Guosen Securities Co Ltd
SZSE:002736
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Guosen Securities Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 15.82 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 12.44 CNY, Guosen Securities Co Ltd is Undervalued by 21%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Guosen Securities Co Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Guosen Securities Co., Ltd., a prominent player in China’s financial landscape, has firmly established itself as a multifaceted brokerage that offers a comprehensive range of services. Founded in 1994 and headquartered in Beijing, the company has made significant strides in investment banking, asset management, and wealth management services, catering to individual, institutional, and corporate clients. What sets Guosen apart in a competitive market is its robust technological infrastructure and commitment to innovation, allowing it to deliver efficient trading platforms and cutting-edge financial solutions that empower its clients to maximize their investment potential. With a keen focus on...
Guosen Securities Co., Ltd., a prominent player in China’s financial landscape, has firmly established itself as a multifaceted brokerage that offers a comprehensive range of services. Founded in 1994 and headquartered in Beijing, the company has made significant strides in investment banking, asset management, and wealth management services, catering to individual, institutional, and corporate clients. What sets Guosen apart in a competitive market is its robust technological infrastructure and commitment to innovation, allowing it to deliver efficient trading platforms and cutting-edge financial solutions that empower its clients to maximize their investment potential. With a keen focus on capital market dynamics, Guosen has adeptly navigated the complexities of China’s rapidly evolving economy, positioning itself as a trusted ally for investors seeking to capitalize on growth opportunities.
In recent years, Guosen Securities has not only expanded its service portfolio but has also amplified its footprint on the global stage. The company’s strategic partnerships and initiatives focused on internationalization speak to its ambition of becoming a leading comprehensive financial service provider. Moreover, Guosen's prudent risk management practices and adherence to regulatory guidelines bolster its reputation, making it an attractive option for risk-conscious investors. As the company continues to embrace digital transformation and sustainability, it is well-poised to capitalize on the trends shaping the future of finance. For investors looking to dive into the Chinese market, Guosen Securities represents a compelling opportunity grounded in innovation, resilience, and a forward-looking vision.
Guosen Securities Co., Ltd. is a comprehensive financial services firm based in China. Its core business segments typically include:
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Securities Brokerage: This segment provides trading services for individual and institutional investors. It encompasses equities, bonds, and other financial instruments, facilitating the buying and selling of securities.
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Asset Management: Guosen offers various asset management services, which include managing investment funds for clients, providing wealth management solutions, and offering tailored investment strategies to meet client goals.
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Investment Banking: This segment involves underwriting and advising on capital market activities, including initial public offerings (IPOs), mergers and acquisitions (M&A), and other corporate financing solutions.
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Research Services: Guosen Securities also conducts market research and analysis. This includes equity research, macroeconomic analysis, and industry-specific insights, which aid investors and clients in making informed decisions.
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Proprietary Trading: The company may engage in trading its own capital, investing in various securities to generate returns.
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Risk Management and Compliance: Ensuring that operations comply with regulatory frameworks and risk assessments to protect the firm and its clients against potential losses.
These segments enable Guosen Securities to provide a comprehensive suite of financial services to cater to diverse client needs, positioning it as a significant player in China’s financial markets.
Guosen Securities Co Ltd, a prominent securities firm in China, possesses several competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals:
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Strong Brand Recognition: Established in 1994, Guosen Securities has developed a reputable brand in the Chinese financial market. Its long-standing presence enhances investor trust.
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Diverse Financial Services: The company offers a wide range of financial services, including brokerage services, investment banking, asset management, and wealth management, enabling it to cater to various market needs and customer segments.
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Robust Research and Analytics: Guosen Securities invests in research capabilities, providing clients with comprehensive analytical reports and investment advice, which can help attract and retain high-net-worth individuals and institutional clients.
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Technology and Innovation: The firm has been proactive in adopting advanced technology solutions, such as digital trading platforms, AI-driven analytics, and mobile applications, improving customer experience and operational efficiency.
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Extensive Distribution Network: With a broad branch network across China, Guosen Securities ensures accessibility and convenience for its clients, enhancing customer service compared to competitors with limited reach.
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Regulatory Compliance and Risk Management: The company has established rigorous compliance frameworks and risk management protocols, which can help in navigating the complex regulatory environment in China, enhancing its credibility and stability.
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Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations with banks, investment companies, and other financial institutions can enhance Guosen’s service offerings and market reach, providing clients with comprehensive financial solutions.
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Focus on Retail Investor Base: By catering to retail investors with tailored products and services, Guosen can leverage the growing trend of individual investment in China, which can be less volatile than institutional investments.
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Strong Capital Base: As a large player in the securities market, Guosen Securities benefits from a solid capital base, enabling it to invest in growth opportunities and withstand market fluctuations better than smaller competitors.
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Tailored Investment Products: The ability to create customized investment products that meet the specific needs of clients gives Guosen an edge in client retention and attraction.
These competitive advantages allow Guosen Securities to position itself favorably in a competitive marketplace and to respond effectively to market changes and client demands.
As of my last training cutoff in October 2023, Guosen Securities Co., Ltd., like many financial institutions, faces a variety of risks and challenges. Here’s a comprehensive overview:
1. Regulatory Risks
- Compliance Costs: Increased regulatory oversight can lead to higher compliance and operational costs. Stricter regulations may require significant investments in systems and training.
- Changes in Regulations: Sudden changes in market regulations or government policies can impact operations and profitability.
2. Market Volatility
- Economic Fluctuations: Economic downturns can affect trading volumes, investment income, and overall market sentiment, potentially leading to reduced revenues.
- Geopolitical Risks: Political instability and trade tensions can create a volatile market environment that affects investor confidence and capital flows.
3. Competition
- Intensifying Competition: The securities industry is becoming increasingly competitive, including pressure from fintech firms that offer lower-cost services and innovative products.
- Market Share Loss: Failure to keep pace with competitors in areas such as technology and service quality could lead to a loss of market share.
4. Technological Challenges
- Cybersecurity Risks: Increased reliance on technology raises the risk of cyberattacks, which could lead to data breaches and loss of client trust.
- Technological Disruption: The rapid pace of technological change means that Guosen must continuously invest in upgrading its systems or risk obsolescence.
5. Operational Risks
- Human Capital: Attracting and retaining skilled personnel is critical, and any disruption (e.g., talent drain) can negatively impact operations and client relationships.
- System Failures: Dependency on technology also makes the company vulnerable to system outages or failures, which can disrupt trading activities and affect reputation.
6. Financial Risks
- Credit Risk: Default or non-payment by clients or counterparties can lead to significant financial loss.
- Market Risk: Exposure to fluctuations in market prices could impact the firm’s investment portfolios.
7. Reputation Risk
- Public Perception: Negative media coverage or client dissatisfaction can harm the company’s reputation, leading to reduced business opportunities and a decline in client trust.
- Ethical Standards: Any involvement in unethical business practices could result in legal consequences and loss of business.
8. International Exposure
- Global Market Influence: International operations expose the company to risks associated with foreign markets, including currency fluctuations and varying regulatory environments.
- Cross-Border Compliance: Navigating different regulatory and compliance landscapes in foreign markets can add complexity and risk.
Conclusion
For Guosen Securities Co., Ltd., navigating these challenges effectively will require a robust risk management strategy, a commitment to compliance, continuous adaptation to market changes, and a focus on technology and customer relations. Success in addressing these risks can position them favorably in the competitive landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Guosen Securities Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Guosen Securities Co Ltd
Current Assets | 77.4B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 71.1B |
Receivables | 5.5B |
Other Current Assets | 813m |
Non-Current Assets | 388.3B |
Long-Term Investments | 351.8B |
PP&E | 2.8B |
Intangibles | 756.9m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 33B |
Current Liabilities | 193.7B |
Accounts Payable | 23B |
Accrued Liabilities | 4.8B |
Short-Term Debt | 164.3B |
Other Current Liabilities | 1.7B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 159.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 73.9B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 85.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
Guosen Securities Co Ltd
Revenue
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16.9B
CNY
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Operating Expenses
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-10.1B
CNY
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Operating Income
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6.8B
CNY
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Other Expenses
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-2.1B
CNY
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Net Income
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4.7B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Guosen Securities Co Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Guosen Securities Co Ltd's profitability score is 46/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Guosen Securities Co Ltd's profitability score is 46/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Guosen Securities Co Ltd's solvency score is 32/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Guosen Securities Co Ltd's solvency score is 32/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Guosen Securities Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Guosen Securities Co Ltd is 11.83 CNY with a low forecast of 11.72 CNY and a high forecast of 12.18 CNY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Guosen Securities Co Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Guosen Securities Co., Ltd. engages in the provision of financial and securities brokerage services. The company is headquartered in Shenzhen, Guangdong and currently employs 12,003 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2014-12-29. The firm operates businesses through five segments. Brokerage and Wealth Management segment provides securities brokerage, futures brokerage, consignment of financial products, asset custody, investment consulting, margin financing and securities lending and other capital intermediaries services. Investment Banking segment provides financial services such as stock underwriting sponsorship, bond underwriting, mergers and acquisitions and restructuring, and national equities exchange and quotations recommendation. Investment and Transaction segment is engaged in the trading and market making business of financial products such as equity, fixed income, alternative investment, derivative products. Asset Management segment is engaged in collective asset management, directional asset management, special asset management and fund management business. Other segment is engaged in other business and headquarters operation business.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one Guosen Securities Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 15.82 CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 12.44 CNY, Guosen Securities Co Ltd is Undervalued by 21%.