Bank of China Ltd
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Bank of China Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 10.68 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 4.91 CNY, Bank of China Ltd is Undervalued by 54%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Bank of China Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Bank of China Ltd. (BoC), one of the oldest and most prestigious financial institutions in China, has been instrumental in bridging the gap between East and West since its founding in 1912. As a state-owned enterprise, BoC is a key player in the Chinese banking system and has a rich history of facilitating international trade and investment. Over the years, the bank has diversified its offerings beyond traditional banking services, including corporate banking, personal banking, investment banking, and wealth management. With its global footprint spanning over 60 countries, BoC not only enjoys robust domestic market support but also leverages international opportunities, making it a vital poi...
Bank of China Ltd. (BoC), one of the oldest and most prestigious financial institutions in China, has been instrumental in bridging the gap between East and West since its founding in 1912. As a state-owned enterprise, BoC is a key player in the Chinese banking system and has a rich history of facilitating international trade and investment. Over the years, the bank has diversified its offerings beyond traditional banking services, including corporate banking, personal banking, investment banking, and wealth management. With its global footprint spanning over 60 countries, BoC not only enjoys robust domestic market support but also leverages international opportunities, making it a vital point of entry for investors looking to tap into the dynamic Chinese market.
Investors will find Bank of China appealing due to its strong balance sheet and substantial market presence. The bank has consistently demonstrated resilience in navigating challenging economic conditions, supported by a diversified income stream and prudent risk management practices. Furthermore, BoC's strategic focus on digital transformation positions it well for future growth in an increasingly tech-driven financial landscape. As China continues to expand its global economic influence, Bank of China stands as a reliable partner for international businesses and investors, offering a compelling pathway to engaging with one of the world’s largest economies. With a robust dividend policy and the backing of the Chinese government, BoC represents a stable investment opportunity for those seeking exposure to the financial sector in Asia.
Bank of China Ltd. (BOC) is one of the largest and oldest banks in China, with a significant presence both domestically and internationally. Its core business segments can be typically categorized as follows:
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Corporate Banking: This segment caters to the financial needs of corporate clients, including large enterprises, small and medium-sized businesses (SMEs), and government entities. Services offered include loan products, trade finance, cash management, and foreign exchange services. Corporate banking is a cornerstone of BOC’s operations, reflecting its emphasis on serving the business sector.
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Personal Banking: BOC provides a variety of financial services to individual clients. This includes personal loans, credit cards, wealth management, savings accounts, and retail banking services. Personal banking helps BOC reach a broader customer base and drives customer loyalty through diverse financial products.
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Treasury Operations: This segment involves managing the bank's own funding and liquidity, as well as trading in financial instruments. Treasury operations typically handle interest rate risk, currency risk, and other financial risks. This segment is crucial for maintaining the bank’s financial health and profitability through various investment strategies.
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Investment Banking: BOC offers financial advisory services, underwriting, and capital market solutions. This includes services related to mergers and acquisitions, asset management, and initial public offerings (IPOs). Investment banking allows BOC to capitalize on lucrative market opportunities and aligns with its strategy to cater to broader financial market needs.
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International Banking: As a global bank, BOC has a significant international footprint. This segment focuses on providing cross-border banking solutions for both corporate and individual clients. Services include international trade financing, foreign exchange services, and facilitating business operations abroad, enhancing BOC’s ability to serve multinational clients.
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Wealth Management and Private Banking: This segment targets high-net-worth individuals and affluent clients, offering personalized financial services, investment strategies, estate planning, and more. Wealth management is increasingly important for banks as affluent clients seek tailored solutions to manage their wealth effectively.
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Insurance and Asset Management: BOC also has operations in insurance services, providing various products such as life, property, and casualty insurance. Additionally, asset management services enable clients to invest their money across multiple channels, including mutual funds and portfolios, further diversifying its revenue streams.
These core business segments of Bank of China Ltd. enhance its competitive positioning and enable it to adapt to changing market dynamics while meeting the diverse needs of its clientele.
Bank of China Ltd (BOC) holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals, which can be analyzed through various dimensions:
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Global Presence and Network: BOC has a strong international footprint, making it one of the most globally oriented Chinese banks. With branches and subsidiaries in numerous countries, it effectively serves the needs of Chinese enterprises abroad and facilitates foreign investments in China.
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Established Relationships and Customer Base: BOC has longstanding relationships with both private and public sector enterprises in China and around the world. Its historical significance as one of the oldest banks in China enhances its reputation and trust, making it a preferred choice for many corporations seeking banking services.
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Government Support: Being a state-owned bank, BOC benefits from government backing. This not only bolsters its financial position but also provides a certain level of stability and security that might not be as pronounced in private banking competitors.
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Diverse Financial Service Offerings: BOC provides a wide range of financial services, including commercial banking, investment banking, insurance, and wealth management. This diversification allows it to cross-sell products and cater to different market segments effectively.
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Expertise in Foreign Exchange and Trade Finance: BOC has significant expertise in foreign exchange services and trade finance, which is particularly advantageous given the bank's focus on facilitating international trade, especially between China and other countries.
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Strong Risk Management: The bank has a well-established risk management framework, essential for mitigating risks associated with international dealings, which can be a competitive advantage in turbulent economic times.
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Technological Investments: BOC has made substantial investments in technology and digital transformation initiatives, improving customer service and operational efficiency, allowing it to compete effectively in a rapidly evolving financial landscape.
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Focus on Sustainable Finance: BOC is increasingly committed to sustainable finance and green banking initiatives, aligning itself with global trends towards sustainability, which appeals to environmentally-conscious investors and clients.
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Large Scale and Asset Base: As one of the largest banks in the world by total assets and market capitalization, BOC benefits from economies of scale in operations, lending, and pricing, allowing it to offer competitive rates and better service.
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Cultural and Market Understanding: With profound knowledge of the Chinese market, combined with its global perspective, BOC is well-positioned to understand and navigate the complexities of both local and international markets effectively.
These competitive advantages contribute to Bank of China Ltd's ability to maintain a strong position in the financial services sector, particularly among its Chinese and international peers.
Bank of China Ltd (BOC) faces several risks and challenges in the near future that can be categorized into various areas:
1. Economic Environment
- Global Economic Slowdown: A slowdown in major economies, including the U.S. and Europe, can impact trade financing and investment banking activities.
- Interest Rate Fluctuations: Changes in monetary policy, particularly interest rate hikes, can affect the bank's net interest margins and overall profitability.
2. Regulatory Challenges
- Stricter Regulations: Increased scrutiny from regulators, both in China and internationally, surrounding capital adequacy, compliance, and lending practices could impose additional operational costs.
- Data Privacy and Cybersecurity Regulations: Adhering to stringent data protection laws may require substantial investments.
3. Credit Risk
- Asset Quality Deterioration: Rising default rates, particularly among corporate borrowers, especially in sectors like real estate, can lead to higher provisioning for bad debts.
- Exposure to State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs): Challenges in the performance of SOEs can impact the bank’s balance sheet due to high lending concentrations.
4. Geopolitical Risks
- U.S.-China Relations: Ongoing tensions between China and the U.S. can impact business operations, especially if there are sanctions or trade restrictions that affect banking services.
- Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) Risks: Investments linked to the BRI may carry geopolitical risks, particularly in unstable regions.
5. Technological Disruption
- Fintech Competition: The rise of fintech companies can disrupt traditional banking models, requiring BOC to adapt quickly to maintain market share.
- Cybersecurity Threats: Increasing cyber threats necessitate robust defense mechanisms to protect customer data and maintain trust.
6. Market Dynamics
- Domestic Market Saturation: Increasing competition in the domestic banking sector could pressure margins and force the bank to innovate or improve customer service.
- Foreign Market Expansion Risks: Intense competition and unfamiliar regulations in foreign markets can complicate the bank's international expansion efforts.
7. Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Factors
- Sustainability Practices: Pressure to meet ESG standards and mitigate climate-related risks may require adjustments in lending practices and investments.
- Social Responsibility: Negative public perception regarding the bank's role in financing environmentally harmful projects could impact its reputation.
8. Pandemic-Related Risks
- Impact of COVID-19: Continued effects from the pandemic on global economic recovery can create uncertainties in loan performance and demand for banking services.
Conclusion
To navigate these challenges effectively, Bank of China Ltd will need to enhance its risk management strategies, invest in technology and innovation, diversify its portfolio, and maintain strong compliance and governance practices. Continuous monitoring of economic indicators and regulatory changes will be essential to manage the inherent risks in a dynamic financial landscape.
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Bank of China Ltd
Net Loans | 20.6T |
Investments | 9.4T |
PP&E | 258.5B |
Intangibles | 30.1B |
Other Assets | 3.6T |
Total Deposits | 26.5T |
Short Term Debt | 109.4B |
Long Term Debt | 874B |
Other Liabilities | 3.8T |
In the first half of 2023, the Bank of China (BOC) made significant strides in financial performance and efficiency, reported by President Liu Jin. The operating income surged by 8.92% year-on-year to RMB 319.707 billion, while profit before provisions rose 5.72%. Despite a slight decrease in net interest margin by nine basis points to 1.67%, non-interest income increased by 2.91 percentage points and the cost-to-earnings ratio improved by 0.57 percentage points. BOC also saw a robust growth in assets and liabilities, with customer loan and deposit shares incrementing notably, and a fortified risk resilience as indicated by a lower non-performing loan ratio and a strong capital adequacy ratio of 17.13%. During this period, BOC bolstered support to the real economy, with marked increases in strategic industry loans and significant advancement in its traditional financial market strengths.
What is Earnings Call?
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Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Bank of China Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Bank of China Ltd is 5.19 CNY with a low forecast of 4.24 CNY and a high forecast of 6.41 CNY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Bank of China Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Description
Bank of China Ltd is a CN-based company operating in Banks industry. The company is headquartered in Beijing, Beijing and currently employs 306,322 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2006-06-01. BANK OF CHINA LIMITED is a China-based commercial bank. The Bank is mainly engaged in the provision of banking and related financial services, including commercial banking business, investment banking business, insurance business, direct investments and investment management businesses, fund management business and aircraft leasing business, as well as others. The firm mainly provides loans to individual and corporate clients. The Bank mainly operates its businesses in China mainland, Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan, as well as other countries.
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The intrinsic value of one Bank of China Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 10.68 CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 4.91 CNY, Bank of China Ltd is Undervalued by 54%.