Toho Co Ltd (Tokyo)
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Toho Co Ltd (Tokyo) stock under the Base Case scenario is 4 999.29 JPY. Compared to the current market price of 6 076 JPY, Toho Co Ltd (Tokyo) is Overvalued by 18%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Fundamental Analysis
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Toho Co., Ltd., based in Tokyo, Japan, is a venerable giant in the entertainment industry, renowned primarily for its influential role in film production and distribution. Founded in 1932, Toho quickly established itself as a pioneer in Japanese cinema, best known for iconic creations such as the Godzilla franchise, which has transcended cultural barriers to become a global phenomenon. The company has diversified its portfolio over the years, encompassing various entertainment sectors, including television, theatre, and even theme parks. As an investor, one should note Toho’s strategic partnerships and collaborations, which not only enhance its distribution capabilities internationally but a...
Toho Co., Ltd., based in Tokyo, Japan, is a venerable giant in the entertainment industry, renowned primarily for its influential role in film production and distribution. Founded in 1932, Toho quickly established itself as a pioneer in Japanese cinema, best known for iconic creations such as the Godzilla franchise, which has transcended cultural barriers to become a global phenomenon. The company has diversified its portfolio over the years, encompassing various entertainment sectors, including television, theatre, and even theme parks. As an investor, one should note Toho’s strategic partnerships and collaborations, which not only enhance its distribution capabilities internationally but also foster innovation through new content generation, driving profitability and market relevance.
In recent years, Toho has adeptly navigated the shifting landscape of the entertainment industry, harnessing the burgeoning demand for digital content and the popularity of its franchises. Its increasing focus on expanding its intellectual property into merchandise, gaming, and content streaming reflects a forward-thinking approach that aligns with contemporary consumer trends. Additionally, Toho's rigorous management practices and commitment to quality ensure that it remains a robust player in a competitive market. For investors, Toho Co., Ltd. represents a unique opportunity to engage with a company deeply rooted in cultural significance while also standing at the forefront of an evolving entertainment economy, positioning itself well for sustained growth and innovation in the years to come.
Toho Co., Ltd. is a prominent Japanese entertainment company, well-known for its significant contributions to film, television, and theater. The company operates primarily in the following core business segments:
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Film Production and Distribution: Toho is famed for producing a wide range of films, including popular franchises like "Godzilla." The company manages the production, distribution, and marketing of films both domestically in Japan and internationally. Their film library includes a mix of blockbuster movies, animated features, and independent films, allowing them to appeal to various audience segments.
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Theatrical Exhibition: Toho operates a chain of cinemas across Japan, under the Toho Cinemas brand. This segment includes the direct operation of theaters, as well as partnerships with other exhibitors, enabling Toho to capture revenue from ticket sales, concessions, and promotional events.
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Home Entertainment: Toho is involved in the distribution of films and television programs through home media formats, including Blu-ray, DVD, and digital streaming services. This segment caters to consumers who prefer viewing content at home, providing additional revenue streams from both physical and digital sales.
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Television Production: The company produces television dramas and programs, catering to the Japanese TV market. This segment includes original content creation and licensing deals with networks, contributing to Toho’s overall revenue through viewership and advertising.
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Merchandising and Licensing: Toho engages in the licensing of its film and character franchises for merchandise, such as toys, apparel, and games. This segment enhances brand visibility and generates supplementary income from product sales, leveraging popular intellectual property.
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Stage and Musical Productions: In addition to its film and television ventures, Toho is involved in producing live theatrical productions, including musicals. This segment capitalizes on their storytelling expertise and popular franchises, offering a unique entertainment experience in theaters.
By diversifying across these segments, Toho Co., Ltd. minimizes risk and maximizes opportunities within the dynamic entertainment industry. Their focus on high-quality content and strong brand franchises enables them to maintain a competitive edge in the market.
Toho Co., Ltd., a prominent Japanese entertainment and film production company, possesses several unique competitive advantages that help it stand out in the industry. Here are a few key advantages:
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Strong Brand Equity: Toho has a rich history and is a well-established brand in Japan, known for producing iconic films, particularly in the tokusatsu (special effects) genre, such as Godzilla. This strong brand recognition contributes to consumer loyalty and a solid fan base.
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Extensive Intellectual Property Portfolio: The company owns a vast library of classic films and franchises, providing it with ongoing revenue through licensing, merchandise sales, and media adaptations. This portfolio serves as a significant asset and a barrier to entry for new competitors.
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Diverse Revenue Streams: Toho not only produces films but also engages in theatrical distribution, TV production, and video game development. This diversification helps the company mitigate risks associated with fluctuations in any single market segment.
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Collaborative Partnerships: Toho has established strategic partnerships within the industry, both domestically and internationally. Collaborations with global filmmakers and franchise owners enhance its production capabilities and market reach.
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Focus on Quality Content: Toho has a reputation for producing high-quality content. This commitment to excellence helps attract top talent in writing, directing, and acting, further elevating its productions and audience appeal.
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Cultural Resonance: As a significant player in the Japanese film industry, Toho has a deep understanding of local cultural nuances and consumer preferences, enabling it to create content that resonates with the domestic audience effectively.
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Experience in Franchise Management: Toho's experience in managing long-standing franchises, such as Godzilla and various anime properties, allows it to maximize the lifetime value of its intellectual properties through sequels, spin-offs, and theme parks.
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Advanced Technology and Production Techniques: The company invests in state-of-the-art technology and production techniques, ensuring that its films meet high production standards and appeal to modern audiences.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, Toho Co., Ltd. positions itself strongly in the entertainment industry, allowing it to fend off rivals and capitalize on growth opportunities in both domestic and international markets.
Toho Co., Ltd., a prominent player in the Japanese entertainment industry, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Market Competition: The entertainment industry in Japan and globally is highly competitive, with numerous players in film, television, and gaming. Toho competes with both established studios and new entrants, which could affect market share and profitability.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: Shifts in consumer tastes, especially towards streaming services and digital content, can impact traditional revenue streams such as box office earnings and DVD sales. The rise of platforms like Netflix and Amazon Prime Video may attract audiences away from theatres.
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Pandemic Effects: Although the pandemic's immediate effects have lessened, ongoing concerns about public health can influence cinematic releases and audience turnout, creating fluctuating revenues.
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Content Production Costs: Rising costs in film production, marketing, and distribution pose a financial challenge. The increasing demand for high-quality content often necessitates significant investments, which may not always guarantee a proportional return.
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Intellectual Property Issues: As a major film studio, Toho must protect its intellectual properties from piracy and infringement. Legal battles associated with IP rights can be costly and time-consuming.
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Global Economic Conditions: Economic instability can influence consumer spending on entertainment. A downturn can lead to reduced box office sales and limit revenue from related merchandise.
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Technological Changes: Rapid advancements in technology may require continuous investment in new systems and processes to remain competitive. Adapting to emerging technologies (like virtual reality or improved CGI) can be resource-intensive.
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Geopolitical Factors: Given the global nature of the entertainment industry, geopolitical tensions can affect international collaborations, distribution channels, and market access.
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Domestic Market Saturation: The Japanese film market may face saturation, posing a challenge for growth. Toho will need to innovate and explore opportunities in international markets or alternative revenue sources.
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Talent Retention: The ability to attract and retain top talent—both in front of and behind the camera—is crucial. Competition for skilled professionals may lead to increased costs and potential talent drain.
To navigate these challenges, Toho Co., Ltd. will need to adapt its strategies to remain competitive and leverage strengths while managing risks effectively.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Toho Co Ltd (Tokyo)
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Toho Co Ltd (Tokyo)
Current Assets | 194.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 90.6B |
Receivables | 60.1B |
Other Current Assets | 43.8B |
Non-Current Assets | 430.6B |
Long-Term Investments | 157B |
PP&E | 240.3B |
Intangibles | 12.1B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 21.3B |
Current Liabilities | 92B |
Accounts Payable | 26.7B |
Accrued Liabilities | 1.2B |
Short-Term Debt | 20B |
Other Current Liabilities | 44B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 76.6B |
Long-Term Debt | 1.9B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 74.7B |
Earnings Waterfall
Toho Co Ltd (Tokyo)
Revenue
|
307.4B
JPY
|
Cost of Revenue
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-161.3B
JPY
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Gross Profit
|
146.1B
JPY
|
Operating Expenses
|
-76.7B
JPY
|
Operating Income
|
69.4B
JPY
|
Other Expenses
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-19.4B
JPY
|
Net Income
|
50B
JPY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Toho Co Ltd (Tokyo)
JPY | |
Free Cash Flow | JPY |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Toho Co Ltd (Tokyo)'s profitability score is 57/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Toho Co Ltd (Tokyo)'s profitability score is 57/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Toho Co Ltd (Tokyo)'s solvency score is 94/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Toho Co Ltd (Tokyo)'s solvency score is 94/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Toho Co Ltd (Tokyo)
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Toho Co Ltd (Tokyo) is 6 661.73 JPY with a low forecast of 5 959 JPY and a high forecast of 7 980 JPY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Toho Co Ltd (Tokyo) is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Toho Co., Ltd. engages in the business of film and theater production services. The company is headquartered in Chiyoda-Ku, Tokyo-To and currently employs 3,239 full-time employees. The firm operates in three business segments. The Movie segment is engaged in the production, distribution and showing of movies, as well as the production and sale of visuals for videos, television programs and commercial films (CF). The Theater segment is engaged in the production, showing and sale of theaters, as well as the management of entertainment productions. The Real Estate segment is engaged in the leasing, maintenance and management of real estate, the management, cleaning and repair of roads, as well as the operation of expressway facilities. The firm is also engaged in the products sale business, the restaurant business, the entertainment facilities operation business, as well as the accounting consulting and guidance business.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one Toho Co Ltd (Tokyo) stock under the Base Case scenario is 4 999.29 JPY.
Compared to the current market price of 6 076 JPY, Toho Co Ltd (Tokyo) is Overvalued by 18%.