China Mobile Ltd
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one China Mobile Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 142.69 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 100.85 CNY, China Mobile Ltd is Undervalued by 29%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
China Mobile Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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China Mobile Ltd., the world’s largest mobile telecommunications company by subscriber base, stands at the forefront of the digital revolution in China, serving over a billion customers. Founded in 1997, the company has evolved beyond traditional voice services to become a comprehensive provider of mobile internet and data services. With its expansive 5G network rollout, China Mobile is not just enhancing connectivity but is also positioning itself as a key player in the burgeoning fields of the Internet of Things (IoT) and smart city initiatives. Its ability to adapt and innovate in a fast-paced industry is reflected in its impressive financial performance, with significant revenues driven...
China Mobile Ltd., the world’s largest mobile telecommunications company by subscriber base, stands at the forefront of the digital revolution in China, serving over a billion customers. Founded in 1997, the company has evolved beyond traditional voice services to become a comprehensive provider of mobile internet and data services. With its expansive 5G network rollout, China Mobile is not just enhancing connectivity but is also positioning itself as a key player in the burgeoning fields of the Internet of Things (IoT) and smart city initiatives. Its ability to adapt and innovate in a fast-paced industry is reflected in its impressive financial performance, with significant revenues driven by data services, which constitute a growing portion of its income.
Investment in China Mobile is compelling for a variety of reasons. The company's robust market position in one of the world's largest economies provides a unique opportunity for growth, backed by government support for technological advancement. Despite the competitive landscape, China Mobile has maintained impressive profit margins and high return on equity, showcasing effective cost management and operational efficiency. Additionally, its commitment to a dividend policy offers consistent returns for investors seeking income. As China continues to embrace digital transformation, China Mobile Ltd. stands to benefit significantly, making it a noteworthy consideration for investors looking for exposure in the telecommunications sector.
China Mobile Ltd. is one of the largest telecommunications companies in the world and primarily operates in the following core business segments:
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Mobile Services: This is the core segment of China Mobile, providing voice and data services to a vast customer base. It includes mobile voice services, which are the traditional calling services, and mobile data services, which encompass internet access, messaging, and value-added services.
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Fixed-line Services: Although primarily known for its mobile services, China Mobile has a growing fixed-line segment, providing broadband and telephony services. This segment caters to residential and enterprise customers, contributing to the overall telecommunications infrastructure.
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Data and Internet Services: With the increasing demand for high-speed internet and mobile data services, this segment focuses on providing internet access and related services. This includes 4G and 5G network services, cloud computing, and other digital offerings.
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Telecommunication Equipment & Technology: China Mobile also invests in the development and deployment of telecommunications technology and equipment, including infrastructure for network expansion and enhancements.
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Business Solutions: This segment targets corporate customers, offering enterprise solutions such as mobile and fixed-line communication services, cloud services, big data analysis, and IoT solutions.
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International Services: Through its international subsidiaries and partnerships, China Mobile provides cross-border telecommunications solutions, catering to the needs of users traveling abroad and supporting international business operations.
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Value-Added Services: This includes various services beyond basic telecommunications, such as entertainment, gaming, financial services, and other digital applications that enhance user engagement and satisfaction.
These segments are interrelated and contribute to China Mobile's position as a leader in the telecommunications industry, focusing on innovation and expansion in both domestic and international markets.
China Mobile Ltd, as one of the largest telecommunications companies in the world, boasts several unique competitive advantages over its rivals. Here are some key points highlighting its strengths:
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Extensive Network Infrastructure: China Mobile has the largest mobile network in the world, with a vast coverage area that reaches both urban and rural regions. This extensive infrastructure allows it to serve a large customer base, especially in less developed areas where competitors may have limited presence.
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Subscriber Base: With over a billion subscribers, China Mobile benefits from economies of scale that smaller competitors cannot match. A larger subscriber base translates to higher revenue potential, more bargaining power with suppliers, and better brand recognition.
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Dual-Mode Network: China Mobile operates both 2G and 4G/5G networks, allowing it to serve a wider range of devices and customer needs. Its advanced 5G technology gives it a significant edge in providing high-speed services, particularly in urban areas where demand for data is high.
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Strong Financial Position: China Mobile has a robust balance sheet and generates substantial cash flow, enabling it to invest in technology, infrastructure, and expansion efforts. This financial strength provides a buffer against economic downturns and competitive pressures.
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Government Support: Being state-owned, China Mobile benefits from strong government support and favorable policies, which can facilitate infrastructure investments and ensure long-term strategic advantage. This relationship can also provide better access to resources.
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Focus on IoT and Digital Services: China Mobile is investing heavily in Internet of Things (IoT) technologies and digital services, diversifying its revenue streams beyond traditional mobile telephony. This positions the company to capture emerging trends and customer needs.
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Brand Recognition and Trust: As one of the largest brands in telecommunications, China Mobile benefits from strong brand equity and customer loyalty. Consumers tend to trust established companies, giving it an advantage over newer entrants.
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Partnerships and Collaborations: The company has developed numerous strategic partnerships with technology firms and content providers, enhancing its service offerings and creating a more comprehensive ecosystem for its customers.
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Robust R&D Capabilities: China Mobile invests significantly in research and development, allowing it to stay at the forefront of technological innovation in telecommunications. This focus on R&D helps in keeping up with industry trends and improving service quality.
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Flexible Pricing and Service Bundles: China Mobile offers competitive pricing and various service plans tailored to different customer segments, which helps in attracting and retaining users in a highly competitive market.
These advantages collectively position China Mobile Ltd to maintain a leading role in the telecommunications industry, allowing it to compete effectively against rivals in both domestic and international markets.
China Mobile Ltd, being one of the largest telecommunications companies in the world, faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some of the key ones:
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Regulatory Environment: China’s telecommunications sector is heavily regulated by the government. Changes in regulations can impact operations, pricing, and capital expenditures. The government’s policies towards technology and data privacy are critical areas that may pose challenges.
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Competitive Pressure: China Mobile faces significant competition from domestic rivals like China Unicom and China Telecom. These competitors may engage in aggressive pricing strategies, which could impact China Mobile's market share and profitability.
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Technological Advancements: The rapid pace of technological change in the telecommunications industry requires constant investment in new technologies such as 5G and beyond. Failing to keep up with technological advancements can lead to a loss of competitive advantage.
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Market Saturation: The Chinese mobile market is becoming increasingly saturated, particularly in urban areas. Growth may slow as a result, leading to a need for China Mobile to explore new markets or services to sustain revenue growth.
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Economic Conditions: Economic fluctuations in China, such as a slowdown in economic growth, can affect consumer spending and business investments in telecommunications services, which could negatively impact revenue.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues, exacerbated by geopolitical tensions and the ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, may affect China Mobile’s ability to procure necessary equipment and technology.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a telecommunications provider, China Mobile is a target for cyberattacks. Increasing threats to data security could pose risks not just to operations but also to customer trust and brand reputation.
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Geopolitical Tensions: Rising tensions between China and other countries, particularly the U.S., could result in sanctions or restrictions on technology and equipment, impacting the company’s operations and expansion efforts.
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Shift in Consumer Behavior: Changing consumer preferences, particularly among younger demographics who may prefer OTT (over-the-top) services, can alter demand for traditional telecommunications services.
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Investment and Debt Levels: The need for continued investment in infrastructure, especially with the rollout of 5G, may lead to increased debt levels. High debt can strain financial performance, particularly if revenues do not grow as expected.
These challenges require strategic planning and agile decision-making by China Mobile to maintain its position in a rapidly changing and competitive industry.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
China Mobile Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
China Mobile Ltd
Current Assets | 498.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 331.9B |
Receivables | 136.9B |
Other Current Assets | 29.3B |
Non-Current Assets | 1.5T |
Long-Term Investments | 424.2B |
PP&E | 885.5B |
Intangibles | 49.9B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 99.7B |
Current Liabilities | 558.6B |
Accounts Payable | 297.5B |
Accrued Liabilities | 12.6B |
Short-Term Debt | 26.5B |
Other Current Liabilities | 222B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 92.4B |
Long-Term Debt | 67.8B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 24.6B |
Earnings Waterfall
China Mobile Ltd
Revenue
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1T
CNY
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Cost of Revenue
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-728.2B
CNY
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Gross Profit
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297.1B
CNY
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Operating Expenses
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-151.5B
CNY
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Operating Income
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145.7B
CNY
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Other Expenses
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-9.9B
CNY
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Net Income
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135.8B
CNY
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
China Mobile Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
In the first half of 2024, China Mobile achieved operating revenue of CNY 546.7 billion, a 3% year-on-year increase, with net profit rising 5.3% to CNY 80.2 billion. Digital transformation revenues surged 11%, comprising 31.7% of total services revenue. Wireline broadband and applications revenue grew by 8.4% and 10.9%, respectively. The company will continue investing in digital initiatives, controlling full year CapEx at CNY 173 billion. Additionally, a dividend of HKD 2.6 per share will be distributed, marking a 7% increase from last year, signaling commitment to shareholder returns as they navigate a transitional growth phase.
What is Earnings Call?
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
China Mobile Ltd's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
China Mobile Ltd's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
China Mobile Ltd's solvency score is 67/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
China Mobile Ltd's solvency score is 67/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
China Mobile Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for China Mobile Ltd is 114.7 CNY with a low forecast of 105.04 CNY and a high forecast of 129.05 CNY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for China Mobile Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
China Mobile Ltd is a CN-based company operating in Wireless Telecommunication Services industry. The company is headquartered in Beijing, Beijing and currently employs 449,934 full-time employees. China Mobile Ltd is a China-based company mainly engaged in communication and information services. The firm's businesses include personal market business, family market business, government enterprise market business and emerging market business. The personal market business mainly provides mobile communication services and Internet access services. The family market business mainly provides broadband access services. The government enterprise market business provides basic communication services, information application products and data, information, communication and technology (DICT) solutions. The emerging market businesses include emerging fields such as international business, digital content and mobile payment.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one China Mobile Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 142.69 CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 100.85 CNY, China Mobile Ltd is Undervalued by 29%.