Thales SA
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one HO stock under the Base Case scenario is 185.89 EUR. Compared to the current market price of 148.15 EUR, Thales SA is Undervalued by 20%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Thales SA
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Fundamental Analysis
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Thales SA is a global leader in advanced technology solutions, primarily serving the aerospace, defense, transportation, and security sectors. Founded in 2000 and headquartered in La Défense, France, the company has a storied history that extends back to 1893 when it was originally known as Thomson CSF. Over the years, Thales has transformed itself through innovation and strategic acquisitions, positioning itself as a critical player in the global market. With annual revenues surpassing €17 billion and a workforce of over 80,000 employees, Thales stands out for its commitment to research and development, investing roughly 8% of its sales back into cutting-edge technologies. This dedication h...
Thales SA is a global leader in advanced technology solutions, primarily serving the aerospace, defense, transportation, and security sectors. Founded in 2000 and headquartered in La Défense, France, the company has a storied history that extends back to 1893 when it was originally known as Thomson CSF. Over the years, Thales has transformed itself through innovation and strategic acquisitions, positioning itself as a critical player in the global market. With annual revenues surpassing €17 billion and a workforce of over 80,000 employees, Thales stands out for its commitment to research and development, investing roughly 8% of its sales back into cutting-edge technologies. This dedication has enabled the company to deliver a broad range of solutions, from secure communication systems in defense to smart transportation technology that enhances urban mobility.
For investors, Thales SA presents a compelling opportunity due to its robust financial health and growth potential in a rapidly evolving tech landscape. The company operates in sectors that benefit from increasing global demand for security and efficiency, particularly in light of rising geopolitical tensions and the growing need for digital transformation. With a strong focus on sustainability and corporate responsibility, Thales is not only addressing current market needs but also positioning itself as a responsible innovator for the future. Furthermore, its wide geographic reach — spanning Europe, Asia, and the Americas — allows Thales to capture diverse market opportunities. As global defense budgets increase and urbanization drives investment in transportation technology, Thales SA is poised to maintain its upward trajectory, making it an attractive prospect for long-term investors seeking exposure to essential industries.
Thales SA is a global technology leader that operates in a variety of sectors, mainly focused on providing solutions and services in aerospace, defense, transportation, and security. Here are the core business segments of Thales:
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Aerospace:
- This segment focuses on avionics, space systems, and air traffic management. Thales provides critical systems that enhance aircraft safety and operational efficiency. Their offerings include flight management systems, cockpit equipment, satellite systems, and services for both commercial and military aviation.
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Defense:
- Thales is heavily involved in developing advanced defense solutions, including command and control systems, cybersecurity, drones, and electronic warfare systems. This segment supports military forces globally with technologies that enhance intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance, and operational effectiveness.
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Transportation:
- In this segment, Thales provides solutions for railway signaling, traffic management, and integrated transport systems. Their technologies are designed to enhance the safety and efficiency of transportation systems, including urban transit, high-speed rail, and freight operations.
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Security:
- Thales operates in the realm of cybersecurity and physical security solutions. This includes identity and access management, data protection, and systems that secure critical infrastructure. The company serves various industries, including government, finance, and public safety.
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Digital Identity and Security:
- Thales also emphasizes solutions related to digital identity, providing secure transaction platforms, electronic passports, and mobile security technologies. This segment caters to the growing need for secure digital interactions in a variety of industries.
Overall, Thales SA stands out for its focus on high-tech solutions that leverage advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence, big data analytics, and machine learning, reinforcing its commitment to innovation in these core segments.
Thales SA, a global player in the aerospace, defense, security, and transportation markets, possesses several unique competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Diverse Portfolio: Thales operates in multiple sectors, including aerospace, defense, digital identity, and security, which allows it to mitigate risks associated with market fluctuations in any one industry.
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Technological Expertise: Thales has a strong emphasis on research and development, leading to advanced technologies in areas such as cybersecurity, data analytics, and artificial intelligence. This technological edge allows Thales to offer innovative solutions that competitors may find challenging to replicate.
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Strong Partnerships and Alliances: Thales has established strategic partnerships with key players in various sectors, including governments and private entities. These relationships enhance their product offerings and facilitate access to new markets.
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Global Reach with Local Adaptability: With a presence in over 50 countries, Thales has the ability to operate on a global scale while tailoring solutions to meet local requirements and standards, which provides an edge in international contracts.
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Focus on Sustainability and Safety: Thales prioritizes sustainable practices and emphasizes safety in its products and services, which aligns with growing global trends toward sustainability and responsible governance. This focus can be a decisive factor for clients looking to partner with socially responsible companies.
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Long-standing Customer Relationships: Thales has built long-term relationships with governmental and defense clients, leading to high customer loyalty and repeat business. Such relationships are critical in the defense sector, where contracts can extend over many years.
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Vertical Integration: Thales's control over various stages of its production processes—from research and development to manufacturing—allows for better quality control and reduced costs compared to competitors that rely more heavily on third-party suppliers.
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Capability in Complex Systems Integration: Thales excels in integrating complex systems, especially within defense and transportation sectors. This expertise allows them to provide comprehensive solutions that address intricate client needs more effectively than rivals.
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Resilience in Defense Contracts: Given the stable nature of government defense spending, Thales benefits from a consistent revenue stream from its defense contracts, which often come with long durations and stability, providing a competitive edge during economic downturns.
These competitive advantages enable Thales to maintain a strong position in its industries and continuously adapt to market demands and challenges.
Thales SA, a global leader in aerospace, defense, security, and transportation, faces several risks and challenges that could impact its operations and financial performance in the near future. Here are some of the key factors to consider:
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Geopolitical Tensions: Thales operates in various regions affected by geopolitical instability. Conflicts, sanctions, or changes in defense spending by governments can affect contract opportunities and project execution.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: The pandemic highlighted vulnerabilities in global supply chains. Thales may face challenges in sourcing materials, delays in production, or increased costs, which could affect project timelines and profit margins.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid changes in technology, particularly in defense and cybersecurity, require continuous innovation. Thales must invest significantly in R&D to stay competitive and meet evolving customer demands.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a provider of cybersecurity solutions, Thales itself is a potential target. Any data breaches or cyberattacks could damage its reputation and lead to financial losses or legal consequences.
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Environmental Regulations: Increased attention to environmental sustainability and regulations can lead to higher compliance costs. Thales may need to adapt its business practices to meet stringent environmental standards.
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Economic Fluctuations: Economic downturns can lead to decreased government spending on defense and infrastructure, directly impacting Thales' revenue. Additionally, inflationary pressures can affect operating costs.
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Competition: The aerospace and defense sectors are highly competitive, with numerous players vying for contracts. Thales must differentiate itself through innovation and strategic partnerships to maintain its market position.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention: The ability to attract and retain skilled professionals, especially in areas like engineering and cybersecurity, is crucial for sustaining growth. A shortage of qualified talent can hinder project execution and innovation.
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Compliance and Regulatory Risks: Operating in different countries exposes Thales to various regulatory and compliance risks. Any changes in regulations or failure to comply could result in penalties or loss of contracts.
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Project Execution Risks: Delays in project execution, cost overruns, or failure to deliver on contractual obligations can harm Thales' reputation and financial stability. Effective project management is essential to mitigate these risks.
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Dependence on Government Contracts: A significant portion of Thales' revenue comes from government contracts, which can be subject to political decisions and budget constraints. A reduction in defense budgets could adversely impact revenues.
By strategically addressing these challenges, Thales can enhance its resilience and continue to thrive in the competitive landscape of aerospace and defense.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Thales SA
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Thales SA
Current Assets | 21.7B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 3.4B |
Receivables | 10.2B |
Other Current Assets | 8.1B |
Non-Current Assets | 17.1B |
Long-Term Investments | 1.8B |
PP&E | 3.6B |
Intangibles | 10.2B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 1.5B |
Current Liabilities | 24.2B |
Accounts Payable | 10.4B |
Accrued Liabilities | 4.9B |
Short-Term Debt | 1.9B |
Other Current Liabilities | 7B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 7.7B |
Long-Term Debt | 5.7B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 2B |
Earnings Waterfall
Thales SA
Revenue
|
19.2B
EUR
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Cost of Revenue
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-14.2B
EUR
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Gross Profit
|
5B
EUR
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Operating Expenses
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-3.3B
EUR
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Operating Income
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1.7B
EUR
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Other Expenses
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-289.9m
EUR
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Net Income
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1.4B
EUR
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Thales SA
EUR | |
Free Cash Flow | EUR |
Thales has reported a strong commercial performance with their H1 2023 results, showcasing robust growth and increased visibility due to a 7% hike in backlogs. Excluding a large order from last year, sales dynamics were consistent with the previous year's high. Organic sales growth stood at 7.7%, propelled by avionics business recovery and DIS segment's remarkable performance. The EBIT margin was on target with full-year guidance and net income reached a record €819 million, up 13%. Notably, free operating cash flow was positive at €99 million, despite a decline from the previous year. The net debt was reduced by over €100 million to €781 million. As a strategic move, the acquisition of Cobham Aerospace Communications will bolster cockpit connectivity offerings. All this led to an upgraded full-year sales guidance despite challenges from currency fluctuations, with U.S. dollar weakness expecting to negatively impact full-year sales by €250-300 million.
What is Earnings Call?
HO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Thales SA's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Thales SA's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
HO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Thales SA's solvency score is 41/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Thales SA's solvency score is 41/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
HO Price Targets Summary
Thales SA
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HO is 178.25 EUR with a low forecast of 151.5 EUR and a high forecast of 210 EUR.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for HO is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Ownership
HO Insider Trading
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Profile
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Description
Thales SA is a holding company that engages in the manufacture, marketing, and sale of electronic equipment and systems for aeronautics, naval, and defense sectors. The company is headquartered in Courbevoie, Ile-De-France and currently employs 80,995 full-time employees. The company provides a wide range of solutions divided into three segments: Aerospace, Transport and Defense and Security. Aerospace provides onboard electronic equipment designed to increase flight safety and reliability, civil and military aircraft simulators, onboard connectivity and in-flight entertainment, onboard equipment and functions for aircraft piloting, navigation and control as well as equipment, payloads, satellites, systems and services for the space sector. Transport offers railway signaling, telecommunications, supervision systems and ticketing solutions. Defense and Security offers radio communications products, network and infrastructure systems, protection systems, critical information systems and cybersecurity. The company operates globally.
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IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one HO stock under the Base Case scenario is 185.89 EUR.
Compared to the current market price of 148.15 EUR, Thales SA is Undervalued by 20%.