Daqin Railway Co Ltd
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Daqin Railway Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 9.38 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 6.75 CNY, Daqin Railway Co Ltd is Undervalued by 28%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Fundamental Analysis
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Daqin Railway Co. Ltd., established in the heart of China, stands as a critical player in the realm of freight transportation, linking the economically thriving regions of Shanxi Province with the bustling port city of Tianjin. With a network sprawling over 650 kilometers, Daqin Railway primarily caters to the transportation of coal, minerals, and other bulk commodities, making it a vital artery for the country's industrial growth. As one of the largest rail freight operators in the world, the company plays a pivotal role in supporting China's energy needs and facilitating its ambitious infrastructure projects, elevating its significance in the context of national economic policies aimed at...
Daqin Railway Co. Ltd., established in the heart of China, stands as a critical player in the realm of freight transportation, linking the economically thriving regions of Shanxi Province with the bustling port city of Tianjin. With a network sprawling over 650 kilometers, Daqin Railway primarily caters to the transportation of coal, minerals, and other bulk commodities, making it a vital artery for the country's industrial growth. As one of the largest rail freight operators in the world, the company plays a pivotal role in supporting China's energy needs and facilitating its ambitious infrastructure projects, elevating its significance in the context of national economic policies aimed at sustainable development.
For investors, Daqin Railway presents a compelling opportunity rooted in its strategic advantages and robust financial health. The company benefits from a near-monopoly on coal transportation from Shanxi, a region rich in coal reserves, to northern industrial zones, ensuring stable revenue streams. Daqin Railway's steady growth is further bolstered by government backing and infrastructure investments, positioning it favorably within the rapidly evolving logistics and transportation landscape of China. With the ongoing push for modernization and the integration of technology in rail systems, investors can look forward to Daqin Railway not only maintaining its dominant position but also evolving to meet the demands of a more interconnected future.
Daqin Railway Co., Ltd. is a major rail transport enterprise in China that primarily focuses on the transportation of coal from the productive regions in the north to markets in the south. The company's core business segments include:
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Coal Transportation: This is the primary segment for Daqin Railway, involving the railway transportation of coal from northern China, particularly from Shanxi and Shaanxi provinces, to coastal areas and power plants. The company operates several key rail lines, such as the Daqin Line, which is crucial for facilitating coal transport.
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Cargo Transportation: Besides coal, Daqin Railway also engages in the transportation of various types of cargo. This can include other bulk materials and general freight, which helps diversify the revenue sources and reduces reliance on coal transport alone.
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Railway Infrastructure Operations: Daqin Railway is involved in the maintenance and operation of its railway infrastructure. This includes managing tracks, stations, and other facilities required for effective rail operations. This segment is vital for ensuring the reliability and safety of the transportation services provided.
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Logistics Services: The company may also provide logistics services associated with rail transport, including warehousing, loading, and unloading services. These services can enhance operational efficiency and customer satisfaction.
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Other Services: Daqin Railway might engage in ancillary services related to transportation and logistics, such as transportation consulting and supplying railway-related equipment or technology.
Overall, Daqin Railway Co., Ltd. plays a critical role in the supply chain of coal in China and is significant to the country's energy sector. Its diversified operations help mitigate risks associated with sector volatility.
Daqin Railway Co., Ltd. has several unique competitive advantages that help it maintain a strong position in the railway transportation sector in China. Here are some of the key factors contributing to its competitive edge:
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Strategic Location and Infrastructure: Daqin Railway operates the Daqin line, which is a critical freight railway linking the coal-rich Shanxi province with the port of Qinhuangdao. This strategic route is vital for coal transportation, providing a direct and efficient link between suppliers and markets.
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Market Position in Coal Transport: The company has a dominant position in coal transportation within China. Given the country's heavy reliance on coal for energy production, Daqin Railway plays an essential role in this supply chain, which secures a steady revenue stream.
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Investment in Infrastructure: Daqin Railway has made significant investments in its railway infrastructure, leading to improved efficiency, capacity, and reliability. This allows the company to handle high volumes of cargo, particularly coal, and meet the growing demand in the market.
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Government Support: As a state-owned enterprise, Daqin Railway benefits from government backing and favorable policies, which can include subsidies, strategic project financing, and access to resources not available to private competitors.
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Operational Efficiency: The company has invested in modern technologies and practices to enhance operational efficiency, including advanced logistics management systems. This leads to reduced costs and improved service quality, giving them an edge over less efficient rivals.
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Established Relationships: Daqin Railway has established long-term relationships with key customers in the coal and power industries, which can lead to stable and recurring revenue through contractual agreements.
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Diversified Services: While coal transport is a primary focus, Daqin Railway has also diversified its offerings to include other freight services, which helps mitigate risk and provide solutions for a broader range of customers.
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Scale of Operations: The company operates on a large scale, which allows for economies of scale that reduce per-unit costs and enhance its ability to compete on pricing.
In summary, Daqin Railway Co., Ltd. maintains its competitive advantages through strategic infrastructure, a strong market position in coal transport, government support, operational efficiencies, established customer relationships, and a diversified service portfolio. These factors collectively position Daqin Railway favorably against its rivals in the railway transportation market.
Daqin Railway Co. Ltd., primarily involved in the transportation of coal and other goods, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key factors to consider:
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Market Demand Fluctuations: Changes in the demand for coal due to shifts toward renewable energy sources can impact revenue. Economic downturns or changes in industrial activity can also affect freight volume.
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Regulatory Changes: Strict environmental regulations and policies aimed at reducing carbon emissions can pose challenges. Compliance with new regulations may result in increased operational costs or require significant investment in cleaner technologies.
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Infrastructure and Maintenance Costs: Aging infrastructure may require substantial investment for upgrades and maintenance. Delays in maintenance can lead to operational inefficiencies or safety concerns.
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Competition: Increased competition from other transportation modes, such as trucks or newer rail initiatives, can lead to price pressures and loss of market share.
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Economic Conditions: Macroeconomic factors, including inflation, interest rates, and GDP growth, can affect demand for transportation services. Global economic trends may also influence domestic operations.
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Geopolitical Risks: Changes in trade policies, tariffs, or geopolitical tensions can disrupt supply chains and affect coal transportation and pricing.
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Investment in Technology: The need to invest in technological innovations for efficiency and cost-reduction is crucial. However, this may divert resources from other essential areas or negatively impact short-term profitability.
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Environmental Sustainability Concerns: Growing public and investor concern regarding environmental impact can pressure the company to adopt more sustainable practices that may not align with its current operational model.
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Labor Issues: Workforce-related challenges, such as labor shortages, strikes, or changes in labor laws, could disrupt operations and increase costs.
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Accident and Safety Risks: Railway operations carry inherent risks related to accidents or incidents, which can lead to financial losses, legal liabilities, and damage to reputation.
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Technology Disruption: The emergence of alternative transport solutions or innovations in logistics and supply chain management could disrupt traditional railway operations.
To navigate these risks effectively, Daqin Railway Co. Ltd. will need to adopt a proactive approach that involves strategic planning, investment in technology, and a focus on sustainability.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Daqin Railway Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Daqin Railway Co Ltd
Current Assets | 84.3B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 67.5B |
Receivables | 14.4B |
Other Current Assets | 2.4B |
Non-Current Assets | 128B |
Long-Term Investments | 26B |
PP&E | 89.7B |
Intangibles | 10.6B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 1.7B |
Current Liabilities | 20.2B |
Accounts Payable | 4.4B |
Accrued Liabilities | 1.6B |
Short-Term Debt | 495.5m |
Other Current Liabilities | 13.7B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 43.5B |
Long-Term Debt | 25.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 18.2B |
Earnings Waterfall
Daqin Railway Co Ltd
Revenue
|
77.2B
CNY
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-63.3B
CNY
|
Gross Profit
|
13.8B
CNY
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Operating Expenses
|
-755.8m
CNY
|
Operating Income
|
13.1B
CNY
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Other Expenses
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-2.8B
CNY
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Net Income
|
10.3B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Daqin Railway Co Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Daqin Railway Co Ltd's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Daqin Railway Co Ltd's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Daqin Railway Co Ltd's solvency score is 71/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Daqin Railway Co Ltd's solvency score is 71/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Daqin Railway Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Daqin Railway Co Ltd is 7.68 CNY with a low forecast of 5.56 CNY and a high forecast of 12.5 CNY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Daqin Railway Co Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Daqin Railway Co., Ltd. engages in the railway transportation services. The company is headquartered in Taiyuan, Shanxi and currently employs 94,426 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2006-08-01. The firm primarily provides railway transportation services of coal products in Shanxi Province and Inner Mongolia. The firm's cargoes include coal, coke, steels, ore and others. The firm principally transports steam coals, which are applied in electric power generation. The firm also engages in railway passenger transportation services.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one Daqin Railway Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 9.38 CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 6.75 CNY, Daqin Railway Co Ltd is Undervalued by 28%.