AAK AB (publ)
STO:AAK
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one AAK stock under the Base Case scenario is 246.3 SEK. Compared to the current market price of 282.2 SEK, AAK AB (publ) is Overvalued by 13%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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AAK AB (publ)
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Fundamental Analysis
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AAK AB (publ) is a Swedish multinational company that specializes in the production and marketing of plant-based oils and fats, serving a diverse range of industries, including bakery, dairy, chocolate, and cosmetics. With a rich heritage dating back to 1871, AAK has established itself as a leader in the sustainable oils market, focusing on creating value-added products that meet the unique demands of its customers. The company's commitment to sustainability and innovation sets it apart, as it invests in tailored solutions that not only enhance product performance but also promote environmentally-friendly practices. AAK's global presence, with operations in over 25 countries, enables it to e...
AAK AB (publ) is a Swedish multinational company that specializes in the production and marketing of plant-based oils and fats, serving a diverse range of industries, including bakery, dairy, chocolate, and cosmetics. With a rich heritage dating back to 1871, AAK has established itself as a leader in the sustainable oils market, focusing on creating value-added products that meet the unique demands of its customers. The company's commitment to sustainability and innovation sets it apart, as it invests in tailored solutions that not only enhance product performance but also promote environmentally-friendly practices. AAK's global presence, with operations in over 25 countries, enables it to effectively cater to local needs while maintaining a robust supply chain that prioritizes ethical sourcing and production methods.
For investors, AAK offers a compelling opportunity grounded in steady revenue growth and an impressive track record of profitability. The company has consistently adapted its strategy to align with changing consumer preferences, such as the growing demand for plant-based products and healthier alternatives. AAK's investment in research and development aims to drive continuous innovation, ensuring the company remains at the forefront of industry advancements. With a resilient business model, strong cash flow generation, and a focus on long-term sustainability, AAK AB presents a solid investment case for those looking to capitalize on the evolving landscape of the global food and ingredient markets.
AAK AB (publ) is a global leader in plant-based oils and fats, and its core business segments primarily focus on various applications of these products. The company's operations can be typically categorized into the following core segments:
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Food Ingredients:
- This segment focuses on providing tailored solutions for food manufacturers. AAK offers a wide range of specialty fats and oils used in bakery, chocolate, dairy, and alternative protein applications. Their products aim to enhance texture, flavor, and nutritional value in food products.
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Chocolate & Confectionery Fats:
- AAK produces a variety of fats specifically designed for chocolate and confectionery products. This segment emphasizes high-quality products that improve the performance and appearance of chocolate and confections, catering to customers' specific processing needs.
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Bakery:
- In this segment, AAK supplies fats and oils that are optimized for different types of baked goods. These products help in achieving desired qualities such as shelf life, texture, and flavor in items like bread, pastries, and cakes.
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Dairy & Dairy Alternatives:
- AAK provides ingredients that enhance the texture and creaminess of dairy products and dairy alternatives. This segment supports the growing market for plant-based and dairy-free options, aligning with changing consumer preferences toward healthier and sustainable products.
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Infant Nutrition:
- AAK develops specialized fats for infant formula and other nutritional products. This segment focuses on providing essential nutrients needed for infant development, catering to the increasing demand for high-quality infant nutrition.
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Personal Care and Industrial Applications:
- While not as prominent as food-related segments, AAK also supplies specialty oils and fats for personal care products and industrial applications, leveraging their expertise in plant-based ingredients.
Overall, AAK AB focuses on delivering high-quality, sustainable, and innovative solutions across various consumer and industrial needs, ensuring alignment with global trends towards health, sustainability, and quality.
AAK AB (publ) is a leading producer of vegetable oils and fats, specializing in various sectors including food, personal care, and pharmaceuticals. Here are some unique competitive advantages that AAK may hold over its rivals:
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Specialized Product Offerings: AAK focuses on high-value, tailor-made products that cater to specific customer needs across multiple industries. Their ability to customize solutions can create strong customer loyalty and differentiation.
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Sustainability Initiatives: AAK places a strong emphasis on sustainability, which resonates with consumers and businesses looking for responsible sourcing and production. Their commitment to sustainable palm oil and other raw materials can enhance brand reputation and attract environmentally-conscious clients.
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Research and Development: Investment in R&D allows AAK to innovate continuously, giving them a competitive edge in developing new products and improving existing ones. This focus helps meet evolving consumer trends, such as health and wellness.
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Global Footprint with Local Operations: AAK operates in numerous countries, allowing them to leverage local market knowledge while also benefiting from economies of scale. Their presence in key markets helps them respond quickly to local customer needs and preferences.
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Strong Customer Relationships: By providing tailored solutions and maintaining close partnerships with their clients, AAK fosters long-term relationships that are not easily replicable by competitors. This can lead to repeat business and customer loyalty.
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Diversified Portfolio: AAK’s wide range of product categories decreases reliance on any single market or product line, providing stability and resilience against market fluctuations.
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Expertise in Multiple Industries: Their operations span several niches—food ingredients, nutrition, and specialty products—enabling cross-industry insights that can enhance innovation and operational efficiencies.
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Vertical Integration: Through controlling various stages of production, from sourcing raw materials to end product delivery, AAK can maintain quality, reduce costs, and ensure a more reliable supply chain.
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Commitment to Quality: AAK’s focus on quality and safety standards can differentiate it from competitors who may prioritize cost over quality. This can attract customers willing to pay a premium for reliable products.
In summary, AAK AB's unique competitive advantages stem from their specialized product offerings, sustainability efforts, R&D capabilities, global and local market presence, strong customer relationships, diversified portfolio, expertise across industries, vertical integration, and commitment to quality. These factors collectively enhance their market position and ability to compete effectively against rivals.
AAK AB (publ), a global leader in plant-based oils and fats, faces several risks and challenges in the near future, which may impact its operations and business performance. Here are some key considerations:
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues, including geopolitical tensions, pandemics, or natural disasters, can lead to increased costs, delays, and shortages of raw materials. AAK relies heavily on agricultural commodities, and any disruption can significantly impact its production.
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Commodity Price Volatility: The prices of raw materials, such as palm oil, soybeans, and other plant-based oils, can be highly volatile due to factors like climate change, changes in government policies, and fluctuating demand. Increased costs in these inputs can squeeze margins and affect profitability.
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Regulatory Changes: AAK operates in multiple countries and is subject to various regulations related to food safety, environmental standards, and trade policies. Changes in such regulations could lead to increased operational costs or require adjustments in product formulations.
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Market Competition: The food and beverage industry is highly competitive. AAK faces competition not only from other established companies but also from emerging plant-based brands. Staying ahead of competitors through innovation and marketing is crucial.
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Consumer Trends: Shift in consumer preferences towards health, sustainability, and ethical sourcing can create challenges. AAK must continuously innovate and adapt its product offerings to align with these changing preferences.
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Environmental Sustainability: As consumers and regulators focus more on sustainability, AAK may face pressure to improve its environmental footprint. This includes sourcing sustainable materials and reducing greenhouse gas emissions, which may require investments in new technologies or practices.
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Economic Recession Risks: Economic downturns can lead to reduced consumer spending on premium products, which may affect AAK’s higher-end offerings. Adapting to changing economic conditions will be crucial for maintaining profitability.
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Technological Changes: The rapid pace of technological advancements can pose challenges. AAK needs to invest in research and development to keep up with trends like plant-based alternatives and food innovations.
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Brand Reputation: Any negative publicity regarding product safety, sourcing practices, or environmental impact could harm AAK’s brand reputation and consumer trust, leading to reduced sales.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention: As the business landscape evolves, attracting and retaining skilled employees becomes vital for maintaining competitive advantages. A focus on company culture and employee development is essential.
Addressing these risks and challenges will require strategic planning, investment in innovation, and strong operational management. AAK's ability to adapt and respond effectively will be crucial for its continued growth and competitiveness.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
AAK AB (publ)
Balance Sheet Decomposition
AAK AB (publ)
Current Assets | 20B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.3B |
Receivables | 8.8B |
Other Current Assets | 10B |
Non-Current Assets | 12B |
Long-Term Investments | 96m |
PP&E | 8.4B |
Intangibles | 3.1B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 424m |
Current Liabilities | 10.9B |
Accounts Payable | 4B |
Other Current Liabilities | 7B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 2.7B |
Long-Term Debt | 1.5B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1.3B |
Earnings Waterfall
AAK AB (publ)
Revenue
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44.2B
SEK
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Cost of Revenue
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-31.4B
SEK
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Gross Profit
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12.8B
SEK
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Operating Expenses
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-8B
SEK
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Operating Income
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4.8B
SEK
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Other Expenses
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-1.3B
SEK
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Net Income
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3.5B
SEK
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
AAK AB (publ)
SEK | |
Free Cash Flow | SEK |
In Q3, AAK demonstrated robust performance with a 4% increase in volumes and an 18% rise in operating profit, driven by strong demand in Chocolate & Confectionery Fats. Operating profit per kilo improved by 13% in fixed currencies, indicating strong market conditions. AAK has also committed to investing SEK 400 million in European operations. Notably, the divestment of the non-core Hillside Foodservice site is expected to generate SEK 600 million in cash and enhance profit margins by 4%. Long-term, AAK aims for 10% annual operating profit growth amid evolving market challenges.
What is Earnings Call?
AAK Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
AAK AB (publ)'s profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
AAK AB (publ)'s profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AAK Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
AAK AB (publ)'s solvency score is 72/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
AAK AB (publ)'s solvency score is 72/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AAK Price Targets Summary
AAK AB (publ)
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AAK is 344.51 SEK with a low forecast of 252.5 SEK and a high forecast of 420 SEK.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for AAK is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
AAK Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
AAK AB is engaged in the manufacturing of oils and fats for food, technical, cosmetic and animal feed industries. The company is headquartered in Malmo, Skane and currently employs 4,013 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2005-09-29. The firm refines vegetable oils for specialized products. The firm is organized, along with its subsidiaries, into three business segments: the Food Ingredients segment includes baking fat, dairy fat alternatives, Ice cream fats, infant formulas and oil/fats ingredients, among others; the Chocolate & Confectionery Fats segment provides chocolate and confectionery advantages, ranging from products developed for better sensory, health and longer shelf life to cost efficiency, know-how, technology and service, and the Technical Products & Feed segment includes golden wax, fatty acids, glycerin, deinking chemicals and animal feed. The firm operates Kamani Oil Industries Pvt Ltd. as a majority owned subsidiary.
Officers
The intrinsic value of one AAK stock under the Base Case scenario is 246.3 SEK.
Compared to the current market price of 282.2 SEK, AAK AB (publ) is Overvalued by 13%.