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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2023-Q3

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Operator

We would like to begin the investor briefing of SoftBank Corporation. The consolidated results for the third quarter fiscal year 2022. We would like to present today's attendees. SoftBank Corporation, Board Director, Executive Vice President and CFO, Fujihara; Finance unit, Finance and Accounting Division, Vice President and Head, Naito; Finance Unit, Strategy Finance division, Vice President and Head, Akiyama.

Today's briefing will be broadcast live by the Internet. CFO, Fujihara will explain SoftBank's consolidated financial results.

K
Kazuhiko Fujihara
executive

This is Fujihara. Thank you so much for your participation in your busy schedule. Let me begin. Just before the earnings results presentation was made, so here is the executive summary. In fiscal year '22, quarter 1 to quarter 3 revenue and profit increased, making steady progress towards full year forecasts. As announced earlier, the PayPay remeasurement gain was recognized as planned. As for the mobile subscriber net additions, it's growing steadily. As for the PayPay, it GMV continues to grow and its operating loss decreased.

Let me move on to each section. First, based on the summary of the earnings results, very right shows progress rate, which you can see as it's going well. And PayPay consolidation completed on October 1, and -- so the figure which was from the last fiscal year, and it's been adjusted, and it was adjusted to the retrospective adjustment. And here is the breakdown of each segment.

As for the revenue, up JPY 171.6 billion year-on-year and up 4.1%. So the revenue increased in all segments. As for full year forecast, JPY 5.9 trillion, which remains the same. And year-on-year, 4% increase, as for progress toward full year forecast is 73.7%, which includes PayPay in the second half of the year. So it's growing well. And now adjusted EBITDA the comments here are the same as sales profit. So please look at Enterprise. As for EBITDA, there is the onetime factor, so therefore, in terms of EBITDA, it looks -- it shows negative, but this is due to onetime factors.

Now operating income by segment. The progress rate is going well and toward full year forecast at 93.5%. Consumer decreased due mainly to mobile service price reduction, which I will touch upon in details later. But this is as we planned. As for Yahoo! JAPAN/LINE decreased due to absence of gain on sale of YJFX of JPY 16.8 billion in the same period last year and increase in personnel expenses. As for the Financial segment, it looks negative. However, this decreased due to PayPay consolidation and strategic investments. However, as the business, it's going well. And remeasurement gain of PayPay due to the consolidation was recognized, and this is the overview of the operating income.

Now by segment, first, Consumer segment. The revenue of Consumer segment, JPY 19.3 billion up and 0.9% up. Looking at sales of goods and others shows minus JPY 39.9 billion due to the migration of mobiles, so also, there is the impact of the price increase in the previous quarter. So it shows -- so we had some measurement of the each mobile. So there is some manufacturer is mobile, mobile service price reduction and the customer reverse programs was some factors, which shows minus.

As for electricity, as you can see, it's JPY 122.1 billion plus and 98.7% up. So this revenue increased due to increase in subscribers and transaction volume and price in the electricity market. As for broadband, there is no major change from the previous quarter. While subscribers increased, revenue decreased due to campaigns, and compared to the previous year, we are recovering. And in the fourth quarter, we should be able to minimize.

As for the increase in the contract, and -- the major revenue comes from the mobiles and this is the comparison, apple-to-apple comparison. And so we had the measurement to actually return to the customers. And that is the onetime reduction factor we needed to make a treatment and that has some impact on the negative figure. So this shows a different flow from the previous results.

As for the profit of consumer segment it's minus JPY 87.5 billion and minus 16.9%. As for the progress rate toward the full year forecast is 89.8%, which looks good. And sales of goods and others and cost of goods sold shows minus JPY 12.9 billion, which is impacted by the acquisition cost. As for the electricity, you can see here, and -- so this is the result of the past 9 months.

We have taken several measures compared to the previous fiscal year. We can see a slight positive result. So this electricity business have absorbed different waves of the market change and then come to this stage. And sales commissions and sales promotion expenses shows plus JPY 2.1 billion, and so customer acquisition-related costs increased due mainly to deferred expenses in the past years. As for the advertising and promotion costs showed some decrease and we were accelerating sunset. So therefore, the cost due to the sunset shows a little more, however, at the end, it tends to increase in profit.

Enterprise segment profit increased shows 4.2% up compared to the first and second quarter. It is due to the mobile growth. There are some things that we had to take care, but the cycle has been stable right now, and we are able to now show the positive turnaround. And so excluding this 1 factor, overall, we can see 9% of growth. So as for the Enterprise business, up to the second quarter, we announced that the negative profit, but now we can see that it is growing well.

As for Solution, recurring revenue showed a continuous growth, especially cloud and securities are contributing to the double-digit growth. Yahoo! Line segment, although revenue grew steadily, profit decreased due to slowdown in media group. That's a challenge like Z Holdings mentioned in yesterday's announcement.

On the right-hand side, segment income includes 2 big onetime factors, YJFX and LINE Music totaled JPY 7.6 billion, and others included big increase in personnel expenses. That's another challenge. So they had to address this challenge by consolidating their businesses going forward.

Financial segment, revenue increased steadily. Each segment showed growth and PayPay was consolidated in third quarter, contributing to JPY 33.8 billion. On the right-hand side, you can see segment income, which was already are explained by CEO Miyakawa earlier, and that reflects a PayPay's consolidation and growth of user is provided by PayPay consolidation. And all in all, JPY 2.4 billion, it shows sign of growth, even though, on a year-on-year basis, it decreased. Revenue and profit increased in distribution due to steady growth of ICT. It's 12 consecutive year of growth, and we have expectation in the next year onwards. And please refer to the chart later.

In FY '22 forecast of operating income by segment, about JPY 40 billion is appropriate for other, which we mentioned before. Depending on how it goes, the fund from this JPY 40 billion will be allocated as a strategic investment to Consumers and Enterprise segments, and that also put our position better for the next year. Next year, we are expecting a V-shaped growth. For Consumer and Enterprise, we want to see continuous growth like [ V-shaped ] distribution. Yahoo, in terms of operating income, we expect significant growth of Yahoo. Financial business, that includes half year results of PayPay.

In terms of contribution to consolidation, we will see how it goes. So at this moment, we are looking at positive numbers anyway. But like CEO Miyakawa mentioned, our details will be communicated to you in May. Net income, which showed good progress towards the goal of 5 consecutive year-on-year increase, especially financial income, even though it's noncash, we recorded expenses, even though it's noncash. Because of valuation loss, we had valuation gain last year and also some delay damage we have to pay with regards to litigation and also Z Holdings impairment loss of Demae-can was included. But again, PayPay is included as consolidated business. And that is reflected in net income.

CapEx, current progress rate against JPY 430 billion of full year, goal is 64.5%. Next year, the CapEx plan is JPY 330 billion, which remains the same. Cash flow, up until second quarter, about JPY 7 billion decrease year-on-year. But in the third quarter, we see increase year-on-year. EBITDA goes down and CapEx goes up for the full year, but we remain same in terms of our goal of increasing free cash flow. We are making steady growth. Going forward, we also want to make sure that we can deliver to the goal of JPY 600 billion, and we will do our best to make it happen.

Now next is net interest-bearing debt and net leverage ratio. The net interest-bearing debt it shows 3.19%, excluding Z Holdings and PayPay. So that's been achieved in a year. And net leverage ratio shows 2.5x, which is flattish from the previous fiscal year. And due to PayPay consolidation, we have larger receivables. And this shows the approach to adjusted free cash flow.

Since Z Holdings is listed, we consider separately, and centering on the 100% owned subsidiaries, we utilize this as our scope, defining the base of company's cash flow and financial leverage measurement. So based on this, we are managing our free cash flow.

And here shows the balance sheet. Now we have PayPay with the assets of JPY 1 trillion. So as for the total assets, it shows JPY 14,703 billion as of December 31. And so, as you can see, we have 24.5% as the ratio of total equity to total assets and so -- which has recovered compared to the previous year. So this shows the PPA related to PayPay and Z Holdings.

So this shows, looking at customer relationship, which is affected by the PL, and we are going to amortize, compared to the year before, accounting treatment, and annually, we have JPY 23.3 billion is shown as annual amortization. So annually, PayPay's amortization will start at JPY 5.1 billion level annually moving forward.

And this page shows a telecom operating data, and we have 1.76 million of smartphone cumulative subscribers year-on-year and which showed 6.6% plus. So we have more acquisition, and we also have the high churn rate that was the trend. So as you can see -- so the cumulative subscriber is flattish. And this page shows telecom operating data, especially the mobile net additions and it shows minus 50,000 compared to the previous year.

And let me talk about ARPU, which I'm sure you're interested in. Compared to last year same time, JPY 260 decline, of that JPY 190 is due to service price reduction impact. If you take the bottom right, total ARPU year-on-year, in the last quarter of FY '21, JPY 128. Last year, there were some onetime impacts, which have about JPY 30. Then you can see we are improving compared to last quarter. We are expecting JPY 220 negative for full year compared to JPY 230 negative that we communicated earlier, but we will continue our efforts to improve ARPU. But in terms of Y-o-Y, due to some campaign and others, we may see some ups and downs, but the trend wise, we believe that this momentum will continue.

Broadband and electricity, broadband increased by JPY 160 million, and electricity, we are managing a new acquisition, therefore, the number of users decreased slightly, but we have taken some measures since November. We will keep watching how the market goes, but we have in a position of delivering positive results in terms of electricity business. Yahoo and LINE, e-commerce, up by 4.4% year-on-year, but the business performance slows down. Especially challenging area is advertising, which is looking at a negative trend. So I believe that Yahoo's management takes it a big challenge, and as a parent company, we will help them to address the challenge as much as possible.

In PayPay, year-on-year, 21.2% increase in terms of monthly transaction users. There are still opportunities for growth. MTU's growth rate is actually better than the rate of growth of registered users. And the number of payment transaction, which is one of the most important PayPay's KPIs is up by 42.7%, GMV up by 46.4% year-on-year. So as you can see PayPay is going well. In terms of revenue, of PayPay JPY 51.5 billion increase compared to the same term last year. And also, you can see EBITDA is improving. And with this momentum, we are confident that PayPay can make profit sooner or later.

Payment Service, which is going well. GMV increase by JPY 1 trillion year-on-year or 26.3% increase. And as CEO, Miyakawa mentioned in the earnings call, non-telecom GMV is driving our growth, and we have high expectations in those areas. Last, but not least, ESG. Please refer to this chart when you have time later.

Thank you very much. That's all for my presentation and going into Q&A session. Thank you.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Masuno from Nomura Securities.

D
Daisaku Masuno
analyst

Can you hear me?

U
Unknown Executive

Yes, we can hear you now.

D
Daisaku Masuno
analyst

I have a question about the segment. Consumer and Enterprise were back JPY 14 billion, and then the rest is JPY 10 billion from other and so as much as possible, what kind of measurement you have to achieve this number. So here, you mentioned and others. So if you could share the breakdown of this would be great.

K
Kazuhiko Fujihara
executive

Thank you for your question. As for the consumer...

D
Daisaku Masuno
analyst

I'm sorry, I cannot hear you? Can you hear me?

K
Kazuhiko Fujihara
executive

Yes, I can hear you now. Yes, about consumer. Acquisition related would be the majority. As for enterprise. There may be some areas that we need to concern. We would like to take actions. And the sunset is accelerating. So part of -- partly, it will be related to sunset. Once this breakdown is fixed, we will announce. And for the fourth quarter, we will have more opportunities to increase the acquisitions for both for mobiles. And as for PayPay, we would like to also acquire more in the fourth quarter, so coming quarter will be the important stage for us as well.

And you mentioned, for others, there will be nearly minus JPY 10 billion or so. So is it because of the card, but the PayPay, in the fourth quarter. Compared to the previous fiscal year, it will be negative compared to the previous year, overall, it still shows negative. However, PayPay spend most -- spent most in the first quarter so this number hasn't changed. So JPY 10 billion, below JPY 10 billion, I just said that if you could understand as 2-digit range will be appreciated.

Operator

Next question is Tsuruo from Citigroup Securities.

M
Mitsunobu Tsuruo
analyst

I have 2. First, about PayPay's performance. Looks like better performance than I thought. What's happening? And next year, if possible, could you share with us any target in terms of revenue because that's something to do with your strategic decision-making. So I think your view on that would be very appreciated.

K
Kazuhiko Fujihara
executive

PayPay is currently focusing on the card business. Our mobile business and holdings commerce business and PayPay's card business have potential, high potential for growth. And going forward, of course, we want to see growth of card business. And the PayPay, we need to make sure that PayPay keeps on the growth trend. And also, we need to implement some strategic plans. So we need to do the work for future growth. So we are not in a hurry for making it profitable. But again, it's early to tell you detailed plan. And I believe that at the next timing of such announcement, we can share with you more in detail.

M
Mitsunobu Tsuruo
analyst

The second question, looking at the Nikkei article this morning, there was a comment from Kawabe-son, he thought about 100% subsidiary of ZOZO and ASCO. If that was true, could you have any comment from SoftBank's perspective?

K
Kazuhiko Fujihara
executive

So in fact, I was surprised to see the article of Nikkei. I have not heard anything about that as a truth or a fact. And I think [indiscernible] as well [ IQ ], ZOZO and ASCO, Z Holdings thought about having them consolidated, but they realized, and we realized that more core businesses have more challenges than other business. And I think the approach that they have decided to take is a good approach.

Operator

Next, BofA Securities, Kinoshita.

Y
Yoshiyuki Kinoshita
analyst

My question is, first, about financial segment. As for the next fiscal year, PayPay, at the June, in the consolidation. So I -- 1 -- I just had a feeling that promotion will be strengthened even further. So -- but focus is on card business. So this promotion will be more towards [indiscernible] card.

K
Kazuhiko Fujihara
executive

Yes, PayPay will be consolidated with -- PayPay card will be consolidated with PayPay and so the next year, PayPay and PayPay Card as one. And we see that PayPay should be leading the business of both. So it depends how far, how deep we are going to take a number of measurements if we are to focus on only make the business profitable, then we may -- rather than that, we would like to make sure that the PayPay Card will be accepted by more users.

Y
Yoshiyuki Kinoshita
analyst

So another question is about enterprise business. So it depends on how you're going to take measures in the fourth quarter. But still, I see the progress rate is slow. So before allocating for the advanced investments, so this number -- based on this number, do you also include some profit from the sales from the previous quarter? And so depending on how you allocate the cost, so I just get a feeling that the progress rate had slowed down in the first half of the fiscal year. So how we are going to take measures against this situation?

K
Kazuhiko Fujihara
executive

Yes, as for the progress, yes, it's a bit weaker than we had also expected. So especially in the fourth quarter would be the selling season. So as for the consolidated result, this segment has also contributed to achieve the full year forecast. So we like to make sure to -- make sure that enterprise business can contribute to the entire business growth and the results.

Operator

Next, Ando-san from Daiwa Securities.

Y
Yoshio Ando
analyst

I have 2 questions. First, Page 24, ARPU top bottom shows total ARPU year-on-year by the quarter. Looking at the next year, JPY 270 minus, JPY 200 minus, JPY 210 minus, so that kind of trend is expected next year or not? That's the first question. And also JPY 50 billion for next year, even though ARPU is going well recently, so I wonder if the momentum continues or not?

K
Kazuhiko Fujihara
executive

Yes, we expect the momentum stays the same. About JPY 50 billion, I don't think it's far away from where we are. But JPY 50 billion, I think can stay the same.

Y
Yoshio Ando
analyst

The second question about PayPay's balance sheet, Page 40, that's something that I have seen for the first time such in detail. So if you could elaborate on PayPay's business from this balance sheet perspective.

PayPay had cash positive. In fact, as a parent company, we have not funded or financed PayPay for about 2.5 years. While PayPay has a good cash position and also deposit, if you will, from customers on PayPay side as well. So cash that PayPay has is not necessarily highly liquidated because lots of cash consist of deposit from the customers. So it's not a capital-heavy business model. Is my understanding correct?

K
Kazuhiko Fujihara
executive

Yes. Currently, PayPay's business model is not capital heavy. But with PayPay card, we may have to consider liquidation even further. Thank you so much.

Operator

SBI Securities, Moriyuki-son.

S
Shinji Moriyuki
analyst

This is Moriyuki. My question is about consumer segments promotion cost. So at the beginning of the fiscal year, now the third quarter, you said that JPY 28.9 billion means downside trend, you can say, from the beginning of the fiscal year. And you mentioned about the strategic investment will be allocated more on the marketing promotion. So would you clarify more on that, the allocation of debt?

K
Kazuhiko Fujihara
executive

Among JPY 60 billion and JPY 40 billion, JPY 28.9 billion is aligned with the plan. So the situation at the beginning of the fiscal year, we focused on the different measurements. And one of those, JPY 15.9 billion, was shown as the one negative impact as 1 factor. So -- which is reflected to the third quarter's result. So once we sum up of this, it's going to be quite big. And where we get the fund of this is the one we just mentioned and other. So we would like to avoid any further PL burden. We need to look at the balance. So in terms of the acquisition cost, it will look bigger on the PL, but as for the cash flow, has no impact.

S
Shinji Moriyuki
analyst

Just to confirm, so you mentioned about the customer return measurement. So is that to reduce the mobile unit price, or that is also included and to return to customers, that's the main purpose, and we are paying.

K
Kazuhiko Fujihara
executive

It is a different type of incentives so that's why -- which shows negative in the revenue.

Operator

Next question is from [ Shiba-san ] JPMorgan Securities.

U
Unknown Analyst

Two questions. First, about ARPU, Better than previously thought, you mentioned, if you could elaborate on that?

K
Kazuhiko Fujihara
executive

I think that in the second quarter, voice ARPU decline is slowed down and also data because of -- with the migration or transfer between our big plan and a small plan has an impact or not. In the second quarter, we mentioned 123 -- excuse me, JPY 230 decline conservatively brand change, option change and those factors were reflected. We saw some customers changing brand from lower brand to up-brand. But in the second quarter, voice and options were main factors of ARPU decline. That kind of trend continues.

U
Unknown Analyst

The second question about enterprise business. What's your forecast of enterprise business going forward? Maybe due to lack of resource, you may missed some business opportunities. But next year and onwards, can we expect accelerated business growth of Enterprise?

K
Kazuhiko Fujihara
executive

Yes, this year, maybe we are behind. But next year, we would like to show better-than-expected result or performance next year in the Enterprise business. Thank you.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Masuno-san from Nomura Securities.

D
Daisaku Masuno
analyst

I just want to double check about ARPU trend. [indiscernible] year customer return campaign like 1% point or so has been improved I see. Is this what's your actual performance or you could be better than that?

K
Kazuhiko Fujihara
executive

The figure you see is our actual performance level. And there may be some changes due to the change of brand and other measurements. We are -- but we are trying to improve the ARPU. And with the consumer business, we would like to also improve it moving forward.

D
Daisaku Masuno
analyst

And let me rephrase my question. So the decline in revenue that's because of return to customers that can pay?

K
Kazuhiko Fujihara
executive

So once the figure has returned, excluding that measurement, yes, that will be around JPY 10 billion, that will be what we can actually achieve. So which means that it should recover more than what I have just told.

Operator

Next, Kikuchi-san from SMBC Nikko Securities.

S
Satoru Kikuchi
analyst

Two questions. First, about CapEx. Was background behind that CapEx progress is not as planned? And next year, JPY 330 billion remains the same. You mentioned what's the background behind that thought? So return to customers is only 1 time. Or are you going to do the same next year? Or have you done that before? That was the second question.

K
Kazuhiko Fujihara
executive

About CapEx, maybe my explanation was not clear. Maybe JPY 10 billion or so might be behind, it's not far away from JPY 430 billion CapEx that we planned. So we are a little bit behind, but it's not going to be surprisingly different from other CapEx plan. For our customer acquisition, in fact, in the past, not this big, but we did before. But to reduce customer incentive from the sales at 1 time is not easy thing to do. So we will see how it's effective or not.

Going forward, we may do that same, but when demand is high, this kind of initiative is something that we discuss. For example, in the fourth quarter or when iPhone is released, when demand is high, that kind of discussion tends to happen to change how we account our customer incentive.

S
Satoru Kikuchi
analyst

In terms of IFRS, acquisition cost is capitalized, I think. But the return to customers is not acquisition costs or not.

K
Kazuhiko Fujihara
executive

So payments to agents will be capitalized, but return to customers, whatever we pay. With the purpose of return to customers, it's not necessarily capitalized, but we follow IFRS rules. So acquisition is acquisition. From a sales perspective, yes, it's acquisition.

Operator

Thank you so much for a number of questions. This concludes the investor briefing. So we would like to close SoftBank Corporation Investor Briefing for the 9 months ended December 31, 2022.