TCEHY Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - Tencent Holdings Ltd - Alpha Spread

Tencent Holdings Ltd
OTC:TCEHY

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Tencent Holdings Ltd
OTC:TCEHY
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Price: 47.24 USD -1.17% Market Closed
Market Cap: 436B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one TCEHY stock under the Base Case scenario is 64.89 USD. Compared to the current market price of 47.24 USD, Tencent Holdings Ltd is Undervalued by 27%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

TCEHY Intrinsic Value
64.89 USD
Undervaluation 27%
Intrinsic Value
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Fundamental Analysis

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Business Breakdown

Tencent Holdings Ltd. is a Chinese multinational conglomerate founded in 1998, renowned for its diverse portfolio that spans social media, gaming, fintech, and entertainment. At the heart of Tencent’s success is WeChat, a revolutionary messaging app that has transformed into a superapp, enabling users to communicate, make payments, book services, and access a plethora of entertainment options, all in one platform. This strategic positioning has made WeChat a crucial part of daily life for over a billion users in China, and Tencent capitalizes on this extensive user base to drive revenue through advertising, subscription services, and in-app purchases. Beyond social networking, Tencent is a...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Tencent Holdings Ltd

Current Assets 521.6B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 368.8B
Receivables 84B
Other Current Assets 68.9B
Non-Current Assets 1.1T
Long-Term Investments 783.8B
PP&E 89.5B
Intangibles 177.6B
Other Non-Current Assets 82.5B
Current Liabilities 387.8B
Accounts Payable 121.2B
Accrued Liabilities 38.9B
Short-Term Debt 29.7B
Other Current Liabilities 198B
Non-Current Liabilities 406.5B
Long-Term Debt 299.5B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 107B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Tencent Holdings Ltd

Revenue
630.4B CNY
Cost of Revenue
-306.6B CNY
Gross Profit
323.9B CNY
Operating Expenses
-128.8B CNY
Operating Income
195.1B CNY
Other Expenses
-42.3B CNY
Net Income
152.7B CNY

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Tencent Holdings Ltd

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Earnings Calls

Tencent's Q2 2024 results indicated strong performance with total revenue rising by 8% year-on-year to RMB 161.1 billion. Gross profit surged 21% to RMB 85.9 billion, while net profit attributable to equity holders jumped 53% to RMB 57.3 billion. The company's impressive performance was driven by higher-margin revenue streams such as domestic and international games, online advertising, and cloud services. Notably, the company's gross margin increased by 6 percentage points to 53%. For the full year of 2024, Tencent expects its non-IFRS effective tax rate to range between 18% and 20%【6:0†source】【6:5†source】【6:6†source】.

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Fundamental Scores

TCEHY Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Tencent Holdings Ltd's profitability score is 64/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Gross Profit
Positive 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Net Income
64/100
Profitability
Score

Tencent Holdings Ltd's profitability score is 64/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

TCEHY Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Tencent Holdings Ltd's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Negative Net Debt
65/100
Solvency
Score

Tencent Holdings Ltd's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

TCEHY Price Targets Summary
Tencent Holdings Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast TCEHY stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TCEHY is 61.42 USD with a low forecast of 41.25 USD and a high forecast of 73.46 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
41.25 USD
13% Downside
Average
Price Target
61.42 USD
30% Upside
Highest
Price Target
73.46 USD
56% Upside
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for Tencent Holdings Ltd is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
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Price
Tencent Holdings Ltd

1M 1M
+3%
6M 6M
+38%
1Y 1Y
+16%
3Y 3Y
-20%
5Y 5Y
+22%
10Y 10Y
+235%
Annual Price Range
373.4
52w Low
262.2
52w High
397
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 5.08%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 33.7%
Max Drawdown -73%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 3.5T HKD
Shares Outstanding 9 519 700 100
Percentage of Shares Shorted
N/A

Competitive Landscape

TCEHY News

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Profile

Tencent Holdings Ltd Logo
Tencent Holdings Ltd

Country

China

Industry

Media

Market Cap

3.5T HKD

Dividend Yield

0.92%

Description

Tencent Holdings Ltd. is an investment holding company. The company is headquartered in Shenzhen, Guangdong and currently employs 112,771 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2004-06-16. The firm operates through three main segments. The VAS segment is mainly involved in provision of online/mobile games, community value-added services and applications across various Internet and mobile platforms. The Online Advertising segment is mainly engaged in display based and performance based advertisements. The Others segment is mainly involved in provision of payment related services, cloud services and other services.

Contact

GUANGDONG
Shenzhen
Tencent Binhai Towers, No. 33 Haitian 2nd Road, Nanshan District
www.tencent.com

IPO

2004-06-16

Employees

112 771

Officers

See Also

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one TCEHY stock?

The intrinsic value of one TCEHY stock under the Base Case scenario is 64.89 USD.

Is TCEHY stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 47.24 USD, Tencent Holdings Ltd is Undervalued by 27%.

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