China Coal Energy Co Ltd
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one China Coal Energy Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 21.53 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 12.75 CNY, China Coal Energy Co Ltd is Undervalued by 41%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
China Coal Energy Co Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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China Coal Energy Co Ltd, a titan in the global energy landscape, stands as one of the largest coal producers and suppliers in the world. Established in 2005 and headquartered in Beijing, the company plays a crucial role in meeting China's colossal energy demands. With a vast network of operations, including coal mining, production, and logistics, China Coal Energy has diversified its offerings by venturing into electricity generation and chemical production, particularly focusing on clean and renewable technologies. As the nation grapples with transitioning to greener energy sources, the company is strategically positioned to balance its traditional coal operations with initiatives aimed at...
China Coal Energy Co Ltd, a titan in the global energy landscape, stands as one of the largest coal producers and suppliers in the world. Established in 2005 and headquartered in Beijing, the company plays a crucial role in meeting China's colossal energy demands. With a vast network of operations, including coal mining, production, and logistics, China Coal Energy has diversified its offerings by venturing into electricity generation and chemical production, particularly focusing on clean and renewable technologies. As the nation grapples with transitioning to greener energy sources, the company is strategically positioned to balance its traditional coal operations with initiatives aimed at sustainability, thereby appealing to environmentally-conscious investors.
In the ever-evolving energy market, China Coal Energy is adapting to the unique challenges of regulatory frameworks and fluctuating commodity prices. Its robust financial performance, characterized by consistent revenue growth and solid profit margins, suggests a resilient business model capable of navigating economic fluctuations. The company's commitment to innovation extends to developing advanced mining technologies and enhancing operational efficiency, further solidifying its competitive edge. For investors, China Coal Energy offers a compelling opportunity: a well-established player in a critical sector with a pragmatic approach to sustainability, poised to thrive amid the dual pressures of demand for energy and the global pivot towards greener solutions.
China Coal Energy Co., Ltd. is one of the largest state-owned coal producers in China, actively involved in various segments of the coal industry. The core business segments of China Coal Energy typically include:
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Coal Production: This is the primary segment of the company, involving the extraction and sale of various types of coal, such as thermal coal (used for electricity generation) and coking coal (used in steel production). The company operates numerous mines across China, making it one of the largest coal producers.
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Coal Mining Equipment Manufacturing: In addition to coal production, China Coal Energy also manufactures equipment used in the mining industry. This includes specialized machinery and tools necessary for efficient coal extraction and handling.
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Transportation and Logistics: Effective transport solutions are crucial for coal distribution. China Coal Energy engages in transporting coal from mines to customers through rail and other logistics networks. This segment helps optimize supply chain management and reduces costs associated with coal delivery.
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Coal Chemical Products: The company is involved in the production of coal-based chemical products. This segment may include the development of products like methanol, ammonia, and other derivatives that can be utilized in various industries, enhancing the value proposition of coal beyond its traditional uses.
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Power Generation: In recent years, China Coal Energy has diversified its operations to include power generation. This segment involves the construction and operation of coal-fired power plants, contributing to the energy supply while capitalizing on its core business of coal mining.
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Environmental Protection and Energy Efficiency Projects: As part of its commitment to sustainable development, China Coal Energy is focusing on projects aimed at reducing environmental impact and improving energy efficiency within its operations.
These segments highlight the company's extensive involvement in the coal industry and its strategy to leverage its core competencies while addressing evolving market demands.
China Coal Energy Co., Ltd. (China Coal) has several unique competitive advantages that position it favorably against its rivals in the energy sector. Here are some of the key advantages:
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Large Scale of Operations: China Coal is one of the largest coal producers in China, giving it significant economies of scale. This scale enables the company to optimize production costs and strengthen its bargaining power with suppliers and distributors.
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Integrated Business Model: The company has a vertically integrated business model, encompassing coal mining, transportation, and power generation. This integration helps to stabilize prices, reduce dependence on external factors, and streamline operations.
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Established Infrastructure: China Coal benefits from an extensive infrastructure network, including railways and logistics capabilities, which facilitates efficient coal transportation. This infrastructure investment reduces lead times and lowers transportation costs compared to its competitors.
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Government Support and Policy Alignment: As a state-owned enterprise, China Coal enjoys favorable treatment from the Chinese government, including regulatory support, subsidies, and protectionist policies. This alignment helps it navigate market challenges and enhances its competitive position.
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Strategic Resource Allocation: The company has access to extensive coal reserves, allowing for more effective long-term planning and resource allocation. Its ability to secure mining rights in strategic locations further enhances its competitive edge.
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Focus on Clean Coal Technology: China Coal is investing in cleaner coal technologies and environmentally friendly practices, positioning itself to meet rising regulatory standards and consumer preferences for more sustainable energy solutions.
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Diversification: In addition to coal mining, China Coal is diversifying its portfolio by investing in renewable energy projects. This diversification helps reduce its reliance on coal and aligns it with the global energy transition trend.
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Strong Financial Position: The company's financial stability and access to capital allow for ongoing investments in technology and infrastructure, enhancing its competitiveness.
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Established Brand and Market Presence: China Coal has a strong brand and well-established market presence, which fosters trust and reliability among customers and investors.
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Research and Development (R&D): Continuous investment in R&D enhances operational efficiency, safety, and sustainability, positioning China Coal as an innovator in the traditional energy sector.
These competitive advantages enable China Coal Energy Co., Ltd. to maintain a strong position in the coal and energy markets, giving it an edge over its rivals.
China Coal Energy Co Ltd, being a major player in the coal industry, faces several risks and challenges in the near future that could impact its operations and market position. Here are some key factors to consider:
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Environmental Regulations: Increased scrutiny and regulations regarding carbon emissions and environmental sustainability are a significant challenge. The Chinese government is pushing for a transition to cleaner energy sources, and coal companies may face stricter regulations, which could lead to higher operational costs and investment in cleaner technologies.
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Economic Transition Policies: China’s focus on reducing its reliance on coal in favor of renewable energy sources as part of its commitment to achieving carbon neutrality by 2060 poses a long-term risk. This transition may decrease the demand for coal, affecting sales and profitability.
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Market Competition: The coal sector is facing heightened competition not only from other coal producers but also from alternative energy sources such as natural gas and renewables. This competition could pressure prices and margins.
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International Trade Dynamics: Trade tensions and tariffs imposed by other countries could affect the export market for coal. Changes in international coal prices and demand from other countries also pose risks to revenue stability.
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Operational Risks: Coal mining is inherently risky, with challenges related to worker safety, mine collapses, and environmental disasters. These risks could have financial, legal, and reputational repercussions.
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Technological Advancements: The coal industry may lag behind in technological advancements compared to renewable energy technologies. Failure to invest in innovation or to adapt to new technologies could jeopardize the company’s competitive edge.
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Fluctuations in Coal Prices: The global price of coal can be volatile and subject to fluctuations based on supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical factors, and changes in energy policies. This volatility can impact revenue and profitability.
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Public Perception and Social Pressure: There is an increasing public and investor emphasis on ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) criteria. A negative perception of coal as a dirty fuel could lead to reputational damage and affect investments.
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Geopolitical Risks: Geopolitical tensions may impact operational capabilities and market access, particularly if they lead to disruptions in trade or supply chains.
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Financial Health and Debt Levels: The financial stability of coal companies can be stressed by declining revenues due to fluctuating demand and prices. High debt levels may limit financial flexibility in the face of adverse market conditions.
These factors create a dynamic and challenging environment for China Coal Energy Co Ltd and necessitate a strategic approach to manage risks while positioning for future opportunities.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
China Coal Energy Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
China Coal Energy Co Ltd
Current Assets | 125B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 84B |
Receivables | 19.1B |
Other Current Assets | 21.9B |
Non-Current Assets | 236.4B |
Long-Term Investments | 34.1B |
PP&E | 134.8B |
Intangibles | 55B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 12.5B |
Current Liabilities | 100.5B |
Accounts Payable | 23.3B |
Accrued Liabilities | 8B |
Short-Term Debt | 31.2B |
Other Current Liabilities | 38B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 113.4B |
Long-Term Debt | 51.9B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 61.5B |
Earnings Waterfall
China Coal Energy Co Ltd
Revenue
|
177.2B
CNY
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Cost of Revenue
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-139.4B
CNY
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Gross Profit
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37.8B
CNY
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Operating Expenses
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-7.7B
CNY
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Operating Income
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30.1B
CNY
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Other Expenses
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-12.7B
CNY
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Net Income
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17.5B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
China Coal Energy Co Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
In the first three quarters of 2024, China Coal Energy produced 102 million tonnes of coal, slightly up 1.1% year-on-year, despite a decline in sales volume of 205 million tonnes, down nearly 10%. Revenue stood at CNY 140 billion, a 10.1% decrease, and net profit reached CNY 14.6 billion, reflecting a 12.7% drop in earnings per share to CNY 1.10. The average selling price of self-produced coal decreased by CNY 32 to CNY 571 per tonne. Looking ahead, China Coal plans to control costs and focus on safe production to ensure stable operations and is on track for a revenue growth target of approximately 5% in 2025.
What is Earnings Call?
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
China Coal Energy Co Ltd's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
China Coal Energy Co Ltd's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
China Coal Energy Co Ltd's solvency score is 52/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
China Coal Energy Co Ltd's solvency score is 52/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
China Coal Energy Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for China Coal Energy Co Ltd is 14.41 CNY with a low forecast of 10.15 CNY and a high forecast of 19.58 CNY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for China Coal Energy Co Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
China Coal Energy Co Ltd is a CN-based company operating in Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. The company is headquartered in Beijing, Beijing and currently employs 45,474 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2008-02-01. China Coal Energy Company Limited is a China-based company principally engaged in the coal production and distribution businesses. The Company’s coal businesses mainly include the production and distribution of steam coal and coking coal. The coking businesses mainly include the production and distribution of metallurgy cokes and forging cokes. The coal related equipments businesses mainly include the manufacture of hydraulic supports, scraper conveyors, loaders, boring machines, shearers and mining electrical motors, among others. The other businesses mainly include the production of electrolytic aluminum and coal gas. The firm mainly distributes its products in domestic and overseas markets.
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The intrinsic value of one China Coal Energy Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 21.53 CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 12.75 CNY, China Coal Energy Co Ltd is Undervalued by 41%.