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Kambi Group PLC
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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2023-Q1

from 0
M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

Very welcome to Kambi's Q1 2023 Report Presentation. My name is Mia Nordlander, and I am Senior Vice President, Investor Relations here. And today, we will start to hear our CEO, Kristian Nylen, talking about the quarter, followed by our CFO, David Kenyon. Thereafter, we will have time for questions. So you can either call into us and ask them here or send them to me through the chat in the web.

So once again, very welcome to the presentation and over to you, Kristian.

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

Thank you, Mia. So yeah, I will talk you very briefly through about the highlights, and then I will hand over to David, and then I will come back and talk more about the quarter in depth. So this quarter, we are having a very busy sporting calendar with a couple of top events, the playoffs in American football and especially with Super Bowl and The March Madness. I will talk more about that later. But we are very pleased with the product we are able to produce for these top events and with a perfect performance. So that is very pleasing.

Revenues for quarter is up 19%. And yeah, as I said, it is a very busy quarter. So we expect this and Q4 to always be the two top quarters on a yearly basis. The major news on this quarter is, of course, the renewal of two of our top operators, Rush and BetPlay. These two are benefiting more than 50% of our underlying GGR in the Americas.

So they are two very, very important customers to us, and we are very pleased to renew the contract with both of them. And of course, our AI-driven trading has been rolled out across all major leagues in Europe now, and we're very happy about the results so far, and I will talk more about that later.

But for now, I hand over to David.

D
David Kenyon
CFO

Thanks, Kristian. Yeah, let me start with the financial highlights for the quarter. The revenue for the quarter was EUR44 million, up from EUR36.9 million this time last year. We benefited from launching new customers from going to some new states in the U.S., and of course, from a full quarter of revenue from Shape Games.

Our costs did increase from EUR29.5 million to EUR39.5 million, but there's some big reasons for that, which I'll get into. Firstly, some structural changes to our P&L. We have additional OpEx from the acquisition of Shape Games and also the amortization on the acquired intangibles related to that acquisition. Those two alone combined for EUR3.6 million of that cost increase.

We also had certain non-recurring costs in the quarter. Versus last year, we had a movement in FX of EUR1.3 million, with EUR0.5 million cost this year and EUR0.8 million gain this time last year. We also had personnel restructuring costs of around EUR1 million. This was actually a headcount reduction in the business of around 30 people. We realized operational efficiencies, which were enabled in large part by our new Algo initiative, which we talked about recently at the Capital Markets Day.

These personnel restructuring savings will ultimately lead to reduced OpEx on those headcounts of more than EUR2 million per annum. But in this quarter, we saw a EUR1 million one-off cost. This led to EBIT for the quarter of EUR4.5 million, but we actually introduced a new metric this quarter. It's earnings before interest, tax and amortization on acquisitions and it specifically excludes amortization on the acquired intangibles from our EBIT number to show the underlying performance excluding non-cash acquisition-related entries. And on this basis, we made EUR5.8 million versus EUR7.7 million this time last year.

Our net cash showed a healthy increase in the quarter, up significantly and cost by about EUR8 million, and I will show that in more detail. But we are down on last year, mainly due to the acquisition we made of Shape Games during the year. But overall, a very healthy balance sheet at the end of Q1.

This is the Kambi Turnover Index. It's an aggregation of the entire portfolio as I show each quarter. The blue columns are an indexed turnover aggregation, so the operator turnover accumulated on an index basis. And the orange line is the operator trading margin across the network. You see that turnover took a small dip after Q4, and that was as we expected, as a result of the Football World Cup taking place in Q4.

This was offset, to some degree, by launching into new states, notably Massachusetts and Ohio. In terms of the sporting season, in early February, we saw the culmination of the NFL season, but we saw a significant increase in our basketball turnover with the college season a big contributor this quarter. We were up 12% versus last year. We're live in four more U.S. states.

We saw Kindred relaunch into the Netherlands in July last year. But these boosts to turnover probably offset to some degree by the results of Penn National Gaming, where we've seen in their public data that they've seen a lot of market share in key states such as Pennsylvania, Illinois and -- yeah, Illinois and Pennsylvania, sorry. And as I've talked to about how they've moved their focus away from customer acquisition, and that's to some degree shown through in our numbers too.

The operator trading margin for the quarter was 8.2% versus 8.1% this time last year, which brings me to the revenue conversion. So as I said, we start on the left with 12% operator turnover growth. Relatively small impacts this quarter from the operator margin, which was in line with last year. And the tax and marketing deductibles also relatively small as we're now -- the vast majority of our business is coming through regulated markets, and that's very steady up north of 90%.

The other column is a little lower than it has been in prior months. We've seen a significant increase in our live data costs specifically, which are recharged through to operators. And these are revenues which are independent of the level of operator turnover.

And then on the right-hand side, you see the contribution from Shape Games. It's approximately EUR3 million, and it's, of course, completely new versus this time last year, with the acquisition happening in the second half of 2022. All-in-all, that took us to a 19% growth in revenues.

Finally, the cash flow. As I mentioned, very healthy increase during the quarter. We started at 60.7% was our opening cash balance and that's added to by the operating profits, which I've talked through. Those profits were complemented by an increase in our working capital position with some delayed receipts from operators actually due to be paid in Q4, got slightly delayed and were paid in Q1, but it's obviously helped our cash position now by the end of the quarter here. And we closed with a closing cash position of EUR68.7 million. So a very healthy position for the balance sheet moving forward.

With that, I'm going to pass you back to Kristian.

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

Thank you, David. Yeah. As I started saying, I mean, as usual, Q1 displays a great sporting calendar. Tennis is back, and we have Australian Open, the soccer has a very busy schedule. But the two main events is play offs in American football and the Super Bowl. And after that, the March Madness.

Our product has been great. For the football, we -- during the playoffs introduced cash out for the BetBuilder, which we, together with Bet365 was the first in the market offer. And yeah, we tested it a few matches before, and it worked absolutely perfectly during Super Bowl. The Super Bowl in itself was the second largest event ever, only beaten by the Super Bowl last year, and it's twice the size of a World Cup final.

As you can see on the graph, the 13 playoff games has a massive contribution to our quarterly results. And now since early February, there is no more football until September again. So of course, it has a big impact on the second half of this quarter, but more importantly, in Q2 and Q3.

During the quarter, we also have a March Madness, which is the college playoffs in basketball. Has great interest, especially in the U.S., of course. And we had a great performance year-on-year. We were up 17% on turnover. And mainly, it was driven by enhancements in the product such as BetBuilder and more player markets. So I would say, we have the best product out there for this tournament. We're very pleased with, all in all, the product enhancements and especially, as I said before, perfect performance for these big events.

During the quarter, we also had a few partner signings, some of them we covered in Q4. So I will highlight only three of them here. First, we have Del Lago, which is Upstate commercial casino in New York. We actually used to power it as part of a drafting deal back in the days. And we are pleased to have it back in our portfolio of customers. And as it is only four commercial casinos, it's a very interesting retail business for us. And together, we're having -- supplying Rush, their retail casino and also having free casinos for Seneca in New York. We have a very dominant market share on the retail sports betting in the state.

The second one, Potawatomi is a partnership with the largest casino group in Wisconsin. Wisconsin is a state that only have regulated retail and mobile on-premise. So having retail deals is more important in these kind of states, of course. And here, we have, what I would say, the crown jewel of the casinos in the state with very close proximity to Milwaukee, the largest City in Wisconsin.

And finally, on this slide, we have signed -- Shape Games has made a partnership with Wagr a couple of weeks ago. This is a very interesting partner in itself. But yesterday, Yahoo announced that they were acquiring Wagr. So of course, this partnership becomes much, much more important than it was before. And we are very much looking forward to work together with Yahoo.

As usual, during early quarter, we do a lot of live launches. In Q1, this year, we did 20 launches in three new states as well. In Ohio, we completed 11 retail and online launches during the quarter. In Massachusetts, we went live retail just before Super Bowl. And after that, we have also added online in March. And finally, as I talked about, we have launched -- we've put Potawatomi in Wisconsin, making Wisconsin with 22nd state we are active in.

I would say we are unmatched for market delivery and our customers can always trust us to be among the first in any new market coming up. And we are consistently enabling our customers to be on market, on time. We will continuously update you about our development. We have invest five key growth drivers towards our 2027 financial targets as we presented on the Capital Markets Day a few months ago.

In Q1, we had good progress on the first three of these drivers, and I will go through each of them now. So firstly, as I start mentioning, we have done significant added extensions. We have two of our largest customers, Rush Street and BetPlay. These two customers are together roughly 50% or more than 50% of GGR, but we are operating in the Americas.

RSI is, of course, very active in the U.S., where we are active in many other states, but we also do business in Canada, Colombia and Mexico. So very pleased to have extended that contract. BetPlay is, of course, the market leader in Colombia. With this extension, we also communicated plans to expand across Latin America further.

Talking about Latin America. This is and are a very, very important part of our future growth, of course. We are already extremely successful in Colombia. We're doing great movements in Argentina, where we now are live in eight jurisdictions, covering roughly 55% of a population in Argentina. And it's looking really, really good. We have really interesting news about Brazil.

The government there seem to have come to a tax rate for the regulation of sports betting in Brazil. And we expect official announcement to come very, very soon in Brazil. Of course, Brazil is a third of the Americas. So it's an extremely important market to get live with. And as I communicated in last quarter, we believe we have one really strong customer in radio Pitco already. And of course, we hope to be able to sign a few more in Brazil over the next few quarters.

One point that we have talked quite a lot about lately is, of course, our third generation trading capability. We are now able with AI-powered trading to really make the product much, much better and we can do it much more efficiently. As I communicated before, we had a great success during World Cup. And now during this quarter, we have rolled this out to the top six European domestic leagues and also to the big cap tournaments such as Champions League, Europa League, FA Cup and so forth.

We will, of course, continue this rollout with more leagues. But more importantly, we expect to be able to do this on live betting as well in Q3 or Q4. After that, we expect to roll out more sports during the next coming years, giving our operators and their end users a much, much greater product, but also making it possible for us to do it with much greater efficiency. As an example of the impact in Q1, the turnover on BetBuilder almost doubled year-on-year because of a better product we could give.

So to summarize this quarter, we have extended two of our most important partners in BetPlay and Rush Street. We're extremely pleased with that. Our AI-driven trading illustrates a substantial opportunity. And I think this is something we are quite unique at and really looking forward to see what we can take it during the next couple of quarters with in-play betting or live betting.

So we're doing great progress towards our 2027 targets and looking forward for the rest of the year. Thank you very much.

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

Thank you, Kristian, and thank you, David. Now it's time for questions. So you can either call in to us and ask them directly or you can send them via chat to me. So first of all, over to you, operator, questions from the phone.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Oscar Ronnkvist from ABG. Please go ahead.

O
Oscar Ronnkvist
ABG

Thank you. Good morning, Kristian, David and Mia. Thanks for taking my question and apologies in advance if you need to repeat yourself, I entered the call a bit late. So first, just on -- in Arizona, we see Desert Diamond performing quite well. So I just want to get a touch on if you have any evidence on local starting to grab some market shares in other states that we cannot track? And also, I mean, we have seen the start for JACK Entertainment being on the software side, maybe in Ohio, but do you see any clear signs of them ramping up in the coming months after the launch?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

Yeah. I mean, yeah, the Diamond is doing great. I think we have a few others doing quite good as well. I can't really comment on non-official figures. But we are, in general, quite pleased with our local operators. And I mean, you can see in our figures as well what I mean, we're becoming less and less dependent on the large operators in our network. What was the second question?

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

Ohio, Jack?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

BetJACK, yeah. Yes, I can't speak for them, but I think they are still working out a little bit how to make the most out of it. I think we have started quite carefully. So I definitely hope that they will ramp up during the quarter.

O
Oscar Ronnkvist
ABG

Okay. Great. Then on the turnover index growth, you grew 12%, down a little bit from Q4, where you had 20% turnover growth. So I don't know if you have mentioned that and how much you can actually say about this. But in the official numbers, at least, it seems like Penn has come down quite steeply in some key states. Can you like elaborate on the financial impacts for you just from the sequential decrease from Penn and what's the sort of underlying growth, if you could just exclude the Penn numbers?

D
David Kenyon
CFO

I mean, to start, I can't really get into exactly what kind of contributed in the quarter. I mean we just can't go there in terms of our contract. What I can point to is, is the public data. And there has been a massive decrease in the market share in key states. I mentioned Pennsylvania, Illinois, Michigan, the three examples that if you look at those numbers, it's been a massive decrease from this time last year, but also kind of continued from Q4 through into Q1. So yeah, they've talked about not really focusing on customer acquisition right now. So it has fed through entire numbers. Yes. It's a big factor for us, but yeah, of course, will lessen the impact as and when they do leave the network, of course.

O
Oscar Ronnkvist
ABG

All right. Just the next one on -- so in the report that you have signed the company called Wagr in Shape Games. So just in terms of the connection to Yahoo, also, I mean, the connection to Yahoo and Great Canadian as well, do you see like any other opportunities where you could like cross-sell both the Kambi platforms, some modules and some other maybe, let's say, if Yahoo wanted to increase their sports betting exposure, would that be sort of a positive read across to -- or upcoming maybe potential findings?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

Obviously, we hope so. The Yahoo signing was done yesterday. So we haven't really gathered more information about it yet. But for us, it's a great thing that Shape has made this relationship already with Wagr. And as you say, we through Great Canadian have relationship with Apollo. So I hope it can be positive for us for the future as well.

O
Oscar Ronnkvist
ABG

Do you have anything to say about which states Wagr is supposed to launch in?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

No, more than, I mean, where we were active before is Tennessee. So that's where we will start, of course. The Yahoo thing is very new. So I guess we will see what happens with that. But Tennessee is the one state we know at this point.

O
Oscar Ronnkvist
ABG

Okay. Perfect. I have one last question. I know that you focus on already regulated markets, but I've seen a Sportradar open in your office in Mumbai and just talked about like the cricket market could solely worth like over $100 billion, growing 20% per year, and you have mentioned India as a market where you want to grow in -- when it regulates or if it regulates ahead of the 2027 financial targets that you have. Is it any possibility that you would be able to launch in such market before it regulates given the, I mean, complete focus on B2C operators under the regulation part and KYC procedures?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

I mean we are already, to some extent, active in India in a very, very small scale. We have refrained from creating a local product. And therefore, I think we are staying on the right side. But yeah, I think the big step here will happen when the market regulates and when you see more local operators coming into play. So yeah, it's some time left, I guess, but we are already active looking at opportunities in India for sure.

O
Oscar Ronnkvist
ABG

Okay. Perfect. Thank you very much. That’s all for me.

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Georg Attling from Pareto Securities. Please go ahead.

G
Georg Attling
Pareto Securities

Hi, everyone. Just a few questions from me. If you could just start on the personnel restructuring. You said that you let off 30 people. So I'm just wondering, are all of these traders? And will you continue to cut down on the organization on the sports headcount or is this the changes we will see this year?

D
David Kenyon
CFO

Yeah. Thanks. Yes, they were predominantly traders, yes. Not all, but largely in the trading department. And I think in terms of future plans, it really depends on the kind of the speed and timing and success of rollout of the kind of the product road map, the different sports that Kristian mentioned. So we talked about kind of efficiencies we will make from Algo when we set those 2027 targets, and this is part of it. So -- but we'll keep you posted when the product is in the right place to enable those efficiencies.

G
Georg Attling
Pareto Securities

Okay. And on the Penn transition services fees, how much of those were recognized here in Q1?

D
David Kenyon
CFO

No, nothing recognized in Q1. No, that will be recognized Q3 onwards EUR1 million a month for 15 months starting July this year.

G
Georg Attling
Pareto Securities

Okay. And just could you give an update on Abios, maybe what revenue they had in Q1? And also when you expect them to really go live with the full offering and the sort of impact do you expect from that in the P&L?

D
David Kenyon
CFO

Yeah. For now, they're running at about breakeven. They're running at around EUR0.5 million revenue and cost per quarter. And I think the change there will be when they start generating revenue from the any odd contracts, that could be as soon as, I guess, late Q2, that we start seeing some income from that. And hopefully, it ramps up over time, certainly later this year.

G
Georg Attling
Pareto Securities

Okay. And the impact on the Wagr partnership, we'll see that in Q2 already or will there be some delay before we start to see it in the numbers?

D
David Kenyon
CFO

No, you should start seeing some impact on the Shape numbers already in Q2, yes.

G
Georg Attling
Pareto Securities

And that goes for BetCity as well, I guess, on -- for Shape? You should see that impact in Q2?

D
David Kenyon
CFO

Yeah, I think it's slightly less certain when that will start to generate some revenue. But yeah, it will either be Q2 or Q3, I believe.

G
Georg Attling
Pareto Securities

Okay. That’s all for me. Thanks.

Operator

Please state your name and company. Please go ahead.

U
Unidentified Participant

Yes. So given the slowdown with Penn, it's not going to be -- it's going to be a lower base to roll off from in the second half when they start to migrate their online product. How do you see the seasonality Q2 to Q3 and Q4 than paying out given this scenario, this is some kind of a weird year when it comes to seasonality given the roll-off. Any comments on that one would be interesting. Also, if Q1 turnover initially did match your expectations or if can slow down more than you thought it would?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

I can take the last one first. I mean, we already saw the comments coming in about Penn stopping focusing on customer acquisitions during the early part of the quarter. So I think we are quite in line with what we expected when it comes to turnover for the quarter. I'll leave other question to you, David.

D
David Kenyon
CFO

Yeah. I mean the seasonality, I think it depends when we hear exactly when Penn are going to roll off, obviously, that will affect Q3, Q4 numbers. In terms of seasonality, yes, it's so hard to say until we actually know when that time is going to be exactly. But if it happens in Q3, then you'll see some impact in Q3. In the past, we've been able to talk about Penn contributing 10% to 15% of our total revenue. Of course, we're going to keep the retail operations. So part of that will stay, but there will be a -- there will be that impacts when we know that Penn are leaving. And we'll hopefully be offset by more signings, more launches and general growth of the network.

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

You say that retail is currently around 20% from them looking at the public numbers.

U
Unidentified Participant

20% of our lower base, it seems. And also the question of expectation or whatever you could say about Q2 given the weird football fixture schedule now with the World Cup mixing up for the schedule in Q1 and Q2. What do you expect for the second quarter this year? We heard your comments on American football, but that rolled off already mid-Q1. Any comments here would be helpful.

D
David Kenyon
CFO

I mean it's not only the American football that is rolling off now here into state where the play also of both NBA and shell have started as well. So it's still quite a lot of activity because it's quite a few players team still around, but that will decrease during the quarter. Soccer, I think is one thing that will hold up better than it usually does because the season will continue longer than it usually does. I think you have still some soccer to be played in June even. So all in all, I think turnover should hold up slightly better, all things equal than a normal non big tournament year.

U
Unidentified Participant

Okay. But the fair expectation would still be down sequentially Q2 over Q1, I would assume.

D
David Kenyon
CFO

Yeah, absolutely.

U
Unidentified Participant

Yes. And on the OpEx guidance, just if you could help us with the drivers for the low versus the high end. It seems to be tied to Shape signings. I don't know if Wagr is something that will drive OpEx in either way. I would assume that you've included that in your guidance, but comments on the drivers for the OpEx please, really if you are not narrowed it, is still quite wide range.

D
David Kenyon
CFO

Yeah. I mean yes, that Wagr, any OpEx related to Wagr is included in that full year guidance. We've narrowed the range from EUR20 million to EUR15 million. There's still quite a few moving parts in the expanded business we have now. So it's affected by things like an eye on options, which is driven by the share price, the bonuses related to performance. There's a few moving parts, which are why we can't narrow down that range to an extremely tight number. But over the year, we'll keep narrowing it and hopefully, you get a much tighter range as we get towards the end of the year.

U
Unidentified Participant

And the Shape contributions, how much is that in terms of if Shape would add more customers during the year, how sensitive would that be in the OpEx guidance? What sensitivity does Shape add?

D
David Kenyon
CFO

I don't -- so I don't expect it to make us change the range, put it like that. So I think the range can handle signings made by Shape during the year. So it's just where in that range is going to come. And I mean it's -- yes, it's -- I don't think the signings will have material impact, I think on acute level.

U
Unidentified Participant

Speaking of signings, coming in now at a number of quarters can be talking about strong sales pipeline. And of course, you have signed a number of operators and renewed as well with some of the large ones. But what can you say now three months after the CMD laid out the modernization agenda. Any delays in that one? I know you're going for large accounts, that takes time. But any update on that one? Because I think the market expectations is for that to have already happened, basically. What do you see in terms of adding customers on BetBuilder, for example?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

First of all, I think we said already when we started talking about this a year ago that Q2 was our target. It may be changes on that. It depends a little bit what happens with sales on other areas of a more fully managed services. So the thing I can say is that the pipeline looks very, very strong, and I'm quite pleased with where we are. But I can't give you very much more color until we do signings.

U
Unidentified Participant

Okay. Fair enough. And also the financial targets, you included in the CEO letter that the development until 2027 won't be linear. So do you expect the hockey stick in 2027 from a flat development until then or what do you see, not linear, but gradual improvement until then? Help the market understand what you -- what kind of timing you're seeing on improvements?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

I mean you have a couple of headwinds here. I mean, coming off will obviously be a headwind, for instance. The tailwinds that we can't really estimate when will happen is things like regulations in major places, Brazil, Asia, California and so on. But many of those are obviously -- expect it to happen more like '26 or '27. So yeah, that's a big reason why we expect it to not be linear.

U
Unidentified Participant

Okay. Thank you. And also final question on Americas. How much is the U.S. of that? And how much is Latin America? I've a feeling that the market I think the U.S. is larger than it actually is. You want to share something on the split between the two markets?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

I'm not sure. We…

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

No. I think we're still missing some public numbers, but I think in a few weeks, we can comment on that. We're still missing public data. And that's the only thing we can refer to, unfortunately.

U
Unidentified Participant

You can't give us not an exact figure, but just a rough estimate of the relative sizes between the two, maybe?

D
David Kenyon
CFO

The trouble is, right now our Latin America revenues are kind of dominated by a couple of operators. So giving that number pretty much gives their numbers. So that's why we can't do that, I'm afraid.

U
Unidentified Participant

Okay. Fair enough. Thank you very much.

Operator

There are no more questions at this time. So I hand the conference back to the studio for written questions or closing comments.

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

Operator, we actually have quite a few questions here. David, I'll start with you. When you bought Shape, you wrote that you -- that they had revenue of EUR7.6 million for 2021, with expectations of 100% growth in 2022. And then report, we can see that revenue was EUR11 million for 2022. Considering that you closed the transaction in September, it is a very big difference. What happened?

D
David Kenyon
CFO

Yeah. I mean there's been some delays in a few signings basically. So obviously, when the acquisition happened, but kind of impacted a few certain deals that are ongoing or maybe the focus got shifted on to the acquisition. But no, I'm really pleased with the Wagr signing. That was one that has now come through. And there remains a really strong pipeline for that business. So yes, there were some delays in achieving those revenues, but I'm very confident about the future revenues for that business.

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

Thank you, David. And Kristian, next one is for you. You had an interview with DiTV this morning and said that RSI and BetPlay accounted for the majority of the revenue in North and South America. It is correct to assume that they account for at least 27% of the revenue? Well, we do think you can really comment on that. So any added color you want to make on that?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

No, as I said, I mean, the underlying GGR for BetPlay and Rush is more than 50% of our Americas number. And that's as much as I'm willing to give.

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

Okay. Thank you. This one is for you, David. On the cost side, can you please elaborate a bit on the reduction of personnel compared to Q4 the increase of staff costs and on off during the quarter?

D
David Kenyon
CFO

Now let me start with the restructuring. I'm not sure I answer the second part of the question. But in terms of the restructuring, around 30 people, unfortunately, had to leave the business because we recognized efficiencies we could make. That led to cost -- when they left the business for around EUR1 million. Of course, there are immediately some ongoing savings of a few hundred thousand because they're not in the business.

And like I said earlier, longer term, that will lead to in excess of EUR2 million a year savings on the P&L. So yes, we've taken EUR1 million costs, which hits us this quarter. But longer term, of course, it's for the good of the business and will help the P&L. The second part of the question was?

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

The increase in staff costs and one-off. I mean I think it's the non-recurred. I think it's just some salary increase.

D
David Kenyon
CFO

Yeah. Of course, it's the annual pay review process. Yeah, and the pay, the severance pay we talked about.

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

Thank you, David. Kristian, I think you already mentioned here, but how does the sales pipeline of Bet Builder standard and model look like?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

I think we have focused very much on the fully managed service the last quarter. It still looks quite good, but it has not been the main focus for last quarter. But it's -- yes, we're very excited for both parts of our business.

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

Thank you. Next one for you, David. How does the growth look organic without Shape, year-on-year? So basically, what is Shape?

D
David Kenyon
CFO

Yeah. I mean, like I said, it's around EUR3 million of revenue in the quarter. So that -- of that growth of EUR36.9 million to EUR44 million, EUR3 million is Shape. But also the cost has increased by 2.7% on pure OpEx and another EUR0.9 million on the amortization. So on a profitability level overall, it's not really changed that significantly, where we were before. The revenue is EUR3 million.

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

Thank you. This one is for you, Kristian. You have talked about a strong pipeline during quite a few quarters now. When do you think that will come through in form of new Tier 1 and Tier 2 customers?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

I can't comment on that, of course. But yeah, I am excited.

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

Yeah. And if you look at the recent signings, is there any of them you would consider as a Tier 1 operator?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

The one we have talked very much about, something very exciting is Rei do Pitaco, whether it will be a Tier 1 or not in them, we don't know. But it's a little bit too early to consider it's a Tier 1, I would say.

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

Another one for you, Kristian. You mentioned earlier in the year, there are fairly multistate opportunities in the U.S. still to be won. Is that still the case? And there have been some articles in the press flagging yourself from Vales (ph). Would this be a high priority contract?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

So on the first question, yes, it's still the case. And obviously, Vales is a contract we would love to win, but it's not up to us mainly. So -- but of course, it's a high priority for us.

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

Thank you. In Q1, you mentioned that you had originally assumed contract wins in the quarter, which had been delayed rather lost. Is this still the case? And I think we already answered this, but is the outlook for Shape still good?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

Yes. I think the outlook for Shape is very good. I think we have had to change their focus slightly and focus more on the customers where we can work together. But yeah, I'm very excited for the Shape business.

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

And can the delayed contracts still?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

Yes, I don't know what else I can say on this topic.

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

Thank you. David, this one is for you. How many employees do you think you will have at the end of this year, do you have a view of that?

D
David Kenyon
CFO

Not really what I can say is we're not significantly recruiting right now. So from where we are now, there's no -- right now, there's no big plans to increase, which I guess is a little bit different to what we've been doing in the past. It's more probably -- yes, it won't be massive recruitment, I would suggest. I don't venture forecast on kind of headcount. That's quite difficult.

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

Thank you. Another one, do you have any buyback share plans?

D
David Kenyon
CFO

Well, like I said, I mean, nothing right now. We've done it in the past. So of course, we could activate it again in the future. And as I've talked about a lot earlier, we've got a pretty healthy cash balance now. So we've got the firepower to do that or other things with the balance sheet.

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

Kristian, many questions today. Kristian, this one is for you. Your 2027 targets, do you assume Kindred has left the network? And as a follow-up, in the short term, are you assuming a change in control of Kindred will lead them to leave the network sooner than 2026?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

I can't comment on Kindred, of course. I'm pleased we have a contract with a minimum revenue guarantee over the next 3.5 years. I would guess it very much depends on if they are bought -- who are buying them, whether we have an opportunity to serve them or not.

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

Thank you. Another one for you, Kristian. Have there been any tailwinds in the U.S. towards outsourcing, noting some recent public comments from retail casino operators?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

I think a general sentiment, we see both in Europe and the U.S., I would say, is that, I mean, it becomes more and more important with profitability, and that is always a good thing for suppliers, I would say. So I think we are in a very good shape.

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

This is a in-line, if the competitive landscape has changed in the U.S. or are the similar competitors presented in RFP process?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

It depends on when you look at it. But it's quite the same. Since SBTech left, I think it has been very much about us and OpenBet. There is a few other smaller ones that are trying to come into business, but us and OpenBet are two big ones at the moment.

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

Thank you. Another one for you, Kristian. I think this is the last one. Which of the product offering do you see the biggest potential in? Is it module, full sportsbook?

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

For the moment, yes, I definitely believe that different kind of sophisticated trading products will also be very, very interesting for us for the future.

M
Mia Nordlander
SVP, IR

Okay. Thank you very much for the questions. Thank you, Kristian. Thank you, David. We will be back here for our Q2 report, the 26 of July. And as always, if you have questions, feel free to reach out to the IR department. I wish you a very good day, and thank you very much.

K
Kristian Nylen
CEO

Thank you.

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