Tokyo Electron Ltd
TSE:8035
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Tokyo Electron Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 25 016.41 JPY. Compared to the current market price of 21 780 JPY, Tokyo Electron Ltd is Undervalued by 13%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Tokyo Electron Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Tokyo Electron Ltd. (TEL) is a leading player in the semiconductor and flat panel display manufacturing sectors, deeply ingrained in the technology landscape that shapes our modern world. Founded in 1963, the company has evolved from a provider of electronic equipment into a global powerhouse, playing a pivotal role in the production of chips that power everything from smartphones to cutting-edge artificial intelligence systems. With its headquarters in Tokyo, TEL operates across the globe, tapping into the booming demand for semiconductors driven by the rapid advancement of technology and increasing digitization in various industries. By continually investing in research and development, TE...
Tokyo Electron Ltd. (TEL) is a leading player in the semiconductor and flat panel display manufacturing sectors, deeply ingrained in the technology landscape that shapes our modern world. Founded in 1963, the company has evolved from a provider of electronic equipment into a global powerhouse, playing a pivotal role in the production of chips that power everything from smartphones to cutting-edge artificial intelligence systems. With its headquarters in Tokyo, TEL operates across the globe, tapping into the booming demand for semiconductors driven by the rapid advancement of technology and increasing digitization in various industries. By continually investing in research and development, TEL remains at the forefront of innovation, offering a suite of advanced manufacturing equipment that helps semiconductor companies enhance productivity and efficiency.
Amidst the volatile tech landscape marked by fierce competition and shifting market demand, Tokyo Electron’s robust business model sets it apart. The company relies on strategic partnerships with major semiconductor manufacturers, leveraging their expertise to deliver high-performance solutions. With a steady stream of revenue supported by long-term contracts and a strong reputation for quality, TEL showcases resilience against market fluctuations. Investors will find comfort in its solid financials, consistent profit margins, and commitment to sustainability, highlighting a forward-thinking approach that not only aims for profitability but also considers the broader implications of technological development. As TEL continues to innovate and adapt, it positions itself as a key enabler of the digital revolution, making it a compelling investment opportunity in the ever-evolving tech domain.
Tokyo Electron Limited (TEL) is a leading manufacturer of equipment used in the production of semiconductors and flat panel displays. The company primarily operates through several core business segments, which include:
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Semiconductor Production Equipment (SPE):
- This segment is the largest and most significant for TEL. It includes a range of equipment used in the fabrication of semiconductor devices, such as wafer processing tools, photolithography equipment, etching tools, chemical vapor deposition (CVD) systems, and ion implantation devices. As the semiconductor industry experiences shifts toward smaller node technologies and increased complexity, TEL’s products are crucial for advanced manufacturing processes.
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Flat Panel Display (FPD) Production Equipment:
- TEL produces equipment for the manufacturing of flat panel displays, primarily used in TVs, smartphones, tablets, and other electronic devices. This segment includes tools for the deposition, etching, and inspection of display panels, catering to both LCD and OLED technologies. Although this market segment is smaller compared to semiconductor equipment, it remains an important part of TEL’s portfolio.
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Electronic Components and Materials:
- This segment encompasses a range of materials and components used in the semiconductor manufacturing process, including photoresists, chemicals, and other manufacturing materials. TEL provides these inputs to enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of its production equipment, ensuring high-quality outputs for customers.
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Service and Support:
- TEL also offers comprehensive customer support and maintenance services for its equipment. This includes installation, training, and ongoing maintenance, which are critical for ensuring the optimum performance of equipment in production environments. This segment plays a vital role in customer satisfaction and loyalty, providing recurring revenue streams.
Tokyo Electron is committed to innovation and invests heavily in research and development to maintain its competitive edge in these segments. As the demand for semiconductors continues to rise due to trends such as artificial intelligence, the Internet of Things (IoT), and advanced computing, TEL’s continuous improvement in these core areas positions it well for future growth.
Tokyo Electron Ltd (TEL) is a leading manufacturer of semiconductor production equipment and systems. Here are some unique competitive advantages that TEL holds over its rivals:
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Advanced Technology and Innovation: TEL invests heavily in research and development, which enables it to stay at the forefront of technology in semiconductor manufacturing. This continuous innovation is critical in a rapidly evolving industry where performance and efficiency are paramount.
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Comprehensive Product Portfolio: TEL offers a wide range of products across various processes in semiconductor manufacturing, including etching, deposition, and cleaning. This comprehensive portfolio allows customers to rely on a single supplier for multiple needs, simplifying procurement and integration processes.
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Strong Relationships with Leading Customers: TEL has established long-term relationships with major semiconductor manufacturers, such as Intel and Samsung. These partnerships not only bring in steady revenue but also provide valuable insights into customer needs and future trends, aiding in product development.
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Global Presence and Support: With operations in key markets worldwide, TEL is well-positioned to serve global clients. Its extensive service network ensures timely support and maintenance, which is crucial for manufacturers who require high uptime in their production processes.
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High-Quality Standards and Reliability: TEL's equipment is known for its high quality and reliability, which is crucial in semiconductor manufacturing, where even minor defects can lead to significant costs. This reputation helps attract customers who may prioritize long-term performance over initial costs.
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Expertise in Specialized Markets: TEL has a strong foothold in specialized markets such as 3D NAND and advanced logic devices. Its deep expertise in these areas allows it to offer tailored solutions that meet the specific demands of advanced manufacturing processes.
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Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: TEL has a history of strategic acquisitions that enhance its technology capabilities and market position. By integrating new technologies and expertise, TEL can continuously improve its offerings and adapt to market changes.
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Focus on Sustainability: With increasing environmental regulations and a push for sustainability in technology, TEL's commitment to developing energy-efficient and environmentally friendly manufacturing solutions aligns well with market trends and customer preferences.
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Strong Financial Position: TEL’s solid financial health provides it with the resources to invest in new technologies, expand into new markets, and weather economic downturns, giving it a stability advantage over competitors that may not be as financially robust.
Each of these factors contributes to Tokyo Electron's competitive edge in the semiconductor equipment market, positioning it well to sustain and potentially enhance its market leadership.
Tokyo Electron Ltd (TEL), a leading manufacturer of semiconductor and flat panel display production equipment, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key considerations:
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Market Volatility: The semiconductor industry is highly cyclical, and demand can fluctuate significantly based on various factors such as technological advancements, consumer electronics trends, and economic conditions. A downturn could impact TEL's sales and profitability.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The global supply chain has experienced significant disruptions due to the COVID-19 pandemic, geopolitical tensions, and trade policies. Any delays or shortages in obtaining raw materials, components, or transportation could hinder TEL’s manufacturing capabilities.
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Technological Changes and Innovation: The semiconductor industry is characterized by rapid technological advancements. TEL must continually innovate and develop new products to meet the evolving needs of customers. Failure to keep pace with technology could lead to loss of market share.
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Competition: TEL operates in a competitive landscape, with major players such as ASML, Applied Materials, and Lam Research. Increased competition may lead to price pressures and margin erosion.
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Geopolitical Tensions: Rising tensions, particularly between the U.S. and China, could lead to sanctions or trade restrictions that may adversely affect TEL's operations, especially in key markets.
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Regulatory Risks: Changes in regulations related to environmental standards, export controls, or labor laws could impose additional compliance costs or operational constraints.
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Dependence on Key Customers: TEL may have a significant reliance on a limited number of large customers, such as major semiconductor manufacturers. Any downturn in their business or shifts in their purchasing strategies could adversely impact TEL's revenues.
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Currency Fluctuations: As a global player, TEL’s financial performance can be affected by fluctuations in foreign exchange rates, impacting its profitability in different regions.
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Intellectual Property Risks: The semiconductor industry involves significant R&D investment, and there are risks associated with protecting intellectual property. Competitors could infringe on TEL's patents or vice versa, leading to potential legal battles.
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Labor Shortages: The industry may face challenges in attracting and retaining skilled labor, particularly in construction, engineering, and R&D roles. A shortage of qualified personnel can impact TEL’s growth and productivity.
Addressing these risks requires proactive risk management strategies, including investing in R&D, diversifying customer and supplier bases, and closely monitoring market trends and geopolitical developments.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Tokyo Electron Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Tokyo Electron Ltd
Current Assets | 1.6T |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 438.5B |
Receivables | 358.6B |
Other Current Assets | 840.5B |
Non-Current Assets | 857.9B |
Long-Term Investments | 363.1B |
PP&E | 354.1B |
Intangibles | 32.3B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 108.3B |
Current Liabilities | 613.7B |
Accounts Payable | 88.2B |
Other Current Liabilities | 525.4B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 108.8B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 108.8B |
Earnings Waterfall
Tokyo Electron Ltd
Revenue
|
2T
JPY
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-1.1T
JPY
|
Gross Profit
|
932B
JPY
|
Operating Expenses
|
-392.2B
JPY
|
Operating Income
|
539.8B
JPY
|
Other Expenses
|
-113.9B
JPY
|
Net Income
|
425.8B
JPY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Tokyo Electron Ltd
JPY | |
Free Cash Flow | JPY |
In the first quarter of fiscal year ending March 2025, the company reported net sales of JPY 555 billion, a 1.4% increase from the previous quarter, and a gross profit margin of 47.6%. Operating income rose by 14.1%, reaching JPY 165.7 billion. The company has upgraded its full-year forecasts, predicting net sales of JPY 2.3 trillion and operating income of JPY 627 billion. Strong demand for AI-related devices and advanced logic and memory investments are key growth drivers. The company plans to invest JPY 253 billion in R&D. A record high annual dividend of JPY 519 per share is also expected.
What is Earnings Call?
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Tokyo Electron Ltd's profitability score is 66/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Tokyo Electron Ltd's profitability score is 66/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Tokyo Electron Ltd's solvency score is 76/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Tokyo Electron Ltd's solvency score is 76/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Tokyo Electron Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Tokyo Electron Ltd is 34 102 JPY with a low forecast of 26 765 JPY and a high forecast of 47 250 JPY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Tokyo Electron Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Tokyo Electron Ltd. engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of semiconductor production equipment and industrial electronics products for flat panel display manufacturing equipment. The company is headquartered in Minato-Ku, Tokyo-To and currently employs 14,479 full-time employees. The firm operates in two segments. The Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment segment is engaged in the provision of wafer probers and other semiconductor manufacturing equipment. The Flat Panel Display (FPD) Manufacturing Equipment segment consists of coater developer for flat panel display manufacturing, etching and ashing equipment. The firm is also engaged in management of facilities, logistics business, as well as insurance business.
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The intrinsic value of one Tokyo Electron Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 25 016.41 JPY.
Compared to the current market price of 21 780 JPY, Tokyo Electron Ltd is Undervalued by 13%.