Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 25.4 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 14.81 CNY, Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd is Undervalued by 42%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Chongqing Changan Automobile Co. Ltd., founded in 1862, is one of China’s oldest and most prestigious automotive manufacturers, with a rich heritage in innovation and engineering. As a state-owned enterprise, Changan has established itself as a key player in the global automotive landscape, producing a diverse range of vehicles from compact cars to commercial trucks, and electric vehicles (EVs) that align with the growing trend towards sustainable mobility. The company’s partnerships with renowned global automotive giants, such as Ford and Mazda, underscore its commitment to leveraging international expertise to enhance its product offerings and technological capabilities. With a strong emph...
Chongqing Changan Automobile Co. Ltd., founded in 1862, is one of China’s oldest and most prestigious automotive manufacturers, with a rich heritage in innovation and engineering. As a state-owned enterprise, Changan has established itself as a key player in the global automotive landscape, producing a diverse range of vehicles from compact cars to commercial trucks, and electric vehicles (EVs) that align with the growing trend towards sustainable mobility. The company’s partnerships with renowned global automotive giants, such as Ford and Mazda, underscore its commitment to leveraging international expertise to enhance its product offerings and technological capabilities. With a strong emphasis on research and development, Changan has made significant strides in smart connectivity and electrification, positioning itself as a forward-thinking company in a rapidly evolving market.
Investors will find Changan’s strategic focus on the electric vehicle sector particularly compelling. With China's stringent emissions regulations and the government's push for EV adoption, Changan is poised to capitalize on this transformation. The company's ambitious plans include the launch of several new energy vehicle models and investments in advanced manufacturing technologies, which are set to enhance efficiency and reduce production costs. Additionally, Changan's robust supply chain and distribution network, combined with its commitment to quality, make it an attractive prospect for long-term growth. As the automotive industry rapidly shifts, Changan's deep-rooted history, coupled with its adaptive strategy, creates a promising narrative for potential investors looking for exposure in the dynamic Chinese automotive sector.
Chongqing Changan Automobile Co., Ltd. is one of the leading automotive manufacturers in China, and it has several core business segments that contribute to its overall operations. Here are the primary segments:
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Passenger Vehicles: This segment is focused on the design, manufacturing, and selling of passenger cars, including sedans, SUVs, and hatchbacks. Changan has a wide range of models catering to various consumer demographics and preferences.
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Commercial Vehicles: Changan produces a variety of commercial vehicles, including trucks, vans, and other utility vehicles. This segment serves businesses requiring transportation solutions for goods and services.
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Electric Vehicles (EVs): In response to the growing demand for sustainable mobility, Changan has invested heavily in electric vehicle technology. This segment includes the development and sale of fully electric and hybrid vehicles, aligning with global trends towards carbon neutrality.
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Auto Components: Changan also engages in the production of automotive components and parts, which not only supplies its manufacturing operations but also offers products to external clients.
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Research and Development (R&D): R&D is critical for Changan, focusing on innovation in automotive technology, including smart mobility, autonomous driving, and advanced manufacturing processes. This strategic segment aims to enhance competitiveness and adapt to evolving market demands.
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Global Expansion: While primarily focused on the Chinese market, Changan has initiatives for global expansion, including partnerships and joint ventures with international automotive firms to increase its market presence outside China.
These segments illustrate Changan's comprehensive approach to the automotive industry, combining traditional manufacturing with innovative technology adaptation to meet the needs of modern consumers and business clients.
Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd has several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals in the automotive industry. Here are some of the key factors:
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Strong Government Support: Being one of China’s state-owned enterprises, Changan benefits from favorable policies, funding, and support from the government, which can enhance its growth prospects and mitigate risks.
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Robust R&D Investment: Changan has a strong focus on research and development, which helps them innovate and enhance their product offerings. Their investment in R&D has led to a diverse lineup of vehicles and advanced technologies, including electric vehicles (EVs) and smart connectivity.
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Strategic Partnerships and Joint Ventures: Changan has formed joint ventures with global automotive giants such as Ford and Mazda. These collaborations allow the company to leverage foreign technology, management practices, and access to international markets, further boosting its competitiveness.
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Diverse Product Portfolio: The company produces a wide range of vehicles, including passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and new energy vehicles. This diversity helps them cater to various market segments and adapt to changing consumer preferences.
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Established Brand Reputation: With decades of experience in the automotive industry, Changan has built a strong brand reputation in China. This recognized brand equity plays a crucial role in customer loyalty and market positioning.
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Extensive Distribution Network: Changan has developed a comprehensive distribution and service network across China, enhancing its market reach and customer service capabilities. This wide coverage helps improve customer convenience and satisfaction.
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Focus on New Energy Vehicles (NEVs): Changan has proactively entered the NEV sector, focusing on innovation in electric and hybrid vehicles. This strategic move aligns with global trends towards sustainability and gives them a competitive edge in a rapidly evolving market.
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Strong Cost Management: The company has effective cost management practices that allow them to offer competitive pricing while maintaining quality. This efficiency can result in better margins and can attract cost-conscious consumers.
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Adaptability to Market Changes: Changan has demonstrated an ability to quickly adapt to market trends and consumer preferences, enabling it to remain competitive in an industry characterized by rapid change.
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Focus on Quality and Safety: The company emphasizes the production of high-quality and safe vehicles, which builds consumer trust and strengthens brand loyalty.
These competitive advantages position Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd favorably within the automotive market, particularly in the context of increasing competition and evolving consumer demands.
Chongqing Changan Automobile Co., Ltd., as one of the leading automotive manufacturers in China, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Market Competition: The automotive market, especially in China, is highly competitive with numerous domestic and international players. The rise of electric vehicle (EV) makers and tech companies entering the automotive space increases pressure on traditional manufacturers.
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Transition to Electric Vehicles: As the automotive industry shifts towards electric vehicles, Changan must invest significantly in R&D and technology to remain competitive. This transition involves substantial financial risk and uncertainty regarding consumer acceptance and regulatory support.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chains are still recovering from disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Issues related to the supply of semiconductors, raw materials, and other components can impact production schedules and operational efficiency.
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Regulatory Changes: Increasing environmental regulations and standards in China could impose additional costs. Meeting new emission standards and ensuring compliance with government policies can be challenging for traditional automobile manufacturers.
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Consumer Preferences: Rapid changes in consumer preferences, especially among younger generations who are increasingly favoring sustainability and technology, can create challenges in aligning product offerings with market demands.
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Economic Conditions: Economic fluctuations, such as slowdowns in the Chinese economy or global recessions, can affect consumer purchasing power and overall demand for automobiles.
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Foreign Exchange Risks: As a company that may export vehicles and import components, fluctuations in foreign exchange rates can impact profitability and pricing strategies.
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Technology Risks: The automotive industry is increasingly integrating advanced technologies such as autonomous driving and connected vehicles. Keeping up with technological advancements and protecting intellectual property is critical.
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Brand Reputation: Any negative publicity or quality issues can severely impact brand reputation and customer trust, leading to decreased sales and market share.
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Labor Relations: Like any manufacturing company, Changan must manage labor relations to prevent disruptions from strikes or dissatisfaction among employees, which could affect production.
Addressing these risks will require strategic foresight, investments in innovation, and effective risk management practices.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd
Current Assets | 126B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 69.7B |
Receivables | 39.7B |
Other Current Assets | 16.6B |
Non-Current Assets | 61.4B |
Long-Term Investments | 14.6B |
PP&E | 22.5B |
Intangibles | 19.4B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 4.8B |
Current Liabilities | 100.2B |
Accounts Payable | 34.3B |
Accrued Liabilities | 4.4B |
Short-Term Debt | 40.9B |
Other Current Liabilities | 20.7B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 15.4B |
Long-Term Debt | 1.2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 14.2B |
Earnings Waterfall
Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd
Revenue
|
162.5B
CNY
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-140.3B
CNY
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Gross Profit
|
22.2B
CNY
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Operating Expenses
|
-16B
CNY
|
Operating Income
|
6.2B
CNY
|
Other Expenses
|
257.4m
CNY
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Net Income
|
6.5B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd's solvency score is 55/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd's solvency score is 55/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd is 19.15 CNY with a low forecast of 13.13 CNY and a high forecast of 25.2 CNY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Chongqing Changan Automobile Co. Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and distribution of automobiles, automobile engines and spare parts. The company is headquartered in Chongqing, Chongqing and currently employs 42,444 full-time employees. The firm's own-brand models include Alsvin series, CS series, EADO series, RAETON series, Honor and Oushang series automobiles and passenger cars. In addition, The Company is also engaged in the research and development, production and sales of automobile engines. The firm mainly distributes its products in the domestic market.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 25.4 CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 14.81 CNY, Chongqing Changan Automobile Co Ltd is Undervalued by 42%.