PetroChina Co Ltd
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one PetroChina Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 16.04 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 8.03 CNY, PetroChina Co Ltd is Undervalued by 50%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
PetroChina Co Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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PetroChina Co Ltd stands as a titan in the energy sector, intricately woven into the fabric of China’s economic development and global energy dynamics. Established in 1999 and headquartered in Beijing, PetroChina is a state-owned enterprise that has grown to be one of the largest oil and gas producers in the world. Its extensive operations encompass the exploration, production, refining, and distribution of oil and natural gas, alongside commitments to renewable energy initiatives. With reserves of over 25 billion barrels of oil equivalent, the company not only serves as a backbone for China's energy supply but also plays a crucial role in the country's strategic move towards energy security...
PetroChina Co Ltd stands as a titan in the energy sector, intricately woven into the fabric of China’s economic development and global energy dynamics. Established in 1999 and headquartered in Beijing, PetroChina is a state-owned enterprise that has grown to be one of the largest oil and gas producers in the world. Its extensive operations encompass the exploration, production, refining, and distribution of oil and natural gas, alongside commitments to renewable energy initiatives. With reserves of over 25 billion barrels of oil equivalent, the company not only serves as a backbone for China's energy supply but also plays a crucial role in the country's strategic move towards energy security and sustainability. For investors, PetroChina represents a unique opportunity to engage in a robust company with significant market presence and a role in both traditional and emerging energy domains.
In recent years, PetroChina has been navigating a landscape shaped by fluctuating oil prices, geopolitical tensions, and an increasing push towards greener, more sustainable energy practices. The company's future outlook hinges on its ability to balance profitable fossil fuel extraction with investments in renewable energy, which is aligned with China’s broader ambitions of reducing carbon emissions by 2060. With a diversified portfolio that includes upstream exploration, midstream infrastructure, and downstream refining operations, PetroChina has established a resilient business model capable of weathering market volatilities. Investors interested in a blend of stability and potential growth in the evolving energy sector will find PetroChina’s strategic initiatives and vast market influence compelling. As the company seeks to innovate and adapt, it continues to play a crucial role not only in China but in the global energy landscape.
PetroChina Co. Ltd. is one of the largest oil and gas producers in China and plays a significant role in the global energy market. Its core business segments can be generally categorized as follows:
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Exploration and Production:
- This segment involves the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas. PetroChina is engaged in both domestic and international oil and gas exploration and is a significant player in various oil-producing regions.
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Refining and Chemicals:
- PetroChina operates a vast network of refineries that process crude oil into various products, including gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and other petrochemical products. This segment also includes the production of chemical products derived from crude oil and natural gas.
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Natural Gas and Pipeline:
- This segment covers the transportation and distribution of natural gas and petroleum products through an extensive pipeline network. PetroChina is involved in the construction and operation of pipelines, facilitating domestic and cross-border energy transport.
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Marketing and Trading:
- PetroChina is responsible for the marketing of refined petroleum products and chemicals. It operates a substantial service station network and engages in the trading of crude oil, refined products, and other related commodities.
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New Energy:
- As part of its strategy to diversify and align with global trends towards sustainability, PetroChina is increasingly investing in renewable energy sources and technologies. This includes developments in wind, solar power, and biofuels.
These segments collectively support PetroChina's goal of enhancing its operational efficiency, ensuring energy security, and contributing to the transition toward a low-carbon economy. The company is pivotal to China's energy system and plays an integral role in meeting both domestic and international energy demands.
PetroChina Co Ltd, as one of the largest oil and gas companies globally, enjoys several unique competitive advantages over its rivals, which contribute to its overall market positioning. Here are some key advantages:
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Scale and Diversification: PetroChina operates on a massive scale, allowing it to benefit from economies of scale. Its diversified operations across exploration, production, refining, and distribution enable it to mitigate risks associated with price fluctuations in specific market segments.
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Government Backing: Being a state-owned enterprise, PetroChina has substantial support from the Chinese government, which provides it with favorable access to resources, capital, and regulatory support, as well as protection against foreign competition.
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Extensive Infrastructure Network: PetroChina possesses a vast and well-established infrastructure for transportation and distribution of oil and gas. This network not only enhances its operational efficiency but also secures its position as a leading supplier in domestic markets.
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Large Reserves and Production Capacity: With significant oil and natural gas reserves, PetroChina has an advantage in maintaining and expanding its production capacity. This availability secures a consistent supply chain and market presence.
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Research and Development: PetroChina invests heavily in R&D, particularly in technologies related to energy efficiency, environmental sustainability, and alternative energy sources. This commitment to innovation helps it stay ahead of industry trends and regulations.
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Strong Market Position in China: As the largest oil and gas producer in China, PetroChina benefits from a large domestic market. Its extensive retail and marketing network enhances brand recognition and customer loyalty within the country.
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Strategic Partnerships and Joint Ventures: PetroChina has formed numerous strategic partnerships and joint ventures with international companies, which allows it to share risks, access new technologies, and enter new markets more effectively.
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Political Connection and Influence: The company's connection to the Chinese government facilitates smoother operational processes, particularly in navigating regulatory environments, acquiring land rights, and making acquisitions.
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Global Presence: With operations in numerous countries, PetroChina has established a foothold in international markets. This global presence helps diversify its portfolio and reduces dependence on domestic markets.
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Adaptability to Policy Changes: PetroChina's alignment with government policies on energy security and transition to cleaner energy sources positions it favorably as China shifts towards sustainable energy solutions.
These competitive advantages enable PetroChina to maintain a strong position within the oil and gas industry, allowing it to navigate challenges and capitalize on growth opportunities effectively.
PetroChina Co Ltd, as one of the largest oil and gas companies in the world, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Volatility in Oil Prices: Fluctuations in global oil prices can significantly impact revenues and profitability. Factors influencing oil prices include geopolitical tensions, supply-demand imbalances, and the transition to renewable energy sources.
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Regulatory Changes: Increased regulatory scrutiny on environmental practices and emissions may affect operations. Stricter regulations in China and abroad can lead to higher compliance costs and potential legal liabilities.
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Transition to Renewable Energy: The global shift towards renewable energy and decarbonization presents both risks and opportunities. PetroChina must adapt its business strategy accordingly, which may require significant investment in clean energy technologies.
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Geopolitical Risks: Operations in politically unstable regions can expose PetroChina to risks including expropriation, nationalization, or disruptions due to conflict or sanctions.
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Economic Conditions: Global economic conditions, including slowdowns or recessions, can reduce demand for energy products. Economic recovery patterns post-COVID-19 will also impact energy demand.
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Competition in the Energy Sector: Increased competition from both traditional energy companies and new entrants in renewable energy can pressure market share and margins.
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Technological Challenges: Keeping pace with technological advancements in energy extraction, refinement, and renewable energy is crucial. Failing to innovate could result in a competitive disadvantage.
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Environmental Concerns and Climate Change: Growing public and investor concern about climate change may lead to reputational risks and decreased investment in fossil fuel projects.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues, exacerbated by the pandemic, can lead to delays and increased costs for operations and projects.
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Financial Stability: High levels of debt, coupled with potential downturns in revenue, pose significant risks to financial stability. Maintaining a strong balance sheet is essential for weathering economic fluctuations.
To navigate these challenges, PetroChina will need to embrace innovation, invest in sustainability, and maintain agility in an ever-evolving energy landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
PetroChina Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
PetroChina Co Ltd
Current Assets | 672.4B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 248.8B |
Receivables | 142.9B |
Other Current Assets | 280.7B |
Non-Current Assets | 2.1T |
Long-Term Investments | 293.3B |
PP&E | 1.6T |
Intangibles | 99B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 89.1B |
Current Liabilities | 716.6B |
Accounts Payable | 267.2B |
Accrued Liabilities | 82B |
Short-Term Debt | 58.9B |
Other Current Liabilities | 308.5B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 561.8B |
Long-Term Debt | 193.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 368.5B |
Earnings Waterfall
PetroChina Co Ltd
Revenue
|
3T
CNY
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-2.6T
CNY
|
Gross Profit
|
406B
CNY
|
Operating Expenses
|
-154.6B
CNY
|
Operating Income
|
251.4B
CNY
|
Other Expenses
|
-89.4B
CNY
|
Net Income
|
162B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
PetroChina Co Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
PetroChina Co Ltd's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
PetroChina Co Ltd's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
PetroChina Co Ltd's solvency score is 59/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
PetroChina Co Ltd's solvency score is 59/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
PetroChina Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PetroChina Co Ltd is 10.48 CNY with a low forecast of 4.85 CNY and a high forecast of 14.7 CNY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for PetroChina Co Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
PetroChina Co Ltd is a CN-based company operating in Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. The company is headquartered in Beijing, Beijing and currently employs 417,173 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2000-04-06. PetroChina Company Limited is a China-based company principally engaged in the production and distribution of oil and gas. The firm mainly operates through four business segments. The Exploration and Production segment is principally engaged in the exploration, development, production and sales of crude oil and natural gas. The Refining and Chemical Products segment is principally engaged in the refining of crude oil and petroleum products, as well as the production and sales of basic petrochemical products, derivative petrochemical products and other chemical products. The Sales segment is principally engaged in the sales of refined petroleum products. The Natural Gas and Pipeline segment is engaged in the transportation and sales of natural gas, crude oil and refined petroleum products.
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The intrinsic value of one PetroChina Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 16.04 CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 8.03 CNY, PetroChina Co Ltd is Undervalued by 50%.