China Coal Energy Co Ltd
SSE:601898

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China Coal Energy Co Ltd
SSE:601898
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Price: 10.6 CNY 1.44% Market Closed
Market Cap: 140.5B CNY

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Apr 16, 2025.

Estimated DCF Value of one 601898 stock is 27.93 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 10.6 CNY, the stock is Undervalued by 62%.

DCF Value
Base Case
27.93 CNY
Undervaluation 62%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
DCF Value: 27.93 CNY

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 81.2B CNY. The present value of the terminal value is 289.2B CNY. The total present value equals 370.3B CNY.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 370.3B CNY
Equity Value 370.3B CNY
/ Shares Outstanding 13.3B
601898 DCF Value 27.93 CNY
Undervalued by 62%

You are using the equity valuation model. In this approach, further calculations for converting firm value to equity value are not required. The present value, obtained in the present value calculation block, already represents the equity value.

The DCF value per share is derived by dividing the present value by the number of shares:

Present Value
370.3B CNY
/
Number of Shares
13.3B
=
DCF Value
27.93 CNY

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
186.7B 203.6B
Net Income
18.4B 20B

What is the DCF value of one 601898 stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one 601898 stock is 27.93 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 10.6 CNY, the stock is Undervalued by 62%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, China Coal Energy Co Ltd's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 370.3B CNY.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 27.93 CNY per share.

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