China Vanke Co Ltd
SZSE:000002
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one China Vanke Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 23.83 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 8.57 CNY, China Vanke Co Ltd is Undervalued by 64%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
China Vanke Co Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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China Vanke Co., Ltd., a leading Chinese real estate developer, has been a cornerstone of the country’s rapid urbanization and economic growth. Founded in 1984, the company has carved a niche for itself by focusing not just on residential properties—like apartments and townhouses—but also on commercial real estate and urban infrastructure projects. Vanke has consistently demonstrated its ability to navigate the volatile property market in China, driven by a robust strategy that emphasizes quality, sustainability, and customer satisfaction. The company’s extensive portfolio spans dozens of cities, allowing it to diversify risk and capitalize on burgeoning urban demand. Importantly, Vanke aims...
China Vanke Co., Ltd., a leading Chinese real estate developer, has been a cornerstone of the country’s rapid urbanization and economic growth. Founded in 1984, the company has carved a niche for itself by focusing not just on residential properties—like apartments and townhouses—but also on commercial real estate and urban infrastructure projects. Vanke has consistently demonstrated its ability to navigate the volatile property market in China, driven by a robust strategy that emphasizes quality, sustainability, and customer satisfaction. The company’s extensive portfolio spans dozens of cities, allowing it to diversify risk and capitalize on burgeoning urban demand. Importantly, Vanke aims to adapt to changing market dynamics and government policies, positioning itself as a forward-thinking leader in the sector.
Investors are drawn to China Vanke not only for its impressive scale but also for its commitment to innovation and social responsibility. The company is increasingly focusing on green building practices and smart city initiatives, aligning with global trends toward sustainability and technological integration. Furthermore, Vanke’s strong financial performance, marked by consistent revenue growth and healthy profit margins, underscores its resilience in an increasingly competitive environment. With a solid balance sheet and strategic partnerships, Vanke is well-equipped to pursue new opportunities, whether through joint ventures or expansion into emerging markets. This combination of a rich history, strategic foresight, and a commitment to modern values makes China Vanke a compelling prospect for investors looking to tap into the potential of the rapidly evolving real estate landscape in China.
China Vanke Co., Ltd. is one of the largest real estate developers in China, with a diverse range of business segments that contribute to its overall operations. The company primarily operates in the following core business segments:
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Real Estate Development: This is the main business segment for Vanke, where the company develops residential properties, including apartments, villas, and commercial real estate. They focus on urban residential projects and aim to meet the housing needs of various demographics.
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Property Management: Vanke has a strong property management segment that provides services for residential and commercial properties, including maintenance, security, cleaning, and overall management. This segment generates recurring revenue and strengthens customer relationships.
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Real Estate Investment: Vanke engages in investing in real estate assets, including residential, commercial, and mixed-use properties. This investment strategy enables the company to diversify its revenue streams and enhance the value of its portfolio over time.
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Urban Development: This segment involves large-scale urban renewal projects and infrastructure development in partnership with local governments. This includes mixed-use developments that combine residential, commercial, and public spaces.
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Healthcare and Elderly Care: Vanke has been increasingly investing in the healthcare and elderly care sectors, recognizing the growing demand for such services in an aging population. This includes developing senior living facilities and healthcare-related properties.
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Logistics and Industrial Real Estate: The company has also ventured into logistics and industrial properties, capitalizing on the growth of e-commerce and supply chain demands in China. This involves developing warehouses and industrial parks.
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Other Investments: Vanke has diversified its portfolio further by exploring financial investments and strategic partnerships in various sectors, including technology and environmental sustainability.
Vanke's ability to adapt to market changes and expand its business segments has been a key factor in its resilience and continued growth in the competitive real estate market in China.
China Vanke Co Ltd, one of the largest real estate development companies in China, possesses several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals:
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Strong Brand Reputation: Vanke has built a reputable brand over decades, known for quality construction and customer satisfaction. This brand loyalty can lead to repeat customers and referrals.
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Diverse Business Model: Unlike many competitors, Vanke operates across multiple segments, including residential and commercial real estate, property management, and real estate investment trusts (REITs). This diversification allows it to stabilize revenue streams against market fluctuations.
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Access to Capital: Vanke enjoys robust access to financing from both domestic and international sources. Its established credibility and track record enable it to secure favorable terms for loans and investments.
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Scale and Economies of Scale: As one of the largest property developers in China, Vanke benefits from economies of scale in procurement, construction, and marketing, reducing costs and maximizing efficiency compared to smaller competitors.
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Strategic Partnerships: The company has formed alliances with local governments and other real estate firms, allowing for advantageous land acquisitions and enhancing its operational capabilities.
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Research and Development: Vanke invests heavily in R&D for sustainable development and innovation in construction technology, allowing it to create more efficient, environmentally-friendly projects, which can be a significant market differentiator.
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Strong Supply Chain Management: With an extensive network of suppliers and subcontractors, Vanke can manage costs and ensure quality control effectively throughout the construction and development process.
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Focus on Community Development: Vanke’s emphasis on developing communities and creating integrated living spaces resonates well with consumers, helping the company build strong relationships with buyers.
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Adaptability to Market Changes: Vanke has demonstrated a strong ability to adapt to changing market conditions and policies within China, which is critical in a rapidly evolving regulatory environment.
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In-depth Market Understanding: With a long history and extensive footprint across China, Vanke possesses valuable insights into regional markets, consumer preferences, and economic trends, enabling it to make informed strategic decisions.
These competitive advantages create a solid foundation for China Vanke Co Ltd to maintain its leadership position in the real estate sector amid competition.
China Vanke Co Ltd, one of the largest real estate developers in China, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Regulatory Environment: The Chinese government has implemented strict regulations to control the real estate sector, particularly measures aimed at reducing debt levels among property developers. These regulations could impact Vanke's financing strategies and project timelines.
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Market Slump: The Chinese real estate market has experienced fluctuations, and Vanke may face challenges from a potential slowdown in property sales. Economic uncertainties, including those stemming from the COVID-19 pandemic, can influence buyer confidence and purchasing power.
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Debt Levels: High levels of debt among real estate companies in China pose a systemic risk. Although Vanke has relatively lower debt compared to some peers, ongoing scrutiny and market conditions could affect its ability to manage debt and refinance.
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Competition: The real estate market in China is highly competitive, with numerous developers vying for market share. Vanke could face challenges from both established players and new entrants, which may pressure profit margins.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing supply chain issues arising from geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, or pandemic-related disruptions could impact construction timelines, costs, and overall project execution.
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Changing Consumer Preferences: Shifts in consumer behavior, such as a growing preference for rental properties or remote work leading to changing living preferences, could affect the demand for Vanke's residential developments.
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Economic Slowdown: Broader economic challenges in China, including slowing GDP growth or a potential recession, could negatively impact the real estate sector and consumer purchasing behavior.
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Land Acquisition Costs: The cost of acquiring land for development has been rising, which could squeeze profit margins. Any policy changes that affect land auctions or ownership could further complicate this issue.
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Environmental Regulations: Increasing focus on sustainability and green building practices might require Vanke to adapt its projects to comply with new environmental standards, potentially increasing costs.
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Public Perception and Branding: As the largest residential property developer, Vanke faces scrutiny regarding its corporate governance, transparency, and social responsibility initiatives, which can impact its brand reputation and customer trust.
Adapting to these challenges effectively will be crucial for Vanke's sustained growth and profitability in the evolving landscape of the Chinese real estate market.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
China Vanke Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
China Vanke Co Ltd
Current Assets | 1.1T |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 90B |
Receivables | 296.2B |
Other Current Assets | 692B |
Non-Current Assets | 344.6B |
Long-Term Investments | 236.3B |
PP&E | 40.6B |
Intangibles | 13.8B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 53.9B |
Current Liabilities | 786.4B |
Accounts Payable | 193.3B |
Accrued Liabilities | 44.6B |
Short-Term Debt | 3.5B |
Other Current Liabilities | 545.1B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 394.7B |
Long-Term Debt | 248B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 146.7B |
Earnings Waterfall
China Vanke Co Ltd
Revenue
|
407.6B
CNY
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-377.7B
CNY
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Gross Profit
|
29.9B
CNY
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Operating Expenses
|
-25.4B
CNY
|
Operating Income
|
4.5B
CNY
|
Other Expenses
|
-12.1B
CNY
|
Net Income
|
-7.6B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
China Vanke Co Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
China Vanke Co Ltd's profitability score is 39/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
China Vanke Co Ltd's profitability score is 39/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
China Vanke Co Ltd's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
China Vanke Co Ltd's solvency score is 43/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
China Vanke Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for China Vanke Co Ltd is 7.55 CNY with a low forecast of 4.04 CNY and a high forecast of 12.54 CNY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for China Vanke Co Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
China Vanke Co Ltd is a CN-based company operating in Real Estate Management & Development industry. The company is headquartered in Shenzhen, Guangdong and currently employs 139,494 full-time employees. CHINA VANKE CO., LTD. is a China-based company principally engaged in real estate development and property management businesses. The firm mainly develops commodity residential housings, as well as provides property management services. The firm is also involved in derivative businesses related city ancillary services, including commercial real estate business, logistics real estate business, skiing business and long rental apartment and senior life business. The firm operates its business in Guangzhou and Shenzhen Region, Beijing Region, Shanghai Region and Chengdu Region of China.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one China Vanke Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 23.83 CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 8.57 CNY, China Vanke Co Ltd is Undervalued by 64%.