Orkla ASA
OTC:ORKLF
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ORKLF stock under the Base Case scenario is 11.42 USD. Compared to the current market price of 9.01 USD, Orkla ASA is Undervalued by 21%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Orkla ASA
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Fundamental Analysis
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Orkla ASA is a leading supplier of branded consumer goods and concept solutions in the fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector, primarily operating in the Scandinavian and Central European markets. With a heritage rooted in over 350 years of experience, Orkla has evolved into a sizable player with a diverse portfolio that spans food products, confectionery, and household goods, catering to a wide range of consumer tastes and preferences. The company’s strategic focus on innovation and sustainability positions it favorably within an increasingly competitive landscape, allowing it to capitalize on emerging trends such as healthier lifestyles and eco-conscious consumption. By leveraging its ex...
Orkla ASA is a leading supplier of branded consumer goods and concept solutions in the fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) sector, primarily operating in the Scandinavian and Central European markets. With a heritage rooted in over 350 years of experience, Orkla has evolved into a sizable player with a diverse portfolio that spans food products, confectionery, and household goods, catering to a wide range of consumer tastes and preferences. The company’s strategic focus on innovation and sustainability positions it favorably within an increasingly competitive landscape, allowing it to capitalize on emerging trends such as healthier lifestyles and eco-conscious consumption. By leveraging its extensive distribution channels and strong brand recognition, Orkla seeks to maintain a resilient market presence while fostering growth through acquisitions and partnerships.
For investors, Orkla ASA represents a compelling opportunity in an ever-growing FMCG sector that is characterized by consistent demand and long-term growth potential. The company's robust financial health, marked by steady revenue growth and a reliable dividend policy, reflects its ability to generate value for shareholders. Moreover, Orkla's commitment to sustainability and responsible business practices enhances its appeal to socially conscious investors. As the company continues to expand its product offerings and strengthen its market position, Orkla ASA not only stands as a testament to strategic adaptability but also as a promising investment for those looking to capitalize on the enduring fundamentals of the consumer goods market.
Orkla ASA is a leading supplier of branded consumer goods and concept solutions in the Nordic region and the Baltics. The company operates through several core business segments:
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Branded Consumer Goods: This segment focuses on the development, production, and marketing of well-known consumer brands in various categories, including food, health products, and personal care. Orkla owns a range of popular food brands like Grandiosa (frozen pizza), Toro (sauces and soups), and Jotun (condiments).
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Bakery Products: Orkla provides a variety of bakery products, including frozen bread, pastries, and convenience foods. This segment aims to meet the growing consumer demand for convenient and ready-to-eat food options.
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Confectionery: This segment encompasses a wide range of confectionery products, including chocolate, candy, and snacks. Orkla has a strong portfolio of brands that cater to different consumer preferences and trends.
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Health and Wellness: Orkla emphasizes the importance of health and wellness by offering products that promote healthy living. This includes dietary supplements, health foods, and organic products, targeting health-conscious consumers.
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Industry Solutions: Through this segment, Orkla provides concept and product solutions to various industries, including the food service and bakery sectors. This includes tailor-made solutions for clients looking for custom products.
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International Operations: In addition to its strong presence in the Nordic market, Orkla also has operations in several other countries, allowing for broader market reach and economies of scale.
Overall, Orkla ASA's diversified portfolio across these segments enables it to respond effectively to market trends and consumer demands while leveraging synergies across its business units.
Orkla ASA, a Norwegian company with a diverse portfolio in branded consumer goods and various other industries, holds several unique competitive advantages over its rivals:
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Strong Brand Portfolio: Orkla has a well-established portfolio of strong local and regional brands, particularly in the consumer goods sector. This brand recognition fosters customer loyalty and allows for premium pricing.
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Diversification: The company operates in multiple markets, including grocery products, confectionery, and personal care, which reduces dependency on any single product line or market. This diversification helps mitigate risks associated with economic downturns in specific sectors.
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Focus on Sustainability: Orkla has committed to sustainable practices, emphasizing environmentally friendly products and processes. This focus can attract environmentally conscious consumers and help the company comply with increasingly stringent regulations.
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Innovation and Product Development: The company invests significantly in research and development, allowing it to continually innovate and adapt its product offerings to changing consumer preferences, thereby staying ahead of competitors.
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Strong Distribution Network: Orkla has a robust distribution system that ensures its products reach a wide audience efficiently. Its established relationships with retailers enhance its market presence and customer access.
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Acquisition Strategy: Orkla has a strategic approach to acquisitions, allowing it to expand its product range and market reach while enhancing its capabilities. This growth strategy positions Orkla favorably against competitors who may lack such strategic foresight.
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Operational Efficiency: With a focus on lean manufacturing and supply chain optimization, Orkla can reduce costs while maintaining quality. This efficiency translates into better margins and competitive pricing.
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Local Market Expertise: As a company deeply rooted in the Nordic region, Orkla possesses specialized knowledge of local markets and consumer behavior, which can be a significant advantage over global competitors who may not have the same level of insight.
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Commitment to Quality: Orkla maintains high standards for its products, ensuring quality and safety that build trust with consumers. This reputation can be a differentiating factor in crowded markets.
These competitive advantages help Orkla ASA maintain a strong market position and grow effectively in the face of competition.
Orkla ASA, a leading supplier of branded consumer goods and concept solutions in the Nordic and Central Eastern European markets, faces several risks and challenges in the near future:
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Market Volatility: Economic uncertainty in Europe can affect consumer spending patterns, impacting sales and profitability. Fluctuations in currency exchange rates can also affect revenue from international operations.
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Raw Material Prices: Rising costs of raw materials, driven by global supply chain disruptions or inflation, could impact Orkla's margins. The company must effectively manage these costs or risk passing them onto consumers, which may affect demand.
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Competition: The consumer goods sector is highly competitive, with many established brands and new entrants. Orkla must continuously innovate and enhance its product offerings to maintain market share.
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Sustainability Pressures: Increasing consumer demand for sustainable and ethically produced products means that Orkla must invest in sustainable sourcing and production. Failure to do so could harm its reputation and sales.
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Regulatory Challenges: Compliance with diverse regulations in different countries is critical. Any changes in food safety, labeling laws, or import/export regulations can pose operational challenges and increase costs.
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Technological Disruption: The rise of e-commerce and digital marketing changes how consumers shop. Orkla needs to invest in digital transformation to remain relevant and reach consumers effectively.
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Health and Wellness Trends: Shifts in consumer preferences toward healthier options can impact traditional product lines. Orkla will need to adapt its portfolio to align with these trends.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Ongoing supply chain issues, exacerbated by geopolitical tensions, pandemics, or natural disasters, can lead to delays and increased costs.
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Labor Issues: The tightening labor market in many of Orkla’s key regions can lead to challenges in hiring and retaining skilled workers, impacting operational efficiency.
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Global Events: Political instability, pandemics, or other global events can significantly disrupt operations or affect consumer behavior in unpredictable ways.
Addressing these risks requires strategic foresight, careful planning, and flexibility in operations while focusing on sustainable growth and innovation.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Orkla ASA
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Orkla ASA
Current Assets | 22.3B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.1B |
Receivables | 10.9B |
Other Current Assets | 10.3B |
Non-Current Assets | 66.1B |
Long-Term Investments | 9.4B |
PP&E | 20.6B |
Intangibles | 36.1B |
Current Liabilities | 18.8B |
Accounts Payable | 8.3B |
Other Current Liabilities | 10.5B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 25.2B |
Long-Term Debt | 16.8B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 8.5B |
Earnings Waterfall
Orkla ASA
Revenue
|
68.9B
NOK
|
Operating Expenses
|
-61.5B
NOK
|
Operating Income
|
7.3B
NOK
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Other Expenses
|
-1.3B
NOK
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Net Income
|
6.1B
NOK
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Orkla ASA
NOK | |
Free Cash Flow | NOK |
ORKLF Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Orkla ASA's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Orkla ASA's profitability score is 52/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ORKLF Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Orkla ASA's solvency score is 52/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Orkla ASA's solvency score is 52/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ORKLF Price Targets Summary
Orkla ASA
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ORKLF is 8.71 USD with a low forecast of 7.47 USD and a high forecast of 11.56 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for ORK is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Orkla ASA engages in the distribution of branded consumer goods to the grocery, out of home, specialized retail, pharmacy, and bakery sectors. The company is headquartered in Oslo, Oslo and currently employs 21,423 full-time employees. The firm's branded consumer goods business consists of four business areas, including Orkla Foods, which comprises Orkla's food businesses; Orkla Confectionery & Snacks, which comprises the product categories confectionery, snacks and biscuits, and consists of six branded consumer goods businesses; Orkla Care, which comprises six branded consumer goods businesses, and Orkla Food Ingredients, which is engaged in the bakery and ice cream ingredients sectors in the Nordics and Baltics. The Orkla Investments business area consists of the Hydro Power and Financial Investments segments. Its associates and joint ventures consist primarily of Jotun, which is a manufacturer of paint and powder coatings, and Sapa AS, which is a supplier of extrusion-based aluminum solutions.
Officers
The intrinsic value of one ORKLF stock under the Base Case scenario is 11.42 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 9.01 USD, Orkla ASA is Undervalued by 21%.