Saudi Electricity Company SJSC
SAU:5110
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Saudi Electricity Company SJSC stock under the Base Case scenario is 34.45 SAR. Compared to the current market price of 16.64 SAR, Saudi Electricity Company SJSC is Undervalued by 52%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
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Fundamental Analysis
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The Saudi Electricity Company SJSC (SEC) stands as a cornerstone of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia's rapidly evolving energy landscape. Established in 1999, it is the largest utility company in the Middle East, serving millions of customers with its robust electricity generation and distribution network. With a generation capacity exceeding 80,000 megawatts, SEC plays a pivotal role in powering the country’s ambitious Vision 2030 initiative, which aims to diversify the economy and reduce dependence on oil. The company not only generates electricity through diverse sources, including natural gas, oil, and renewables, but has also embarked on a transformation journey towards sustainable energy so...
The Saudi Electricity Company SJSC (SEC) stands as a cornerstone of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia's rapidly evolving energy landscape. Established in 1999, it is the largest utility company in the Middle East, serving millions of customers with its robust electricity generation and distribution network. With a generation capacity exceeding 80,000 megawatts, SEC plays a pivotal role in powering the country’s ambitious Vision 2030 initiative, which aims to diversify the economy and reduce dependence on oil. The company not only generates electricity through diverse sources, including natural gas, oil, and renewables, but has also embarked on a transformation journey towards sustainable energy solutions, contributing to global efforts to combat climate change.
For investors, SEC represents both stability and growth potential within the energy sector. The company operates under a regulated framework, which provides a degree of protection from market volatility while ensuring predictable returns. Additionally, SEC is actively investing in infrastructure upgrades, smart grid technology, and renewable energy projects, aligning its strategy with the Saudis' long-term goals for a sustainable, energy-efficient future. With its solid financial performance, ongoing modernization efforts, and strategic positioning within a country poised for economic diversification, SEC offers a unique opportunity for investors seeking to capitalize on the burgeoning energy market in Saudi Arabia.
The Saudi Electricity Company (SEC) is the largest utility company in the Middle East, providing electricity to a vast network across Saudi Arabia. Its core business segments can be broadly categorized as follows:
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Power Generation:
- Conventional Power Plants: SEC operates various gas and oil-fired power plants, which are the backbone of its generation capacity. This segment is crucial for meeting the base load demand.
- Renewable Energy: In response to global shifts toward sustainable energy, SEC is increasingly investing in renewable power sources, including solar and wind energy projects, in line with Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 objectives.
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Power Transmission:
- SEC manages an extensive transmission network that ensures the reliable transportation of electricity from generation facilities to distribution networks. This segment is critical for maintaining grid stability and efficiency across the country.
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Power Distribution:
- This segment involves the delivery of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial consumers. It encompasses metering and billing services, as well as customer service operations.
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Maintenance and Operations:
- SEC provides maintenance and operational services to its power generation and distribution assets to ensure reliability and performance efficiency. This includes routine maintenance, emergency repairs, and infrastructure upgrades.
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Customer Services and Solutions:
- Activities related to customer engagement, including managing customer accounts, developing tariff structures, and service innovations aimed at enhancing the customer experience.
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Consultation and Training Services:
- SEC may also engage in providing consultancy and training services in energy management, which allows for the dissemination of knowledge and practices related to efficient energy use.
Through these segments, the Saudi Electricity Company is positioned to meet the growing energy demands within Saudi Arabia while aligning with national goals of sustainability and diversification of the energy mix.
Saudi Electricity Company (SEC) possesses several unique competitive advantages that allow it to maintain a strong position in the energy sector, particularly in the context of Saudi Arabia and the broader region. These advantages include:
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Government Backing: SEC is a state-owned enterprise, which provides it with strong support from the Saudi government. This backing means secure funding, regulatory advantages, and access to favorable policies that can enhance its competitive position.
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Integrated Operations: SEC operates across the entire electricity supply chain, including generation, transmission, and distribution. This vertical integration allows for greater control over operations, cost efficiencies, and the ability to balance supply and demand effectively.
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Market Monopoly: As the primary electricity provider in Saudi Arabia, SEC effectively holds a monopoly in the market. This position allows it to dictate pricing and service standards without facing significant competition within the Kingdom.
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Infrastructure Investment: SEC has heavily invested in its infrastructure, including modern power generation facilities and an extensive transmission and distribution network. This investment enables improved reliability and efficiency in service delivery.
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Economies of Scale: Being the largest electricity producer in the region, SEC benefits from economies of scale, which can lower operational costs per unit of electricity generated or distributed, allowing them to offer competitive pricing.
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Strategic Vision and Initiatives: The company is aligned with Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 initiative, which aims to diversify the economy and enhance sustainability. SEC's initiatives to incorporate renewable energy sources, like solar and wind, position it favorably as the market shifts towards cleaner energy.
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Regulatory Framework Advantage: As the primary player in the electricity market, SEC has significant influence over the regulatory framework that governs the sector, allowing it to shape policies that align with its business objectives.
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Customer Base: SEC serves a large and growing customer base across different sectors, including residential, commercial, and industrial. This diversification helps stabilize revenues and reduce dependence on any single sector.
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Technological Advancements: SEC has been investing in modernization and smart grid technologies, which enhance operational efficiency and the customer experience, providing a technological edge over potential competitors.
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Strong Brand and Reputation: Being a long-standing entity in the Saudi electricity market, SEC has built a strong brand associated with reliability and expertise, fostering customer loyalty.
These competitive advantages collectively position Saudi Electricity Company favorably in its market, allowing it to drive growth, innovate, and respond effectively to challenges and opportunities in the energy landscape.
Saudi Electricity Company SJSC faces several risks and challenges in the near future, which can be categorized into several key areas:
1. Regulatory and Policy Risks
- Regulatory Changes: As the Kingdom evolves its energy policies, including shifts towards renewable energy sources, the company may face compliance challenges.
- Subsidy Reforms: Adjustments in government subsidies for electricity could impact pricing and profitability.
2. Technological Challenges
- Renewable Energy Transition: As Saudi Arabia pivots towards renewable energy, the company must invest in new technologies and infrastructure, which can be costly and complex.
- Cybersecurity Threats: The increasing digitization of the energy sector exposes the company to cyberattacks, which could disrupt operations.
3. Financial Risks
- Debt Levels: If the company continues to rely on debt for funding its infrastructure projects, it may face financial strain, particularly if interest rates rise.
- Currency Fluctuations: As a company operating in a global arena, fluctuations in currency values can impact financial performance.
4. Market Competition
- Emerging Competitors: The liberalization of the energy market could lead to increased competition from local and international players, potentially eroding market share.
- Decentralized Energy Solutions: The rise of off-grid and decentralized energy solutions could pose a threat to traditional business models.
5. Environmental and Social Factors
- Climate Change: Extreme weather patterns may affect power supply and infrastructure resilience.
- Public Perception and Social License to Operate: Growing environmental awareness among the public may lead to increased scrutiny of the company's environmental practices.
6. Operational Risks
- Infrastructure Aging: Many assets may require upgrades or replacements, leading to higher operational costs.
- Supply Chain Vulnerabilities: Disruptions in the supply chain for materials or equipment could impact project timelines and costs.
7. Global Economic Conditions
- Oil Price Volatility: As a company operating within an oil-dependent economy, fluctuations in oil prices may affect funding and investment in renewable projects.
- Global Economic Slowdown: Economic downturns can lead to reduced electricity demand and affect revenue streams.
In summary, Saudi Electricity Company SJSC must navigate a landscape marked by regulatory changes, technological advancements, and increasing competition while also grappling with financial and operational challenges. Adapting to these conditions will be crucial to sustaining growth and profitability.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Saudi Electricity Company SJSC
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Saudi Electricity Company SJSC
Current Assets | 33.6B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 621.6m |
Receivables | 27.5B |
Other Current Assets | 5.5B |
Non-Current Assets | 467.2B |
Long-Term Investments | 5.4B |
PP&E | 461.3B |
Intangibles | 288.9m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 150.4m |
Current Liabilities | 57.5B |
Accounts Payable | 4.1B |
Accrued Liabilities | 17.9B |
Short-Term Debt | 22B |
Other Current Liabilities | 13.4B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 187B |
Long-Term Debt | 85.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 101.7B |
Earnings Waterfall
Saudi Electricity Company SJSC
Revenue
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80.5B
SAR
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Cost of Revenue
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-65.5B
SAR
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Gross Profit
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15B
SAR
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Operating Expenses
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-1B
SAR
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Operating Income
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14B
SAR
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Other Expenses
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-14.3B
SAR
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Net Income
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-341.5m
SAR
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Saudi Electricity Company SJSC
SAR | |
Free Cash Flow | SAR |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Saudi Electricity Company SJSC's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Saudi Electricity Company SJSC's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Saudi Electricity Company SJSC's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Saudi Electricity Company SJSC's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Saudi Electricity Company SJSC
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Saudi Electricity Company SJSC is 19.21 SAR with a low forecast of 18.18 SAR and a high forecast of 21 SAR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Saudi Electricity Company SJSC is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Saudi Electricity Co. engages in the generation and distribution of electricity power. The company is headquartered in Riyadh, Riyadh. The company went IPO on 2002-06-08. The firm is serving governmental, industrial, agricultural, commercial and residential consumers. The firm operates under the following segments: Generation, which is engaged in the generation and provision of electric power; Transmission, which is engaged in the transmission of electric power from generation stations, using a transmission network, to a distribution network as well as the operation and maintenance of an electricity transmission system, and Distribution and Customer Services, which includes receipt of electric power from the transmission network and distribution to the Company’s subscribers, as well as the issuance, distribution and collection of electric consumption bills.
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Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one Saudi Electricity Company SJSC stock under the Base Case scenario is 34.45 SAR.
Compared to the current market price of 16.64 SAR, Saudi Electricity Company SJSC is Undervalued by 52%.