Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 68.12 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 41.08 CNY, Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd is Undervalued by 40%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd. has emerged as a vibrant player in the global lithium market, capitalizing on the surging demand for lithium-ion batteries that power electric vehicles and renewable energy storage. Founded in 2000 and headquartered in Jiangxi, China, Ganfeng has established itself as one of the world's largest suppliers of lithium hydroxide and lithium carbonate. The company's extensive operational footprint spans across the lithium supply chain, from mining and refining to the production of battery materials. This integrated model not only enhances its operational efficiency but also solidifies its position as a key supplier in a market increasingly driven by the electrification of...
Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd. has emerged as a vibrant player in the global lithium market, capitalizing on the surging demand for lithium-ion batteries that power electric vehicles and renewable energy storage. Founded in 2000 and headquartered in Jiangxi, China, Ganfeng has established itself as one of the world's largest suppliers of lithium hydroxide and lithium carbonate. The company's extensive operational footprint spans across the lithium supply chain, from mining and refining to the production of battery materials. This integrated model not only enhances its operational efficiency but also solidifies its position as a key supplier in a market increasingly driven by the electrification of transport and the global shift towards sustainable energy solutions.
Investors looking to tap into the growth potential of Ganfeng Lithium will find a company that is well-positioned for future success. With strategic partnerships and investments in lithium resources in Australia, Argentina, and other regions, Ganfeng is adeptly navigating supply chain complexities while benefiting from price fluctuations in lithium commodities. The company's commitment to innovation, including investments in R&D for advanced battery technologies, signifies its focus on staying ahead of industry trends. As governments worldwide ramp up goals for carbon neutrality and the demand for electric vehicles accelerates, Ganfeng Lithium is not just a supplier; it's a driving force in the transition toward a cleaner, electrified future—making it a compelling opportunity for investors aiming to align with sustainability and technological progress.
Ganfeng Lithium Co., Ltd. is a leading company in the lithium industry, involved in various aspects of lithium production and its application across several sectors. Here are the core business segments of Ganfeng Lithium:
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Lithium Resources:
- Ganfeng is heavily involved in lithium mining and extraction. This includes the exploration, mining, and processing of lithium-rich minerals such as spodumene and brine resources. The company owns key lithium projects, primarily in China and international locations.
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Lithium Chemical Production:
- This segment focuses on the production of a variety of lithium chemicals, which are essential for different applications. Key products include lithium hydroxide, lithium carbonate, and other lithium compounds used in batteries and other industrial applications.
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Battery Materials:
- Ganfeng is engaged in the production of materials used in lithium-ion batteries, which are critical for electric vehicles (EVs), consumer electronics, and energy storage systems. This includes advanced battery materials such as cathodes and anodes.
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Energy Storage Solutions:
- The company develops and provides energy storage solutions leveraging its lithium products. This sector targets both residential and industrial applications, playing a significant role in the growing demand for energy storage technologies.
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Recycling:
- Recognizing the importance of sustainability, Ganfeng has initiated efforts in lithium recycling. This involves reclaiming lithium from used batteries and industrial waste to reduce environmental impact and ensure a continuous supply of raw materials.
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Research and Development (R&D):
- Ganfeng invests significantly in R&D to innovate and improve lithium extraction techniques, as well as to develop new applications for lithium and its compounds. This is crucial for maintaining a competitive edge in the fast-evolving technology landscape.
Each of these segments contributes to Ganfeng's overall strategy of becoming a comprehensive player in the lithium value chain, catering to the rising demand driven by electric vehicles and renewable energy trends.
Ganfeng Lithium Co. Ltd. has several unique competitive advantages that position it favorably in the lithium market, especially in the context of the growing demand for electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable energy storage. Here are some key advantages:
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Vertical Integration: Ganfeng Lithium operates across the entire lithium supply chain, from lithium extraction to processing and recycling. This vertical integration helps control costs, improve margins, and ensure a stable supply of raw materials.
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Diverse Resource Base: The company has access to multiple lithium resources, including hard rock (spodumene) and brine sources. This diversity in resource types allows for flexibility in production tactics and reduces dependency on a single source.
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Strong Partnerships and Joint Ventures: Ganfeng has formed strategic alliances and joint ventures with various companies globally, enhancing its ability to secure long-term supply agreements and expand market reach. Collaborations with EV manufacturers further bolster its competitive position.
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Technological Expertise and Innovation: The company invests significantly in R&D, allowing it to develop advanced extraction and processing technologies. This emphasis on innovation enables Ganfeng to improve efficiency and reduce environmental impacts.
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Global Market Reach: With operations and partnerships across multiple continents, Ganfeng has a strong international presence. This global footprint helps mitigate regional market fluctuations and opens opportunities for growth in various markets.
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Sustainability Initiatives: Ganfeng has committed to sustainable practices, including lithium recycling and environmentally-friendly extraction methods. As sustainability becomes increasingly important for consumers and investors, this focus may enhance its brand reputation and customer loyalty.
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Strong Financial Performance: The company has shown robust financial performance, enabling it to reinvest in growth initiatives, technologies, and strategic acquisitions. Strong financial health can provide a buffer during economic fluctuations.
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Regulatory Relationships: Ganfeng has established strong relationships with governments and regulatory bodies, facilitating smoother operations and permitting processes, especially in regions with extensive regulations on mining and materials extraction.
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Market Demand: With the global shift toward electric vehicles and renewable energy, Ganfeng's ability to respond to market demands positions it favorably against competitors who may not be as agile or diversified.
These competitive advantages collectively enable Ganfeng Lithium to maintain a leading position in the lithium market, allowing the company to capitalize on the growing demand while effectively managing risks associated with supply chain volatility and market dynamics.
Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd, a leading player in the lithium industry, faces various risks and challenges in the near future, including:
1. Market Volatility
- Price Fluctuations: The lithium market is known for its price volatility, driven by supply-demand dynamics. Any sudden drop in lithium prices could impact Ganfeng's profitability.
- Demand Shifts: Fluctuations in demand from major sectors like electric vehicles (EVs) and consumer electronics can lead to unpredictability in revenue streams.
2. Regulatory Changes
- Environmental Regulations: Stricter environmental laws globally can increase operational costs or limit certain activities, especially in mining and processing.
- Trade Policies: Trade tensions and tariffs can impact international operations and sourcing of raw materials.
3. Supply Chain Disruptions
- Geopolitical Risks: Political instability in lithium-producing countries can affect supply chains and lead to increased costs or delays.
- Logistics Challenges: Disruptions in transport logistics, such as shipping delays, can impact the timely delivery of products to customers.
4. Competition
- Emerging Players: Increased competition from new entrants and existing competitors can pressure prices and market share.
- Technological Advancements: Competitors investing in new lithium extraction and processing technologies may gain a competitive edge, requiring Ganfeng to continuously innovate.
5. Technological Risks
- Dependence on Technology: Reliance on specific technologies for lithium extraction and processing means that any technological failure or lag can adversely affect operations.
- Shift to Alternative Technologies: Advances in battery technologies or alternatives to lithium could reduce demand for lithium over time.
6. Sustainability Concerns
- Social License to Operate: Increased scrutiny from stakeholders regarding sustainability practices may put pressure on Ganfeng to meet higher standards in environmental and community relations.
- Resource Extraction Practices: Public opposition to mining activities, particularly regarding their environmental impact, could lead to operational restrictions or reputational harm.
7. Financial Risks
- High Capital Expenditure: The lithium industry often requires significant capital investments, which can strain financial resources if not managed prudently.
- Debt Levels: If Ganfeng carries high levels of debt, fluctuations in revenue or costs could impact its financial stability.
8. Economic Factors
- Global Economic Conditions: Economic downturns or recessions could lead to reduced consumer spending on electric vehicles and electronics, directly impacting demand for lithium.
- Inflation: Rising costs for raw materials, energy, and labor can squeeze profit margins unless passed on to customers.
9. Resource Scarcity
- Access to Resources: Competition for valuable lithium deposits can lead to resource scarcity, increasing exploration and extraction costs.
- Geological Challenges: The availability of high-quality lithium resources may decline as easily extractable deposits are depleted.
By being aware of these risks and challenges, Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd can better formulate strategies to mitigate them and ensure sustainable growth in a dynamic market.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd
Current Assets | 23.9B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 8.4B |
Receivables | 6.4B |
Other Current Assets | 9.2B |
Non-Current Assets | 74B |
Long-Term Investments | 17.7B |
PP&E | 30.5B |
Intangibles | 23.2B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 2.7B |
Current Liabilities | 26.4B |
Accounts Payable | 7.6B |
Accrued Liabilities | 631m |
Short-Term Debt | 10.3B |
Other Current Liabilities | 7.9B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 27.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 14.6B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 12.7B |
Earnings Waterfall
Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd
Revenue
|
24.4B
CNY
|
Cost of Revenue
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-23B
CNY
|
Gross Profit
|
1.4B
CNY
|
Operating Expenses
|
-2.1B
CNY
|
Operating Income
|
-708.5m
CNY
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Other Expenses
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-955.3m
CNY
|
Net Income
|
-1.7B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd's solvency score is 47/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd's solvency score is 47/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd is 36.23 CNY with a low forecast of 20.2 CNY and a high forecast of 65.1 CNY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd is a CN-based company operating in Metals & Mining industry. The company is headquartered in Xinyu, Jiangxi and currently employs 7,870 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2010-08-10. GANFENG LITHIUM CO., LTD. is a China-based company principally engaged in the research, development, production and sales of deeply processed lithium products. The firm's main products include lithium compounds, lithium metal and lithium batteries. The firm's products are mainly used in electrical vehicles, chemicals and pharmaceuticals. The firm distributes its products in the domestic market and to overseas markets.
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The intrinsic value of one Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 68.12 CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 41.08 CNY, Ganfeng Lithium Co Ltd is Undervalued by 40%.