STORY B Q1-2024 Earnings Call - Alpha Spread
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Storytel AB (publ)
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Storytel AB (publ)
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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2024-Q1

from 0
Operator

Welcome to the Storytel Q1 Presentation for 2024. [Operator Instructions]Now I will hand the conference over to CEO, Johannes Larcher; and CFO, Peter Messner. Please go ahead.

J
Johannes Larcher
executive

Good morning, and welcome to Storytel's Interim Report for the First Quarter 2024. I am Johannes Larcher, the CEO of Storytel, and I'm joined today by our CFO, Peter Messner. We are here on behalf of the entire Storytel team, and we look forward to discuss the results of Storytel's first quarter with you.Before we kick off, we want you to know that there will be ample time for questions at the end of the presentation.In many ways, the first quarter of 2024 represents the completion of the transformation phase my team and I have been working on since 2022. Having refocused the company on a strategy of profitable growth, we are now seeing that these efforts are bearing fruit. Our focus on smaller -- on the smaller number of geographic markets, higher marketing efficiency, more clearly articulated service differentiation and higher levels of operating efficiency continued to pay off in the first quarter. We are happy to report that subscriber and revenue growth has continued on a positive trajectory and that subscriber engagement and retention remains strong.But what stands out more than anything else in this quarter is the significantly improved level of profitability and operational cash flow. In fact, as a result of disciplined execution, Storytel achieved the highest ever level of quarterly adjusted EBITDA in its history in this quarter, amounting to over SEK 100 million. In the streaming business, this level of performance was enabled by further reductions in our cost of content, where a strong catalog of titles from our in-house publishers resonated well with our audiences and led to higher share of internal consumption.We continued to optimize CLV/SAC. And while our marketing team faced fierce competition from Nordic competitors, we were able to again acquire more subscribers with less marketing expenditure. And of course, as you are aware, we also conducted an efficiency optimization early in the new year that resulted in a 13% headcount reduction, which not only lowers our cost base but also made us more agile, collaborative and productive.Our publishing houses benefited from revenue associated with a new distribution agreement with Nextory that started sometime in February and has ramped up since then. The higher level of internal consumption also benefited Norstedts, Gummerus, People's and Storyside. And at the same time, we've had some nice wins in terms of our catalog, acquiring, amongst others, worldwide exclusive rights to Bjorn Borg's autobiography, which will be published in 2025.We also continue to innovate in the area of generative AI and launched our Voice Switcher feature in Sweden. Working with the beloved narrator, Stefan Sauk, who cloned his voice for this project, the quality of synthetic voices and the popularity of this expanded level of choice with our subscribers has delighted us. We expect to launch Voice Switcher in additional languages soon.Here are the highlights of our financial performance in the quarter. Group net sales grew by 12% year-over-year to SEK 892 million. Our gross margin expanded to 43.2%, up from 39.6% a year ago. Our adjusted EBITDA is up 167% year-over-year and reached SEK 104 million. This translates into an adjusted EBITDA margin of 11.7%. Operational cash flow was plus SEK 73 million, up substantially from around 0 a year ago.Overall, these results are strong and continue the trend of continuous improvement of our financial performance, where we balance growth and profitability.In our streaming business, revenue was up 13% year-over-year to SEK 837 million. Growth came both from the Nordic and non-Nordic segments. Our average paid subscriber base reached almost 2.3 million subs. While quarter-over-quarter growth was particularly strong in the non-Nordic segment, where we added almost 50,000 new paid subscribers, growth in the Nordics was a bit more modest, reflecting a highly competitive market environment. Year-over-year, though, our subscriber base has grown by 215,000 subs with 63,000 of these coming from the Nordic markets. It's also worth mentioning that our U.S. business, audiobooks.com, had a good quarter and grew subscribers at a double-digit rate despite more modest marketing investments.In January, we announced the next phase in our efforts to achieve higher levels of efficiency and profitability. As part of this effort, we reduced our group-wide workforce by 13% and said goodbye to about approximately 80, 8-0, full-time employees. We believe that this reduction in force not only unlocks higher levels of efficiency, but also allows us to achieve higher levels of productivity, agility and collaboration across our team. Most of the changes have been implemented in the first quarter, but there is a tail that will be finalized in Q2. And we will reach full run rate effect of these changes in the second half of 2024. The related one-off costs were recognized in Q1. We will end the year with less than 540 FTEs, down from over 800 FTEs in 2021 and nearly 700 a year ago.Based on this solid first quarter, we, as a team, are optimistic about our outlook for the remainder of 2024. We are well positioned for further growth and increased profitability. We have a large, loyal and highly engaged subscriber base. We have a unique and defensible hybrid business model that combines streaming and publishing. We have best-in-class products and technology. We have an effective and efficient marketing strategy. And we have an experienced team that has proven its ability to operate, innovate and deliver.Based on these strengths and continued focus and disciplined execution, we expect to grow 2024 group revenue by around 10%. In doing so, we also expect to deliver above 13% in adjusted EBITDA margin for the full year, and we expect our operational cash flow to be above 8% of revenue in 2024.And now for a deeper dive into our financial statements, here is Peter.

P
Peter Messner
executive

Thank you, Johannes, and I'm very happy to walk through some further details on the group's financials.Starting with the segments. Storytel reports on 3 segments; 2 within our streaming business, which are the Nordics and the non-Nordics segments and 1 within our content business, which we call Books and which is all of our publishers' external business. Books represents a stable 1/6 of total group revenues.Starting with the Nordics Streaming segment. This represented almost 58% of total group revenue and grew by 13% to SEK 559 million. The adjusted gross margin increased both as compared to the previous year and also sequentially versus the previous quarter and was 45.2%. The improvement as compared to last year was largely due to the price increases earlier in 2023, which is also why ARPU increased by 7% to SEK 157 for the Nordics. The average paying subscriber base increased by 6% or 63,000 to a total of 1.188 million.Our non-Nordic segment grew revenues likewise by 13% to SEK 278 million with an adjusted gross margin of 48.3%. ARPU was SEK 87, a slight decrease of 2%, and that is the result of both the geographic mix and also certain foreign exchange impacts. The average paying subscriber base in the non-Nordics increased by 16% or 151,000 to a total of 1,067,000 continuing on a subscriber base of above 1 million outside of the Nordics. Storytel's for non-Nordic growth markets increased by 25%. And as Johannes mentioned before, the audiobooks.com business saw a double-digit growth in subscribers during the quarter and a very good quarter as well.Finally, our Books segment saw a 1% increase in external revenue, driven by the increased digital sales. The group internal revenue growth during the quarter was 22%, supporting our strategic execution on owning publishers. And the adjusted gross margin increased versus last year and sequentially versus the previous quarter and was 58.7%.Let's turn to the next slide and have a closer look at the group's income statement then. As Johannes outlined earlier, net sales for the group grew by 12% to almost 800 -- to almost SEK 900 million at SEK 892 million. And that growth was driven by the solid performance in the Streaming segment, which was up 13%, also at constant exchange rates. Adjusted gross profit grew by 22% as compared to the first quarter last year to SEK 385 million and represented a gross profit margin of 43.2%.When taking a closer look at the group's cost structure, excluding any items affecting comparability, then we see that sales and marketing expenses amounted to SEK 212 million and increased by 3% year-on-year, which is much less than the revenue growth and decreased sequentially versus the previous quarter. Technology and development expenses amounted to SEK 61 million and decreased by 13% year-on-year and sequentially. And general and administrative expenses amounted to SEK 80 million and decreased by 14% year-on-year and sequentially, which all leads to an adjusted operating profit that improved by SEK 74 million as compared to last year and ended up being SEK 31 million. The adjusted EBITDA improved to SEK 104 million, and that represents a margin of 11.7%.During this first quarter, Storytel had items affecting the comparability of SEK 55 million in total, SEK 53 million of that affect the EBITDA. And out of that, SEK 45 million relate to restructuring charges and additional SEK 10 million of expenses relate to the group's share-based incentive schemes that are treated now as items affecting comparability.Let's turn then to the balance sheet and the main developments there. The highlight changes on the balance sheet versus the one-off December 2023 are that intangible assets very marginally increased by SEK [ 37 ] million as a net result of investments, amortization, FX effects and certain write-downs. Total assets amounted to SEK 3 billion, and the equity to asset ratio was 42.9%. During the quarter, we repaid SEK 50 million in bank debt and reduced financial debt overall to SEK 700 million. Those SEK 700 million consists of SEK 650 million of a revolving credit facility, and that one was reclassified as a noncurrent liability and additional SEK 50 million of a term loan, which is committed to be repaid by the end of June this year. What we announced earlier with the Q4 report, we extended our revolving credit facility during February until April next year, and by that, also reduced the total available facility by SEK 100 million to a total of SEK 750 million at otherwise unchanged turns.Storytel has a leverage ratio of around 1 when comparing the net debt of approximately SEK 350 million with the last 12 months of adjusted EBITDA. And with that improved financial performance, the company is in a very good position to refinance its debt at favorable terms, and we have started the related process discussions. Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period were around SEK 350 million.Turning to the next slide then and taking a look at our cash flows. We see the positive effects from our disciplined strategy execution and cost reduction that resulted in continued cash flow improvements. In the cash flow statement, adjustments for noncash items are primarily driven by depreciation and amortization, currency exchange movements and changes in provisions. The cash flow from operating activities before changes in working capital increased from SEK 18 million last year to SEK 28 million. The change in working capital was the result of reorganizational effects that have been implemented in the last quarter of last year, seasonality in receivables and payables, as well as variable pay and holiday pay accruals that have been paid out and reversed during the quarter. Cash flow from investing activities reflects our investments into particularly content, but also products and technology and was minus SEK 38 million. Cash flow from financing activities was minus SEK 59 million, and that includes the aforementioned SEK 50 million repayment of bank debt during the quarter. So all in all, total group cash flow for the period was minus SEK 97 million.Finally, turning to operational cash flow, which we define as EBITDA excluding any items affecting comparability less any operational capital expenditures. That operational cash flow was SEK 73 million as compared to barely a positive number last year. The group continues to invest in particularly into content, product and technology. And the operational cash flow is continuously and significantly on higher levels since the third quarter last year. And for 2024, we target an operational cash flow of above 80% of revenue.And with that positive outlook, I hand back to you, Johannes.

J
Johannes Larcher
executive

Thank you, Peter.I recognize that there are upcoming changes to Storytel's Board and that my announced departure as CEO later this year may lead to some questions if major change might be expected. Clearly, as you have seen reflected in the numbers, the business continues to perform very well and is getting stronger, bigger and more profitable every day. In many ways, Q1 was the strongest quarter ever in Storytel's history.In terms of our strategy, it hasn't changed. We remain committed to balanced and profitable growth across our regions. We continue to expect approximately 10% in annual revenue growth from our Nordic markets and twice that from our non-Nordic growth markets, the Netherlands, Poland, Turkey and Bulgaria. In the United States, with our audiobooks.com brand, we plan for growth in the higher single digits.With regards to expansion markets, we are maintaining our business in these markets at current levels and do not foresee significant revenue growth there from 2024 to 2026. It is important to mention, though, that these markets are no longer receiving significant investment dollars and that they are, in their totality, expected to be breakeven or better in 2024. And depending on market and competitive developments, we reserve the right to potentially reaccelerate investment and growth in these markets in the future.As far as outlook for the medium term, i.e., the period until 2026, we maintain our previous guidance. We expect 2026 group revenue to be around SEK 4.5 billion. Our streaming business will grow at roughly 10% to 12% annually between now and then. We expect to deliver significantly higher than 15% EBITDA margin in 2026. And we see the potential to run the business in steady state at over 20% EBITDA margin. Lastly, our operational cash flow will reach more than 10% by 2026.To summarize the key messages from today, Storytel delivered strongly improved operational and financial performance in the first quarter and in many ways, its best quarter in its history. The results highlight our ability to create healthy, profitable cash generation based on sustained subscriber growth, higher ARPU and close attention to managing our costs. Our first quarter has laid a solid foundation that will enable further growth of our top line and improve profitability going forward. We, thus, remain very optimistic about the company's prospects. Our near-term guidance for 2024 remains unchanged. We will deliver group revenue growth of around 10% this year. Our full year adjusted EBITDA margin will be higher than 13% and our operational cash flow will be north of 8% in 2024.Thank you for attending our call today. We will now open the session up for your questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Joachim Gunell from DNB Markets.

J
Joachim Gunell
analyst

So I think that the gross margin build here was perhaps the main story into those strong results, which show the midterm attainable margin potential. So can you just comment a bit on where you are now in the relation to or in relation to the plan to raise the overall gross margin of the business in comparison to the plan that you laid out in mid-2023? There was a 4 percentage point increase here year-over-year. So what levers did you pull here and what levers are left to pull?

J
Johannes Larcher
executive

Yes. Joachim, thank you for a thoughtful question. Let's start with [ effects ]. Gross margin, it did expand from SEK 316 million in 2023 to SEK 385 million this year. So that is a change from 39.6% to 43.2%. So it's a strong improvement in gross margin. There are several factors that are driving our gross margin. And cost management, obviously, is a key part of that. I'll start with higher marketing efficiency. We simply have harvested what I would call a large set of low-hanging fruit in terms of improving the way we acquire and retain new subscribers. We're becoming more efficient. We are doing much more with the same amount of investment or lower investment than we did in the past. So marketing efficiency is going up and will continue to go up. We have a really strong team there now that is making progress every day.We've also seen great potential in achieving lower content costs through investing in our own content and improve profitability over time. That's made, we call this, the internal share of consumption and that has developed very, very favorably. That is primarily a function or an outcome of the fact that our publishing houses whether that's Norstedts, Gummerus, People's or Storyside are producing incredibly successful and attractive content that consumers are compelled to consume. So we're [Technical Difficulty]

P
Peter Messner
executive

I think I will chip in. Hopefully, Johannes doesn't have too much of a technical issue there on his end. No, I mean the content costs, Joachim, are, of course, and have continuously been a focus area to see how can we really improve,and obviously, execute on our strategy of owning both a streaming business for distribution, but also the publishing business for content creation for usage. We have seen, as we commented, I believe, in the CEO comments that our in-house publisher, Storyside, fully focusing on audio book production only has seen its titles with a record engagement on our platform, which is, of course, the appreciation and the confirmation of, well, we know what kind of content is really highly attractive and what drives consumption engagement and then ultimately, of course, the subscriber growth here as well.

J
Joachim Gunell
analyst

But -- so you were out with some reclassified definition of EBITDA here recently to factor in the [ Nordic ] JV as well. So I mean, in Q1, delivering the adjusted EBITDA margin we did today, we know that seasonally, you will get [Audio Gap] in Q3, and you also have the full benefit of, call it, workforce rationalization here for the latter part of the year. Can you just comment a bit about your line of sight and how confident you are of hitting that 13%-plus target for the full year?

P
Peter Messner
executive

Yes. We are very confident with that target to deliver above 13% in adjusted EBITDA margin for the year. So I think there is no question around that when it comes to this item. The -- as Johannes mentioned before as well on the execution of what we have announced earlier this year and the reduction in workforce and seeing then the full effect, we obviously do not stop there. We have continuously executed during the last couple of quarters on the various items that affect how efficient we can run the business. It is the marketing efficiency, obviously, that is a huge part of the equation, how to attract the new subscribers and how efficient we can actually be in the markets that we are in, also to make sure that we find the high-value subscribers and can sustain ARPU levels to the extent that is possible if you consider then the geographic mix that we have. So that will continue because there's always ways how we can improve, that is ingrained in our culture and the way how we are working. And the same is then true, obviously, for the other ways how we are working. So we reiterated and we are quite confident to deliver above 13% of adjusted EBITDA margin for this year.

J
Joachim Gunell
analyst

And when it comes to differentiation, you -- I think Johannes commented that in particular in his CEO statement here that you will look at some new pricing and new packages, new offerings. You at least start with that type of ambition for the latter part of the year. So can you say anything about what we can expect when it comes to the further differentiation of the service?

J
Johannes Larcher
executive

Yes. I'm sorry. Apparently, I dropped off mid-sentence. Hopefully, this won't be the case now. So thank you for that question, Joachim. Differentiation -- service differentiation remains a priority for the company. It happens on multiple levels, and I think we're making good progress on all 3. The first thing we do about service differentiation is around content; original exclusive content that is only available on Storytel. I'll give the example of a title we released in Denmark in the first quarter called My Brother in 75 parts. I think you can guess what this story is about. It was an incredibly successful original that we launched, and it was the highest ever Storytel original when it came to first book picked, which is an indicator of attraction. So this book was a highly subscriber attractive book.We also today actually launched, and I'm very excited about this, our first major Norstedts original on Storytel. We are releasing a audio book only of the famous author Denise Rudberg, one of our most popular offers at Norstedts. The audio book exclusive is called [ Her Last Step ], and I think you can check it out on the service today. So we're doing a lot around original and exclusive content to differentiate the service.The second thing we are doing is about features. Voice Switcher was recently launched in Sweden. You heard about this in collaboration with Stefan Sauk, who allowed his voice to be cloned. This has gone very, very well. It is a very popular feature when it is available on a book, consumers really embrace it and enjoy it. We've been surprised by how much positive reception we've been able to generate through Voice Switcher. And you can expect a lot more in the months and years to come out of the application of generative AI to our value chain and the production and distribution of audio books.Now you asked, Joachim, specifically about what we're doing around pricing and packaging and promotions. And yes, we did hint in our letter that there is more to come. What I can tell you is that we are, at the moment, actively preparing for the introduction of new pricing packages and offers for our streaming service that will roll out later this year. Our goal with these new packages and prices is always to make the service more attractive to our users and to make sure that we have the right plan available that fits the right audio book use cases and needs, preferences of the right target segment. So you will see changes to price. You will see some new product features, package features that are innovative that don't exist in the Nordic market as of today. And for the details, unfortunately, you'll have to wait a little bit longer, but things are happening, and we'll have more to say about this not too far in the future.

J
Joachim Gunell
analyst

That's clear. And then just a final one from my end. You commented about this in your ending statement there, Johannes, but I mean, from an operational standpoint, you are much leaner and leaner today. In in-store return, you're over -- or you're executing ahead of plan. But I think that investors and us analysts, we are somewhat puzzled about the ongoing ownership changes and also to the leadership team here. So what's your message to make us more calm about the ongoing changes and that they won't become a significant speed bump here for the remainder of the year?

J
Johannes Larcher
executive

Yes, I don't think you should be concerned. I mean, as usual, there is a process every year in a Swedish public company where the Board gets reconstituted. We have some changes to the Board. Some Board members were no longer available. We have announced a new slate of incoming or proposed directors. Hopefully, next week at the AGM, that will be confirmed, and we will have a new Chairwoman and several new directors on the Board. I think this is a normal process. I wouldn't read anything into that change.Regarding my own self and I am not irreplaceable, I completely understand that. I want to be very humble about my contribution to what the team has achieved here. So look, for me, 2 years, it feels like we've achieved a lot together and have really turned the company into a positive direction away from a path that could have led to the brink, towards a path where we now have options on where we want to take the company strategically because we are profitable, we are stable and we are growing. So it feels a little bit like the end of an era. And when I started thinking about this and when I started considering my own personal reasons and priorities, I came to the conclusion that this might just be a great time to hand over leadership to a new and even more talented leader.So that dialogue with the Board started a few months ago. It was a very productive friendly dialogue. My commitment to the company is that I will stay fully active until the fall of this year. I will do my very best to help the new Board find its footing and hopefully help transition to the new CEO as they come in. So I'm not going anywhere. I am actively working on this business every day until a new leader steps in. And I think we've set this business up for great potential success going forward. So I would not lose my hair, if I had any, over these developments. I think it's normal course of business and things will be just fine.

Operator

The next question comes from Derek Laliberte from ABG Sundal Collier.

D
Derek Laliberte
analyst

Thanks for all the great answers so far and also the details about the Board and management development of late. I was just wondering, Johannes, if I could follow up a bit more on your reason to step down at this point because you obviously have achieved, you and the team, a lot here in a relatively short period of time, but I think most of us expected you to stay on for a bit longer.

J
Johannes Larcher
executive

Thank you, Derek, for your question, and thank you for the kind sentiment it expresses. I've had a lot of fun at Storytel and still have a lot of fun at Storytel, and I'm very proud of what we have achieved as a team. I have personal reasons that played into my decision quite a bit. Personal reasons typically fall into 3 categories. It's either a new job, it's a family issue or it's a health issue. I can assure you that I am not going anywhere else into a new job. I have nothing lined up and no intention to do anything very quickly. And I hope you understand I'm not going to comment more on whether it's health-related or family-related, but that's really what the core of the personal motivation is to do this now. I remain a small shareholder in the company. I have an incentive to see this company succeed. I have both a short-term incentive that I'd like to see come through in 2024, and I have a long-term incentive that could be quite valuable. So I'm going to do everything I can to help this company succeed.And as for myself, I will be just fine. I admit it was a little bit more challenging to be in Sweden away from my family for extended periods of time. And I think one of the benefits I look forward to is to spend more time with my wife and kids and dog back in the United States.

D
Derek Laliberte
analyst

Really appreciate the color on that, Johannes. And then I wanted to follow up on the differentiation aspect here. I think it's really interesting, and you mentioned there are several aspects to this as well. Are you seeing -- the Nordics delivered, I think, a really strong result here in the quarter. Typically, it's seasonally weak here, but you still managed to increase the subscriber base. Are you seeing any signs or you have any customer service or anything, what the company -- or rather the customers appreciate the most about your offering specifically? Is it the new AI voice is driving things? Or is it the content -- the exclusive content, et cetera, or the app functionality, et cetera?

J
Johannes Larcher
executive

Yes. I mean great question. So when we survey our customers and talk about Storytel with them, one of the highest appreciated components of the experience is obviously our content lineup. And there, it is not only the volume and the level of completeness of catalog that we offer, we are very broad and very deep when it comes to covering available audio books. It is also the quality of the content. And then I think, increasingly, as we invest more in feature and promote more, the original stories that are only available on Storytel, that has an impact. That is starting to really resonate with our customers that Storytel is more than just a bunch of audio books assembled from all kinds of licensors and slapped together and put on an app, they actually curate, they actually create content on their own that I can't find anywhere else. So I do think that it's taken a while, but we are now seeing very, very prominent offers like Denise Rudberg-launched original exclusive content on Storytel only, and that will make a difference. So that plays a big role.In terms of features and the app, look, we are best-in-class and all the service and market research we do show that we are, by a good distance, actually ahead of the competition when it comes to ease of use, ubiquity of availability of our service on different platforms that matter to users. There is a sense that we have started to innovate again, and that is driven by things like Voice Switcher, where -- which is not available on our competitors. Whether this will become a mainstream feature used by the majority of our subscribers only time will tell, but the initial feedback we're getting on Voice Switcher, especially when it comes with a prominent voice that is -- that belongs to a beloved actor or personality is very, very good.And so I think the differentiation side, on the pricing and product, we have been -- we've been on the back foot. We have not been as innovative and maybe experimental and aggressive as we should have been. Remember, before I came in about 2.5 years ago, we had a single product in every country, and it was the unlimited service, right? And then we launched, in the wake of other players in the market starting to innovate around packaging, our basic and our premium service tiers in some countries. And that was good and it has really helped the business. It has driven ARPU increases. It has brought new audiences and segments into the service. But we can't stop there. We are still disadvantaged.I mean to give you an example, in Sweden, our basic product compared to BookBeat's basic product, I think we have something like a 30% price disadvantage. That's not a good thing when you're competing for a casual younger segment with higher price elasticity. So I think you will see in the next few months, as Luis and his team launch these new packages and prices, that we are not only matching what the competition has been doing, we are actually introducing new components and dimensions of packages that no one else has available in the region. And from -- why are we doing that? We expect that this will help bring new customers into our service, will increase engagement and retention and create some extremely churn-resistant cohorts. And it will allow us to take share from others, at this point BookBeat and Nextory.So we have a whole plan lined up for the summer, and I think it'll be very exciting to see what happens when we roll that out.

D
Derek Laliberte
analyst

Definitely sounds exciting. And then a follow-up on the Nordics in light of the competition you mentioned. Can you say anything about what's your main concern relating to competition in the Nordics going forward there?

J
Johannes Larcher
executive

I am not...

D
Derek Laliberte
analyst

The pricing or maybe somebody coming in with a different offering or some consolidation in the market they wouldn't be part of or sort of what are the...

J
Johannes Larcher
executive

Yes, I am not super concerned or losing sleep over the existing set of competitors in the market. I mean we are, by far, the largest player in the Nordics. We have competed with BookBeat and Nextory for a long time and very effectively, I believe. We will continue to do that. I'm very confident in that. I think what all of us are waiting for is whether Spotify will actually make a move in the Nordics or not. They have started to launch their audio book service in English-speaking countries. As we know, they have experimented with different ways of doing that, and I don't think they have quite settled on what the preferred way of bringing audio books to their subscribers might be. Just recently saw that they're launching a separate audio book tier in the United States, separate from their music and podcasting tier. And that's -- the way I interpret it is it's basically a reflection of their inability to make the unit economics work if you include audio books at 15-hour level into your music service, the margins just don't add up for them.So they may make a move in the Nordics. We are observing that. We have our thoughts on how to prepare for that, and we are getting ready and hardening the target, if you so want. But yes, that is probably the single dimension of competition where it could have an impact, given that Spotify is so extremely popular and has millions of paid subscribers in the Nordics, some of which overlap with our own subscribers. So we keep a close eye on it, and we will see, ultimately, if they launch, whether the benefits of such a launch, basically expanding the addressable market and bringing audio books to more and more subscribers in the market, will outweigh or not outweigh the disadvantages. But overall, competition-wise, we've competed with big global players for many, many years. We saw Audible try and move into the Nordic market a while ago and then leave. We are quite comfortable competing with those guys. And I think we have all the ingredients in place to continue doing so well.

D
Derek Laliberte
analyst

Okay. Great. And just on -- I was wondering, I might have missed something in my own calculations here. But on the ARPU development here for both the Nordics and non-Nordics, it's not a major change, but it's been relatively flat for 3 quarters here heading into Q1, and it is up year-over-year because of partly the pricing. But what is driving the sequential decrease there? Is it -- how much is, say, FX and how much is the mix in the subscriptions...

J
Johannes Larcher
executive

Yes. Thank you. Great question, and I think Peter should weigh in as well. But I'll give you my view. The slight easing of ARPU that you see in this quarter is as expected. Here is what's happening. The main driver behind this is that new subscribers are primarily [ from ] countries and they opt primarily for subscription plans that have lower ARPU. We've introduced lower ARPU plans. Our basic plan is SEK 129 in Sweden, for example. And as new consumers come in, some of them choose these lower ARPU plans instead of the higher-priced SEK 229 unlimited plan. And then, of course, as we acquire more and more customers outside the Nordics, that means also that our average ARPU drops because ARPU in these markets is lower. There is impact from FX, and there is impact from inflation, especially in Turkey that we are dealing with. But that's basically the key message here, Derek, that the shift -- the mix in the base of subscribers has started to shift a little bit towards those more efficiently-priced affordably-priced lower-end plans with limited consumption of hours.Peter, do you want to comment a bit more on ARPU development?

P
Peter Messner
executive

No, I think these are the key highlights, Derek, that Johannes mentioned here. The FX effects were negligible for the Nordics during the first quarter, if you compare year-over-year, it was a little bit different as compared to the final quarter of last year in terms of the development towards the Swedish SEK. But year-over-year, there was not really anything that was of a major significance. In the non-Nordics it was a little bit different. The Polish zloty had quite some movement against the SEK and the other way around the Turkish lira, as Johannes also mentioned now. And that is then just reflected in -- depending on how the subscriber growth and the attraction of new subscribers and that overall mix, how that's developed apparently with very different ARPU levels in different countries. That's more the case for the non-Nordics as compared to the Nordics. But other than that, it is these key items that Johannes has mentioned, yes.

D
Derek Laliberte
analyst

And just finally, on the Voice Switcher, seems very exciting. I was wondering if you could comment on the development going forward, I think some 25 books or something for Stefan Sauk, what sort of -- what will accelerate the development and what type of impact should we expect over the coming 1 or 2 years here?

J
Johannes Larcher
executive

Yes, great question. We are obviously super excited about this. I want to make clear one thing, though, that when we talk about AI at Storytel, Voice Switcher is just the tip of the spear. It is the sexy shiny thing that has been exposed to the consumer, but we are in a process of applying or starting to apply, in some cases, artificial intelligence to the entire value chain of our business, whether that is the creation of metadata, the optimization of marketing materials and copy, whether it is the creation of book covers, there's so many opportunities for us to leverage [ G-AI ] to become more efficient and become more effective.But back to Voice Switcher, we are continuing to expand Voice Switcher. We will launch more books in languages that we have already launched, and we will launch additional languages in the course of this year. We are working on that. We're doing it in a very measured way. We want to learn and analyze the data as we go along. So I'm not going to go on record and give you a specific number of languages or books that we're going to be at, at the end of the year, but we are going to increase the level of titles that are available, through Voice Switcher in synthetic voice. And we are going to continue what has turned out to be a quite successful approach of taking a very well-known popular voice and making that available as one of the voice choices in Voice Switcher.So Stefan Sauk, as I mentioned, super popular. When he is available, the vast majority of subscribers choose his voice over the other synthetic voices. So I think that tells us that even in this new AI world, the personality of the star still matters. And you can expect that we will be looking for other opportunities to work with additional prominent voice talent and convince them that participating in Voice Switcher is actually good for them. So that's where we are. We are super excited, but this is very early days, and I don't want anyone to think that this is going to be a massive tens of thousands of titles effort by next year. That's not yet going to happen. We're going to go very gradually as we understand better the benefits of this new toy and tool.

Operator

The next question comes from Stefan Ward from Pareto Securities.

S
Stefan WĂĄrd
analyst

First, Johannes, very sad to see that you're leaving. I think you've done a really good job with the company during your tenure and yes, I hope to stay in touch basically. So with that, I'd like to have a few questions here. One is, when I look at the progress of the U.S. business, it looks increasingly odd to have the U.S. as part of the strategy. I mean the cash flow in the rest of the business has improved quite significantly, and you don't seem to have any major growth ambition in the U.S. Can you describe a little bit on how we should look on that asset and also comment on how the market conditions are for that type of assets if you were to sell it?

J
Johannes Larcher
executive

Yes. Thank you for your kind words, Stefan. And equally -- I'm equally said to be moving on, but look forward to stay in touch, of course. On the U.S. business, great question. I'm glad you're asking it. We actually had a very, very strong performance in the first quarter in the U.S. business. We saw subscriber growth north of 10% with, at the same time, reduced investment in marketing. And there's a logical explanation for that. We've recently made audiobooks.com available on Apple's iOS and on Google Play. So we are now on the most important app stores in the U.S. with this service. And we've also significantly increased marketing efficiency and put in better marketing practices in that business. So we've seen good growth.And I will say, yes, the U.S. business is relatively small, but it is quite profitable. And then you look at its contribution to our 2023 EBITDA, for example, it accounts for a quite disproportionately high level of EBITDA in the overall picture. So we like the U.S. business. We think it's doing well, and it's actually getting stronger. We are seeing that the addressable market for audio books in the U.S. is expanding, thanks to Storytel -- Spotify entering the audio book market. We see that we are performing better and are able to be on the right platforms with the right offer. So we have a certain degree of optimism for our U.S. business that it can grow and still be very profitable at the same time.So there's nothing wrong there. If anything, the question will be, should we invest more in this business? Is it worthy of additional investment and maybe delayed gratification in terms of profitability a little bit because the potential is there, the team is good. And I am a fan of this business, and I think it's a valuable part of the overall Storytel story.

S
Stefan WĂĄrd
analyst

That's good to hear. Interesting. You won't give me any details on the margin in the U.S., I guess, or [ can I hope today ]?

J
Johannes Larcher
executive

I'm afraid I won't, no, no.

S
Stefan WĂĄrd
analyst

Okay. Fair enough.

J
Johannes Larcher
executive

Sorry.

S
Stefan WĂĄrd
analyst

Yes, no problem. So any sort of color on the specific development in the Netherlands and Poland would be of interest. Could you give a market share perhaps or subscriber growth or profit margins? Anything to become more comfortable with the prospects of these 2 markets would be helpful for me.

J
Johannes Larcher
executive

Peter, I don't think we break this out separately from our non-Nordics markets. I will say that when I think about our 4 European growth markets, Netherlands, Poland, Turkey and Bulgaria, I am very pleased with the growth we have been able to unlock. The growth level is very, very high in non-Nordics. And that is a result of different factors. It really depends market by market. I will say, for example, that in Bulgaria, we have grown substantially and just recently crossed a very important subscriber threshold number where we are, for the first time, in the 6 figures in that market. And part of that is driven because our partnerships with telcos in Bulgaria have worked out really, really well. We are -- there, we've been able to really crack the code on how to work with these large telco partners and penetrate their subscriber bases with this incremental add-on offer. So that's that.In Poland, look, I think we're doing well. We're not the #1 player and not the #2 player. We're #2 and #3 player, but [Technical Difficulty].

P
Peter Messner
executive

Yes, I think I will chip in again, but whatever Johannes wanted to say, which I cannot read his mind, but we have good progress in Poland when it overall comes also to the subscriber growth. As Johannes mentioned, Bulgaria is probably the smallest when it comes to that milestone achievement, the smallest of the 4 markets, although it has a very interesting and very high subscriber growth in this group of these 4 markets, the top growth markets here in Europe. So I mean, overall, we are extremely satisfied with the development that we see in all of these 4 markets. They have their slightly different trajectories because they are, of course, culturally [ partly ] very different, competitive environments are a little bit different. Our partnerships with the kind of telcos are a little bit different. We have 1 in Netherlands as well and 2 in Bulgaria, as Johannes mentioned. So it's a very positive development. As we said, overall, in this group of 4, 25% subscriber growth year-on-year, and we had this sequentially now for a few quarters.

S
Stefan WĂĄrd
analyst

That's very helpful. And then maybe I can shift over to a question regarding the balance sheet. It sounds like you feel quite confident in the strength of the balance sheet, the outlook for the cash flow. It looks like you will go into net cash by early next year at the latest. What can you guide there? And how will you sort of run the debt side of -- will you amortize everything away as soon as possible? Or will you -- how will you think about using the balance sheet in the business going forward?

P
Peter Messner
executive

Yes. That will be a discussion, obviously, also with our new Board of Directors that will constitute itself next week and then going forward with the discussions that we have there. As I said in the presentation, if you take a look at our net debt position now, we have a net interest-bearing debt of SEK 700 million and the cash balance -- cash and cash equivalents of half of that. So the net debt is EUR 350 million-ish in the last 12 months of EBITDA [ are like that ]. Our EBITDA is supposed to grow, obviously, so we should end up with a leverage ratio below 1, everything else equal and no other measures being taken, right? I don't see -- personally, I don't see a reason to fully amortize the debt. We are in a very good situation. We have very positive and favorable banks that support us on that journey. So we have a lot of flexibility, I think, to deal with that question when there is the time ripe for really addressing it properly. But that will be a forward discussion, obviously, with our Board of Directors and gaining more insight and guidance there as well.

Operator

There are no more phone questions at this time. So I hand the conference back to the speakers for any written questions and closing comments.

P
Peter Messner
executive

Yes, there are no written questions as we see from our platform in the webcast. So I think Johannes, we can share some final comments and wrap up.

J
Johannes Larcher
executive

Yes. Thank you, indeed. We are very pleased with this quarter. It really is the culmination of a 2-year journey. And I can't wait to see where we and whoever follows me in the CEO role takes this business next. It's a wonderful business that serves a really great mission and adds so much value to consumers' lives in so many places. So I feel stronger and more optimistic about Storytel today than I've ever before. And hopefully, we'll still have an opportunity to talk to you again at our Q2 earnings at the end of July, but this was solid, great quarter and on we go. Thank you very much for dialing in today, and thank you for all your questions.

P
Peter Messner
executive

Thank you.