Aeon Co Ltd
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Aeon Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 3 406.58 JPY. Compared to the current market price of 3 734 JPY, Aeon Co Ltd is Overvalued by 9%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Aeon Co Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Aeon Co., Ltd. is a leading retail and commercial conglomerate in Japan, with a history that spans over 30 years. Founded in 1989, the company has grown into a household name, operating an extensive network of stores that includes hypermarkets, supermarkets, and specialty shops. Aeon's business model is built on a commitment to customer satisfaction, offering a diverse range of products from groceries to clothing and home essentials. With a clear focus on convenience and quality, Aeon caters to a wide demographic, leveraging its strong brand presence and omnichannel retail strategies to adapt to evolving consumer preferences. This adaptability is fortuitous in a marketplace increasingly driv...
Aeon Co., Ltd. is a leading retail and commercial conglomerate in Japan, with a history that spans over 30 years. Founded in 1989, the company has grown into a household name, operating an extensive network of stores that includes hypermarkets, supermarkets, and specialty shops. Aeon's business model is built on a commitment to customer satisfaction, offering a diverse range of products from groceries to clothing and home essentials. With a clear focus on convenience and quality, Aeon caters to a wide demographic, leveraging its strong brand presence and omnichannel retail strategies to adapt to evolving consumer preferences. This adaptability is fortuitous in a marketplace increasingly driven by online shopping and sustainability concerns, positioning Aeon as a forward-thinking leader in retail innovation.
For investors, Aeon presents a compelling opportunity rooted in its robust financial performance and strategic initiatives. Beyond its extensive brick-and-mortar presence, the company has made significant strides in digital transformation, enhancing its e-commerce platform and implementing advanced supply chain technologies. Moreover, Aeon has prioritized sustainability in its operations, reflecting a growing market trend toward eco-consciousness, which resonates with investors looking for responsible investments. As the retail landscape continues to shift, Aeon's proactive approach, coupled with its solid market position in Japan and expanding footprint across Asia, underscores its potential for long-term growth and profitability. In this dynamic environment, Aeon stands out as a company not just weathering the storm, but navigating it with intelligence and foresight, making it an attractive option for discerning investors.
Aeon Co., Ltd. is one of Japan's largest retail and trading companies. Its business model encompasses various segments that cater to different consumer needs. The core business segments of Aeon Co., Ltd. include:
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Retail and Grocery Stores: This is the primary segment of Aeon, encompassing a wide range of formats including hypermarkets, supermarkets, and convenience stores. Aeon operates several brands, including Aeon, MaxValu, and Aeon Pet, offering groceries, household goods, and personal care items.
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Shopping Malls: Aeon manages and operates shopping malls that combine various retail outlets, restaurants, and entertainment facilities. These malls attract a broad customer base and serve as community centers.
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Financial Services: Aeon offers various financial products, including credit cards, banking, insurance, and shopping loans through its subsidiary, Aeon Credit Service. This segment aims to provide financial solutions to enhance customer shopping experiences.
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Property and Development: Aeon is involved in the development and leasing of commercial properties. This includes creating retail spaces and shopping complexes, contributing to its revenue stream.
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International Business: Aeon has expanded its reach beyond Japan, engaging in international retail operations in Southeast Asia, particularly in countries like China and Malaysia. This segment focuses on adapting local offerings to meet consumer preferences.
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Food and Beverage: Through its various formats, Aeon also operates in the food and beverage sector, including the production and retail of private-label food products, catering to evolving dietary preferences.
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E-commerce: As part of its growth strategy, Aeon has invested in online retailing, developing an e-commerce platform that allows customers to shop online for groceries and other products, reflecting the changing shopping behaviors of consumers.
These segments are interconnected, with a focus on customer convenience and an emphasis on sustainability and community engagement, thereby strengthening Aeon's market position in the retail industry.
Aeon Co Ltd, one of Japan's largest retailing groups, possesses several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the retail sector:
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Diverse Business Model: Aeon operates across various retail formats, including supermarkets, convenience stores, shopping malls, and specialty stores. This diversity allows it to tap into different market segments and weather economic fluctuations better than competitors with narrower focuses.
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Strong Brand Loyalty: Aeon has established a trustworthy brand over decades. Its commitment to quality and customer service fosters brand loyalty, encouraging repeat customers.
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Extensive Supply Chain and Logistics: Aeon has developed a robust supply chain and logistics network, enhancing efficiency and reducing costs. This efficiency helps the company keep prices competitive and ensures product availability.
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Private Label Products: Aeon has successfully developed a range of private label products that appeal to cost-sensitive consumers. These products often offer better margins than branded items, contributing to overall profitability.
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Technology Integration: Aeon invests in technology to improve the shopping experience, optimize inventory management, and enhance customer engagement through digital platforms, which can create a seamless omnichannel experience.
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Geographical Reach: With a significant number of stores across Japan and investment in international markets, Aeon effectively serves both urban and rural areas, ensuring a broad customer base and market presence.
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Sustainability Initiatives: Aeon actively promotes sustainability through various programs, including energy-efficient operations and eco-friendly products. This commitment can attract environmentally conscious consumers.
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Real Estate Assets: The company’s ownership of prime retail locations and shopping centers provides not only a competitive advantage in terms of location but also additional revenue streams through leasing and property management.
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Strategic Partnerships: Aeon has established various joint ventures and partnerships, both domestically and internationally, which allow for collaborative growth and shared resources, enhancing its market position.
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Adaptability and Local Market Knowledge: Aeon has demonstrated an ability to adapt its offerings to local preferences and trends, leveraging local market knowledge to remain relevant against competitors.
By leveraging these advantages, Aeon Co Ltd is well-positioned to navigate the competitive landscape of retailing, both in Japan and abroad.
Aeon Co Ltd, a major retail and distribution conglomerate in Japan, faces several risks and challenges that may impact its operations and growth in the near future:
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Economic Conditions: Fluctuations in the Japanese economy, including inflation, consumer spending, and employment rates, can significantly affect retail sales. Economic slowdowns may lead to reduced consumer confidence and spending.
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Competition: The retail sector is highly competitive, with both traditional competitors and e-commerce giants. Increasing pressure from online retailers like Amazon and local competitors can erode market share and profitability.
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Changing Consumer Behavior: The pandemic has accelerated changes in consumer preferences, shifting towards online shopping and convenience. Aeon needs to adapt rapidly to these changes to stay relevant.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain challenges, exacerbated by events such as the COVID-19 pandemic, can affect inventory levels and product availability. This could lead to increased costs and loss of sales opportunities.
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Technological Advancements: The retail industry is undergoing digital transformation. Aeon must continuously invest in technology to enhance customer experience, improve operations, and maintain competitiveness.
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Regulatory Environment: Changes in regulations concerning labor, environmental standards, and food safety can impose additional costs and operational challenges for Aeon.
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Demographic Shifts: Japan’s aging population and declining birth rates can lead to a shrinking consumer base. Aeon needs to find ways to appeal to older consumers while also attracting younger generations.
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Sustainability Concerns: Increasing consumer awareness regarding sustainability and corporate responsibility may require Aeon to invest in sustainable practices, which can be costly but essential for brand reputation.
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Real Estate Market Fluctuations: Aeon operates many physical stores, and fluctuations in real estate markets can impact the costs associated with leasing or purchasing retail space.
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Dependence on Domestic Market: While Aeon has made efforts to expand internationally, its core business remains in Japan. This dependence makes it vulnerable to domestic economic shifts and changes in consumer behavior in its home market.
To navigate these challenges effectively, Aeon Co Ltd must implement strategic measures, including enhancing its online presence, improving supply chain resilience, adapting to consumer preferences, and focusing on sustainable practices.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Aeon Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Aeon Co Ltd
Current Assets | 8.7T |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 2.1T |
Receivables | 5.4T |
Other Current Assets | 1.2T |
Non-Current Assets | 5.1T |
Long-Term Investments | 351.6B |
PP&E | 3.6T |
Intangibles | 386.3B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 783.6B |
Current Liabilities | 8.4T |
Accounts Payable | 1.4T |
Accrued Liabilities | 38.5B |
Short-Term Debt | 415.4B |
Other Current Liabilities | 6.6T |
Non-Current Liabilities | 4.4T |
Long-Term Debt | 2.4T |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1.9T |
Earnings Waterfall
Aeon Co Ltd
Revenue
|
9.8T
JPY
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-6.2T
JPY
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Gross Profit
|
3.6T
JPY
|
Operating Expenses
|
-3.4T
JPY
|
Operating Income
|
231.8B
JPY
|
Other Expenses
|
-204.9B
JPY
|
Net Income
|
26.9B
JPY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Aeon Co Ltd
JPY | |
Free Cash Flow | JPY |
In the first quarter of fiscal 2025, Aeon achieved record high consolidated operating revenue of JPY 2,449.2 billion, despite operating profit decreasing by JPY 3.6 billion to JPY 47.7 billion. Net income fell by JPY 12.6 billion to JPY 5.1 billion compared to the same period last year due to the absence of one-time profit items. The GMS and Supermarket segments faced challenges, but the Financial Services and Shopping Center Development businesses performed well. Aeon plans to counter current profit challenges with enhanced product and pricing strategies and expects natural consumer spending boosts in the second quarter. The company aims for a fiscal year revenue target of JPY 10 trillion.
What is Earnings Call?
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Aeon Co Ltd's profitability score is 46/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Aeon Co Ltd's profitability score is 46/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Aeon Co Ltd's solvency score is 35/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Aeon Co Ltd's solvency score is 35/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Aeon Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Aeon Co Ltd is 2 979.86 JPY with a low forecast of 1 666.5 JPY and a high forecast of 4 095 JPY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Aeon Co Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
AEON Co., Ltd. is a holding company which engages in the management of its group companies in the operation of supermarkets and shopping centers. The company is headquartered in Chiba, Chiba-Ken. The firm operates in seven business segments. The GMS segment mainly operates general supermarkets, boxed lunch specialty shops. The Supermarket (SM) segment operates supermarkets, discount stores, convenience stores and small supermarkets. The Health & Wellness segment operates drug stores, dispensing pharmacies. The Integrated Financial segment operates the credit card business, fee business, banking business, among others. The Developer segment develops and leases shopping centers. The Service and Specialty Store segment operates specialty stores that sell general facility management services, amusement, food service, family casual fashion, women's wear, shoes. The International segment operates retail businesses in the ASEAN region and China.
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The intrinsic value of one Aeon Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 3 406.58 JPY.
Compared to the current market price of 3 734 JPY, Aeon Co Ltd is Overvalued by 9%.