China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd
SSE:601888

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China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd Logo
China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd
SSE:601888
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Price: 67.4 CNY -4.26% Market Closed
Market Cap: 131.6B CNY
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 82.25 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 67.4 CNY, China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd is Undervalued by 18%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

Intrinsic Value
82.25 CNY
Undervaluation 18%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Base Case
Best Case

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China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

Economic Moat
China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd

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Business Breakdown

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd (CTG Duty Free) stands at the forefront of one of the world's most dynamic retail sectors, positioned as a premier player in the travel retail market. Established out of a unique merger of the China National Travel Service Group Corporation and various duty-free operations, the company has carved a niche as the largest duty-free retailer in China. With a robust portfolio that includes stunning shops in key international airports and thriving locations across major cities, CTG Duty Free captures the rapidly growing demand for luxury goods among both domestic and international travelers. Its recent strategic expansions, including collaborations with high-...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd

Current Assets 55.1B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 33.2B
Receivables 2.1B
Other Current Assets 19.9B
Non-Current Assets 20.7B
Long-Term Investments 5B
PP&E 9.5B
Intangibles 2.9B
Other Non-Current Assets 3.3B
Current Liabilities 11.8B
Accounts Payable 5.3B
Accrued Liabilities 1.1B
Short-Term Debt 172.4m
Other Current Liabilities 5.2B
Non-Current Liabilities 10.2B
Long-Term Debt 4.5B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 5.8B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd

Revenue
59.7B CNY
Cost of Revenue
-41.5B CNY
Gross Profit
18.2B CNY
Operating Expenses
-11.8B CNY
Operating Income
6.5B CNY
Other Expenses
-1.1B CNY
Net Income
5.4B CNY

Free Cash Flow Analysis
China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Fundamental Scores

Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive 3-Year Average ROIC
Positive 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
52/100
Profitability
Score

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd's solvency score is 86/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Short-Term Solvency
Negative Net Debt
Low D/E
86/100
Solvency
Score

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd's solvency score is 86/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

Price Targets Summary
China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd is 82.05 CNY with a low forecast of 60.6 CNY and a high forecast of 113.4 CNY.

Lowest
Price Target
60.6 CNY
10% Downside
Average
Price Target
82.05 CNY
22% Upside
Highest
Price Target
113.4 CNY
68% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
Very
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Safe
0
25
50
75
100
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Buyback Yield
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Debt Paydown Yield
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Profile

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd Logo
China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd

Country

China

Industry

Retail

Market Cap

139.4B CNY

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp. Ltd. engages in the provision of travel services and the sale of merchandise. The company is headquartered in Beijing, Beijing and currently employs 14,720 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2009-10-15. The travel agency businesses mainly include the inbound tourism, outbound tourism, domestic tourism, visa services, business travel services, air services and e-commerce, among others. The duty free businesses mainly include the wholesaling and retailing of alcohols, tobaccos, perfumes and cosmetics. The firm is also engaged in commercial complex investment development.

Contact

BEIJING
Beijing
8F, Tower A, No.A2, Dongzhimen Wai Alley, Dongcheng District
+861084479696
www.ctgdutyfree.com.cn

IPO

2009-10-15

Employees

14 720

Officers

President, Secretary of the Board & Executive Director
Mr. Zhujun Chang
Deputy General Manager
Ms. Zhao Feng

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd stock?

The intrinsic value of one China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 82.25 CNY.

Is China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 67.4 CNY, China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd is Undervalued by 18%.

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