectively

accelerate

growth.

All

that

can

be

pretty

compelling.

But

how

do

you

balance

just

a

more

complicated

structure

versus

being

more

simple,

and

how

do

you

think

about

that,

whether

the

financial

term

sort

of

warm

or

fuzzy

kinds

of

feelings?

A
Arun Banskota

Andrew,

great

question.

Thank

you.

So,

fundamentally,

if

you

really

look

at

it,

what

we're

trying

to

do

is

leverage

two

specialized

skill

sets

we

have,

right,

one

on

the

development

side

and

one

on

the

operational

side.

And

I

think

over

the

years

now,

we

have

a

certain

level

of

skill

on

both

sides

of

the

business,

and

we

believe that

we

should

be

able

to

just

accelerate

that

growth

by

utilizing

and

leveraging

those

specialized

skill

sets

even

more

in

a

given

external

environment

and

the

whole

decarbonization

thesis

that's

out

there,

right?

So

that's

really

the

fundamental

thesis.

Now,

obviously, to

grow

significantly

along

that

renewable

energy

portfolio,

you

obviously

need

to

access

a

lot

of

capital.

And

our

view

is

that,

again,

looking

at

the

external

market

with

the

amount

and

number

of

sustainable

investors

out

there,

we

believe

that

we

should

be

able

to

sell

down

to

those

sustainable

investors

at

a

point

where

we

can

provide

recurring

value

to

our

shareholders,

right?

So

that's

really

the

thesis

of

that

flywheel,

if

you

will,

continue

to

expand

our

renewables

greenfield

pipeline,

taking

those,

de-risking

those

through

development,

construction

and

operations,

selling

down,

redeploying

that

capital

back

into

more

renewables

growth.

A
Andrew M. Kuske
Analyst, Credit Suisse Securities (Canada), Inc

That's helpful.

Appreciate

that.

And

then

maybe

just thinking

about

that

flywheel

and

your

businesses

and

the

transactional

marks

we've

seen

in

the

US

more

recently

on

the

LDC side.

Is

there

an

opportunity

to

really

focus

your

expertise

in

both

the renewables

business

and

the

utilities

business

more

broadly

through

the

Caribbean

because you've

got

the exposure

in

Bermuda?

But

there's

other

assets

there

that

do

have

good

decarbonization

stories,

renewable

needs

and

offer

just

more

compelling

value

from

an

investment

standpoint.

How

do

you

think

about

that

region

more

broadly?

A
Arun Banskota

Well,

we're

attracted

to

Bermuda

from

a

lot

of

different

factors,

including

the

– we

even

looked

at

things

like

hurricane

profiles,

things

of

the

sort.

Bermuda

does experience

fear

of

hurricanes

and

then

the

other

parts

of

the

Caribbean.

So

there's

obviously

a

lot

of

things

we

look

at

when

we

look

at

any

acquisitions.

Scale

is

important,

we

believe

in

terms

of

being

able

to

do

a

lot

more

with

less.

So

building

scale

across

any

one

of

our

three

modalities,

especially

electric

and

water

are

things

that

we

look

at

very

closely.

But

again,

we

end

up

looking

at

a

lot

more

opportunities

than

in

terms

of

executing

against

those

just

because

we

continue

to

be

extremely

disciplined

around

which

assets

we

bring

under

our

fold.

We

just

have

a

lot

of

financial

metrics,

risk

metrics

that

we

need

to

[indiscernible]



(00:50:08).

But

again,

I

hope

I'm

answering

your question,

Andrew.

It's

a

longwinded answer.

A
Andrew M. Kuske
Analyst, Credit Suisse Securities (Canada), Inc

It

wasn't a

concise

question

either,

so

I

appreciate

the

time.

A
Arun Banskota

Sure.

Operator

Your

next

question

comes

from the

line

of

Naji

Baydoun

with

Industrial

Alliance.

Your

line

is

now

open.

N
Naji Baydoun
Analyst, iA Capital Markets

Hi.

Good

morning.

Just

wanted

to

start

off

with

I

guess

a

clarification

on

the

balance

of

funding

for

this

year,

so

the

large

debt

offering.

And

in

terms

of

the

priorities

for

asset

recycling,

can

you

just

clarify

if

you're

thinking

about

existing

asset

monetizations

or

non-core

asset

sales

or

is

it

really

just

more

focused

on

developmental

loans

for

this

year?

A
Arthur Kacprzak

Hey,

Naji, It's –

so

for

this

year,

I

mean,

as

we

think

about

our

funding

plan,

look,

we've

got –

I

would say,

first

of

all,

we

got

optionality.

As

always,

we've

got

a

lot

of

different

funding

sources

that

we

can

look at

the

top.

I

mean,

asset

recycling

is

certainly

one

of

those

funding

sources

and

that

would

potentially

come

from

existing

assets

that

are

in

our

fleet.

But

again,

it's –

we've

got

quite

a

lot

of

funding

sources

to

potentially

satisfy

what

we

needed to

do

this

year.

N
Naji Baydoun
Analyst, iA Capital Markets

Okay.

So there's now

I

guess,

a

necessity

in

terms

of

accelerating

some

of

that

here

in

the

short-term.

A
Arthur Kacprzak

Yeah.

N
Naji Baydoun
Analyst, iA Capital Markets

Okay.

Just

the

other

question

I

have

was

about

the

accelerating

renewables

growth

that

you

mentioned.

I

know

they

have

a

lot

of

projects

in

the

pipeline

for

this

year,

but

maybe

just

beyond

2022 and

2023.

Can

you

just

give

us

an

update

on

how

the

new

development

projects

are

going

that

could

potentially

extend

that

runway

over

time?

J
Jeffery Todd Norman

Naji,

it's

as

Jeff

and

I

think

everyone

referred

to

our

greenfield

pipeline,

the

3,800

megawatts

which

we

rolled

out

at

Investor

Day.

That

is

what

we

see

feeding

our

five year

capital

plan.

And

we

continue

to

add

to

that

pipeline,

as

well

as

advance

the

projects

in

that

pipeline

for

pulled

down

into

the

capital

plan.

So

we

feel

like

we've

got

the

pump

well

primed

or

the

flywheel

turning

here.

And

we're

making

good

progress

across

the

spectrum

from

new

entrants

into

that

greenfield

pipeline,

pulling

stuff

out

into

the

capital

plan.

And

so 2022, 2023, 2024,

we

won't

be

able

to

say

anything

concrete

until

we

have

names

ready

to

share

with

you.

But

the

process

is

certainly

working

well.

A
Arun Banskota

And

on

top

of

that,

we

also

showed

you

the

1,700

megawatt

hours

of

storage

pipeline,

which

we're

pretty

bullish

about.

N
Naji Baydoun
Analyst, iA Capital Markets

Of

course,

and

again,

just

to

be

clear,

I

think you

said

you

are

looking

to

add

about

1

gigawatt

of

new

projects

in

the

next

five

years.

So,

are

you

– do you

feel

that

you're

still

on

track

to

do,

at

least 200

megawatts

this

year

of

new

development?

A
Arun Banskota

Yes,

in

terms

of

new

development

that

would

fall

under

the

capital

plan

that

we

share

at

Investor

Day,

we

would

expect

that

at

least

200 megawatts.

N
Naji Baydoun
Analyst, iA Capital Markets

Yeah. Okay.

Got

it. Thank you.

A
Arun Banskota

Yeah.

Thank

you,

Naji.

Operator

Your

final

question

today

comes

from the

line

of

Rupert

Merer

with

National

Bank.

Your

line

is

now

open.

R
Rupert Mark Merer
Analyst, National Bank Financial, Inc.

Hi,

good

morning,

everyone.

And

another

question

on

asset

recycling,

I'm

afraid.

Can

you

talk

about

the

potential

to

sell

your

existing

assets?

Are

you

only

looking

to

do

sell-downs

on

development

assets

or

could

you

do

sell-downs

on

existing

assets

as well?

J
Jeffery Todd Norman

Hey,

Rupert,

it's

Jeff.

Yeah,

existing

assets

are

certainly

on

the

table,

and

we

believe

they've got

good

value,

given

the

transactions

we're

seeing

in

the

market.

And

to

the

extent

that

we're

looking

to

monetize

anything

in

the

shorter

term,

that's

where

the

more

material

amount

would

be.

R
Rupert Mark Merer
Analyst, National Bank Financial, Inc.

And

then

would

you

look

to

aim

or

look

to,

say,

control

51%

of

assets

in

the

future,

so

you

are

going

to maintain

control

and

then

you

have

a

joint

venture

accounting

somewhat

like

you

have

with

your

Texas

assets?

A
Arun Banskota

Not

necessarily, Rupert.

I

mean,

we

have

not

decided

exactly

what

level

of

ownership

we're

going

to

take.

I

believe

what

is

more

important

for

us

is

to

make

sure

we

are

operating

an

asset

management

entity,

because

again,

creating

and

furthering

skill

on

that

side

of

the

business

also

continue

to

be

important

for

us.

So, that's

what

we're

focused

on,

exactly

what

percent

is

we sell

down,

that's

still in

the

planning

stages.

R
Rupert Mark Merer
Analyst, National Bank Financial, Inc.

Great.

And

then

just

finally

on

Texas,

you

saw

some

headwinds

at

the

Coastal

Wind

assets.

I

know

you

gave

us

some

color

on

that

situation

back

in

December,

just

wondering

if

you

could

walk

us

through

what

you

saw

in

Q4

and

what

the

outlook

is

for

these

assets

going

forward.

I

understand

you're

looking

at

improved

transmission

there

over

time.

But

what

does the

outlook

look

like

for

the

remainder

of

this

year?

A
Arun Banskota

Sure.

So,

Rupert,

so

there

are

really

a

combination

of

factors,

right,

on

those

Coastal

Wind

Facilities.

First

of

all,

there

was

lower

wind

resource,

which

again,

I

believe

is

an

industry-wide

phenomenon

that

affected

quite

a

number

of

our

North

American

wind

assets

in

2021.

On

top

of

that

and

during

periods

of

oversupply,

the

prices

were

obviously

lower

than

anticipated

in

the

market.

And

third,

one

of

the

projects

actually

got

to

COD

later

than

anticipated.

And

finally,

as

you

saw

that

was

late

of

the

year,

there

was

general

in transfer

income

stream

that

was

announced

by ERCOT.

So,

it

really

was

a

combination

of

factors.

We

believe

that

the

first

–

three

of

those

should

be

transitory.

The

fourth

one,

we

believe,

is

going

to

go

away

with

time

because

of

the

announcement

of

a

general

transfer

income

stream,

that

means

that

both ERCOT and

the

commission

have

already

approved

transition

upgrades

at

–

around

that

region

and

that

facility.

So,

we

believe

that

over

time,

starting

2024,

that

basis

risk

is

going

to

be

– should

significantly

go

away.

So

of

those

– the

four

factors

I

talked

about, three

of

them

are

transitory.

One,

we

believe

will

continue

until

2024.

R
Rupert Mark Merer
Analyst, National Bank Financial, Inc.

Okay.

Very

good.

I'll leave

it

there.

Thank

you.

A
Arun Banskota

Okay.

Thank

you,

Rupert.

Operator

There

are no

further

questions

at

this

time. Arun,

I

turn

the

call

back

over

to

you.

A
Arun Banskota

Thank

you,

operator,

and

thank

you

everyone

for

taking

the

time

on

our

call

today.

With

that,

please

stay

on

the

line

for

our

disclaimer.

A
Amelia See Man Tsang

Our

discussion

during

this

call

contains

certain

forward-looking

information,

including,

but

not

limited

to

our

expectations

regarding

earnings,

capital

expenditures,

pending

acquisition,

capital

recycling

and

future

growth.

This

forward-looking

information

is

based

on

certain

assumptions,

including

those

described

in

our

most

recent

MD&A

filed

on

SEDAR

and

EDGAR

and

available

on

our

website,

and

is

subject

to

risks

and

uncertainties

that

could

cause

actual

results

to

differ

materially

from

historical

results

or

results

anticipated

by

the

forward-looking

information.

Forward-looking

information

provided

during

this

call

speaks

only

as

of

the

date

of

this

call

and

is

based

on

the

plans,

beliefs,

estimates,

projections,

expectations,

opinions

and

assumptions

of

management

as

of

today's

date.

There

can

be

no

assurance

that

forward-looking

information

will

prove

to

be

accurate,

and

you

should

not

place

undue

reliance

on

forward-looking

information.

We

disclaim

any

obligation

to

update

any

forward-looking

information

or

to

explain

why

material

difference

between

subsequent

actual

events

and

such

forward-looking

information,

except

as

required

by

applicable

law.

In

addition,

during

the

course

of

this

call,

we

may

have

referred

to

certain

non-GAAP

measures

and

ratios,

including,

but

not

limited

to,

Adjusted

Net

Earnings,

Adjusted

Net

Earnings

per

share

or

Adjusted

Net

EPS,

Adjusted

EBITDA,

adjusted

funds

from

operations

and

divisional

operating

profit.

There

is

no

standardized

measure

of

such

non-GAAP

measures

and

consequently

AQN's

method

of

calculating

these

measures

may

differ

from

methods

used

by

other

companies

and,

therefore,

they

may

not

be

comparable

to

similar

measures

presented

by

other

companies.

For

more

information

about

forward-looking

information

and

non-GAAP

measures,

including

reconciliation

of

non-GAAP

financial

measures

to

the

corresponding

GAAP

measures,

please

refer

to

our

most

recent

MD&A

filed

on

SEDAR

in

Canada

or

EDGAR

in

the

United

States

and

available

on

our

website.

And

that

concludes

our

call.