Novartis AG
SIX:NOVN

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Novartis AG
SIX:NOVN
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Price: 87.68 CHF 1.11%
Market Cap: 171.5B CHF
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Relative Value

The Relative Value of one NOVN stock under the Base Case scenario is 97.87 CHF. Compared to the current market price of 87.68 CHF, Novartis AG is Undervalued by 10%.

Relative Value is the estimated value of a stock based on various valuation multiples like P/E and EV/EBIT ratios. It offers a quick snapshot of a stock's valuation in relation to its peers and historical norms.

NOVN Relative Value
Base Case
97.87 CHF
Undervaluation 10%
Relative Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Multiples

vs History
15
vs Industry
29
Median 3Y
3.4
Median 5Y
3.3
Industry
2.5
Forward
3.7
vs History
76
vs Industry
33
Median 3Y
13
Median 5Y
14.2
Industry
21.8
Forward
11.3
vs History
65
vs Industry
29
Median 3Y
12.1
Median 5Y
12
Industry
16.1
vs History
79
vs Industry
22
Median 3Y
22.1
Median 5Y
19.9
Industry
23.8
vs History
15
vs Industry
14
Median 3Y
3.7
Median 5Y
3
Industry
2.1
vs History
14
vs Industry
26
Median 3Y
3.6
Median 5Y
3.6
Industry
2.7
Forward
3.9
vs History
17
vs Industry
35
Median 3Y
4.8
Median 5Y
5
Industry
5.2
vs History
63
vs Industry
33
Median 3Y
9.4
Median 5Y
9.7
Industry
13.5
Forward
9.8
vs History
76
vs Industry
28
Median 3Y
13.7
Median 5Y
14.7
Industry
16.8
Forward
11.4
vs History
68
vs Industry
28
Median 3Y
12.5
Median 5Y
12.6
Industry
15.2
vs History
53
vs Industry
21
Median 3Y
15.4
Median 5Y
15.4
Industry
19.3
vs History
15
vs Industry
29
Median 3Y
2.1
Median 5Y
1.7
Industry
1.9

Multiples Across Competitors

NOVN Competitors Multiples
Novartis AG Competitors

All Multiples
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
All Countries
Close
Market Cap P/S P/E EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT
CH
Novartis AG
SIX:NOVN
171.5B CHF 3.8 10.8 9.4 13.1
JP
Nichi-Iko Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
TSE:4541
776 550.9T JPY 4 211 733 -5 347 888.9 -5 459 134.4 -5 046 864.6
US
Eli Lilly and Co
NYSE:LLY
756.3B USD 18.5 90.4 48.5 54.2
UK
Dechra Pharmaceuticals PLC
LSE:DPH
440.4B GBP 578.3 -15 783.5 3 846.3 17 702.3
DK
Novo Nordisk A/S
CSE:NOVO B
2.7T DKK 10.2 29 20.2 23
US
Johnson & Johnson
NYSE:JNJ
349.7B USD 4 23.8 11.5 15
US
Merck & Co Inc
NYSE:MRK
251.6B USD 4 20.7 10.5 12.5
CH
Roche Holding AG
SIX:ROG
200.1B CHF 3.4 17.4 9.8 11.6
UK
AstraZeneca PLC
LSE:AZN
162.1B GBP 4.1 31.5 169.4 253.9
US
Pfizer Inc
NYSE:PFE
151.4B USD 2.5 35.6 10.6 16
IE
Endo International PLC
LSE:0Y5F
147.1B USD 63.5 -50.3 236.2 592.2
P/S Multiple
Revenue Growth P/S to Growth
CH
Novartis AG
SIX:NOVN
Average P/S: 382 947.7
3.8
17%
0.2
JP
N
Nichi-Iko Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
TSE:4541
4 211 733
22%
194 879.4
US
Eli Lilly and Co
NYSE:LLY
18.5
109%
0.2
UK
Dechra Pharmaceuticals PLC
LSE:DPH
578.3
29%
19.9
DK
Novo Nordisk A/S
CSE:NOVO B
10.2
77%
0.1
US
Johnson & Johnson
NYSE:JNJ
4
13%
0.3
US
Merck & Co Inc
NYSE:MRK
4
20%
0.2
CH
Roche Holding AG
SIX:ROG
3.4
15%
0.2
UK
AstraZeneca PLC
LSE:AZN
4.1
35%
0.1
US
Pfizer Inc
NYSE:PFE
2.5
10%
0.3
IE
E
Endo International PLC
LSE:0Y5F
63.5
N/A N/A
P/E Multiple
Earnings Growth P/E to Growth
CH
Novartis AG
SIX:NOVN
Average P/E: 32.4
10.8
31%
0.3
JP
N
Nichi-Iko Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
TSE:4541
Negative Multiple: -5 347 888.9 N/A N/A
US
Eli Lilly and Co
NYSE:LLY
90.4
446%
0.2
UK
Dechra Pharmaceuticals PLC
LSE:DPH
Negative Multiple: -15 783.5 N/A N/A
DK
Novo Nordisk A/S
CSE:NOVO B
29
86%
0.3
US
Johnson & Johnson
NYSE:JNJ
23.8
-23%
N/A
US
Merck & Co Inc
NYSE:MRK
20.7
7 300%
0
CH
Roche Holding AG
SIX:ROG
17.4
54%
0.3
UK
AstraZeneca PLC
LSE:AZN
31.5
177%
0.2
US
Pfizer Inc
NYSE:PFE
35.6
719%
0
IE
E
Endo International PLC
LSE:0Y5F
Negative Multiple: -50.3 N/A N/A
EV/EBITDA Multiple
EBITDA Growth EV/EBITDA to Growth
CH
Novartis AG
SIX:NOVN
Average EV/EBITDA: 437.2
9.4
8%
1.2
JP
N
Nichi-Iko Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
TSE:4541
Negative Multiple: -5 459 134.4 N/A N/A
US
Eli Lilly and Co
NYSE:LLY
48.5
195%
0.2
UK
Dechra Pharmaceuticals PLC
LSE:DPH
3 846.3
151%
25.5
DK
Novo Nordisk A/S
CSE:NOVO B
20.2
84%
0.2
US
Johnson & Johnson
NYSE:JNJ
11.5
14%
0.8
US
Merck & Co Inc
NYSE:MRK
10.5
331%
0
CH
Roche Holding AG
SIX:ROG
9.8
23%
0.4
UK
AstraZeneca PLC
LSE:AZN
169.4
64%
2.7
US
Pfizer Inc
NYSE:PFE
10.6
31%
0.3
IE
E
Endo International PLC
LSE:0Y5F
236.2
N/A N/A
EV/EBIT Multiple
EBIT Growth EV/EBIT to Growth
CH
Novartis AG
SIX:NOVN
Average EV/EBIT: 1 869.4
13.1
58%
0.2
JP
N
Nichi-Iko Pharmaceutical Co Ltd
TSE:4541
Negative Multiple: -5 046 864.6 N/A N/A
US
Eli Lilly and Co
NYSE:LLY
54.2
211%
0.3
UK
Dechra Pharmaceuticals PLC
LSE:DPH
17 702.3
675%
26.2
DK
Novo Nordisk A/S
CSE:NOVO B
23
83%
0.3
US
Johnson & Johnson
NYSE:JNJ
15
28%
0.5
US
Merck & Co Inc
NYSE:MRK
12.5
675%
0
CH
Roche Holding AG
SIX:ROG
11.6
28%
0.4
UK
AstraZeneca PLC
LSE:AZN
253.9
131%
1.9
US
Pfizer Inc
NYSE:PFE
16
68%
0.2
IE
E
Endo International PLC
LSE:0Y5F
592.2
N/A N/A

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