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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Subaru Corp stock under the Base Case scenario is 5 929.57 JPY. Compared to the current market price of 2 442 JPY, Subaru Corp is Undervalued by 59%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Subaru Corp
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Fundamental Analysis
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Subaru Corporation, a renowned Japanese automotive manufacturer, has carved a unique niche in the global market with its focus on all-wheel-drive vehicles and a commitment to safety and reliability. Founded in 1953, the company has evolved significantly, transforming from a modest carmaker into a key player in the automotive industry. With a portfolio that includes popular models like the Subaru Outback and Subaru Forester, the brand is distinguished by its loyal customer base that values versatility and practicality. Beyond consumer vehicles, Subaru is also engaged in aerospace manufacturing, producing components for aircraft and contributing to the overall strength of the business. This di...
Subaru Corporation, a renowned Japanese automotive manufacturer, has carved a unique niche in the global market with its focus on all-wheel-drive vehicles and a commitment to safety and reliability. Founded in 1953, the company has evolved significantly, transforming from a modest carmaker into a key player in the automotive industry. With a portfolio that includes popular models like the Subaru Outback and Subaru Forester, the brand is distinguished by its loyal customer base that values versatility and practicality. Beyond consumer vehicles, Subaru is also engaged in aerospace manufacturing, producing components for aircraft and contributing to the overall strength of the business. This diversification not only provides a buffer against fluctuations in the automotive sector but also opens up new avenues for growth.
For investors, Subaru presents a compelling opportunity grounded in both innovation and fiscal prudence. The company has consistently prioritized quality and safety, resulting in high customer satisfaction ratings, which translate into strong sales figures. With a focus on sustainable practices and the implementation of electric vehicles on the horizon, Subaru is adapting to changing consumer preferences while maintaining its commitment to environmental stewardship. Their financial stability is bolstered by a robust balance sheet, efficient production processes, and strategic partnerships, positioning Subaru as a resilient competitor in a dynamic marketplace. Investors looking for a company with both a rich heritage and future growth potential may find Subaru Corporation to be an intriguing option.
Subaru Corporation operates primarily in the automobile manufacturing industry, but it also has key business segments that contribute to its overall operations. Here's a breakdown of the core business segments of Subaru Corp:
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Automotive Segment: This is the largest segment and includes the design, manufacture, and sale of Subaru-branded vehicles. Subaru is known for its all-wheel-drive technology and is recognized for its focus on safety and reliability. The automotive segment generates the majority of the company's revenue and includes key models such as the Subaru Outback, Forester, and Crosstrek.
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Aerospace Segment: Subaru Corp also engages in the aerospace industry. This segment includes the manufacture of aircraft components, space and defense systems, and aircraft assembly. It leverages advanced technologies and expertise in precision manufacturing and has partnerships with major aerospace companies.
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Industrial Segment: This segment involves the development and sale of industrial products, including machinery and equipment. This may involve components for manufacturing processes, as well as machinery used in construction and other industrial applications.
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Financial Services Segment: Subaru offers financial solutions that support its automotive business, such as leasing and financing solutions for customers and dealerships. This includes Subaru Motors Finance, which provides loans, lease options, and financial services to customers and dealers.
These segments are supported by Subaru's commitment to innovation, sustainability, and customer satisfaction, reflecting its strategy to maintain a competitive edge in both the automotive and aerospace industries.
Subaru Corp possesses several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals in the automotive industry:
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All-Wheel Drive (AWD) Expertise: Subaru is renowned for its AWD technology, which is standard in most of its models. This gives it a competitive edge, particularly in markets with inclement weather conditions where AWD enhances driving safety and performance.
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Strong Brand Loyalty: Subaru has cultivated a loyal customer base, often characterized by repeat buyers. Its dedication to customer engagement, community-building initiatives, and strong emphasis on outdoor lifestyles resonate deeply with its target demographic.
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Niche Market Focus: Subaru effectively targets a specific market segment, including outdoor enthusiasts and consumers seeking reliable and durable vehicles. This strategic focus allows them to differentiate their products and marketing efforts, rather than competing directly in the crowded mainstream segments.
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Safety and Reliability Reputation: Subaru vehicles are frequently recognized for their high safety ratings and reliability. Awards from organizations like the IIHS (Insurance Institute for Highway Safety) enhance its brand reputation, leading to increased consumer confidence.
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Sustainable Practices: Subaru has made significant commitments to sustainability, including environmentally friendly manufacturing processes and initiatives aimed at reducing carbon footprints. This resonates well with environmentally conscious consumers and enhances brand appeal.
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Boxer Engine Design: Subaru’s proprietary boxer engine provides a lower center of gravity, enhancing vehicle stability and handling. This unique engineering feature sets Subaru apart from competitors and is particularly valued in its performance-oriented models.
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Strong Resale Value: Subaru vehicles tend to maintain strong resale value, a critical factor for many consumers. This is bolstered by their reputation for durability and reliability.
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Global Production Strategies: Subaru has a relatively lean manufacturing process and has invested in efficient production facilities, which can help keep costs competitive while maintaining quality.
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Innovative Safety Technologies: The availability of advanced safety and driver-assistance features in Subaru vehicles, such as the EyeSight Driver Assist Technology, helps enhance competitiveness in an increasingly safety-conscious market.
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Collaborative Partnerships: Subaru has strategic alliances, such as its partnership with Toyota, that enhance R&D capabilities, share technological advancements, and help in developing new products more efficiently.
These competitive advantages allow Subaru to carve out a distinct market position, fostering brand loyalty and ensuring a sustainable business model in a rapidly changing automotive landscape.
Subaru Corp, like many automotive manufacturers, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here’s a breakdown of some key areas:
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing global supply chain issues, exacerbated by factors like the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions, can affect the availability of critical components, particularly semiconductors. This can lead to production delays and increased costs.
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Electric Vehicle (EV) Transition: As the auto industry shifts towards electrification, Subaru will need to innovate and invest significantly to compete in this space. The company has traditionally focused on all-wheel drive and combustion-engine vehicles, which may make the transition more challenging.
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Regulatory Compliance: Stricter emissions regulations and environmental standards in various regions (e.g., Europe, California) require manufacturers to adapt their offerings. Failure to comply could lead to fines or restrictions on sales.
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Competition: The automotive market is becoming increasingly competitive with traditional automakers and new entrants, especially in the EV sector. Companies like Tesla and newer startups may erode market share and pressure Subaru to innovate more rapidly.
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Market Demand Shifts: Consumer preferences are evolving, with growing interest in SUVs, crossovers, and electric vehicles. Subaru will need to effectively forecast and respond to these changes to maintain relevance in the market.
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Economic Factors: Economic downturns, inflation, and changing consumer spending habits can impact vehicle sales. A recession could lead to reduced demand for new vehicles, adversely affecting revenue.
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Brand Image and Marketing: Subaru's brand is heavily tied to its niche markets, particularly outdoor enthusiasts and safety-conscious consumers. Any negative publicity or failure to resonate with new consumer segments can hurt its market position.
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Geopolitical Risks: Trade tensions, tariffs, and political instability can affect Subaru's global operations and supply chains, particularly those that rely on imports and exports between regions.
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Labor Relations: Potential labor disputes or changes in workforce dynamics can impact production and operational costs. Maintaining a good relationship with labor unions will be crucial.
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Technological Advancements: The rapid pace of technological change in the automotive industry, particularly in the areas of connectivity and autonomous driving, requires continuous investment in R&D to keep pace with competitors.
Addressing these risks and challenges effectively will be vital for Subaru’s sustained growth and competitiveness in the evolving automotive landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Subaru Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Subaru Corp
Current Assets | 3T |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.9T |
Receivables | 388.5B |
Other Current Assets | 708B |
Non-Current Assets | 1.8T |
Long-Term Investments | 236.2B |
PP&E | 969.1B |
Intangibles | 291.5B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 298.2B |
Current Liabilities | 1.2T |
Accounts Payable | 337.6B |
Other Current Liabilities | 893.4B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 1T |
Long-Term Debt | 418.6B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 601.5B |
Earnings Waterfall
Subaru Corp
Revenue
|
4.7T
JPY
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-3.7T
JPY
|
Gross Profit
|
1T
JPY
|
Operating Expenses
|
-533.2B
JPY
|
Operating Income
|
476B
JPY
|
Other Expenses
|
-80.1B
JPY
|
Net Income
|
395.8B
JPY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Subaru Corp
JPY | |
Free Cash Flow | JPY |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Subaru Corp's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Subaru Corp's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Subaru Corp's solvency score is 80/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Subaru Corp's solvency score is 80/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Subaru Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Subaru Corp is 3 053.2 JPY with a low forecast of 1 919 JPY and a high forecast of 4 620 JPY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Subaru Corp is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Subaru Corp. engages in the manufacture and sale of automobiles, aircraft, engine parts, and industrial machines. The company is headquartered in Shibuya-Ku, Tokyo-To and currently employs 36,070 full-time employees. The firm operates through two business segments. The Automobile segment is engaged in the manufacture, sale and repairing of mini cars, small cars, ordinary cars and their parts. The Aerospace segment is engaged in the manufacture, sale and repairing of aircraft, space-related equipment and parts. The firm is also engaged in real estate leasing business, the manufacture and sale of houses, as well as the provision of repair services of houses.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one Subaru Corp stock under the Base Case scenario is 5 929.57 JPY.
Compared to the current market price of 2 442 JPY, Subaru Corp is Undervalued by 59%.