CNOOC Ltd
SSE:600938
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one CNOOC Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 43.4 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 26.56 CNY, CNOOC Ltd is Undervalued by 39%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
CNOOC Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling CNOOC Ltd based on its intrinsic value.
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Fundamental Analysis
![](https://ik.imagekit.io/kkbzr2uz4cp/other/ai-assistant.png)
CNOOC Ltd., a leading oil and gas exploration and production company based in China, has carved its niche in the global energy landscape since its establishment in 1999. As a subsidiary of China National Offshore Oil Corporation, CNOOC specializes in offshore oil and gas exploration, leveraging extensive technological expertise and robust financial resources to discover and develop hydrocarbon reserves both domestically and internationally. With a diverse portfolio that spans vital areas such as the South China Sea, Africa, and the Americas, CNOOC is not only a driving force in China's energy security strategy but also plays a significant role in the global market, capturing the attention of...
CNOOC Ltd., a leading oil and gas exploration and production company based in China, has carved its niche in the global energy landscape since its establishment in 1999. As a subsidiary of China National Offshore Oil Corporation, CNOOC specializes in offshore oil and gas exploration, leveraging extensive technological expertise and robust financial resources to discover and develop hydrocarbon reserves both domestically and internationally. With a diverse portfolio that spans vital areas such as the South China Sea, Africa, and the Americas, CNOOC is not only a driving force in China's energy security strategy but also plays a significant role in the global market, capturing the attention of savvy investors looking for strategic opportunities in the energy sector.
For investors, CNOOC Ltd. presents a compelling case through its commitment to growth and profitability, enhanced by a disciplined approach to capital allocation. The company has demonstrated resilience against market fluctuations and geopolitical challenges, maintaining a strong balance sheet and consistently rewarding shareholders with dividends. Moreover, with the world's transition toward cleaner energy sources, CNOOC is actively investing in innovative technologies and renewable energy initiatives, positioning itself at the forefront of the industry's evolution. As economic recovery accelerates globally, and energy demand continues to rise, CNOOC's strategic investments and operational efficiencies make it an intriguing option for investors seeking exposure to the dynamic energy sector.
CNOOC Limited (China National Offshore Oil Corporation) is one of the largest independent oil and gas exploration and production companies in China. Its core business segments primarily focus on the following areas:
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Exploration and Production (E&P):
- This is the core segment of CNOOC's operations, involving the exploration for and production of oil and natural gas. The company has a strong focus on offshore oil and gas fields in the South China Sea, as well as significant interests in international markets. The E&P segment includes discovering new oil and gas reserves and developing them to meet production targets.
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Refining and Marketing:
- Although a smaller segment compared to E&P, CNOOC also engages in refining activities, processing crude oil into various petroleum products. This segment involves the operation of refineries and the marketing of refined products, including gasoline, diesel, and petrochemical products. The company markets its products both domestically and internationally.
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Natural Gas and Renewables:
- CNOOC has increasingly focused on natural gas as a cleaner energy source, investing in natural gas production and distribution. This segment may also include initiatives in renewable energy as part of a broader strategy to diversify its energy portfolio and reduce carbon emissions, reflecting global trends toward sustainable energy practices.
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Petrochemical Operations:
- CNOOC participates in the petrochemical sector through the production of various chemicals and materials derived from petroleum. This segment is significant for the production of plastics, fertilizers, and other chemical products that are vital to different industries.
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Overseas Investments:
- CNOOC has made significant investments in oil and gas projects abroad, including in regions like Africa, the Americas, and Southeast Asia. This international presence allows the company to diversify its resource base and mitigate risks associated with domestic production.
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Technology and Innovation:
- In recent years, CNOOC has invested in technology to enhance exploration, production efficiency, and environmental sustainability. This may include advancements in seismic imaging, drilling technologies, and other innovations that improve operational performance and safety.
These segments collectively position CNOOC as a major player in the global energy market, focusing on both traditional fossil fuels and emerging energy sources, aligning with the evolving dynamics of the energy landscape.
CNOOC Limited (China National Offshore Oil Corporation) holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the oil and gas sector. These advantages can position the company favorably in both domestic and international markets:
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Strong Government Backing: As a state-owned enterprise, CNOOC benefits from significant support from the Chinese government, including favorable policies, access to funding, and strategic resources. This backing can provide stability and security in times of market volatility.
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Extensive Exploration and Production Portfolio: CNOOC has a diverse portfolio of oil and gas assets, including offshore fields in the South China Sea and overseas projects in Africa, the Americas, and other regions. This geographical diversity reduces dependency on any single region and helps mitigate risks.
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Technological Expertise in Offshore Drilling: CNOOC has developed substantial expertise in offshore exploration and production technology. This includes advanced drilling techniques, enhanced oil recovery methods, and investment in research and development, giving it an edge in maximizing production from challenging offshore environments.
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Strategic Partnerships and Joint Ventures: CNOOC has established numerous partnerships with international oil companies (IOCs) and other stakeholders, allowing it to leverage shared technology, expertise, and resources. These collaborations can also provide better access to high-value projects and markets.
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Robust Supply Chain and Infrastructure: CNOOC has invested heavily in developing its supply chain, including transportation and processing infrastructure, which enhances operational efficiency and reduces costs. This infrastructure supports timely delivery and distribution of its products.
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Market Access: Being a leading oil and gas producer in China allows CNOOC preferential access to a growing domestic market with increasing energy demands. This market positioning is critical, especially given China's push towards energy security.
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Focus on Natural Gas: With a shift towards cleaner energy, CNOOC has emphasized the development of natural gas resources. This strategic pivot aligns with global energy trends and supports China’s transition to a more sustainable energy profile, enhancing the company's long-term prospects.
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Financial Resilience: CNOOC has historically maintained a strong financial position, with consistent revenue generation and cash flow, allowing it to weather downturns in the oil market more effectively than some of its competitors.
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Regulatory Knowledge: CNOOC's understanding of the regulatory and environmental landscape in China—alongside its ability to navigate policies more effectively than foreign competitors—gives it a significant operational advantage.
These competitive advantages allow CNOOC to navigate challenges more effectively, pursue growth opportunities, and maintain a leading position in both domestic and international markets.
CNOOC Ltd, one of China's largest national oil companies, faces several risks and challenges that could impact its operations and financial performance in the near future. Here are some key considerations:
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Volatility in Oil Prices: Fluctuations in global oil prices can significantly affect CNOOC's revenue and profitability. A decline in prices can lead to reduced cash flows and delayed investment in exploration and production.
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Regulatory Risks: As a national oil company, CNOOC operates under strict regulatory oversight, both domestically and internationally. Changes in environmental regulations, trade policies, or taxation can impact its operations and profitability.
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Geopolitical Tensions: CNOOC has international operations that expose it to geopolitical risks. Tensions in regions where the company operates, such as the South China Sea or its investments in Africa and Latin America, can disrupt its operations and lead to asset impairments.
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Environmental and Sustainability Concerns: With a global shift towards renewable energy and sustainability, CNOOC faces pressure to improve its environmental practices. Failure to address these concerns can harm its public image and lead to potential legal liabilities.
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Competition: The energy sector is highly competitive, with both state-owned and private companies vying for market share. CNOOC must continually innovate and manage its costs to remain competitive.
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Technological Changes: Rapid advancements in technology, particularly in renewable energy and energy efficiency, could disrupt traditional fossil fuel markets. CNOOC needs to adapt and invest in new technologies or risk obsolescence.
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Debt Levels: High levels of debt can pose a risk, particularly in a rising interest rate environment or if cash flows decrease. Managing leverage and ensuring financial stability will be crucial for the company.
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Operational Risks: CNOOC's large-scale operations expose it to various operational risks, including accidents, equipment failures, and supply chain disruptions which can impact production and lead to financial losses.
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Impact of COVID-19: The ongoing effects of the pandemic on global demand for energy and transportation can pose challenges. Despite signs of recovery, future outbreaks or variants can still impact market conditions.
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Transition to Renewable Energy: As global energy dynamics shift towards cleaner energy sources, CNOOC faces the challenge of diversifying its energy portfolio while managing its traditional oil and gas assets.
In summary, CNOOC Ltd must navigate a complex landscape of risks and challenges, requiring strategic foresight, operational excellence, and adaptability to ensure sustainable long-term growth.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
CNOOC Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
CNOOC Ltd
Current Assets | 250.3B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 194.9B |
Receivables | 42.3B |
Other Current Assets | 13.1B |
Non-Current Assets | 755.3B |
Long-Term Investments | 93.4B |
PP&E | 603B |
Intangibles | 18.8B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 40.2B |
Current Liabilities | 123.9B |
Accounts Payable | 61.4B |
Accrued Liabilities | 16.8B |
Short-Term Debt | 4.4B |
Other Current Liabilities | 41.4B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 215.1B |
Long-Term Debt | 96.1B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 119B |
Earnings Waterfall
CNOOC Ltd
Revenue
|
430.4B
CNY
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-236.7B
CNY
|
Gross Profit
|
193.6B
CNY
|
Operating Expenses
|
-15B
CNY
|
Operating Income
|
178.6B
CNY
|
Other Expenses
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-47.2B
CNY
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Net Income
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131.4B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
CNOOC Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
CNOOC Ltd's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
CNOOC Ltd's profitability score is 67/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
CNOOC Ltd's solvency score is 68/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
CNOOC Ltd's solvency score is 68/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
CNOOC Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CNOOC Ltd is 33.19 CNY with a low forecast of 11.92 CNY and a high forecast of 47.25 CNY.
Shareholder Yield
Current shareholder yield for CNOOC Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Price
CNOOC Ltd
Average Annual Return | 24.23% |
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns |
N/A
|
Max Drawdown | -24% |
Market Capitalization | 726.6B CNY |
Shares Outstanding | 27 355 300 874 |
Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
CNOOC Ltd is a China-based investment holding company principally engaged in the exploration, production and sales of crude oil and natural gas. The Company operates three segments. Exploration and Production segment is engaged in conventional oil and gas business, shale oil and gas business, oil sands business and other unconventional oil and gas businesses. Trading segment is engaged in entrepot trade of crude oil in overseas areas. Corporate segment is engaged in headquarter management, assets management, research & development, and other businesses. The Company mainly operates businesses in China, Canada, the United Kingdom, Nigeria, and Brazil, among others.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one CNOOC Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 43.4 CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 26.56 CNY, CNOOC Ltd is Undervalued by 39%.