Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd
SSE:600519

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Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd
SSE:600519
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Price: 1 507.8199 CNY -2.39% Market Closed
Market Cap: 1.9T CNY
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 923.2133 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 1 507.8199 CNY, Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd is Undervalued by 22%.

Intrinsic Value
1 923.2133 CNY
Undervaluation 22%
Intrinsic Value
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Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

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Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd

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Business Breakdown

Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd. stands as a beacon of excellence in the world of premium alcoholic beverages, specifically in the production of baijiu, a traditional Chinese liquor. Founded in the late 1940s and based in the picturesque town of Maota, the company has cultivated a legacy rooted in craftsmanship and quality. Over the decades, Kweichow Moutai has transformed from a local distillery into a global powerhouse, consistently dominating the high-end liquor market. Its flagship product, Moutai, is often regarded as China’s national drink, deeply entwined with cultural celebrations and corporate banquets. Investors have taken note of its impressive track record of revenue growth, fueled by soa...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd

Current Assets 232.3B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 61.5B
Receivables 115.7B
Other Current Assets 55B
Non-Current Assets 47B
Long-Term Investments 7.2B
PP&E 22.7B
Intangibles 8.9B
Other Non-Current Assets 8.1B
Current Liabilities 50.8B
Accounts Payable 3.3B
Accrued Liabilities 5.5B
Short-Term Debt 3B
Other Current Liabilities 39B
Non-Current Liabilities 9.8B
Long-Term Debt 277.4m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 9.5B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd

Revenue
163B CNY
Cost of Revenue
-38.1B CNY
Gross Profit
124.9B CNY
Operating Expenses
-15.4B CNY
Operating Income
109.5B CNY
Other Expenses
-29B CNY
Net Income
80.4B CNY

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Fundamental Scores

Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd's profitability score is 82/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Free Cash Flow
Exceptional 3-Year Average ROIC
Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Gross Profit
82/100
Profitability
Score

Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd's profitability score is 82/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd's solvency score is 87/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
Negative Net Debt
87/100
Solvency
Score

Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd's solvency score is 87/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

Price Targets Summary
Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd is 1 973.5534 CNY with a low forecast of 1 413.7273 CNY and a high forecast of 2 488.5 CNY.

Lowest
Price Target
1 413.7273 CNY
6% Downside
Average
Price Target
1 973.5534 CNY
31% Upside
Highest
Price Target
2 488.5 CNY
65% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
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Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
Very
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Unsafe
Safe
Very
Safe
0
25
50
75
100
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Buyback Yield
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Profile

Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd Logo
Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd

Country

China

Industry

Beverages

Market Cap

1.9T CNY

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd. engages in the operation of wine industries. The company is headquartered in Zunyi, Guizhou and currently employs 29,971 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2001-08-27. The firm's main products portfolio consists of Kweichow Mountai liquors and other liquor series, including Moutai Prince liquors, Moutai Ying Bin Chiew and Laimao liquors. The firm distributes its products within domestic market and to overseas markets.

Contact

GUIZHOU
Zunyi
Moutai Town, Renhuai City
+8685122386002
www.moutaichina.com

IPO

2001-08-27

Employees

29 971

Officers

Acting GM & Director
Ms. Wang Li
Deputy GM, CFO & Secretary
Ms. Yan Jiang
Deputy General Manager
Mr. Zheng Qiang Zhong
Employee Supervisor and Head of the Legal & Compliance Department
Mr. Yong Wen

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd stock?

The intrinsic value of one Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 1 923.2133 CNY.

Is Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 1 507.8199 CNY, Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd is Undervalued by 22%.

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