Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 18.84 CNY. Compared to the current market price of 10.06 CNY, Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd is Undervalued by 47%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd
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Fundamental Analysis
Economic Moat
Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd
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Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd, a leading player in China's real estate sector, has established itself as a prominent force in property development and investment since its inception in 1992. With a track record of delivering high-quality residential, commercial, and mixed-use projects across major Chinese cities, the company has successfully navigated the complexities of the evolving real estate market. Poly's commitment to sustainable development and innovation is reflected in its diverse portfolio, which not only meets the needs of urban residents but also aligns with government initiatives promoting eco-friendly construction and urban renewal. This forward-thinking approach...
Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd, a leading player in China's real estate sector, has established itself as a prominent force in property development and investment since its inception in 1992. With a track record of delivering high-quality residential, commercial, and mixed-use projects across major Chinese cities, the company has successfully navigated the complexities of the evolving real estate market. Poly's commitment to sustainable development and innovation is reflected in its diverse portfolio, which not only meets the needs of urban residents but also aligns with government initiatives promoting eco-friendly construction and urban renewal. This forward-thinking approach positions Poly as a resilient contender in an industry often subject to regulatory fluctuations and economic cycles.
For investors, Poly Developments stands out due to its robust financial performance and strategic foresight in acquiring land and optimizing asset management. The company boasts a solid balance sheet, enabling it to capitalize on opportunities even during challenging market conditions. As urbanization in China continues to drive demand for housing and commercial spaces, Poly is well-poised to enhance its market share and profitability. Furthermore, its long-term vision and adaptable business model ensure that it can respond effectively to changes in consumer preferences and government policies. With a proven history of growth and a commitment to maximizing shareholder value, Poly Developments presents a compelling investment opportunity for those looking to tap into the dynamic Chinese real estate landscape.
Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co., Ltd., a major Chinese real estate developer, operates through several core business segments:
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Real Estate Development: This is the primary segment of Poly, focusing on the development of residential properties, commercial real estate, and mixed-use developments. The company manages a wide range of projects, from high-end residential complexes to large-scale urban developments.
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Property Leasing: Poly also engages in property leasing, managing rental properties such as commercial office buildings, retail spaces, and other types of income-generating properties. This segment provides a steady revenue stream beyond one-time sales from property development.
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Real Estate Management: The company offers property management services for its developments and third-party properties. This includes maintenance, security, and other management services aimed at enhancing property value and tenant satisfaction.
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Urban Development: Poly is involved in urban planning and development projects that aim to improve urban infrastructure and housing. This segment emphasizes sustainable development and the integration of modern technologies in urban living.
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Construction and Engineering Services: In addition to real estate, Poly may have subsidiaries or divisions focusing on construction services, providing engineering expertise and project management for their developments.
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Investment and Financial Services: The company may also engage in investment activities, including strategic investments in real estate and infrastructure projects, as well as financial services related to real estate financing solutions.
These segments showcase Poly Developments' diversified approach to the real estate market, allowing it to capture value at various stages of the property lifecycle.
Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co., Ltd. (Poly Developments) possesses several unique competitive advantages that distinguish it from its rivals in the real estate development and construction sector. Here are some key advantages:
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Strong Brand Recognition: Poly Developments benefits from a well-established brand and reputation in the real estate market. This recognition can attract both customers and investors, leading to higher sales and investment opportunities.
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Diverse Portfolio: The company has a diversified portfolio that includes residential, commercial, and mixed-use properties. This diversification helps mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations and allows for the company to capture opportunities in various segments.
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Robust Financial Position: Poly Developments has exhibited strong financial performance, which provides it with the necessary capital to invest in strategic projects and sustain operations during market downturns. Access to funds can also aid in acquiring prime land at competitive prices.
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Government Relationships: As a state-owned enterprise, Poly Developments has strong ties with local and national government authorities. This relationship can facilitate project approvals, access to land, and potential collaboration on large-scale urban development initiatives.
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Innovative Construction Techniques: The company emphasizes innovation in construction technologies and processes, which can lead to cost efficiencies and faster project turnaround times. Sustainability initiatives can also enhance its market positioning.
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Experienced Management Team: Poly Developments is backed by a management team with significant industry experience, which can drive strategic decision-making and operational execution effectively.
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Market Scale and Reach: With a widespread presence across various regions in China, Poly Developments can leverage economies of scale, gaining competitive advantages through better procurement strategies and broad market knowledge.
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Focus on Quality and Customer Satisfaction: The commitment to delivering high-quality projects and enhancing customer satisfaction fosters loyalty and can lead to repeat business and positive word-of-mouth referrals.
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Strategic Partnerships and Alliances: The ability to form strategic partnerships with other firms in the construction and real estate industries can lead to enhanced capabilities, resource sharing, and competitive advantages in project execution.
By leveraging these advantages, Poly Developments can maneuver effectively in a competitive landscape, adapt to market changes, and seize growth opportunities.
Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd, as a prominent real estate developer in China, faces several risks and challenges that could impact its operations and financial performance in the near future. Here are some key considerations:
1. Regulatory Risks
- Government Policies: The Chinese government has implemented various measures to control housing prices and limit speculation in the real estate market. This includes policies like "three red lines" that restrict borrowing for developers who do not meet certain financial health criteria.
- Local Government Regulations: Variability in local regulations and policies can affect land acquisition and construction practices.
2. Market Conditions
- Economic Slowdown: A potential slowdown in China’s economy can lead to reduced demand for real estate. Factors such as rising interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical tensions could further exacerbate the situation.
- Consumer Confidence: Economic uncertainty can dampen consumer confidence, affecting home sales and overall market demand.
3. Financial Risks
- High Debt Levels: Many Chinese property developers, including Poly, have high levels of debt. Repercussions from loan defaults or increased costs of borrowing due to rising interest rates could strain financial resources.
- Cash Flow Management: Managing cash flow effectively to meet obligations, pay suppliers, and finance ongoing projects remains critical, especially under tight credit conditions.
4. Competition
- Intense Rivalry: The real estate market in China is highly competitive, with numerous players vying for market share. Maintaining a competitive edge in terms of design, pricing, and quality is essential.
- Market Saturation: In some regions, the market may become saturated, leading to downward pressure on prices and profit margins.
5. Supply Chain Disruptions
- Material Costs: Fluctuations in the prices of construction materials can adversely impact project costs. Supply chain disruptions due to global events or trade tensions could further exacerbate these challenges.
- Labor Shortages: An insufficient supply of skilled labor can delay project completion and increase costs.
6. Development Risks
- Project Delays: Unforeseen delays in project development due to regulatory issues, weather, or other factors can lead to increased costs and missed revenue opportunities.
- Quality Control Issues: Ensuring consistent quality across multiple developments is crucial to maintaining reputation and customer satisfaction.
7. Market Trends
- Shift to Sustainable Development: There is an increasing demand for sustainable and energy-efficient buildings. Adapting to these trends may require additional investment and changes in operational processes.
- Urbanization Trends: While urbanization might provide opportunities for growth, shifts in population dynamics and migration patterns can impact demand in specific areas.
8. Geopolitical Risks
- Tensions with Other Countries: International relations can impact investments and market access, particularly for companies with overseas ventures or supply chains.
Conclusion
Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd must navigate a complex landscape of economic, regulatory, operational, and market challenges in the near future. It will be critical for the company to employ sound risk management strategies, remain adaptable to changing market conditions, and continue to build strategic partnerships to mitigate these risks. Staying attuned to the lessons of successful investors like Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger, such as focusing on underlying business fundamentals and long-term value, can also be beneficial.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd
Current Assets | 1.2T |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 145.8B |
Receivables | 151.3B |
Other Current Assets | 920.6B |
Non-Current Assets | 172.3B |
Long-Term Investments | 141.8B |
PP&E | 12.3B |
Intangibles | 419.4m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 17.8B |
Current Liabilities | 741.8B |
Accounts Payable | 144.5B |
Accrued Liabilities | 43.4B |
Short-Term Debt | 96.4B |
Other Current Liabilities | 457.6B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 447.8B |
Long-Term Debt | 303.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 144.6B |
Earnings Waterfall
Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd
Revenue
|
337.1B
CNY
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-297.8B
CNY
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Gross Profit
|
39.3B
CNY
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Operating Expenses
|
-18.8B
CNY
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Operating Income
|
20.6B
CNY
|
Other Expenses
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-13.9B
CNY
|
Net Income
|
6.7B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd's solvency score is 42/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd's solvency score is 42/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd is 10.59 CNY with a low forecast of 8.15 CNY and a high forecast of 16.76 CNY.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Poly Developments & Holdings Group Co., Ltd. engages in property development, commodity residential building distribution, and property management. The company is headquartered in Guangzhou, Guangdong and currently employs 61,854 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2006-07-31. The firm mainly develops and distributes commercial residential. The properties that the Company develops consist of residential buildings, office buildings, hotels, shopping malls, exhibition halls and leisure properties, among others. The firm is also involved in building design, engineering construction, agency sales, property management, business operations, exhibition services, health care, real estate finance and other industries. The firm operates its business mainly in domestic market.
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The intrinsic value of one Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd stock under the Base Case scenario is 18.84 CNY.
Compared to the current market price of 10.06 CNY, Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co Ltd is Undervalued by 47%.