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Tencent Holdings Ltd
OTC:TCEHY
![Tencent Holdings Ltd Logo](https://ik.imagekit.io/kkbzr2uz4cp/stock/hkex/700.png)
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one
TCEHY
stock under the Base Case scenario is
64.89
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 47.24 USD,
Tencent Holdings Ltd
is
Undervalued by 27%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
![](https://ik.imagekit.io/kkbzr2uz4cp/stock/hkex/700.png?tr=w-200)
Valuation Backtest
Tencent Holdings Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
TCEHY
based on its intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
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Tencent Holdings Ltd. is a Chinese multinational conglomerate founded in 1998, renowned for its diverse portfolio that spans social media, gaming, fintech, and entertainment. At the heart of Tencent’s success is WeChat, a revolutionary messaging app that has transformed into a superapp, enabling users to communicate, make payments, book services, and access a plethora of entertainment options, all in one platform. This strategic positioning has made WeChat a crucial part of daily life for over a billion users in China, and Tencent capitalizes on this extensive user base to drive revenue through advertising, subscription services, and in-app purchases. Beyond social networking, Tencent is a...
Tencent Holdings Ltd. is a Chinese multinational conglomerate founded in 1998, renowned for its diverse portfolio that spans social media, gaming, fintech, and entertainment. At the heart of Tencent’s success is WeChat, a revolutionary messaging app that has transformed into a superapp, enabling users to communicate, make payments, book services, and access a plethora of entertainment options, all in one platform. This strategic positioning has made WeChat a crucial part of daily life for over a billion users in China, and Tencent capitalizes on this extensive user base to drive revenue through advertising, subscription services, and in-app purchases.
Beyond social networking, Tencent is a dominant force in the global gaming industry, owning stakes in major developers like Riot Games and Epic Games, as well as its own successful titles. This investment strategy not only diversifies its revenue sources but also positions Tencent as a key player in the rapidly growing digital entertainment market. Furthermore, Tencent's foray into fintech through WeChat Pay has made it a significant player in China's mobile payments landscape, allowing the company to benefit from the increasing digitization of financial services. For investors, Tencent symbolizes a unique blend of innovation and market reach, making it a compelling option for those looking to tap into the burgeoning Chinese tech ecosystem.
Tencent Holdings Ltd., one of China's largest technology companies, operates across several core business segments that contribute to its diverse revenue streams. Here are the primary segments:
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Social Networks: This is perhaps Tencent's most famous segment, primarily driven by its flagship app, WeChat (Weixin). WeChat combines messaging, social media, and mobile payment functionalities, making it integral to everyday life for many users in China. Tencent also owns QQ, an earlier social networking platform that still has a substantial user base.
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Games: Tencent is a dominant player in the global gaming market. It owns significant stakes in various game developers (like Riot Games, the creator of "League of Legends") and has a portfolio of self-developed games. The gaming segment contributes a significant portion of Tencent's revenue and includes both mobile and PC games.
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FinTech and Business Services: This segment includes WeChat Pay, Tencent's mobile payment platform which competes with Alibaba's Alipay. Additionally, Tencent provides cloud services, digital payment solutions, and enterprise software, especially for small and medium enterprises.
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Online Advertising: Tencent has a strong presence in online advertising, leveraging its massive user base from social media and gaming platforms to offer targeted ad services. This segment includes advertising on social networks, mobile apps, and games.
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Content and Media: Tencent operates various media platforms, including Tencent Video, which is one of the leading online video streaming services in China. The company invests heavily in producing original content, including films and series, to attract subscribers to its platforms.
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Cloud Services: Tencent Cloud is a growing business segment that provides cloud computing services to businesses of all sizes. As the global demand for cloud services increases, this segment is becoming increasingly important for Tencent.
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Investments: Tencent has a diversified investment portfolio, holding stakes in numerous technology and internet companies worldwide. This not only provides a revenue stream through returns on investments but also strategic partnerships and access to innovations.
These segments reflect Tencent's strategy of leveraging technology to create interconnected services that enhance user engagement and streamline operations for businesses. Overall, Tencent's diverse ecosystem allows it to maintain a strong competitive position in the technology landscape.
Tencent Holdings Ltd. possesses several unique competitive advantages that help it maintain a strong market position in various sectors, especially in gaming, social media, fintech, and cloud services. Here are some key advantages:
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Ecosystem Synergy:
- Tencent operates a vast ecosystem that includes WeChat, QQ, online gaming, music streaming, and more. This interconnectedness allows for seamless user engagement across platforms, creating a strong network effect. The integration of services keeps users within the Tencent ecosystem, enhancing customer retention.
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User Base:
- With over a billion monthly active users on WeChat, Tencent benefits from the sheer size of its user base. This scale provides valuable data insights and enables targeted advertising, enhancing monetization opportunities for various services.
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Diversification of Revenue Streams:
- Unlike many competitors who focus on a single revenue stream, Tencent has diversified interests across various sectors including gaming, social networking, digital payments, cloud computing, and entertainment. This diversification reduces dependency on any single segment and provides stability.
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Strong Gaming Portfolio:
- Tencent is a global leader in gaming, owning stakes in several major gaming companies (like Riot Games and EPIC Games) and having a strong portfolio of hit games. This dominance in the gaming industry provides a consistent revenue stream and brand recognition.
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Innovative R&D:
- Tencent invests heavily in research and development, particularly in AI, blockchain, and cloud computing technologies. This commitment to innovation helps it stay ahead of competitors by introducing new features, products, and services tailored to evolving consumer needs.
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Strategic Investments:
- Tencent’s strategy of investing in a wide variety of tech companies globally provides it with insights into emerging trends and technologies. This not only strengthens its market position but also fosters partnerships that enhance its service offerings.
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Regulatory Navigation:
- Tencent has developed a deep understanding of the regulatory environment in China, which gives it an advantage in compliance and operational stability compared to foreign competitors.
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Monetization Capabilities:
- The company has successfully integrated social commerce within its platforms, particularly WeChat, facilitating e-commerce activities that leverage its massive user base while effectively monetizing through services and advertising.
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Brand Loyalty and Trust:
- Tencent has established a strong brand reputation over the years, which fosters user loyalty. Its focus on security, privacy, and user experience enhances trust among users, making them less likely to switch to competitors.
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Global Reach with Local Expertise:
- Tencent has expanded its influence beyond China while maintaining local relevance. Its strategic partnerships and investments in international markets enable Tencent to leverage local market knowledge to tailor its offerings effectively.
These competitive advantages position Tencent as a formidable player in the global technology landscape, allowing it to leverage its diverse capabilities and sustain growth in an increasingly competitive environment.
Tencent Holdings Ltd, one of the largest technology companies in China and a global leader in various sectors like gaming, social media, and fintech, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Regulatory Scrutiny: Tencent is under increasing scrutiny from Chinese regulators, especially concerning data privacy, game approvals, and antitrust concerns. The Chinese government has been tightening regulations on technology companies, which can impact Tencent's operations and profitability.
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Intensifying Competition: The tech landscape in China is highly competitive, with companies like Alibaba, ByteDance, and NetEase vying for market share across various sectors. Increased competition can pressure margins and growth prospects.
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Dependence on Gaming Revenue: A significant portion of Tencent’s revenue comes from its gaming segment. Any regulatory changes affecting game approvals or a shift in consumer preferences could adversely impact this revenue stream.
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Economic Uncertainty: The broader economic environment in China and globally remains uncertain due to factors like inflation, potential recessions, and supply chain disruptions. Economic slowdowns can reduce consumer spending on discretionary items like gaming and entertainment.
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Geopolitical Tensions: As a major player in the global market, Tencent must navigate international relations and geopolitical tensions, especially between China and the United States. This includes concerns about data security and technology transfer regulations, which can affect its operations and partnerships abroad.
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Innovation and Adaptation: The fast-paced technology landscape requires continuous innovation. Tencent must be agile in adopting new technologies and responding to market changes to stay competitive.
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Public Perception and Brand Reputation: Negative publicity or controversies regarding user privacy, data management, or corporate governance can harm Tencent’s brand and consumer trust, impacting user engagement and business growth.
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Market Saturation: In sectors like social media and online gaming, market saturation can limit growth potential. Tencent needs to explore new markets and diversify its product offerings to counteract this challenge.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention: As competition for talent intensifies in the tech industry, Tencent may face challenges in attracting and retaining skilled employees, which are critical for innovation and growth.
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Global Expansion Risks: While Tencent has made strides in expanding internationally, managing operations in different regulatory environments and cultural contexts adds complexity and risk.
In summary, Tencent Holdings Ltd faces a multifaceted set of challenges ranging from regulatory pressures and intense competition to economic uncertainties and the need for continuous innovation. Navigating these risks effectively will be crucial for the company's sustained growth and market position.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Tencent Holdings Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Tencent Holdings Ltd
Current Assets | 521.6B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 368.8B |
Receivables | 84B |
Other Current Assets | 68.9B |
Non-Current Assets | 1.1T |
Long-Term Investments | 783.8B |
PP&E | 89.5B |
Intangibles | 177.6B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 82.5B |
Current Liabilities | 387.8B |
Accounts Payable | 121.2B |
Accrued Liabilities | 38.9B |
Short-Term Debt | 29.7B |
Other Current Liabilities | 198B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 406.5B |
Long-Term Debt | 299.5B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 107B |
Earnings Waterfall
Tencent Holdings Ltd
Revenue
|
630.4B
CNY
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-306.6B
CNY
|
Gross Profit
|
323.9B
CNY
|
Operating Expenses
|
-128.8B
CNY
|
Operating Income
|
195.1B
CNY
|
Other Expenses
|
-42.3B
CNY
|
Net Income
|
152.7B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Tencent Holdings Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
Tencent's Q2 2024 results indicated strong performance with total revenue rising by 8% year-on-year to RMB 161.1 billion. Gross profit surged 21% to RMB 85.9 billion, while net profit attributable to equity holders jumped 53% to RMB 57.3 billion. The company's impressive performance was driven by higher-margin revenue streams such as domestic and international games, online advertising, and cloud services. Notably, the company's gross margin increased by 6 percentage points to 53%. For the full year of 2024, Tencent expects its non-IFRS effective tax rate to range between 18% and 20%【6:0†source】【6:5†source】【6:6†source】.
What is Earnings Call?
TCEHY Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Tencent Holdings Ltd's profitability score is 64/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
![](https://ik.imagekit.io/kkbzr2uz4cp/stock/hkex/700.png)
Score
Tencent Holdings Ltd's profitability score is 64/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
TCEHY Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Tencent Holdings Ltd's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
![](https://ik.imagekit.io/kkbzr2uz4cp/stock/hkex/700.png)
Score
Tencent Holdings Ltd's solvency score is 65/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
TCEHY Price Targets Summary
Tencent Holdings Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
TCEHY
is 61.42 USD
with a low forecast of 41.25 USD and a high forecast of 73.46 USD.
Shareholder Yield
Current shareholder yield for Tencent Holdings Ltd is
.
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Price
Tencent Holdings Ltd
Average Annual Return | 5.08% |
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 33.7% |
Max Drawdown | -73% |
Market Capitalization | 3.5T HKD |
Shares Outstanding | 9 519 700 100 |
Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Profile
![Tencent Holdings Ltd Logo](https://ik.imagekit.io/kkbzr2uz4cp/stock/hkex/700.png?tr=w-200)
![Tencent Holdings Ltd Logo](https://ik.imagekit.io/kkbzr2uz4cp/stock/hkex/700.png?tr=w-200)
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Tencent Holdings Ltd. is an investment holding company. The company is headquartered in Shenzhen, Guangdong and currently employs 112,771 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2004-06-16. The firm operates through three main segments. The VAS segment is mainly involved in provision of online/mobile games, community value-added services and applications across various Internet and mobile platforms. The Online Advertising segment is mainly engaged in display based and performance based advertisements. The Others segment is mainly involved in provision of payment related services, cloud services and other services.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
TCEHY
stock under the Base Case scenario is
64.89
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 47.24 USD,
Tencent Holdings Ltd
is
Undervalued by 27%.