Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd
SSE:600809
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 346.49 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 199.4 CNY, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd is Undervalued by 42%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Fundamental Analysis
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Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co., Ltd., a storied leader in China's liquor industry, has built a venerable reputation through its rich heritage of producing Fenjiu, a celebrated variety of Chinese liquor. Founded in the picturesque town of Xinghuacun in Shanxi Province, the company has harnessed traditional production techniques combined with modern innovations to create a high-quality product that appeals to both domestic and international markets. This dedication to craftsmanship has not only garnered numerous accolades over its long history but also cultivated a loyal consumer base looking for authenticity and premium experiences in their spirits. As global demand for unique alcohol...
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co., Ltd., a storied leader in China's liquor industry, has built a venerable reputation through its rich heritage of producing Fenjiu, a celebrated variety of Chinese liquor. Founded in the picturesque town of Xinghuacun in Shanxi Province, the company has harnessed traditional production techniques combined with modern innovations to create a high-quality product that appeals to both domestic and international markets. This dedication to craftsmanship has not only garnered numerous accolades over its long history but also cultivated a loyal consumer base looking for authenticity and premium experiences in their spirits. As global demand for unique alcoholic beverages continues to rise, Fenjiu stands poised to expand its footprint across diverse markets.
For investors, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory represents a compelling opportunity within the expanding Chinese alcoholic beverage sector. With the government's push to nurture the growth of traditional liquor brands, coupled with a growing trend toward premiumization among consumers, the factory is strategically positioned to capitalize on these shifts. Its robust distribution network and a commitment to sustainability further bolster its resilience against market fluctuations. Whether through direct investment or as a potential acquisition target, investing in this iconic brand offers the prospect of tapping into the burgeoning growth of one of the world’s largest markets for spirits while supporting a time-honored cultural legacy.
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co., Ltd., commonly referred to as Fenjiu, is one of the oldest and most prominent producers of Chinese liquor, particularly known for its Fenjiu (a type of Chinese baijiu). As a business analyst, it is essential to analyze its core business segments, which typically revolve around:
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Production and Sale of Baijiu: The primary segment involves the production of Fenjiu, which is made from sorghum and is notable for its unique flavor profile. This segment encompasses various product lines, including high-end and mid-range baijiu, targeting different consumer segments.
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Brand Development and Marketing: Building the Fenjiu brand is crucial to its market presence. This segment focuses on promotional activities, brand positioning, and marketing strategies to enhance visibility, especially among younger consumers and international markets.
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Distribution and Logistics: Fenjiu's distribution network is vital for reaching customers across China and internationally. This segment includes partnerships with distributors, retailers, and e-commerce platforms to optimize supply chain efficiency and market penetration.
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Cultural and Tourism Activities: The company may engage in cultural promotions, including heritage tourism related to the production of Fenjiu. This segment provides an experiential aspect to the brand, attracting tourists to learn about its history and production processes.
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Research and Development: This segment involves innovation in production techniques, new product development, and quality enhancement. R&D efforts are aimed at maintaining product quality and expanding product lines to cater to changing consumer preferences.
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Export Business: With the rising global interest in baijiu, this segment is increasingly focused on international markets. It includes strategies for exporting products, participating in international trade fairs, and adapting products to meet the tastes of foreign consumers.
These segments collectively contribute to the overall growth and sustainability of Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co., Ltd., supporting its status as a market leader in the Chinese liquor industry.
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd, a well-established producer of traditional Chinese Fenjiu liquor, holds several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals:
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Heritage and Brand Recognition: Founded in 1949, the company has a long-standing history and is recognized as one of the top producers of Fenjiu. The brand’s heritage lends it a strong reputation and consumer loyalty.
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Geographical Indication: The production of Fenjiu is tied to its geographical origins in Shanxi Province, which has specific environmental factors that contribute to the unique taste profile of the liquor. This geographical indication protects the brand and enhances its market position.
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Traditional Production Techniques: The company employs traditional fermentation and distillation methods that have been passed down through generations. This commitment to artisanal production methods attracts consumers seeking authenticity and quality.
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Quality Control: Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory is known for its rigorous quality control standards, ensuring that every bottle meets high-quality benchmarks, which can enhance customer trust and satisfaction.
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Diversified Product Range: The company offers a variety of Fenjiu products that cater to different market segments, including premium and value tiers, allowing it to appeal to a broader consumer base.
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Cultural Significance: Fenjiu holds a significant place in Chinese culture and is often used in traditional ceremonies and celebrations. This cultural relevance enhances demand and provides an emotional connection with consumers.
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Strong Distribution Network: The company has established a robust distribution network across China and internationally, facilitating access to various market segments and supporting growth in sales.
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Rising Popularity of Baijiu: With the growing interest in Chinese spirits, particularly Baijiu, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory stands to benefit from the overall market expansion in both domestic and international markets.
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Sustainability Initiatives: Increasing awareness and initiatives in sustainable practices can appeal to environmentally conscious consumers, enhancing brand loyalty and market position.
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Strategic Partnerships and Collaborations: The company may engage in partnerships that expand its market reach or enhance its product offerings, thereby bringing additional competitive advantages.
These factors combine to create a solid competitive advantage for Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd in the competitive landscape of alcoholic beverages, particularly in the Baijiu segment.
As a professional business analyst, I can outline several potential risks and challenges that Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd, a prominent Chinese maker of Fenjiu liquor, might face in the near future:
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Regulatory Changes: The liquor industry in China is subject to strict regulations. Any changes in government policies regarding alcohol production, distribution, or marketing could significantly impact operations.
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Market Competition: The spirits market, particularly in China, is highly competitive. Both domestic and international brands vie for market share, potentially squeezing margins for Shanxi Xinghuacun.
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Consumer Preferences: Shifts in consumer preferences toward health and wellness may lead to reduced demand for alcohol products. Additionally, younger consumers might prefer different types of alcoholic beverages, such as craft beers or cocktails.
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Economic Factors: Economic downturns or fluctuations in disposable income can affect consumer spending on premium and luxury beverages. This could impact sales for high-end products like Fenjiu.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain issues, whether due to geopolitical tensions, health pandemics, or natural disasters, could affect the availability and cost of raw materials needed for production.
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Brand Reputation Management: Any negative publicity, whether regarding product quality, safety issues, or environmental impact, could harm the brand's reputation and consumer trust.
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Technological Advancements: The rise of e-commerce and digital marketing is transforming the beverage industry. Failing to adapt to these changes could result in lost market opportunities.
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Environmental Regulations: Increasing scrutiny on environmentally sustainable practices means that the company might face challenges related to compliance with new regulations aimed at reducing carbon footprints and waste.
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Global Market Expansion: As the company looks to expand internationally, it may face challenges related to cultural differences, local regulations, and competition in foreign markets.
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Financial Risks: Fluctuations in currency exchange rates and interest rates could impact profitability, especially if the company relies on international markets or financing.
Navigating these risks requires proactive strategy planning, market research, and flexibility in operations. The company would benefit from implementing risk management practices to mitigate potential impacts and capitalize on opportunities for growth.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd
Current Assets | 42.5B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 28.8B |
Receivables | 2B |
Other Current Assets | 11.7B |
Non-Current Assets | 9.5B |
Long-Term Investments | 1.7B |
PP&E | 4B |
Intangibles | 1.2B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 2.6B |
Current Liabilities | 20.1B |
Accounts Payable | 3.1B |
Accrued Liabilities | 2.4B |
Short-Term Debt | 1.5B |
Other Current Liabilities | 13.1B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 953.7m |
Long-Term Debt | 359.7m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 594.1m |
Earnings Waterfall
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd
Revenue
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36.5B
CNY
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Cost of Revenue
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-15.2B
CNY
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Gross Profit
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21.3B
CNY
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Operating Expenses
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-5B
CNY
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Operating Income
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16.3B
CNY
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Other Expenses
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-3.9B
CNY
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Net Income
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12.4B
CNY
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd's profitability score is 83/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd's profitability score is 83/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd's solvency score is 79/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd's solvency score is 79/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd is 231.03 CNY with a low forecast of 127.26 CNY and a high forecast of 268.42 CNY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co., Ltd. engages in production and sales of Fenjiu, Zhuye green wine and series wines. The company is headquartered in Luliang, Shanxi and currently employs 13,474 full-time employees. The firm is mainly engaged in the production and sales of Fen liquor, Zhuyeqing liquor and the related series liquor products, and the research and development, production and application of liquor technology and products. The firm distributes its products principally in domestic market.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 346.49 CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 199.4 CNY, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co Ltd is Undervalued by 42%.