Gulf Energy Development PCL
SET:GULF
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one GULF stock under the Base Case scenario is 52.12 THB. Compared to the current market price of 64 THB, Gulf Energy Development PCL is Overvalued by 19%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Gulf Energy Development PCL
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Fundamental Analysis
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Gulf Energy Development PCL has emerged as a prominent player in Thailand's energy sector, recognized for its significant role in driving the country’s shift towards more sustainable energy sources. Founded in 2007, the company has quickly expanded its portfolio, focusing on both conventional and renewable energy projects. With a robust pipeline of power generation assets, including natural gas, solar, and wind projects, Gulf Energy is strategically positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for electricity in Thailand and the broader Southeast Asian region. The company’s commitment to innovation, coupled with a vision for a greener future, aligns perfectly with Thailand’s national en...
Gulf Energy Development PCL has emerged as a prominent player in Thailand's energy sector, recognized for its significant role in driving the country’s shift towards more sustainable energy sources. Founded in 2007, the company has quickly expanded its portfolio, focusing on both conventional and renewable energy projects. With a robust pipeline of power generation assets, including natural gas, solar, and wind projects, Gulf Energy is strategically positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for electricity in Thailand and the broader Southeast Asian region. The company’s commitment to innovation, coupled with a vision for a greener future, aligns perfectly with Thailand’s national energy policies that emphasize sustainability and energy security.
Investors will find Gulf Energy Development appealing not only for its impressive growth trajectory but also for its strong financial performance and operational efficiency. As of 2023, Gulf Energy boasts a diverse portfolio of power plants and joint ventures, enhancing its competitive advantage in the market. The company has leveraged its strategic partnerships, including collaborations with international energy firms, to bolster its expansion plans. With a solid track record of delivering value to stakeholders and a forward-looking approach that embraces technological advancements, Gulf Energy remains well-positioned to thrive in a rapidly evolving energy landscape. For investors seeking exposure to renewable energy and a company dedicated to sustainable practices, Gulf Energy presents a compelling opportunity.
Gulf Energy Development PCL (GULF) is a leading energy company in Thailand primarily focused on power generation and renewable energy. The company's core business segments can be broadly categorized into the following:
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Power Generation: This is the main segment of Gulf Energy, where the company develops, operates, and invests in power plants. The power generation portfolio includes natural gas-fired power plants, which are often designed for high efficiency and capacity, contributing significantly to Thailand's electricity supply.
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Renewable Energy: Gulf Energy has also been increasingly involved in renewable energy projects, including solar and wind power. This segment is crucial as the company aligns itself with global sustainability trends and Thailand's energy transition policies aimed at reducing reliance on fossil fuels.
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Energy Trading: This segment involves the trading of electricity and related energy commodities. Gulf may participate in energy markets to optimize revenues from its power generation assets and to take advantage of price differentials in the energy sector.
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Investment in Power Projects: Gulf Energy also engages in investments in new power generation projects, both domestically and internationally. This includes partnerships with other energy companies and public entities to expand its footprint and portfolio of energy assets.
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Utilities Services: Additionally, Gulf may offer utility services, including maintenance and operational support for energy systems, although this is often a supplementary segment of their core operations.
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Infrastructure Development: The company may also be involved in the development of related infrastructure to support its energy projects, such as transmission lines and substations.
Gulf Energy Development PCL's strategies are often shaped by the trends in the energy market and regulatory landscape, particularly Thailand's increasing focus on renewable energy and energy security.
Gulf Energy Development Public Company Limited (GULF) has several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the energy sector, particularly in Thailand and Southeast Asia. Here are some of the key advantages:
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Diverse Energy Portfolio: Gulf Energy has a diversified portfolio that includes natural gas, renewable energy (solar and wind), and power generation. This diversification allows it to mitigate risks associated with reliance on a single energy source.
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Strong Partnerships: The company has established strategic partnerships with both local and international players, including leading technology providers and financial institutions. These partnerships can enhance project execution capabilities and financial stability.
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Robust Financial Position: Gulf has demonstrated strong financial performance, enabling it to invest in large-scale projects and expand its operations. A solid balance sheet also allows for flexibility in strategic investments and acquisitions.
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Focus on Renewable Energy: With increasing global emphasis on sustainability, Gulf's investments in renewable energy assets position it favorably against competitors who may be more reliant on fossil fuels. This focus aligns with global trends toward cleaner energy and regulatory support for renewables.
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Regulatory Support: The Thai government has been supportive of the energy sector, providing a favorable regulatory environment for private players. Gulf's alignment with government policies, such as the Power Development Plan, gives it an edge in securing contracts and permits.
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Operational Excellence: Gulf Energy has invested in best practices in project management, operational efficiency, and maintenance, leading to improved reliability and cost management. This operational effectiveness can result in lower costs compared to competitors.
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Innovation and Technology: The company is committed to adopting new technologies that enhance energy efficiency and reduce costs. This includes investments in smart grid technologies and advanced operational analytics, which can lead to better performance and customer satisfaction.
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Strong Leadership and Vision: Gulf's management team has a clear strategic vision and a proven track record in executing large-scale energy projects. This leadership can drive innovation and ensure that the company adapts to changing market conditions effectively.
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Access to Resources: Proximity to natural gas resources in Thailand provides Gulf with a logistical advantage in terms of energy sourcing, enhancing supply chain reliability and cost efficiency.
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Growing Market Demand: The demand for energy in Thailand is expected to grow, driven by economic growth and urbanization. Gulf can leverage this trend to expand its market share and enhance revenue streams.
These competitive advantages, combined with Gulf Energy's proactive approach to market opportunities, position it well in a rapidly evolving energy landscape.
Gulf Energy Development PCL, as a leading electricity producer in Thailand and the Southeast Asian region, faces several risks and challenges in the near future that could impact its operations and growth potential. Here are some key risks and challenges:
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Regulatory Risks: Changes in government policies, regulations, and energy tariffs can significantly affect Gulf Energy's operations. Thailand's energy market can be influenced by political changes, and new laws could impact how power producers operate.
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Market Competition: The energy sector in Thailand is competitive, with various players entering the market. Increased competition could lead to pricing pressures and lower margins for Gulf Energy.
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Technological Disruptions: The transition to renewable energy sources and advancements in technology may disrupt traditional energy producers. Gulf Energy needs to adapt to these changes, which may involve considerable investment in new technologies and infrastructure.
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Economic Factors: Economic downturns or fluctuations can affect electricity demand. Slowdowns in the economy can lead to lower consumption and impact revenue generation.
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Environmental Regulations: Stricter environmental regulations regarding emissions and sustainability can pose challenges. Adapting to these regulations may require significant capital investment in cleaner technologies.
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Resource Availability: Dependence on specific energy sources or suppliers can lead to vulnerability. Any disruptions in supply chains or shortages could impact operational efficiency and power generation capabilities.
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Geopolitical Risks: Changes in the geopolitical landscape in Southeast Asia can affect energy policies and international relations, which could impact cross-border power trade or project collaborations.
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Financial Stability: As a capital-intensive business, Gulf Energy must manage its financing well. Rising interest rates or unfavorable financing conditions can impact its ability to expand and invest in new projects.
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Public Perception and Stakeholder Engagement: Public opposition to certain projects or activities, particularly concerning environmental and social impact, can affect project approvals and operations.
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Climate Change: Increasing frequency of extreme weather events due to climate change can disrupt energy supply and infrastructure, posing risks to operational continuity.
To mitigate these risks, Gulf Energy will need to engage in strategic planning, invest in technology and innovation, maintain strong stakeholder relationships, and ensure compliance with all regulatory requirements.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Gulf Energy Development PCL
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Gulf Energy Development PCL
Current Assets | 84.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 45B |
Receivables | 29.2B |
Other Current Assets | 9.9B |
Non-Current Assets | 402.7B |
Long-Term Investments | 193.9B |
PP&E | 98.1B |
Intangibles | 5.6B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 105.1B |
Current Liabilities | 72.4B |
Accounts Payable | 7B |
Short-Term Debt | 4.8B |
Other Current Liabilities | 60.6B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 296.1B |
Long-Term Debt | 258.2B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 37.9B |
Earnings Waterfall
Gulf Energy Development PCL
Revenue
|
121.3B
THB
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-98B
THB
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Gross Profit
|
23.3B
THB
|
Operating Expenses
|
-3.8B
THB
|
Operating Income
|
19.6B
THB
|
Other Expenses
|
-519.8m
THB
|
Net Income
|
19B
THB
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Gulf Energy Development PCL
THB | |
Free Cash Flow | THB |
GULF Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Gulf Energy Development PCL's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Gulf Energy Development PCL's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
GULF Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Gulf Energy Development PCL's solvency score is 29/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Gulf Energy Development PCL's solvency score is 29/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
GULF Price Targets Summary
Gulf Energy Development PCL
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GULF is 64.48 THB with a low forecast of 54.54 THB and a high forecast of 73.5 THB.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for GULF is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Gulf Energy Development Public Co. Ltd. engages in generating electricity and steam, and storing and converting natural gases from liquid form to gas. The company is headquartered in Pathumtani, Pathum Thani. The company went IPO on 2017-12-06. The firm invests in a portfolio of conventional and renewable power generation and distribution businesses, as well as natural gas supply and distribution, infrastructure development projects, and digital business. The firm operates through four segments: Power business, Consulting business, Infrastructure business, and Satellite business. The firm also provides management services to power projects within the group from the development and construction stage to the management stage after commencement of commercial operation. The Company’s subsidiaries include Independent Power Development Co., Ltd., Gulf MP Co., Ltd., Gulf Renewable Energy Co., Ltd., Gulf LNG Trading Pte. Ltd., Gulf Pattani Green Co., Ltd., Gulf Infrastructure Co., Ltd., Gulf Ventures Co., Ltd., Gulf International Investment (Hong Kong) Limited, Gulf MTP LNG Terminal Co., Ltd., Gulf LNG Co., Ltd. and Gulf Innova Co., Ltd.
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The intrinsic value of one GULF stock under the Base Case scenario is 52.12 THB.
Compared to the current market price of 64 THB, Gulf Energy Development PCL is Overvalued by 19%.