China Oilfield Services Ltd
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one China Oilfield Services Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 35.18 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 14.9 CNY, China Oilfield Services Ltd is Undervalued by 58%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
China Oilfield Services Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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China Oilfield Services Ltd. (COSL) is a leading provider of integrated oilfield services in China and a prominent player on the global stage. Established in 2001, COSL operates primarily under the auspices of China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), benefiting from strong ties to one of the largest oil and gas producers in the world. The company specializes in a range of services including drilling, well services, marine support, and seismic data acquisition, positioning itself strategically to assist energy companies in navigating the complexities of modern oil exploration and production. With a growing focus on technological innovation and eco-friendly practices, COSL is not only...
China Oilfield Services Ltd. (COSL) is a leading provider of integrated oilfield services in China and a prominent player on the global stage. Established in 2001, COSL operates primarily under the auspices of China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), benefiting from strong ties to one of the largest oil and gas producers in the world. The company specializes in a range of services including drilling, well services, marine support, and seismic data acquisition, positioning itself strategically to assist energy companies in navigating the complexities of modern oil exploration and production. With a growing focus on technological innovation and eco-friendly practices, COSL is not only enhancing its operational efficiency but also addressing increasing global demand for sustainable energy solutions.
For investors, COSL represents a compelling opportunity in a sector characterized by volatility yet immense potential. As the world transitions toward alternative energy sources, the company’s robust presence in offshore drilling and its commitment to operational excellence distinguishes it from competitors. Moreover, COSL's recent investments in advanced technologies and strategic international partnerships signal confidence in long-term growth. With China's energy needs continuing to rise and the government promoting exploration in untapped offshore reserves, COSL is uniquely positioned to capitalize on these trends, making it an attractive option for those seeking exposure to the oil and gas industry. As the global economy rebounds post-pandemic, COSL's strategic initiatives and core competencies will likely foster resilience and growth, solidifying its role as a key contributor to the energy supply chain.
China Oilfield Services Ltd. (COSL) is a leading provider of integrated oilfield services in China and globally. The company operates in several core business segments that cater to various facets of oil and gas exploration and production. Here are the main segments:
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Drilling Services: COSL provides drilling services, including onshore and offshore drilling operations. This segment focuses on the deployment of advanced drilling technology and equipment to optimize drilling efficiency and safety.
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Production Services: This segment encompasses services related to the production phase of oil and gas operations. It includes well completion, maintenance, workover services, and production enhancement methodologies to maximize output.
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Geophysical and Geological Services: COSL offers geophysical and geological survey services, including seismic data acquisition and interpretation, which is crucial for exploration activities to identify potential oil and gas reserves.
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Engineering Services: This segment includes various engineering services that support drilling and production operations, like project management, design, and optimization of oilfield development.
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Logistics and Supply Chain Services: COSL also provides logistics support services, which are vital for coordinating the transportation and supply of materials and equipment necessary for oil and gas operations.
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Technology Development and Research: The company invests in technological innovations and research and development to enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs in oilfield services.
These core segments enable COSL to maintain a strong foothold in the oil and gas industry and cater to the evolving needs of its clients globally.
China Oilfield Services Ltd (COSL) possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the oil and gas services sector:
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Government Support: As a state-owned enterprise, COSL benefits from strong backing and resources from the Chinese government. This can translate into financial support, favorable policies, and access to projects that might not be available to private competitors.
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Integrated Services: COSL offers a wide range of integrated services, including drilling, geophysical services, and well completion. This ability to provide comprehensive solutions can make COSL more attractive to clients looking for streamlined operations.
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Advanced Technology and R&D: COSL invests significantly in research and development to enhance its technologies and methodologies in drilling and exploration. This continuous innovation helps them maintain a competitive edge in efficiency and effectiveness.
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Extensive Experience and Market Knowledge: With decades of experience in both domestic and international markets, COSL has developed substantial knowledge about regional exploration conditions, regulatory requirements, and client needs.
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Strong Fleet and Equipment: COSL possesses a modern and diverse fleet of drilling rigs and other equipment, enabling them to handle various types of projects, from shallow inland operations to deepwater drilling.
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Strategic Geographic Advantage: Operating primarily in Asia-Pacific regions, COSL is well-positioned to serve local markets with lower logistical costs and faster response times compared to some international competitors.
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Corporate Partnerships: COSL frequently engages in joint ventures and partnerships with other energy companies, which can enhance its capabilities and market reach.
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Focus on Sustainability and Safety: COSL has made commitments to environmental sustainability and safety protocols, which can attract clients who are conscious of corporate responsibility.
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Financial Scalability: The backing of a larger state-owned entity enables COSL to undertake larger projects and absorb financial shocks better than smaller competitors.
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Expanding International Presence: COSL's strategic moves in international markets increase its competitiveness against rivals, allowing it to mitigate risks associated with dependence on the Chinese domestic market.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, China Oilfield Services Ltd can maintain its market position and potentially outperform its rivals in various operational aspects.
China Oilfield Services Ltd (COSL) faces several risks and challenges in the near future, influenced by various internal and external factors. Here are some critical points to consider:
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Market Volatility: The oil and gas industry is inherently volatile, with prices influenced by geopolitical tensions, supply and demand fluctuations, and economic conditions. Any significant drop in oil prices can impact COSL's revenue and profitability.
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Environmental Regulations: Increasing global focus on climate change and sustainability may lead to stricter regulations. COSL may face challenges in adapting to new regulations, which could require substantial investments in cleaner technologies and processes.
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Global Competition: COSL competes with other major oilfield services companies worldwide. Losing competitive edge due to technological advancements or financial performance of competitors could limit market share and profitability.
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Economic Slowdown: A slowdown in the Chinese economy or in key international markets could reduce investments in oil and gas exploration and production, directly impacting COSL’s business.
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Technological Advancement: Rapid technological changes in extraction and drilling techniques may require COSL to continually invest in research and development. Failing to keep pace with innovation can hinder operational efficiency and service delivery.
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Debt Levels: If COSL has high levels of debt, rising interest rates or reduced cash flows can create financial pressure. High debt levels can limit the company’s ability to invest in growth opportunities.
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Dependence on State-Owned Enterprises: As a significant portion of COSL's contracts may come from state-owned enterprises, changes in government policy or spending priorities could affect the company’s revenue.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global disruptions (e.g., due to political events, pandemics, or natural disasters) can hinder the availability of materials and equipment necessary for operations, affecting service delivery timelines and costs.
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Geopolitical Risks: With operations potentially extending to areas with political instability, COSL may face risks associated with expropriation, contract enforcement, and security issues in certain regions.
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Human Resources Challenges: Recruiting and retaining skilled personnel in the oilfield services sector can be challenging, particularly in a highly competitive labor market. Skills shortages can lead to project delays and increased operational costs.
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Public Sentiment and ESG Trends: Increasing public scrutiny on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) practices can impact COSL's operations and reputation. Failing to meet stakeholder expectations may result in reputational damage, impacting contracts and business opportunities.
To navigate these risks, COSL will need to adopt robust risk management strategies, remain adaptable to industry changes, and invest in sustainable practices and technologies.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
China Oilfield Services Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
China Oilfield Services Ltd
Current Assets | 31B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 9.1B |
Receivables | 19.2B |
Other Current Assets | 2.8B |
Non-Current Assets | 52.7B |
Long-Term Investments | 1.1B |
PP&E | 47.3B |
Intangibles | 586m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 3.7B |
Current Liabilities | 26.8B |
Accounts Payable | 14.2B |
Accrued Liabilities | 2.5B |
Short-Term Debt | 4.2B |
Other Current Liabilities | 5.9B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 14.7B |
Long-Term Debt | 12.2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 2.5B |
Earnings Waterfall
China Oilfield Services Ltd
Revenue
|
48.3B
CNY
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-40.3B
CNY
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Gross Profit
|
7.9B
CNY
|
Operating Expenses
|
-2.2B
CNY
|
Operating Income
|
5.7B
CNY
|
Other Expenses
|
-2.5B
CNY
|
Net Income
|
3.2B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
China Oilfield Services Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
COSL's Q3 results showed stable profits despite challenges from exchange rate fluctuations, costing around CNY 200 million. The company anticipates increased utilization rates moving into Q4 as operational interruptions due to typhoons ease. Well services, contributing 56% of revenue and nearly 80% of profits, are expected to maintain their growth trajectory. Management is optimistic about the next fiscal year, projecting improved margins and revenues from high daily lease rates in the North Sea and new projects in Brazil. The focus on R&D remains strong, with investments rising to CNY 2 billion this year.
What is Earnings Call?
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
China Oilfield Services Ltd's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
China Oilfield Services Ltd's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
China Oilfield Services Ltd's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
China Oilfield Services Ltd's solvency score is 54/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
China Oilfield Services Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for China Oilfield Services Ltd is 18.6 CNY with a low forecast of 16.16 CNY and a high forecast of 22.27 CNY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for China Oilfield Services Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
China Oilfield Services Ltd is a CN-based company operating in Energy Equipment & Services industry. The company is headquartered in Langfang, Hebei and currently employs 14,850 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2002-11-20. China Oilfield Services Limited is a comprehensive oilfield service provider. The firm mainly operates through four business segments. The Drilling Services segment is mainly engaged in the provision of oilfield drilling services. The Oil Field Technical Services segment is mainly engaged in the provision of oilfield technical services, including the logging, drilling fluids and directional drilling services. The Geophysical and Engineering Exploration Services segment is mainly engaged in the provision of seismic prospecting and engineering exploration services. The Marine Support Services segment is engaged in the transportation of supplies, including the delivery of crude oil, as well as refined oil and gas products. The firm mainly operates its businesses in domestic and overseas markets.
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The intrinsic value of one China Oilfield Services Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 35.18 CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 14.9 CNY, China Oilfield Services Ltd is Undervalued by 58%.