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Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd
SSE:600419

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Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd
SSE:600419
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Price: 9.02 CNY -4.55% Market Closed
Market Cap: 2.9B CNY
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 14.15 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 9.02 CNY, Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd is Undervalued by 36%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

Intrinsic Value
14.15 CNY
Undervaluation 36%
Intrinsic Value
Price
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Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

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Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

Economic Moat
Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd

Current Assets 1.5B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 667.9m
Receivables 241m
Other Current Assets 595.8m
Non-Current Assets 4.4B
Long-Term Investments 19.6m
PP&E 4.2B
Intangibles 116.4m
Other Non-Current Assets 21.2m
Current Liabilities 1.9B
Accounts Payable 800.9m
Accrued Liabilities 69.9m
Short-Term Debt 689.6m
Other Current Liabilities 340.7m
Non-Current Liabilities 1.6B
Long-Term Debt 1B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 620.8m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd

Revenue
2.8B CNY
Cost of Revenue
-2.3B CNY
Gross Profit
469.7m CNY
Operating Expenses
-318.3m CNY
Operating Income
151.3m CNY
Other Expenses
-163m CNY
Net Income
-11.7m CNY

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Fundamental Scores

Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd's profitability score is 44/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Gross Profit
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
Positive 1-Year Revenue Growth
44/100
Profitability
Score

Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd's profitability score is 44/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd's solvency score is 45/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Positive Net Debt
Short-Term Solvency
45/100
Solvency
Score

Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd's solvency score is 45/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

Price Targets Summary
Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd is 10.52 CNY with a low forecast of 9.39 CNY and a high forecast of 11.89 CNY.

Lowest
Price Target
9.39 CNY
4% Upside
Average
Price Target
10.52 CNY
17% Upside
Highest
Price Target
11.89 CNY
32% Upside
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Dividends

Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
Very
Unsafe
Unsafe
Safe
Very
Safe
0
25
50
75
100
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
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Highest
Buyback Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest

Profile

Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd

Country

China

Industry

Food Products

Market Cap

2.8B CNY

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co., Ltd. engages in the dairy products production, and animal husbandry businesses. The company is headquartered in Urumqi, Xinjiang and currently employs 2,391 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2001-06-28. The firm is also engaged in animal husbandry business. The firm's main products include yogurt series, Ultra Heat Treated (UHT) and other milk series, milk beverage series, pasteurized milk series, consumable biological assets, produce fresh milk and others. The firm mainly distributes its products in Xinjiang province, China.

Contact

XINJIANG
Urumqi
No.2702, Wuchang Highway, (Toutunhe District), Economic Technological Development Zone
+869913960621
www.xjtrry.com

IPO

2001-06-28

Employees

2 391

Officers

MD & Director
Mr. Gang Hu
CFO, Deputy GM & Director
Ms. HuiLing Wang
Chief Engineer
Mr. PengLong Liu
Deputy GM, Board Secretary & Director
Mr. Yubo Feng

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd stock?

The intrinsic value of one Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 14.15 CNY.

Is Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 9.02 CNY, Xinjiang Tianrun Dairy Co Ltd is Undervalued by 36%.

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