China Avionics Systems Co Ltd
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one China Avionics Systems Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 23.07 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 12.52 CNY, China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is Undervalued by 46%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
China Avionics Systems Co Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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China Avionics Systems Co., Ltd. (CASC) is a leading player in the rapidly growing aerospace and defense sector, primarily focused on providing advanced avionics systems and equipment vital for modern aviation. Established in the heart of China’s booming technology landscape, the company has positioned itself as a pivotal contributor to the country's ambitions in both civil and military aviation. With a robust portfolio that includes flight control systems, communication devices, and navigation equipment, CASC is not only supporting domestic aerospace initiatives but is also expanding its footprint into international markets. As the demand for innovative aviation solutions continues to rise...
China Avionics Systems Co., Ltd. (CASC) is a leading player in the rapidly growing aerospace and defense sector, primarily focused on providing advanced avionics systems and equipment vital for modern aviation. Established in the heart of China’s booming technology landscape, the company has positioned itself as a pivotal contributor to the country's ambitions in both civil and military aviation. With a robust portfolio that includes flight control systems, communication devices, and navigation equipment, CASC is not only supporting domestic aerospace initiatives but is also expanding its footprint into international markets. As the demand for innovative aviation solutions continues to rise with the expansion of global airline travel and defense modernization, CASC stands poised to capitalize on these trends, supported by government policies that prioritize self-sufficiency in high-tech sectors.
For investors, CASC represents a compelling opportunity in a sector that is underpinned by strong growth fundamentals. The company has demonstrated a commitment to research and development, enabling it to stay ahead of technological advancements in avionics. Its strategic partnerships and collaborations with various aerospace organizations further enhance its market position and reliability as a supplier. With the global aviation industry rebounding and the push for next-generation aircraft increasing, CASC is well-positioned to benefit from an uptick in demand for its products. Additionally, as China continues to enhance its defense capabilities, CASC's dual focus on civil and military applications offers a balanced growth prospect that could yield significant returns for investors looking for exposure in the high-tech manufacturing sector.
China Avionics Systems Co., Ltd. (CASC) is primarily involved in the aerospace and defense sectors, focusing on various core business segments. While specific details about the company's operations may evolve, here are several key segments typically associated with CASC:
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Avionics Products: This includes the development and manufacturing of avionics systems and components for military and civil aviation. These products often cover navigation systems, communication systems, and flight control systems.
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Military Aviation: A significant portion of CASC’s business is dedicated to providing support and systems for military aircraft and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). This segment may also involve research and development for advanced military aviation technology.
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Civil Aviation: CASC participates in the civil aviation sector by supplying avionics systems for commercial aircraft. This segment also encompasses services such as maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) of aviation equipment.
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Ground Support Equipment: This includes the development and supply of ground handling and support systems essential for aircraft operations at airports, ensuring efficiency and safety in operations.
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Research and Development: CASC invests heavily in R&D to innovate and advance its technology portfolio in avionics and aerospace systems. This segment ensures that the company remains competitive and adapts to emerging technologies.
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Training and Simulation: Providing training solutions for pilots and ground personnel, including simulators and training software, is another aspect of CASC’s offerings.
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International Cooperation and Export: CASC engages in international collaborations and exports its products and services to enhance its presence in global markets.
These segments illustrate CASC’s multifaceted involvement in the aviation industry, highlighting its role as a key player in both domestic and international markets. The company aims to leverage technological advancements and the growing demand for high-performance aviation solutions.
China Avionics Systems Co Ltd (CASC) has several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the aerospace and avionics industry:
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Government Support: As a state-owned enterprise, CASC benefits from significant government backing, both politically and financially. This support can manifest in favorable policies, subsidies, and access to funding that may not be available to private competitors.
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Market Access: With China's expanding aviation market, CASC has preferential access to domestic projects, given its alignment with national interests and initiatives like the Made in China 2025 policy, which promotes domestic manufacturers in strategic industries.
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Research and Development: CASC invests heavily in R&D, allowing it to innovate and develop advanced technologies tailored to both military and civilian aerospace applications. This focus on innovation enhances its product offerings and helps maintain technological leadership.
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Comprehensive Product Portfolio: CASC has a wide range of products, including avionics systems, flight control systems, and other essential components for both commercial and military aircraft. This extensive portfolio enables it to serve various market segments and meet diverse customer needs.
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Economies of Scale: As one of the largest players in the Chinese avionics market, CASC can leverage economies of scale, lowering production costs and improving efficiency relative to smaller competitors.
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Strategic Partnerships: CASC often collaborates with other state-owned enterprises and foreign companies, facilitating technology transfer and shared expertise. These partnerships can enhance its capabilities and improve competitiveness in international markets.
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Regulatory Know-How: CASC has the ability to navigate the complex regulatory landscape in China more effectively than foreign competitors, allowing it to expedite product approvals and establish a strong foothold in compliance-heavy markets.
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Established Reputation and Reliability: With years of experience and a strong track record in the aerospace sector, CASC has built a reputation for reliability and quality. This trust can be a significant advantage when securing contracts with government and military clients, who prioritize reliability in national defense and critical infrastructure.
Overall, these competitive advantages enable China Avionics Systems Co Ltd to maintain a strong position in both domestic and international markets, making it a formidable player in the aerospace industry.
China Avionics Systems Co Ltd, as a company in the aerospace and defense sector, faces several risks and challenges, particularly given the geopolitical landscape, technological advancements, and market dynamics. Here are some key risks and challenges the company might encounter in the near future:
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Geopolitical Tensions:
- Ongoing tensions between China and other countries, especially the United States, could affect business operations, trade relationships, and access to technologies.
- Sanctions or export controls imposed by other countries could limit the company’s ability to collaborate internationally or access foreign markets.
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Technological Evolution:
- Rapid advancements in avionics technology mean that the company must continually innovate to remain competitive. Failing to keep pace with developments such as AI, automation, and connectivity in aviation could jeopardize its market position.
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Supply Chain Vulnerabilities:
- The aerospace sector relies heavily on a global supply chain. Disruptions due to trade wars, pandemics, or natural disasters could impact production and delivery timelines.
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Regulatory Challenges:
- Compliance with both domestic and international aviation regulations can be complex and costly. Changes in regulations could increase operational costs or require significant changes to products and processes.
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Environmental Concerns:
- Increasing pressure to reduce carbon emissions and develop sustainable aviation technologies could require substantial investment in R&D. The company may face public scrutiny and regulatory barriers if it does not adapt to these demands.
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Market Competition:
- Competition from both domestic and international players in the avionics field may drive down prices and margins. Emerging companies with innovative technologies could disrupt the market.
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Economic Slowerdown:
- Slower economic growth, particularly in the aerospace sector, could lead to reduced demand for new aircraft and avionics systems. Such economic conditions could affect government and private spending on defense and aviation-related projects.
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Cybersecurity Threats:
- As reliance on digital technologies and interconnected systems grows, so does the risk of cyberattacks. Protecting sensitive data and maintaining system integrity are critical challenges.
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Investment Requirements:
- Significant capital investments are usually required for R&D and modernization of facilities. If the company encounters financial difficulties or constraints, it may struggle to invest in necessary advancements.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention:
- The aerospace and technology sectors face intense competition for skilled professionals. Attracting and retaining top talent is essential for maintaining innovation and competitiveness.
Addressing these challenges requires strategic planning, proactive risk management, and an adaptive approach to business operations and market conditions.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
China Avionics Systems Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
China Avionics Systems Co Ltd
Current Assets | 55.9B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 11.3B |
Receivables | 27.6B |
Other Current Assets | 16.9B |
Non-Current Assets | 17.8B |
Long-Term Investments | 2.5B |
PP&E | 12.7B |
Intangibles | 1.9B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 736.3m |
Current Liabilities | 31.9B |
Accounts Payable | 17.4B |
Accrued Liabilities | 991.1m |
Short-Term Debt | 9.3B |
Other Current Liabilities | 4.2B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 5.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 3.9B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1.4B |
Earnings Waterfall
China Avionics Systems Co Ltd
Revenue
|
24.8B
CNY
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-17.9B
CNY
|
Gross Profit
|
7B
CNY
|
Operating Expenses
|
-5.4B
CNY
|
Operating Income
|
1.6B
CNY
|
Other Expenses
|
-114.7m
CNY
|
Net Income
|
1.4B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
China Avionics Systems Co Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
China Avionics Systems Co Ltd's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
China Avionics Systems Co Ltd's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
China Avionics Systems Co Ltd's solvency score is 57/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
China Avionics Systems Co Ltd's solvency score is 57/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
China Avionics Systems Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is 15.17 CNY with a low forecast of 15.02 CNY and a high forecast of 15.61 CNY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
China Avionics Systems Co., Ltd. provides integrated aeronautics solution. The company is headquartered in Beijing, Beijing and currently employs 11,294 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2001-07-06. The firm mainly provides aircraft data acquisition equipment, aircraft positioning and navigation equipment, aircraft navigation attitude systems, air data systems, autopilots, aviation lighting systems, cockpit control and dimming systems, aircraft warning systems, dedicated driving and actuation systems, sensors and sensitive components. The firm is also engaged in the manufacture and distribution of fabric special equipment, including textile machinery and spare parts. The firm distributes its products within domestic market and to overseas markets.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one China Avionics Systems Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 23.07 CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 12.52 CNY, China Avionics Systems Co Ltd is Undervalued by 46%.