DVYSR Q1-2023 Earnings Call - Alpha Spread
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Devyser Diagnostics AB
STO:DVYSR

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Devyser Diagnostics AB
STO:DVYSR
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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2023-Q1

from 0
Operator

Welcome to the Devyser Diagnostics Q1 Report. [Operator Instructions]Now I will hand over to CEO, Fredrik Alpsten. Please go ahead.

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

Thank you and again welcome to the Devyser Q1 2023 earnings call. It's a great pleasure to have you all here. Today you will listen to me, Fredrik Alpsten, Devyser's CEO; and to Sabina Berlin, our CFO. Before we go into the Q1 figures and talk about the development we are seeing, I want to repeat for our new shareholders and potential shareholders what Devyser is. We are well known among laboratories especially in Europe, but we are less known among investors and the public. We are a pioneering leader in diagnostic solutions for genetic testing. We are a very value driven company. Of course we want to build a successful company with high growth and good profitability. Still the foundation for everything we do is to ensure every patient has a correct diagnosis in the shortest possible time. With our fast diagnosis, we have to save lives.During the first quarter this year, approximately 105,000 people were tested with our products. That is something I'm very, very proud of. So what do we do? We develop and market genetic test solutions to guide targeted cancer therapies, fast diagnosis of hereditary diseases and post-transplant follow-up. All development and all manufacturing are taking place in-house in our facility in Stockholm. We sell our products, laboratory prep kits and software, to clinical diagnostic labs either via our own sales reps or via distributors. We have developed and launched some 30 IVD and IVDR related products since the company was founded in 2004. We are based in Stockholm, but we have subsidiaries sales offices in 8 countries. We are at the moment 102 employees. So what's the reason to our success? Strong growth with good margins more or less since the company was founded.I think that's only because we put the customer, the routine diagnostic lab, in focus. We develop and provide solutions that are easy to implement, maintain and use. This results in time saves for the labs and time savings give cost savings and most important of all that of course is it provides faster treatments for the patients. The first quarter this year was another record quarter when it comes to sales. We reached SEK39 million, highest quarter ever, an increase of 30% compared with the same quarter last year. In local currency, the growth was 22%. It is always dangerous to look at a single quarter. But if you instead look at the last 12 months, sales increased by 34% Swedish krona to Swedish krona. Gross margin for the quarter was 85% compared with 83% same quarter last year. This is the highest margin we have had for a single quarter.EBIT came in at minus SEK19 million compared to minus SEK5 million in Q1 2021. In Q4 2022 we had an EBIT of minus SEK26 million, including a retroactive payback levy of SEK6 million. The EBIT in the quarter has been affected by increased start-up costs for our CLIA lab in the U.S., cost for our intensive but also successful development of new products and extensive work to register existing products in line with the IVDR regulation. A lot of highlights during the quarter, both during the quarter and after the quarter. In March we launched Devyser Compact, the company's first IVDR certified product. This is a rapid genetic test for diagnosis of fetal chromosomal abnormalities and it's the first in its field to be approved in accordance with the IVDR. In April, we signed an exclusive collaboration and distribution agreement with Thermo Fisher.The agreement gives Thermo Fisher exclusive rights to market our NGS products for post-transplant follow-up in North America and Europe. I will say a bit more about that later on in the presentation. In April, we also received the Swecare Export Award 2023. The prize is awarded to companies that "with creativity, commitment and scope put Swedish innovation in health and health care on the world map". And the award was presented by the Swedish Minister for Social Affairs, Jacob Forssmed. Yesterday, we announced that the company's clinical testing laboratory in Atlanta has received a CLIA certification. This certification allows the lab to begin testing of patient samples. We are very happy about this and it's actually 2 months ahead of the early communicated plan. With innovative products, high market growth and a very professional commercial organization; we are confident that we will see a very nice future sales development.At the moment, we do not see anything that can change this. Of course we may have single quarters that do not perform that well, but the trend is crystal clear. Sales are increasing much and most quarters will be record quarters. We currently sell in more than 50 countries and we are today selling directly in 14 countries, the blue countries on the map. In the yellow countries, we are selling via distributors. And in the grey countries, we have not yet started to sell. In Q1 this year, 83% of our revenue came from direct sales and 17% from distributor sales. The corresponding figures in 2022 were 71% and 29%. Europe is still our dominating market with more than 90% of total sales, North America is only 7% and we think that proportion will increase. APAC is also small only 3% in Q1 2023.With that, I leave over to Sabina.

S
Sabina Berlin
executive

Thank you, Fredrik. Looking at sales per channel. Direct sales in Q1 2023 amounted to SEK32.9 million, an increase of 52% compared with the same quarter in 2022. Direct sales now make up around 83% of total sales as Fredrik mentioned earlier. The distributor sales were SEK7 million, a decrease compared to last year as 1 focus area in '22 was the continued transfer of markets to direct sales. The growth within the direct sales geographies is a combination of very high growth in newly converted markets such as U.K., Spain, Netherlands and Belgium and the more mature but still strong growth in Italy. The first 3 months of 2023 saw continued stable growth in the EMEA region with our new direct markets taking the lead. Countries where we have distributors and the more mature market in Italy were not that far behind.Italy today represents about half of global sales. The APAC region is finally seeing some recovery and sales more than doubled compared to Q1 in 2022. We continue to see traction in our North American sales and we're growing quickly. We grew over 200% in the U.S. specifically and we expect to see impact from our clinical laboratory towards the end of this year once reimbursement is in place. Fredrik spoke about our revenue and gross margin earlier during the call so let me here comment on our expenses. Most of the increase from early 2022 comes from the work on establishing both sales and R&D organizations with capabilities needed to leverage our great technologies that we did during the last year. We monitor investments and expenses closely.But the U.S. expansion and IVDR certifications are important projects that will be cost drivers during this year, but it will also generate substantial revenue over the coming years. We leave the quarter with a cash position of SEK337 million and no interest-bearing debt. Investments made during the quarter mainly concern the expansion of our manufacturing facility and the U.S. lab. On average, we had 93 full-time employees during the quarter and we'll continue to recruit within the high focus areas such as sales, manufacturing and R&D during the rest of 2023, but at a slower pace than last year.And by that, I would like to hand back to Fredrik.

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

Thank you, Sabina. After the end of the quarter, we announced that we have signed an exclusive collaboration and distribution agreement with Thermo Fisher Scientific. The agreement gives Thermo exclusive rights to market our NGS products for post-transplant follow-up in North America and Europe. Devyser will continue to manufacture the products and the product will be marked and sold under a combined brand as you can see to the right. In U.S., we have retained the commercialization rights for the Accept cfDNA product and for the Chimerism product for our CLIA lab. And we actually believe that the agreement with Thermo will help to drive leads towards our CLIA lab. We think this agreement is a great opportunity for Devyser. The collaboration with Thermo gives clinical laboratories, physicians and patients in the US, Canada and Europe wide and rapid access to Devyser's innovative products. It will also reduce our future need for investments in marketing and sales especially in North America.Revenue from the collaboration is expected to start coming in at the end of Q3 2023. As you probably are aware, we have increased our R&D spending over the last years and it has now started to give results. Now since I started at Devyser in 2022, we have seen so many progresses in the development area. In April we launched Accept cfDNA, a test to detect DNA fragments in the blood samples of kidney transplant patients. We believe this may be IVDR approved by the third quarter this product. The company's other already launched transplant product Devyser Chimerism NGS for screening and follow-up of the stem cell transplant patients is also expected to be given IVDR approval during the year. Shortly, we are also planning to launch Devyser LynchFAP, a product for diagnosis of hereditary colon cancer and Devyser BRCA PALB2, a test that can diagnose more gene mutations than our current BRCA test for breast cancer. We are also working a lot on registrations outside Europe.I would like to say a word about IVDR. IVDR, the new regulatory requirements in Europe, is expected to totally change the industry I must say. We have already started to see the IVDR approvals being required in public tenders. Devyser has major advantages since many companies, including large global players, have neither the expertise nor the resources to achieve IVDR certification and the queue for certification companies is long. As we are investing a lot in this and we have been investing a lot in this, we are well ahead with the IVDR certification of our product portfolio. So this is very important for our future development and it also consolidates Devyser's role with regard to customers as a stable, reliable forward-looking partner focusing on quality and high safety standards. Work on the IVDR certification of the remaining product range will continue 2023 and years going forward. We have 3 financial targets for the company. The first one is revenue growth. Devyser's growth target is to achieve an annual organic growth in excess of 30%.For the quarter we reached 29.9%. If you look at the last 12 months, the growth was 34%. And as you can see to the right historically, we have been above the 30%. The second target is to achieve a gross margin above 80% not later than 2024 to 2026. We put this target in place in fall 2021 when our gross margin was around 75%. I'm very glad that already in Q1 2022 we reached this target and we have been reaching this since then. Last quarter 85% in gross margin and 82% for the last 12 months. It is clear increased volumes and increased direct sales lead to higher gross margins. The third target is to achieve an operating margin above 20% not later than 2024 to 2026. We are now investing a lot in marketing and sales, with our production, with the development of new products, et cetera; and therefore, prioritize that before a decent EBIT margin. However, we are confident that we will also reach this financial target.Switching slide. Q1 2023 was another quarter when we continued to deliver on the strategic plan we presented in connection with our IPO end of 2021. I must say we have even managed to deliver better than the plan we communicated. We believe that also 2023 will be a good year for Devyser. We will continue our focus on direct markets in Europe. We see very good sales development from countries where we are converting dismissals to direct sales. The U.S. is very important for us and the established CLIA lab together with the Thermo agreement will help us to increase sales in North America further. We are strengthening our distributor sales focus. Since May 1, we have now a dedicated distributor personnel that will work with this and we have managed new signed distributor agreements that we can work with. We're also looking forward to some product launches. We have some very innovative and transformative products in the pipeline. Thus we are very optimistic about the future.And with that, I would like to thank you for listening and I leave over back to the operator.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Ulrik Trattner from Carnegie.

U
Ulrik Trattner
analyst

I have a few questions on my end. Starting off with the cost development in the quarter. Obviously you had cost related to the CLIA lab as well as you mentioned some regulatory increases due to product expansion. But could we start off, if you could please specify how big the cost for the CLIA lab was this quarter and how much is remaining for the year? And follow-up question to that would be when are we to expect a breakeven level from the CLIA lab? I know it was previously stated roughly sort of within a year of establishment so when would that be? That would be my first 2 questions.

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

Yes. Maybe I can start with the second one and I may leave the first one to Sabina. But we foresee that we will have a breakeven in the CLIA lab at year-end. It is like this that we have now got our certificate for the CLIA lab, but we are still waiting for the reimbursement for the product and we expect them to be received by the end of the year. So we will see sales before we get the reimbursement, but I think the big volumes will come when we have the reimbursement for the different kind of products. So short answer at year-end, we'll see a breakeven for the CLIA lab.

U
Ulrik Trattner
analyst

Great. And just how much have sort of the costs been impacting the cost base or the CLIA lab cost during Q1 and are the majority of the costs already taken or should we expect to see additional cost ramp-up related to this in Q2?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

Please go ahead, Sabina.

S
Sabina Berlin
executive

We're not disclosing exact numbers for our different cost centers and business areas. But in general we can say that Q1 represented a quite stable level that will be kept during the remainder of the year. We had some initial start-up costs in terms of consulting and we'll be spending a little bit more in the rest of the year on market access. But the majority of the investments have been made, our lab facilities are in place and we have the headcount needed to validate the lab now also in place. We will carry a cost with our substantial revenue to match for about 2 quarters more before we start seeing the increase in revenues to, as Fredrik says, reach the breakeven expectation that we have.

U
Ulrik Trattner
analyst

And just sort of squeezing in a follow-up question there. The planned initial cost for the CLIA lab, have that increased since you initiated sort of starting up this project or is it essentially the SEK4.5 million that were projected when you announced the start of building a CLIA lab?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

I can answer that, Sabina. It has slightly increased, but we are not talking about big increases. So that forecast stays. But we have a slightly increase since then and we're talking about 20% maybe or something like that.

U
Ulrik Trattner
analyst

Okay. So we're talking about the CLIA lab should generate roughly then SEK6 million, SEK7 million in sales per year in order for it to be breakeven or even higher due to sort of operational cost running a CLIA lab?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

Yes.

U
Ulrik Trattner
analyst

Okay. And just how much of the increase in OpEx in the quarter relates to IVDR and new product launches? Obviously I note quite a few new product launches here in first quarter, which is always good to see. But how much of the increased expenses here are related to that? If you can give us some guidance in terms of what we should expect in the normalized state or is this the normalized state in terms of getting new products registered.

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

I think it's important that when you compare numbers that you do not look at Q1 2022, you look at Q4 2022 because that better reflects expenses going forward. The IVDR expenses, as I said earlier, we will continue to invest in updating our -- upgrading our product portfolio to IVDR and that's something that will be going on both in 2023, 2024 and maybe even 2025. And the IVDR expenses are reported on the line R&D expenses.

U
Ulrik Trattner
analyst

And that kind of bridges me into my next question and that would be on your confidence in terms of your financial targets because you say that you reached your organic growth target, but in my mind organic growth is in constant exchange rates and by that means that you are slightly below your financial targets. You have new products being launched, now you have Thermo Fisher in place. I'm guessing growth should accelerate. But when should we see sort of deleveraging on the margins? And 20% or above 20% for the period '24 to '26, are you still confident in obtaining that? And bear in mind that you're talking about a financial target of at least 20% EBIT margin.

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

Well, I think I actually said that earlier in my presentation, we are very confident that we will reach that. We do not rank our financial target, but it is a very important financial target for us and we are hopeful that we will reach it. The increase in cost we have seen in 2022 and 2023, it will not continue. It will be moderate going forward. On the other hand, we still believe that we will have a good sales development with very good gross margins that will affect bottom line on the in-house sale.

U
Ulrik Trattner
analyst

And I'm guessing here and I know that you don't want to talk specifics regarding the One Lambda agreement. But I'm guessing just comparing to what we have seen with other companies approaching the sort of indirect or distributor sort of driven revenue model that you should be able to leverage your margins even faster if that agreement takes off?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

Yes, definitely. Of course I think we said that earlier that One Lambda/Thermo Fisher, they have something like 89% of all HLA labs as customers. We are very confident that when this takes off, it will be rather big volumes for us and it will help us to even grow sales even further.

U
Ulrik Trattner
analyst

Great. Last question on my end and then I'll get back into the queue. A few quarters ago you announced a new distribution agreement in Japan. Just wanting to hear what's happening there? When should we see sort of revenue coming through that agreement or distribution agreement? And I also note that the distributor you signed in Japan are also the distributors of One Lambda. Are you expecting or have you seen an increase in interest for products, I'm guessing it's regarding your transplantation products in Japan as well? Have you seen any sort of increase in interest from that region? So first part, what's happening? When should we see sort of revenues? Second, related to given the connection with One Lambda if we were to see some increased interest in the product range in Japan?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

Yes. If we start with the first question then, we expect to have sales already by the end of Q3 2023 in Japan. They have been and got training and I know that we are working closely with the key opinion leaders in Japan. And of course an agreement between Devyser and One Lambda, it helps to set the quality stamp on our products and on our companies. It helps in Japan, but it also helps us in other areas not only for the transplantation products, but also for all our other products. So it's positive definitely.

U
Ulrik Trattner
analyst

Sure. But just if I'm not mistaken, the distributor you have in Japan is also the distributor of One Lambda's products in Japan, right?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

That's correct.

U
Ulrik Trattner
analyst

Okay, great. Last question on my end and I will stop torturing you. Do you have any update on additional tenders for RHD screening in Canada? And I also note that there is a slight delay on delivery of the one you've already been awarded in Quebec. Is that related on your end or on their end? So 2-part question there.

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

No, we do not have any more information about the coming tenders. We know that the preparations are ongoing and so let's come back when we have more information about that. It's slightly delayed the Hema-Quebec tender. It's not on our side, it's more on the administrative side from our partner. So that will come in here slightly delayed compared to what we communicated earlier.

Operator

Please state your name and company.

U
Unknown Analyst

Can you hear me?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

Yes.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. Perfect. Sorry if there's any background noise on my end. I have 3 small questions, 2 related to the Thermo Fisher agreement. First off, will this partnership potentially make you update your financial targets? And second, is there any optionality of perhaps including the different products from your other segments with your partnership with Thermo Fisher?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

We are not planning to update our financial targets at the moment. Second, we are not planning to add any new products or areas to the agreement with Thermo Fisher. That is a big company and you never know what will happen in the future, but no such plans at the moment.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. And when you planned these financial targets, did you have in mind signing such an agreement or was it more of a positive surprise?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

Sorry, I beg your pardon.

U
Unknown Analyst

When you lined up the financial targets, did you have an agreement of this type in mind in that target?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

No, we didn't. We set the financial targets end of 2021 and at that time, the agreement with Thermo was not -- we did not think about that at that time.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. And just a final question from my end. The increase in OpEx is somewhat dependent on new recruitment. Is this something that you expect to do also in the coming quarters or have we reached a level where you feel more comfortable?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

We are much more comfortable now. We have had some small increases in the number of employees. But I think we increased the number of employees by 40% Q1 2022 to Q1 2023 and that will not happen. But we have [ adjustable ] recruitment especially within manufacturing.

Operator

The next question comes from Klas Palin from Erik Penser Bank.

K
Klas Palin
analyst

I would like to start with your new nice agreement with Thermo Fisher and One Lambda and I am aware that you do not probably want to share any specific numbers. But if you could give some sort of idea of how large commercial opportunity this could be for you because the One Lambda business is rather large looking at Thermo Fisher?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

I cannot disclose any details for confidential reasons actually. But I can tell something like this that we have not communicated the length of agreement, but it's a 5-year agreement. And this is rather common and this agreement is not an exception. This exclusive agreement have certain obligations for the partners and if they are not fulfilled, you may terminate the agreement, you may change [Audio Gap] agreement for product for regions. It's also important that you remember that as a manufacturer, you have an obligation to sell products and meet product specifications. We have a requirement on both sides, [Audio Gap] requirement and we have [ requirement to forfeit ]. But I cannot disclose any numbers.

K
Klas Palin
analyst

No, I understand. But still it's quite a lot commercial opportunity I guess. However, then it seems to be a very good market demand out there for your products. Is it possible to be a little bit more specific how you're performing in your sort of direct sales markets in Europe and if you're satisfied with your performance in all these markets?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

Yes. We are doing very well in the direct markets, the recently converted direct market. Italy, which is our biggest market and where we have been for such a long time, we are doing really good. We don't have that high sales growth in Italy as we have in some of the smaller countries of course. Still we are approaching 20% growth in Italy, which is very good because it represents then more around 50% [indiscernible].

K
Klas Palin
analyst

Okay. And my last question then is about the employee base, it's expanding quite a lot in Q1. Do you need to hire more people at the same pace that we saw in Q1 in the near term to meet I mean the growing business in the U.S. and your agreement with Thermo Fisher?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

No, we do not expect to hire so many people up to now. I'm very satisfied with the organization we have. As I said earlier, we may need to hire a couple of more heads, but not that many.

Operator

The next question comes from [ Erik Pilback from Analyst Guide ].

U
Unknown Analyst

Erik from Analyst. Firstly, congratulations to yet another impressive quarter. Regarding the agreement with Fisher if it's possible, could you give us like not guidance but some sort of ballpark or maybe like reference products where we could look into?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

No, I cannot give you that upfront like this. Let me come back on that one then. I cannot give you a good reference product and I don't even know if there are any. I think it's more that we look at it, this is a big global company. They have a presence of -- they are present in 80%, 90% of the HLA labs and they have a very strong marketing and sales organization. So it's more like that.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. Regarding the 80% goal for the gross margin and 85% in this quarter. Do you believe that this agreement with Thermo Fisher will affect the gross margins going forward?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

We are not afraid that this agreement will dilute our gross margins. We are confident about our gross margin goal of more than 80%.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. What kind of other costs in production should we expect to increase when the volume ramps up from this agreement?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

Well, for example in our direct markets in Europe, we have an internal rule saying that when sales in a specific country reaches EUR600,000, then we may add 1 more sales guy in that country or region. So we will increase when sales are increasing when it comes to our marketing and sales activities. But except for that, we have a rather good organization and we don't need to add that many people for now.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. As I understand, at least your products will be a strong complement to One Lambda's existing products, which are mainly focused on pre-transplantation? Do you see any possible future combinations like packaged solutions with One Lambda and does the agreement involve all new coming products coming from the transplantation segment?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

No, the agreement covers these 2 products and we are of course also to discuss with them when we have new products coming out. But for the time being, we are talking about these 2 products. And yes, you are correct that they are very strong in pre-transplantation area and we have 2 very good products for the post-transplantation area. So the tip is very well with us and One Lambda.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. Also on the theme of the segment of transplantation growing really strong and you have high expectations going forward. The products within transplantation in lines of terms of profitability, would you say that this is in line with the rest of the portfolio or does it differ like largely?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

No, it's like the other portfolio. It's important to remember we do not need to invest that much in marketing and sales when we go with a distributor like Thermo Fisher, which is a clear advantage for us. So that's the beauty going with a company like Thermo Fisher.

U
Unknown Analyst

Lastly, the first IVDR product on the market. I think it might be hard for some to grasp how important is this development. Can you please give some more information on what the IVDR approvals and coming approvals implies for you as a company and the other companies that you compete with in the market?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

Yes. We see that quite many companies, they have problems to get their products IVDR registered. We see a clear advantage here and we also see that in tenders they have started to request that the products are IVDR approved or will be IVDR approved soon. We are very optimistic about doing this even if it's rather costly for us.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. And one last question. You're growing fast and there's a need for higher production of course and also this agreement. You move into a new production facility in H1 2024. Do you have any like broad cost estimate for this expansion or will it be like very slight?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

It will be slightly more expensive because the space is bigger. We have got a very good deal as we see it. But we have something like 4,500 square meter and we are today around 2,000 square meter.

Operator

The next question comes from Ulrik Trattner from Carnegie.

U
Ulrik Trattner
analyst

Great. Just some additional questions and this being related to circling back to the previous questions. The One Lambda agreement and especially regarding the new products that you're launching, it looks like you're going head-to-head with CareDx or the collaboration between the 2 of you are competing head-to-head with CareDx? And just looking at CareDx, they've been scrutinized for inflated testing revenues towards the Medicare segment. Just how much do you believe that have impacted the sentiment of the industry and is that in any way impacting in your belief the One Lambda and the sales of your transplantation products in the U.S.?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

Yes. We have discussed this quite much internally and of course also with Thermo Fisher. I don't want to say too much, but we are very optimistic about our solution. I cannot give you details about that. We are.

U
Ulrik Trattner
analyst

And the same question relates to your CLIA lab as well. Are you seeing somewhat cautious in terms of utilizing CLIA labs or more scrutiny regarding how these are billed or your way of thinking when now establishing a CLIA lab in the U.S. regarding the current sort of debate and discussion regarding genetic testing in CLIA labs in the U.S.?

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

No, we have not seen that. And we get a lot of requests are you not ready yet? So we do not see that. Of course it's not that easy to look at the whole market, but we cannot see that.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] There are no more questions at this time. So I hand the conference back to the speakers for any closing comments.

F
Fredrik Alpsten
executive

Thank you very much for participating in this conference call. I wish you a nice day. Bye bye.

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