Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 5 341.24 JPY. Compared to the current market price of 4 113 JPY, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd is Undervalued by 23%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Takeda Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd. stands as a formidable player in the global healthcare landscape, firmly established as Japan's largest pharmaceutical company. Founded in 1781, Takeda has built a rich legacy of innovation and patient-centricity, evolving from a traditional medicine distributor into a leader in biopharmaceuticals. The company primarily focuses on therapeutic areas such as oncology, gastroenterology, neuroscience, and rare diseases, thus targeting critical health challenges faced by patients worldwide. Takeda's commitment to research and development, underscored by significant investments, facilitates the discovery of new treatments and the enhancement of existing therapies. Th...
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd. stands as a formidable player in the global healthcare landscape, firmly established as Japan's largest pharmaceutical company. Founded in 1781, Takeda has built a rich legacy of innovation and patient-centricity, evolving from a traditional medicine distributor into a leader in biopharmaceuticals. The company primarily focuses on therapeutic areas such as oncology, gastroenterology, neuroscience, and rare diseases, thus targeting critical health challenges faced by patients worldwide. Takeda's commitment to research and development, underscored by significant investments, facilitates the discovery of new treatments and the enhancement of existing therapies. This forward momentum is particularly noteworthy as it aligns with the growing demand for advanced medications and biologics, positioning Takeda favorably in a competitive market.
In recent years, Takeda has strategically expanded its global footprint through key acquisitions, most notably the purchase of Shire in 2019, which significantly enhanced its portfolio in rare diseases. For investors, this positions Takeda not just as a pharmaceutical giant, but as an agile and innovative entity eager to meet the evolving needs of healthcare. With a robust pipeline that promises a mix of newly launched therapeutics and a focus on sustainable growth, Takeda showcases its resilience in navigating the pharmaceutical industry's challenges. The company's dedication to fostering partnerships, along with its ethical approach to business, further strengthens its reputation as a trustworthy investment in the pharmaceutical sector. For investors looking for a blend of historical stability and future potential in a company deeply committed to health and well-being, Takeda stands out as a compelling choice.
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited is a global biopharmaceutical company based in Japan. As of my last knowledge update in October 2023, Takeda operates through several core business segments, focusing primarily on the following areas:
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Oncology:
- This segment includes therapies for various types of cancers. Takeda has invested heavily in oncology research and development, driving innovations in targeted and immuno-oncology treatments.
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Rare Diseases:
- Takeda provides treatments for a range of rare diseases, particularly in the fields of hematology and metabolic disorders. This segment is characterized by specialized treatments that cater to small patient populations but are critical for those affected.
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Gastroenterology:
- The gastroenterology segment includes medications for conditions such as inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and other gastrointestinal disorders. Takeda is known for its research in this area, particularly with therapies that focus on the microbiome.
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Neuroscience:
- This segment encompasses treatments for neurological and psychiatric disorders. Takeda is involved in developing therapies for conditions like major depressive disorders and attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD).
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Vaccines:
- Takeda has also been involved in the development and production of vaccines, further diversifying its portfolio in infectious diseases.
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Rare Immunology:
- This includes therapies targeting rare immunological conditions, leveraging biotechnology to develop advanced treatments for patients with unique and complex needs.
In addition to these core segments, Takeda also engages in research and development (R&D) across various other therapeutic areas, aiming to expand its pipeline and innovate in the biopharmaceutical landscape. The company's commitment to global health is reflected in its investment in emerging markets and collaborations with other pharmaceutical entities and research institutions.
Note that the specifics of Takeda's segments may evolve due to ongoing research, acquisitions, and changes in the healthcare landscape, therefore it's advisable to check their latest financial reports or press releases for the most current information.
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd. possesses several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the pharmaceutical industry:
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Strong Research and Development (R&D) Focus: Takeda has a robust R&D pipeline, particularly in oncology, gastroenterology, neuroscience, and rare diseases. Their commitment to innovation and investment in R&D increases their chances of developing breakthrough therapies.
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Comprehensive Global Reach: With a presence in over 70 countries, Takeda has a significant global footprint. This extensive geographic reach allows for better market penetration, access to diverse patient populations, and the ability to leverage global resources.
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Diverse Product Portfolio: Takeda's portfolio includes a wide range of products—from established medicines to new innovative treatments. This diversification helps mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations and regulatory challenges in specific therapeutic areas.
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Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: Takeda has a history of strategic acquisitions that enhance its capabilities and portfolio. For example, the acquisition of Shire broadened its presence in rare diseases and enriched its pipeline with multiple high-value assets.
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Strong Ethical Reputation: Takeda adheres to high ethical standards and has a reputation for integrity and transparency. This reputation fosters trust among healthcare providers, patients, and regulators, differentiating it in an industry where reputation is crucial.
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Patient-Centric Approach: The company emphasizes a patient-centric strategy in its operations. By prioritizing patient needs and outcomes, Takeda builds strong relationships with healthcare providers and improves patient adherence to therapies.
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Robust Manufacturing and Supply Chain Capabilities: Takeda's extensive manufacturing facilities and supply chain management practices ensure high-quality production and the ability to meet global demand efficiently, providing a significant advantage over competitors.
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Strong Financial Position: With solid financials, including substantial revenue and cash reserves, Takeda is well-positioned to invest in growth opportunities, R&D, and strategic partnerships, further solidifying its competitive edge.
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Focus on Sustainability and Social Responsibility: Takeda actively pursues sustainability initiatives and corporate social responsibility, enhancing its brand image and appealing to stakeholders who prioritize ethical business practices.
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Experienced Leadership Team: The leadership team at Takeda brings a wealth of experience and a clear vision for the company’s long-term strategy, which fosters innovation and adaptive growth in a rapidly changing market.
These advantages, when effectively leveraged, help Takeda position itself as a leader in the pharmaceutical industry, enabling it to compete successfully against other major players.
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd. faces several risks and challenges in the near future, which can impact its operations and market performance. Some of the key factors include:
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Regulatory Challenges: Compliance with stringent regulatory requirements across different countries can pose significant hurdles. Delays or rejections in drug approvals can impact the pipeline and revenue.
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Patent Expirations: Like many pharmaceutical companies, Takeda faces the expiration of patents on key drugs, which can lead to increased competition from generic manufacturers and a potential decline in revenue.
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Market Competition: The pharmaceutical industry is highly competitive, with numerous players developing similar treatments. Staying ahead in innovation and market share can be challenging.
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R&D Investment Risks: Research and development is a substantial cost for pharmaceutical companies. There’s always a risk that the R&D investments may not yield successful outcomes, leading to financial losses.
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Pricing Pressure: Increasing scrutiny on drug pricing and potential regulatory changes aimed at controlling healthcare costs could impact Takeda's pricing strategies and profit margins.
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Geopolitical Risks: Global operations expose Takeda to geopolitical uncertainties, including trade tensions, changes in healthcare policies, and economic instability in operating regions.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted potential vulnerabilities in supply chains. Disruptions can affect the production and distribution of pharmaceuticals, leading to shortages and lost sales.
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Mergers and Acquisitions Risks: Takeda has been active in pursuing mergers and acquisitions to expand its portfolio. However, integrating new businesses can be challenging and might not always deliver expected synergies.
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Technological Disruption: Advances in biotechnology, digital health, and personalized medicine can disrupt traditional pharmaceutical business models. Being able to adapt to technological changes is crucial.
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Reputation Risks: Issues related to drug safety, side effects, or ethical concerns can negatively affect the company’s reputation and trust among consumers and healthcare professionals.
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Economic Conditions: Fluctuations in economic conditions, especially in key markets, could affect healthcare spending and, subsequently, demand for pharmaceutical products.
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COVID-19's Long-term Impact: The pandemic has changed the healthcare landscape, leading to changes in patient behavior, healthcare delivery, and investment in health infrastructure that Takeda must navigate.
By actively monitoring and strategically addressing these risks, Takeda can position itself to mitigate challenges and leverage opportunities in the evolving pharmaceutical landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
Current Assets | 3.1T |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 906.2B |
Receivables | 721.1B |
Other Current Assets | 1.4T |
Non-Current Assets | 11.5T |
Long-Term Investments | 277.3B |
PP&E | 1.9T |
Intangibles | 8.9T |
Other Non-Current Assets | 423.3B |
Current Liabilities | 2.4T |
Accounts Payable | 413.3B |
Other Current Liabilities | 2T |
Non-Current Liabilities | 5.3T |
Long-Term Debt | 4.4T |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 837.9B |
Earnings Waterfall
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
Revenue
|
4.5T
JPY
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-1.5T
JPY
|
Gross Profit
|
3T
JPY
|
Operating Expenses
|
-2.5T
JPY
|
Operating Income
|
541.9B
JPY
|
Other Expenses
|
-251.9B
JPY
|
Net Income
|
290B
JPY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
JPY | |
Free Cash Flow | JPY |
In the first half of fiscal 2024, Takeda reported revenues of JPY 2.4 trillion, a 13.4% increase, driven by an 18.7% growth in Growth & Launch products, now 47% of total sales. Core operating profit rose 22.3% to JPY 719.9 billion, with margins at 30.2%. However, Takeda anticipates a slowdown in growth due to increased generic competition for VYVANSE. Full-year revenue guidance is now set at JPY 4.48 trillion, with core operating profit expected to be JPY 1.05 trillion and core EPS around JPY 456. Notable product performances included ENTYVIO, growing 11% globally, particularly in the U.S. with new formulations.
What is Earnings Call?
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd's solvency score is 40/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd's solvency score is 40/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd is 4 854.45 JPY with a low forecast of 4 242 JPY and a high forecast of 6 195 JPY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Takeda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, import and export sale, and marketing of pharmaceutical drugs. The company is headquartered in Chuo-Ku, Tokyo-To and currently employs 47,347 full-time employees. The firm is engaged in the research, development, manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products, General medical products, quasi drugs and healthcare products in Japan and overseas. The firm's research and development functions are concentrated in four areas of oncology (cancer), digestive system diseases, rare diseases and neurology (neuropsychiatric diseases), as well as two business units of plasma fractionation products and vaccines. The firm is engaged in the improvement of pipelines at research and development centers located mainly in Japan and the United States.
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Officers
The intrinsic value of one Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 5 341.24 JPY.
Compared to the current market price of 4 113 JPY, Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd is Undervalued by 23%.