China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd
SZSE:001979
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 27.48 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 10.66 CNY, China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd is Undervalued by 61%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Fundamental Analysis
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China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd, part of the larger China Merchants Group, is a leading property developer and real estate investment firm renowned for its innovative approach to urban development across China. Established in the early 1980s, the company focuses on creating vibrant urban communities that blend residential, commercial, and cultural spaces, thereby enhancing the everyday lives of its inhabitants. With flagship projects primarily in major cities like Shenzhen, Shekou’s operations extend beyond mere construction; they encompass a comprehensive vision of urban living that integrates sustainable practices and smart city concepts, positioning the company favo...
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd, part of the larger China Merchants Group, is a leading property developer and real estate investment firm renowned for its innovative approach to urban development across China. Established in the early 1980s, the company focuses on creating vibrant urban communities that blend residential, commercial, and cultural spaces, thereby enhancing the everyday lives of its inhabitants. With flagship projects primarily in major cities like Shenzhen, Shekou’s operations extend beyond mere construction; they encompass a comprehensive vision of urban living that integrates sustainable practices and smart city concepts, positioning the company favorably amidst rising urbanization trends in China.
For investors, China Merchants Shekou offers a unique opportunity to participate in a rapidly evolving market while capitalizing on the company’s strong brand recognition and robust financial performance. With significant land reserves and a diversified portfolio that includes residential, office, and retail properties, the company is well-equipped to adapt to changing market dynamics. Additionally, its strategic partnerships and commitments to innovation underline a forward-thinking approach that appeals to modern consumers. As the Chinese economy continues to shift towards urbanization and consumption, investors can find confidence in Shekou's ability to remain at the forefront of real estate development, making it a compelling option within the sector.
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co., Ltd. (CMSK) is a major player in China's real estate and urban development sectors. Its core business segments typically encompass the following areas:
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Real Estate Development: This is the primary segment of CMSK, involving the development of residential, commercial, and mixed-use properties. The company focuses on creating large-scale urban projects that integrate residential communities with commercial facilities, enhancing the quality of urban life.
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Property Investment and Leasing: CMSK engages in the investment and management of commercial properties, including shopping malls, office buildings, and other leased spaces. This segment aims to generate steady rental income and provide value through property asset management.
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Urban Development and Renewal: CMSK is involved in urban renewal projects, which include the redevelopment of older districts to create modern living and working environments. This segment focuses on improving urban infrastructure and promoting sustainable development.
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Logistics and Supply Chain Services: Given its parent company's background in logistics (China Merchants Group), CMSK also explores opportunities in logistics and supply chain management, further diversifying its business operations.
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Services and Community Management: This segment provides property management and community services, ensuring a high standard of living for residents and enhancing customer satisfaction.
CMSK's strategy often combines these segments to create integrated urban environments, reflecting a commitment to sustainable development and urbanization trends in China. The company’s focus on quality, innovation, and customer-centric services positions it well in a competitive market.
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd (CMSK) holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the real estate and property development sector. Here are the key advantages:
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Strong Brand Recognition: CMSK is a well-established brand in China’s real estate market, known for quality and innovation. Its reputation allows it to attract customers and investors more easily than lesser-known competitors.
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Diversified Business Model: The company has diversified its operations, not just focusing on residential development but also engaging in commercial properties, tourism, logistics, and other sectors. This diversification helps mitigate risks associated with economic downturns in any single market segment.
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Robust Financial Backing: As part of the China Merchants Group, CMSK benefits from strong financial support, access to capital, and favorable financing conditions, allowing it to undertake large-scale projects and navigate market fluctuations more effectively than smaller players.
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Strategic Locations: CMSK focuses on developing properties in prime urban areas and key cities across China. Its land acquisition strategy is finely tuned, allowing it to secure favorable sites that enhance value through location advantages.
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Vertical Integration: The company has a high degree of vertical integration, encompassing land development, construction, and property management. This control over the entire value chain helps reduce costs, increase efficiency, and improve quality.
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Government Relations: Strong connections with government bodies can provide CMSK with advantages in terms of approvals and support for projects, especially given the state’s significant role in the real estate sector in China.
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Sustainability Initiatives: CMSK has been proactive in incorporating sustainable practices and green building technologies into its projects. This forward-thinking approach enhances its appeal to environmentally conscious consumers and aligns with national policies promoting sustainability.
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Innovative Urban Development Concepts: The company has pioneered new urban development paradigms, such as mixed-use developments that integrate living, working, and recreational spaces. This focus on community-centric designs helps differentiate CMSK from competitors.
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Experience and Track Record: With decades of experience in property development, CMSK has a proven track record, allowing it to leverage insights and lessons learned to mitigate risks in future projects.
These competitive advantages collectively position China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd as a formidable player in the real estate market, enabling it to outperform rivals and maintain a leading market position.
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd, a major player in the real estate and property development sector in China, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Regulatory Environment: The Chinese government has been tightening regulations on real estate to curb speculation and control debt levels. New policies could impact purchasing power, financing options, and development approvals, posing risks to revenue and growth.
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Economic Slowdown: Sluggish economic growth in China can adversely affect real estate demand. As the government focuses on achieving sustainable growth and reducing reliance on property development for GDP, this could lead to reduced sales and lower profitability.
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Debt Levels: Like many property developers, China Merchants Shekou could face challenges related to high levels of debt, particularly if financing conditions become more stringent. Rising interest rates could increase borrowing costs and pressure profit margins.
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Market Saturation: In some urban areas, there is a risk of oversupply in the residential and commercial property market, which could lead to price reductions, increased inventory levels, and lower returns on investment.
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Competition: The real estate sector in China is highly competitive, with numerous developers vying for market share. This competition can lead to price wars and reduced margins.
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Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing trade tensions and diplomatic relations with other countries, especially the U.S., can impact operational costs, investor confidence, and foreign investments in Chinese real estate.
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Environmental Regulations: Increasing focus on sustainability and environmental regulations might necessitate additional investments in green construction and energy efficiency, potentially increasing costs.
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Shifts in Consumer Behavior: Changes in demographics, urban migration trends, and consumer preferences, especially in the post-COVID-19 era, may require developers to adapt their strategies to meet current and future housing demands.
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Liquidity Risks: As market conditions fluctuate, companies might face liquidity challenges, particularly if they are unable to sell properties quickly or if there is a slowdown in overall market activity.
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Technological Disruption: The rise of new technologies and platforms in urban development and real estate could create competitive pressures or require investments in new technologies to maintain market relevance.
Overall, while China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd has established itself as a significant entity in the real estate market, these risks and challenges could influence its performance and strategic direction in the near future.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd
Current Assets | 663.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 82.3B |
Receivables | 122B |
Other Current Assets | 458.9B |
Non-Current Assets | 249.6B |
Long-Term Investments | 213.4B |
PP&E | 14.9B |
Intangibles | 3.9B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 17.3B |
Current Liabilities | 426.7B |
Accounts Payable | 51.3B |
Accrued Liabilities | 37.2B |
Short-Term Debt | 81.1B |
Other Current Liabilities | 257.1B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 372.4B |
Long-Term Debt | 185.7B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 186.7B |
Earnings Waterfall
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd
Revenue
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174.8B
CNY
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Cost of Revenue
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-157.1B
CNY
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Gross Profit
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17.8B
CNY
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Operating Expenses
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-6.8B
CNY
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Operating Income
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11B
CNY
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Other Expenses
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-6.3B
CNY
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Net Income
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4.7B
CNY
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd is 11.49 CNY with a low forecast of 8.46 CNY and a high forecast of 15.96 CNY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in the development and operation of real estate. The company is headquartered in Shenzhen, Guangdong and currently employs 54,735 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2015-12-30. The firm mainly operates through three segments. Community segment provides quality residential real-estates for family level customers under the brand of China Merchants. Industrial Park Development segment is mainly involved in the development and operation of the theme industrial parks, characteristic industrial belts and the ecological zones. Cruise segment is mainly involved in the construction, operation and management of Shekou Cruise Terminal. The firm operates its business in the domestic and overseas markets, with China as its domestic market.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 27.48 CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 10.66 CNY, China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co Ltd is Undervalued by 61%.