GMGSF Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - Goodman Group - Alpha Spread

Goodman Group
OTC:GMGSF

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Goodman Group
OTC:GMGSF
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Price: 19.76 USD
Market Cap: 37.5B USD
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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one GMGSF stock under the Base Case scenario is 21.85 USD. Compared to the current market price of 19.76 USD, Goodman Group is Undervalued by 10%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

GMGSF Intrinsic Value
21.85 USD
Undervaluation 10%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

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Goodman Group

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Backtest Conclusion
Very Attractive
Current Valuation
+45%
Avg Valuation
-12%
Worst Valuation
-49%
Best Valuation
+45%

Stock is trading at its lowest valuation over the past 5 years.

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Fundamental Analysis

Summary

 

 

 

 

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0-36
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Business Breakdown

Goodman Group is a prominent global industrial property group that specializes in the development and management of logistics and warehouse facilities. Founded in 1989 and headquartered in Australia, Goodman has masterfully positioned itself to capitalize on the burgeoning e-commerce sector and the increasing demand for modern supply chain solutions. The company boasts a diverse portfolio of strategically located properties in major markets across the Asia-Pacific, Europe, and the Americas, making it a key player in the logistics real estate sector. With a strong focus on sustainability and innovation, Goodman aims to create long-term value for its investors by delivering high-quality assets...

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Goodman Group

Current Assets 2.5B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 1.8B
Receivables 234.2m
Other Current Assets 469.4m
Non-Current Assets 21.3B
Long-Term Investments 17.9B
PP&E 65.2m
Intangibles 829.5m
Other Non-Current Assets 2.6B
Current Liabilities 1.4B
Accounts Payable 837.2m
Other Current Liabilities 572.8m
Non-Current Liabilities 4.9B
Long-Term Debt 3.7B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 1.2B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Goodman Group

Revenue
2B AUD
Cost of Revenue
-556.1m AUD
Gross Profit
1.4B AUD
Operating Expenses
-884.1m AUD
Operating Income
543.2m AUD
Other Expenses
-642.1m AUD
Net Income
-98.9m AUD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Goodman Group

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
Fundamental Scores

GMGSF Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Goodman Group's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

61/100
Profitability
Score

Goodman Group's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

GMGSF Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Goodman Group's solvency score is 61/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Long-Term Solvency
Low D/E
Short-Term Solvency
61/100
Solvency
Score

Goodman Group's solvency score is 61/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

GMGSF Price Targets Summary
Goodman Group

Wall Street analysts forecast GMGSF stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GMGSF is 19.94 USD with a low forecast of 11.11 USD and a high forecast of 23.29 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
11.11 USD
44% Downside
Average
Price Target
19.94 USD
1% Upside
Highest
Price Target
23.29 USD
18% Upside
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Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for GMG is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

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GMG Price
Goodman Group

1M 1M
+4%
6M 6M
+20%
1Y 1Y
+58%
3Y 3Y
+59%
5Y 5Y
+179%
10Y 10Y
+757%
Annual Price Range
35.63
52w Low
20.15
52w High
37.17
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 13.17%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 37.65%
Max Drawdown -42%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 67.7B AUD
Shares Outstanding 1 899 180 032
Percentage of Shares Shorted
N/A

Competitive Landscape

Profile

Goodman Group Logo
Goodman Group

Country

Australia

Industry

Real Estate

Market Cap

67.7B AUD

Dividend Yield

1.03%

Description

Goodman Group engages in the development, owning, and management of industrial property and business space. The company is headquartered in Sydney, New South Wales. The company went IPO on 2005-02-02. The firm is focused on owning, developing and managing industrial property and business space in markets across the world. The principal activities of the Company are investment in directly and indirectly held industrial property, property services and property development. Its operating segments include Australia and New Zealand, Asia, Continental Europe, the United Kingdom and the Americas. The firm's staple entities include Goodman Limited, Goodman Industrial Trust and Goodman Logistics (HK) Limited. The firm has also invested in property funds, which include Goodman Australia Industrial Partnership (GAIP), Goodman Australia Partnership (GAP), Goodman Property Trust (GMT), Goodman Hong Kong Logistics Partnership (GHKLP), Goodman Japan Core Partnership (GJCP) and Goodman European Partnership (GEP).

Contact

NEW SOUTH WALES
Sydney
Level 17, 60 Castlereagh Street
+61292307400.0
www.goodman.com

IPO

2005-02-02

Employees

-

Officers

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What is the Intrinsic Value of one GMGSF stock?

The intrinsic value of one GMGSF stock under the Base Case scenario is 21.85 USD.

Is GMGSF stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 19.76 USD, Goodman Group is Undervalued by 10%.

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