YTO Express Group Co Ltd
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one YTO Express Group Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 25.93 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 16.7 CNY, YTO Express Group Co Ltd is Undervalued by 36%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
YTO Express Group Co Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
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YTO Express Group Co., Ltd., established in 2000, has rapidly emerged as one of the leading logistics and express delivery providers in China. With its headquarters in Shanghai, the company has successfully leveraged the burgeoning e-commerce sector, providing a myriad of domestic and international delivery services. YTO Express operates an extensive network that includes thousands of sorting centers and distribution hubs, ensuring efficient last-mile delivery to meet the increasing demands of online shopping. The company's commitment to integrating advanced technologies like big data analytics and automation has positioned it as a resilient player in the fast-evolving logistics landscape, m...
YTO Express Group Co., Ltd., established in 2000, has rapidly emerged as one of the leading logistics and express delivery providers in China. With its headquarters in Shanghai, the company has successfully leveraged the burgeoning e-commerce sector, providing a myriad of domestic and international delivery services. YTO Express operates an extensive network that includes thousands of sorting centers and distribution hubs, ensuring efficient last-mile delivery to meet the increasing demands of online shopping. The company's commitment to integrating advanced technologies like big data analytics and automation has positioned it as a resilient player in the fast-evolving logistics landscape, making it indispensable in the supply chain.
For investors, YTO's robust growth trajectory and strategic partnerships present compelling opportunities. The company consistently showcases an ability to adapt to market changes, capitalizing on the rise of consumer expectations for speed and reliability in shipping. Furthermore, YTO Express has been expanding its international footprint, tapping into global markets and diversifying its revenue streams. As supply chain challenges persist worldwide, the growing necessity for dependable logistics solutions underscores YTO's value proposition. Investors can find assurance in the company’s proactive management team and its focus on sustainable practices, all while riding the wave of increasing e-commerce penetration in both domestic and foreign markets.
YTO Express Group Co., Ltd. is one of the leading courier service providers in China, involved in multiple segments of the logistics and transportation industry. The core business segments of YTO Express typically include:
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Express Delivery Services:
- This is the primary segment of YTO Express, providing domestic and international parcel delivery services. It caters to both B2B (business-to-business) and B2C (business-to-consumer) customers, offering a range of delivery options, including same-day and next-day services.
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Freight and Logistics Services:
- YTO Express also engages in freight transportation services, which involve handling larger shipments and logistics operations. This includes road, rail, and sometimes air freight services.
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Supply Chain Management:
- The company provides comprehensive supply chain solutions that include warehousing, inventory management, and fulfillment services. This segment focuses on optimizing the entire logistics workflow for clients, ensuring efficiency and cost-effectiveness.
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Domestic and International Logistics Solutions:
- YTO Express operates not only within China but also internationally, offering cross-border e-commerce logistics that facilitate international shipping for businesses looking to expand their market reach.
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E-commerce Logistics:
- With the rise of e-commerce, YTO Express has developed specialized services tailored for online retailers. This segment includes door-to-door delivery, returns management, and packaging services designed to meet the unique needs of e-commerce businesses.
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Value-Added Services:
- In addition to standard delivery services, YTO Express offers value-added services such as payment collection, insurance options for shipments, and tracking services that enhance customer experience and operational efficiency.
These core segments reflect YTO Express's strategy to cater to a wide array of customer needs in the fast-evolving logistics landscape, particularly in the booming e-commerce sector. The company aims to leverage technology and innovation to further enhance its service offerings and operational efficiency.
YTO Express Group Co Ltd, one of the leading express delivery companies in China, possesses several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals:
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Extensive Network Coverage: YTO Express has developed a comprehensive logistics network that spans urban and rural areas in China. This extensive reach enables the company to provide reliable service even in less accessible regions, giving it a competitive edge over many of its rivals.
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Strong Brand Recognition: With years of operation in the industry, YTO has established a strong brand reputation for reliability and efficiency. This recognition helps build customer loyalty and encourages repeat business.
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Technological Advancements: YTO Express leverages technology to enhance its operational efficiency. This includes route optimization, automated sorting systems, and advanced tracking solutions, which not only streamline processes but also improve customer satisfaction through better service visibility.
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Diverse Service Offerings: The company provides a wide range of services, including express delivery, logistics solutions, and freight forwarding. This diversification allows it to cater to different market segments, enhancing its appeal to both individual and corporate clients.
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Economies of Scale: YTO’s large operating scale enables it to reduce costs per unit through bulk purchasing and more efficient use of resources, giving it a pricing advantage over smaller competitors.
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Strong Partnerships and Collaborations: YTO Express collaborates with various e-commerce platforms and businesses, enhancing its service offerings and improving delivery times. Strategic partnerships can also lead to shared resources and information, boosting overall competitiveness.
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Investment in Infrastructure: Ongoing investments in logistics and distribution infrastructure, such as warehouses and sorting centers, enable YTO to enhance its operational capabilities and service efficiency.
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Customer-Centric Approach: YTO Express focuses on understanding customer needs and adapting its services accordingly. This commitment to customer satisfaction fosters loyalty and encourages long-term relationships with clients.
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Regulatory Compliance and Experience: Being one of the established players in the industry, YTO has a deep understanding of regulatory requirements and industry standards, which minimizes operational risks associated with compliance.
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Sustainability Initiatives: An increasing focus on sustainability can differentiate YTO from competitors who may not prioritize eco-friendly practices, attracting customers who value corporate responsibility.
These competitive advantages allow YTO Express Group Co Ltd to position itself strongly within the express delivery market, making it a formidable player against its rivals.
YTO Express Group Co Ltd, as one of the leading express delivery companies in China, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Market Competition: The express delivery industry in China is highly competitive, with major players like SF Express, ZTO Express, and JD Logistics. Intense competition can lead to price wars, impacting profit margins.
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Regulatory Environment: Changes in government policies and regulations, including those related to logistics, labor laws, and environmental standards, can pose operational challenges and increase compliance costs.
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Economic Fluctuations: Economic slowdowns, particularly in key markets like China, can affect demand for logistics services. Factors such as GDP growth rates, consumer spending, and e-commerce trends directly impact business volume.
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Technological Advancements: The rapid pace of technological advancement requires continuous investment in logistics technology, automated sorting systems, and last-mile delivery solutions. Keeping up with innovation is essential for maintaining competitiveness.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global events like pandemics, geopolitical tensions, or natural disasters can disrupt supply chains, leading to delays and increased operational complexities.
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Rising Labor Costs: Increasing labor costs in China, driven by wage hikes and a shrinking workforce, pose a challenge to maintaining profitability. YTO Express may need to balance labor costs with service quality.
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Customer Expectations: As e-commerce grows, customers expect faster and more reliable delivery services. Meeting these rising expectations can strain existing infrastructure and operational capacity.
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Environmental Sustainability: There is growing pressure on logistics companies to adopt more sustainable practices, including reducing carbon footprints and implementing eco-friendly packaging solutions. Failing to do so may harm brand reputation.
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Cybersecurity Risks: As digitalization increases, YTO Express is more vulnerable to cybersecurity threats, including data breaches that could compromise sensitive customer information and damage trust.
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Foreign Expansion Risks: If YTO Express seeks to expand internationally, it may face challenges related to understanding foreign markets, regulatory compliance, and competition in those regions.
Addressing these risks requires strategic planning, investment in technology, and adaptive business practices to maintain a competitive edge in the rapidly changing logistics landscape.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
YTO Express Group Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
YTO Express Group Co Ltd
Current Assets | 13.9B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 9.1B |
Receivables | 4.4B |
Other Current Assets | 468.5m |
Non-Current Assets | 29.8B |
Long-Term Investments | 2.2B |
PP&E | 21.1B |
Intangibles | 5.7B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 799m |
Current Liabilities | 11.7B |
Accounts Payable | 4.9B |
Accrued Liabilities | 445.3m |
Short-Term Debt | 3.2B |
Other Current Liabilities | 3.1B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 2.4B |
Long-Term Debt | 1.5B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 835.2m |
Earnings Waterfall
YTO Express Group Co Ltd
Revenue
|
63.2B
CNY
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Cost of Revenue
|
-57.3B
CNY
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Gross Profit
|
6B
CNY
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Operating Expenses
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-1.2B
CNY
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Operating Income
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4.8B
CNY
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Other Expenses
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-963.3m
CNY
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Net Income
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3.8B
CNY
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
YTO Express Group Co Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
YTO Express Group Co Ltd's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
YTO Express Group Co Ltd's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
YTO Express Group Co Ltd's solvency score is 72/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
YTO Express Group Co Ltd's solvency score is 72/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
YTO Express Group Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for YTO Express Group Co Ltd is 19.5 CNY with a low forecast of 14.34 CNY and a high forecast of 26.67 CNY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for YTO Express Group Co Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
YTO Express Group Co., Ltd. offers express delivery and logistics services. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, Shanghai and currently employs 15,642 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2000-06-08. The Company’s main business includes domestic and international express, international cargo transportation forwarding, general cargo warehousing, domestic air transportation agent, car rental services, as well as supply chain management services. The firm operates its business in domestic market and overseas markets.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one YTO Express Group Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 25.93 CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 16.7 CNY, YTO Express Group Co Ltd is Undervalued by 36%.