Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 9.54 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 8.86 CNY, Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd is Undervalued by 7%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. (GAC) is a prominent player in China's rapidly evolving automotive landscape, marked by its proactive strategies in traditional and new-energy vehicles. Established in 1955 and headquartered in Guangzhou, GAC has transformed from its origins as a partnership producing military vehicles to a multifaceted automotive conglomerate. The company has successfully aligned itself with global automotive giants, forming joint ventures with Toyota, Honda, and Fiat Chrysler, which have elevated its manufacturing capabilities and broadened its product range. Beyond traditional combustion vehicles, GAC has made significant strides in electric vehicle production, tapping...
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. (GAC) is a prominent player in China's rapidly evolving automotive landscape, marked by its proactive strategies in traditional and new-energy vehicles. Established in 1955 and headquartered in Guangzhou, GAC has transformed from its origins as a partnership producing military vehicles to a multifaceted automotive conglomerate. The company has successfully aligned itself with global automotive giants, forming joint ventures with Toyota, Honda, and Fiat Chrysler, which have elevated its manufacturing capabilities and broadened its product range. Beyond traditional combustion vehicles, GAC has made significant strides in electric vehicle production, tapping into the rising consumer demand for greener alternatives. Investors will find a company that not only showcases impressive revenue growth but also a commitment to innovation and sustainability, as it aims to lead in both domestic and international markets.
As the automotive industry undergoes a dramatic shift due to technological advancements and changing consumer preferences, GAC stands out with its forward-thinking approach and emphasis on research and development. The group has established its own brand, GAC Motor, which has gained traction both in China and abroad, indicating a successful adoption of its strategy to enhance brand value and customer loyalty. Moreover, GAC's emphasis on automation and digitalization in manufacturing positions it well to maintain competitive advantages as the industry evolves. With the support of government incentives for the electric vehicle market and a growing emphasis on environmental responsibility, investing in GAC presents an opportunity to participate in a transformational phase of the automotive sector. The integrative approach of combining traditional automotive technology with cutting-edge innovations suggests that GAC is not just keeping pace with the industry but is poised to shape its future.
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. (GAC Group) is one of the major automotive manufacturers in China, with several core business segments:
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Automobile Manufacturing: This is the primary business segment of GAC Group. The company designs, manufactures, and sells a wide range of vehicles, including passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and electric vehicles (EVs). GAC operates several well-known brands, including GAC Motor, Trumpchi, and GAC Toyota, as a joint venture with Toyota.
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New Energy Vehicles (NEVs): In response to the growing demand for sustainable transportation, GAC Group has invested heavily in the development of NEVs, including electric vehicles and hybrids. This segment focuses on innovation and technology to produce eco-friendly vehicles that meet increasing regulatory standards and consumer preferences for greener options.
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Research and Development (R&D): GAC Group emphasizes R&D to enhance its product offerings and stay competitive in the automotive market. The company invests in developing advanced technologies, including AI, autonomous driving, and smart connectivity features in its vehicles.
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Auto Financing: GAC Group provides financial services to support the purchase of vehicles. This includes auto loans and leasing options, which facilitate customer access to their products and enhance sales.
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Parts and Components Manufacturing: In addition to vehicle assembly, GAC Group produces various automotive parts and components, contributing to the supply chain and enhancing integration within its operations. This segment may involve partnerships with other manufacturers and suppliers.
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International Trade and Investment: GAC Group is involved in exporting vehicles and expanding its international presence, targeting markets outside of China. The company may also engage in joint ventures and collaborations with global automotive brands to enhance its market reach.
Through these core segments, GAC Group aims to leverage its assets, innovate in technology and design, and respond effectively to market demands and regulatory changes in the automotive industry.
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. (GAC Group) has several competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the automotive industry. Here are some key factors:
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Joint Ventures and Partnerships: GAC has established successful joint ventures with major global automakers such as Toyota, Honda, and Fiat. These collaborations allow GAC to leverage advanced technologies, management practices, and access to international markets.
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Strong R&D Capabilities: GAC invests significantly in research and development, focusing on innovation in electric vehicles (EVs), autonomous driving technology, and smart vehicle systems. This commitment enables the company to stay ahead in a rapidly evolving automotive landscape.
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Diverse Product Portfolio: GAC offers a wide range of vehicles, from traditional internal combustion engine cars to electric and hybrid models. This diversity helps the company cater to varying consumer demands and market segments.
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Robust Manufacturing Infrastructure: GAC has developed state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities that enhance efficiency and productivity. Advanced manufacturing technologies improve quality control and reduce production costs.
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Brand Development and Localization: GAC has invested heavily in brand-building efforts and localization of products to resonate with Chinese consumers, making its offerings more appealing compared to foreign competitors.
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Government Support: As a state-owned enterprise, GAC often benefits from favorable government policies, subsidies for EVs, and regulatory support that can enhance its competitive position in the domestic market.
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Expanding International Presence: GAC is actively pursuing global expansion, participating in international auto shows and exploring new markets. This strategic move helps the company diversify its revenue streams and reduce dependency on the domestic market.
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Emphasis on Sustainable Practices: With increasing global focus on sustainability, GAC’s commitment to green technology and electric vehicles aligns with global trends, positioning it as a forward-thinking player in the market.
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Customer-centric Approach: GAC focuses on understanding customer needs and preferences, allowing it to develop products that meet local demands. This agility can lead to higher customer satisfaction and loyalty.
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Financial Strength and Stability: GAC’s strong financial position enables it to invest in new technologies and expand its operations more effectively than some of its competitors, fostering long-term competitive advantages.
These factors collectively contribute to GAC Group's unique competitive advantages in the automotive industry, helping it to navigate challenges and capitalize on growth opportunities.
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. (GAC) faces a variety of risks and challenges in the near future, including:
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Market Competition: The automotive industry is extremely competitive, with both domestic and international players vying for market share. GAC will need to continuously innovate and improve its product offerings to stay relevant.
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Regulatory Changes: As environmental regulations become stricter, GAC may have to invest significantly in electric vehicle (EV) technology and compliance, which could strain financial resources.
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Economic Conditions: Economic fluctuations, including changes in consumer spending power and fluctuations in raw material prices, can impact sales and profitability.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues, exacerbated by geopolitical tensions or pandemics, can lead to delays in production and increased costs.
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Technological Advancements: The rapid pace of technological change in the automotive sector, particularly related to EVs and autonomous driving, poses a challenge. GAC must invest in research and development to stay competitive.
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Consumer Preferences: Shifts in consumer preferences, especially towards sustainability and technology features, require GAC to adapt quickly. Failure to anticipate these trends can lead to lost market opportunities.
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Geopolitical Risks: Trade tensions and tariffs, especially between China and the U.S., could impact GAC’s operations and market access.
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Financial Stability: Maintaining a healthy balance sheet amidst heavy investments in new technologies and product lines will be crucial for GAC. Increased debt could pose risks if not managed properly.
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Electric Vehicle Transition: As the industry shifts towards electric vehicles, GAC faces the challenge of transitioning its manufacturing processes, ensuring infrastructure is in place, and competing against established EV firms.
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Brand Reputation: In an era of digital communication and social media, maintaining a positive brand reputation is essential. Any product recalls or quality issues could have a long-lasting impact on consumer trust.
To navigate these risks, GAC will need to adopt a proactive strategy that includes investment in technology, diversification of product offerings, and careful monitoring of market trends and consumer preferences.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd
Current Assets | 100.8B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 53.5B |
Receivables | 24.8B |
Other Current Assets | 22.5B |
Non-Current Assets | 115.4B |
Long-Term Investments | 47.2B |
PP&E | 28.7B |
Intangibles | 23.2B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 16.4B |
Current Liabilities | 73.4B |
Accounts Payable | 16.5B |
Accrued Liabilities | 4.2B |
Short-Term Debt | 25.5B |
Other Current Liabilities | 27.2B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 26.6B |
Long-Term Debt | 11.9B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 14.7B |
Earnings Waterfall
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd
Revenue
|
114.1B
CNY
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-107.1B
CNY
|
Gross Profit
|
6.9B
CNY
|
Operating Expenses
|
-11.6B
CNY
|
Operating Income
|
-4.7B
CNY
|
Other Expenses
|
7.7B
CNY
|
Net Income
|
3B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd's profitability score is 36/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd's profitability score is 36/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd's solvency score is 55/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd's solvency score is 55/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd is 6.19 CNY with a low forecast of 3.03 CNY and a high forecast of 13.23 CNY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd is a CN-based company operating in Automobiles industry. The company is headquartered in Guangzhou, Guangdong and currently employs 96,989 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2010-08-30. Guangzhou Automobile Group Company Limited is an investment holding company principally engaged in vehicles and related businesses. The firm operates through five segments. The Research and Development (R&D) segment is engaged in the development of new products and new technology, as well as the implementation of R&D projects. The Manufacture segment is engaged in the manufacture of passenger vehicles and motorcycles. The Commercial Services segment is engaged in vehicle sales, logistics, international trading, second-hand vehicles, disassembling, resources recycling, as well as the provision of supporting services. The Parts and Components segment provides engines, gearboxes, car seats, auto lamps, automation accessories, redirectors, shock absorbers and accessories. The Financial segment provides financial investment, insurance, insurance broker, financial lease, automobile credit and other related services.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 9.54 CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 8.86 CNY, Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd is Undervalued by 7%.