Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Ltd
SZSE:000596
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 382.11 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 187 CNY, Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Ltd is Undervalued by 51%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Fundamental Analysis
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Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd. is a prestigious Chinese producer of traditional liquor, specifically renowned for its high-quality Gujing Laojiao, a type of Baijiu. Founded in the 17th century, the distillery is steeped in a rich heritage that blends time-honored production techniques with modern business practices. Located in the Anhui province, the distillery capitalizes on the region's unique climate and soil conditions, which contribute to the distinctive taste of its spirits. The company has successfully navigated the competitive landscape of the Chinese liquor market by focusing on innovation and quality, leveraging its brand’s storied past to maintain a loyal customer base while al...
Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd. is a prestigious Chinese producer of traditional liquor, specifically renowned for its high-quality Gujing Laojiao, a type of Baijiu. Founded in the 17th century, the distillery is steeped in a rich heritage that blends time-honored production techniques with modern business practices. Located in the Anhui province, the distillery capitalizes on the region's unique climate and soil conditions, which contribute to the distinctive taste of its spirits. The company has successfully navigated the competitive landscape of the Chinese liquor market by focusing on innovation and quality, leveraging its brand’s storied past to maintain a loyal customer base while also appealing to a younger demographic eager to explore this traditional beverage.
In recent years, Anhui Gujing has aggressively pursued expansion into both domestic and international markets. By investing in marketing and distribution channels, the company aims to enhance its global presence and cater to the growing demand for premium spirits. As consumer preferences shift towards high-end products, Gujing is well-positioned to leverage its brand equity and craftsmanship to drive sales. For investors, the company represents a compelling opportunity, given its strong financial performance, strategic growth initiatives, and commitment to quality—attributes that resonate well in a market increasingly defined by premiumization and brand loyalty.
Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd., a prominent player in the Chinese liquor industry, primarily operates in the production and distribution of traditional Chinese spirits, particularly Baijiu. Here are its core business segments:
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Baijiu Production: This is the main segment of Gujing Distillery, focusing on the manufacturing of various high-quality Baijiu products. The distillery is known for its "Gujing Junjiu" brand, which is highly regarded in the domestic market. The production process includes sourcing premium raw materials and utilizing traditional fermentation and distillation techniques.
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Brand Development and Marketing: Gujing Distillery invests significantly in branding and marketing efforts to enhance its image and expand its market reach. This involves promoting its products through various channels, including advertisements, sponsorship of cultural events, and engaging in strategic partnerships to elevate brand recognition.
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Retail and Distribution: The company operates its own distribution network to ensure its products reach consumers effectively. This includes direct sales through branded retail stores, online platforms, and partnerships with distribution companies to access broader markets.
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International Sales: As the global demand for Baijiu grows, Gujing Distillery has been expanding its international presence. This segment is focused on exporting products to foreign markets, appealing to both Chinese expatriates and local consumers interested in traditional Chinese spirits.
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Product Innovation: This segment involves research and development to create new product lines and improve existing offerings. Gujing Distillery continually seeks to innovate within the Baijiu category to cater to evolving consumer preferences and trends.
These segments contribute to Gujing Distillery’s overall growth and sustainability in the competitive liquor market, positioning it well among both domestic and international competitors.
Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd., known for its high-quality Baijiu (a traditional Chinese liquor), has several unique competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Strong Brand Heritage: Established in 1955, Gujing Distillery has a rich history and heritage that enhances its brand value. The distillery is known for its high-quality production processes and traditional brewing techniques, which resonate with consumers seeking authenticity.
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Quality and Craftsmanship: Gujing Distillery places a strong emphasis on quality control and craftsmanship. The use of traditional fermentation techniques and natural ingredients contributes to the distinctive flavor profile of its products, giving it a strong position in the premium market segment.
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Geographic Indication: The distillery is located in Gujing Town, which is famous for its unique geographical and climatic conditions favorable for producing high-quality Baijiu. This geographic indication can serve as a competitive advantage by associating the product with a specific region known for its liquor production.
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Product Diversification: Gujing has a diverse product portfolio that includes multiple variants of Baijiu, catering to different consumer preferences and price points. This diversification helps the company capture a larger share of the market and mitigate risks associated with changing consumer trends.
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Strong Distribution Network: The company has developed an extensive distribution network across China and is expanding its reach internationally. This strong distribution channel allows for better market penetration and accessibility for consumers.
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Effective Marketing and Branding Strategies: Gujing Distillery employs effective marketing strategies that enhance brand visibility and consumer loyalty. Its marketing campaigns often tie the product to traditional Chinese culture, appealing to both domestic and international markets.
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Investment in Innovation: The distillery invests in research and development to innovate its products and improve production efficiency. This focus on innovation not only enhances product quality but also allows Gujing to stay ahead of market trends.
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Growing Premium Market Segment: With the increasing demand for premium products in the Baijiu market, Gujing’s positioning as a high-end brand allows it to benefit from this trend, particularly among affluent consumers looking for premium drinking experiences.
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Sustainable Practices: A growing emphasis on sustainability within the food and beverage industry can be a competitive advantage. Gujing’s commitment to sustainable production methods and practices can appeal to environmentally-conscious consumers.
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Adaptation to Market Trends: The company has shown agility in adapting to changing consumer preferences, such as the rise in demand for white spirits among younger demographics. This ability to pivot strategies can keep Gujing relevant in a competitive landscape.
These competitive advantages contribute to Anhui Gujing Distillery's strong market position and help it maintain a leading role in the Baijiu industry amidst competition from both domestic and international players.
Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Ltd, like many companies in the alcoholic beverage industry, faces a variety of risks and challenges in the near future. These can be broadly categorized as follows:
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Regulatory Risks: Changes in government regulations regarding alcohol production, sales, and distribution can significantly impact operations. Stringent regulations or increased taxes may affect profitability.
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Market Competition: The distilled spirits market is highly competitive, with numerous local and international brands vying for market share. Increased competition can lead to price wars, which can hurt margins.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: There is a trend towards healthier lifestyles and reduced alcohol consumption among younger consumers. If Gujing fails to adapt to these changing preferences, it could lose market relevance.
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Supply Chain Constraints: Disruptions in the supply chain, whether due to natural disasters, geopolitical tensions, or the ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, can affect the sourcing of raw materials.
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Economic Factors: Economic downturns can impact consumer spending on luxury goods, including premium alcoholic beverages. Economic fluctuations can affect overall demand for products.
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Brand Perception and Marketing: Maintaining brand perception is crucial in the beverage industry. Any negative publicity, whether related to product quality or social issues, can harm sales.
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Global Expansion Challenges: If Gujing seeks to expand internationally, it may face challenges related to understanding and penetrating foreign markets, including cultural preferences and distribution channels.
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Technological Changes: The rise of e-commerce and digital marketing necessitates investment in technology and innovation. Failing to adopt new technologies may put the company at a competitive disadvantage.
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Environmental Concerns: Increasing scrutiny over environmental practices and sustainability can pressure companies to adopt more eco-friendly production processes, requiring investment and potentially increasing costs.
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Currency Fluctuations: As a company that may operate in international markets, fluctuations in currency exchange rates can impact profitability, especially if the company sources materials or sells products internationally.
Addressing these challenges requires strategic foresight and adaptability, aligning with principles of long-term value investing emphasized by Buffett and Munger. Keeping a keen eye on market dynamics, operational efficiencies, and consumer trends will be critical for Gujing's sustained growth and resilience.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Ltd
Current Assets | 25.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 15.9B |
Receivables | 1.8B |
Other Current Assets | 8.2B |
Non-Current Assets | 10.7B |
Long-Term Investments | 123.9m |
PP&E | 8.1B |
Intangibles | 1.7B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 863.9m |
Current Liabilities | 12.3B |
Accounts Payable | 2.1B |
Accrued Liabilities | 3.9B |
Short-Term Debt | 458.1m |
Other Current Liabilities | 5.8B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 1.6B |
Long-Term Debt | 167.8m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Ltd
Revenue
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23.4B
CNY
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Cost of Revenue
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-8.5B
CNY
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Gross Profit
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14.8B
CNY
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Operating Expenses
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-7.4B
CNY
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Operating Income
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7.4B
CNY
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Other Expenses
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-1.9B
CNY
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Net Income
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5.5B
CNY
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Ltd's profitability score is 76/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Ltd's profitability score is 76/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Ltd's solvency score is 80/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Ltd's solvency score is 80/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Ltd is 226.3 CNY with a low forecast of 191.9 CNY and a high forecast of 265.02 CNY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Anhui Gujing Distillery Co., Ltd. engages in the distillation and sale of liquors. The company is headquartered in Bozhou, Anhui and currently employs 10,745 full-time employees. The firm provides its products under the brand of Gujinggong. The Company’s main products include the original Chinese spirits series, the traditional Gujing spirits series and the light Gujing spirits series, among others. The firm is also involved in hotel operation business. The firm distributes its products in domestic market and to overseas markets, with Central China as its main market.
Officers
The intrinsic value of one Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 382.11 CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 187 CNY, Anhui Gujing Distillery Co Ltd is Undervalued by 51%.