Saudi Arabian Oil Co
SAU:2222
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one Saudi Arabian Oil Co stock under the Base Case scenario is 22.72 SAR. Compared to the current market price of 27.75 SAR, Saudi Arabian Oil Co is Overvalued by 18%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Saudi Arabian Oil Co
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Fundamental Analysis
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Saudi Arabian Oil Co., commonly known as Saudi Aramco, stands as the crown jewel of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia's economy and a titan in the global energy landscape. Founded in 1933, the company has since transformed into the world’s largest oil producer, with daily output exceeding 10 million barrels of crude oil. Boasting vast and efficient reserves, Aramco not only plays a pivotal role in meeting the world’s energy demands but also serves as a primary engine of economic growth for Saudi Arabia. The company's operations extend beyond crude oil production to encompass natural gas, refining, petrochemicals, and renewable energy investments, positioning it as a diversified powerhouse in the e...
Saudi Arabian Oil Co., commonly known as Saudi Aramco, stands as the crown jewel of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia's economy and a titan in the global energy landscape. Founded in 1933, the company has since transformed into the world’s largest oil producer, with daily output exceeding 10 million barrels of crude oil. Boasting vast and efficient reserves, Aramco not only plays a pivotal role in meeting the world’s energy demands but also serves as a primary engine of economic growth for Saudi Arabia. The company's operations extend beyond crude oil production to encompass natural gas, refining, petrochemicals, and renewable energy investments, positioning it as a diversified powerhouse in the energy sector.
For investors, Saudi Aramco represents a compelling opportunity for both stability and growth. The company’s massive scale, coupled with a commitment to maintaining a sustainable dividend policy, offers a level of financial resilience that few can match. Aramco's initial public offering in 2019 showcased its market potential and underscored the government’s strategic vision to diversify the economy away from oil dependency. As the world grapples with the transition to renewable energy sources, Aramco is actively investing in technology and sustainable practices to maintain its market leader status. With its robust infrastructure and strong balance sheet, investing in Aramco could be seen as a long-term bet on energy's continued relevance in the global economy.
Saudi Arabian Oil Co., commonly known as Saudi Aramco, is one of the world's largest oil companies and plays a pivotal role in the global energy sector. The company operates through several core business segments:
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Upstream: This segment encompasses exploration, production, and development of oil and natural gas reserves. Saudi Aramco is known for its extensive crude oil production capabilities, with significant reserves that allow it to be a leading oil exporter. The company employs advanced technologies in seismic surveys and drilling to enhance recovery rates and operational efficiency.
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Downstream: This segment focuses on refining, distribution, and marketing of petroleum products. Saudi Aramco operates large refining complexes, producing various fuels, chemicals, and petrochemicals. The company’s downstream operations also include a network of distribution channels and retail services, ensuring a steady supply of products to both domestic and international markets.
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Chemicals: Saudi Aramco has made significant investments in the petrochemical sector, producing a range of chemical products that serve as raw materials for various industries. This segment integrates closely with the downstream operations, enhancing value creation by converting crude oil into diverse chemical products.
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Renewable Energy: While primarily known for its oil operations, Saudi Aramco has been investing in renewable energy technologies as part of its strategy to diversify its energy portfolio. This includes solar, wind, and hydrogen development initiatives, aligning with the Kingdom's Vision 2030 objectives to promote sustainable energy solutions.
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Natural Gas: This segment involves the exploration, production, and distribution of natural gas, which is increasingly important for energy consumption and as a feedstock for the chemical industry. Saudi Aramco is involved in both conventional gas and unconventional resources, aiming to boost domestic gas supply and minimize flaring.
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Research and Development: Aramco invests heavily in R&D to innovate and improve exploration and production techniques, refine processes, and develop new products. Its R&D efforts focus on technologies that enhance recovery, reduce environmental impact, and support the transition to a low-carbon economy.
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International Ventures: Saudi Aramco seeks to establish joint ventures and partnerships abroad to expand its footprint and secure access to new markets. This includes investments in refining and distribution assets in various countries to augment its global presence.
Overall, Saudi Aramco’s business segments work together to ensure that it remains a dominant player in the energy sector while also positioning itself for future growth in a transitioning energy landscape.
Saudi Arabian Oil Co, commonly known as Saudi Aramco, possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the oil and gas industry:
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Proximity to Resources: Saudi Aramco has access to some of the largest and most accessible oil reserves in the world, including vast reserves in the Ghawar Field, which allows for lower extraction costs compared to many other oil producers.
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Cost Efficiency: The company benefits from some of the lowest production costs in the industry, estimated to be around $2-3 per barrel. This cost advantage allows it to remain profitable even during periods of low oil prices.
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Scale and Capacity: As one of the largest oil producers globally, Aramco has significant economies of scale. Its operations can efficiently manage high production volumes, allowing for greater bargaining power and operational efficiency.
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Integrated Operations: Aramco has extensive vertical integration across the oil and gas value chain, encompassing exploration, production, refining, and distribution. This integration reduces dependence on third parties and enhances control over the entire process.
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Government Support: Being state-owned, Aramco enjoys strong backing from the Saudi government, including favorable regulatory frameworks and political stability in the region.
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Technological Innovation: Saudi Aramco invests heavily in research and development, continuously advancing its technology in both exploration and extraction techniques, including enhanced oil recovery methods. This focus on innovation helps optimize production and reduce environmental impact.
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Global Supply Chain: The company has an extensive global distribution network and partnerships that allow it to deliver oil and gas products to a vast range of markets, enhancing reliability and customer loyalty.
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Strong Financial Position: Saudi Aramco has one of the strongest balance sheets in the industry, enabling it to weather economic downturns and invest in new projects without the same level of financial stress as some competitors.
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Sovereign Wealth Fund Connection: The profits generated by Aramco significantly contribute to the Saudi Public Investment Fund, allowing for cross-industry investments that can create synergies and future growth opportunities.
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Environmental Initiatives: As the world shifts toward sustainability, Aramco is pioneering efforts to reduce carbon emissions through innovative technologies and environmental initiatives, positioning itself as a more responsible oil producer.
These competitive advantages allow Saudi Aramco to maintain a leading position in the global energy market, outpacing many of its rivals in terms of profitability, market share, and operational efficiency.
Saudi Arabian Oil Co., commonly known as Aramco, faces several risks and challenges in the near future, including:
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Market Volatility: Fluctuations in oil prices due to global supply and demand dynamics can significantly impact revenues. Economic downturns, geopolitical tensions, and competition from alternative energy sources can exacerbate this volatility.
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Geopolitical Risks: The Middle East's geopolitical landscape is complex. Regional conflicts, sanctions, and diplomatic tensions can threaten operations and exports, potentially destabilizing revenue streams.
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Transition to Renewable Energy: As the world increasingly moves towards renewable energy sources, Aramco faces the challenge of adapting its business model. There is pressure to diversify into renewables, which may require substantial investment.
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Regulatory Changes: Environmental regulations are becoming more stringent globally. Aramco may need to invest heavily in reducing emissions and improving sustainability, which could impact profitability in the short term.
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Technological Innovation: The oil and gas industry is undergoing rapid technological changes. Aramco needs to invest in new technologies and innovations to remain competitive, particularly in enhancing efficiency and reducing costs.
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Infrastructure Challenges: Maintaining and upgrading existing infrastructure, including pipelines, refineries, and shipping facilities, is crucial for operational efficiency. Any disruptions can lead to significant financial losses.
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Public Relations and Corporate Image: As a state-owned enterprise, Aramco's operations are scrutinized for environmental impacts and labor practices. Any negative publicity can harm its reputation and market position.
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Demand Peaks and Valleys: As economies adopt cleaner energy solutions, the demand for oil could diminish, leading to excess capacity and potential write-offs on investments in production and exploration.
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Financial Market Fluctuations: As Aramco seeks to diversify investments and possibly attract foreign investment, fluctuations in global financial markets can affect stock performance and investor confidence.
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Competition: The rise of shale oil and gas production in the U.S. and increased output from other non-OPEC countries poses a significant challenge, leading to potential market share loss and price pressures.
Addressing these challenges will require strategic planning, investment in innovation, and effective risk management practices.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Saudi Arabian Oil Co
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Saudi Arabian Oil Co
Current Assets | 633B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 277.9B |
Receivables | 224.5B |
Other Current Assets | 130.6B |
Non-Current Assets | 1.8T |
Long-Term Investments | 102.4B |
PP&E | 1.4T |
Intangibles | 166.7B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 107B |
Current Liabilities | 304B |
Accounts Payable | 155.5B |
Short-Term Debt | 29B |
Other Current Liabilities | 119.6B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 633.3B |
Long-Term Debt | 229.3B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 403.9B |
Earnings Waterfall
Saudi Arabian Oil Co
Revenue
|
1.9T
SAR
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-807.4B
SAR
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Gross Profit
|
1T
SAR
|
Operating Expenses
|
-206.4B
SAR
|
Operating Income
|
842.8B
SAR
|
Other Expenses
|
-406.9B
SAR
|
Net Income
|
435.9B
SAR
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Saudi Arabian Oil Co
SAR | |
Free Cash Flow | SAR |
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Saudi Arabian Oil Co's profitability score is 72/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Saudi Arabian Oil Co's profitability score is 72/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Saudi Arabian Oil Co's solvency score is 85/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Saudi Arabian Oil Co's solvency score is 85/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Saudi Arabian Oil Co
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for Saudi Arabian Oil Co is 33.02 SAR with a low forecast of 26.87 SAR and a high forecast of 38.85 SAR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for Saudi Arabian Oil Co is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Saudi Arabian Oil Co. is engaged in the production, transportation, and sale of energy and chemicals. The Company’s primary operating segments are the Upstream segment and the Downstream segment. The Upstream segment’s activities consist of exploring for, developing and producing crude oil, condensate, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The Downstream segment’s activities consist primarily of refining and petrochemical manufacturing, supply and trading, distribution and power generation. The Downstream segment’s other business activities include base oils, lubricants and retail operations. The Company’s chemicals business spans from production of basic chemicals, such as aromatics, olefins and polyolefins to complex products, such as polyols, isocyanates and synthetic rubber. The firm is represented in three global energy markets of Asia, Europe and North America.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one Saudi Arabian Oil Co stock under the Base Case scenario is 22.72 SAR.
Compared to the current market price of 27.75 SAR, Saudi Arabian Oil Co is Overvalued by 18%.