Baidu Inc
OTC:BAIDF
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one BAIDF stock under the Base Case scenario is 21.02 USD. Compared to the current market price of 10.15 USD, Baidu Inc is Undervalued by 52%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Baidu Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
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Baidu Inc., often referred to as the "Google of China," has established itself as one of the leading technology companies in the country, primarily known for its robust search engine capabilities. Founded in 2000 by Robin Li and Eric Xu, the company initially gained traction through its innovative search algorithms, quickly becoming the go-to platform for Chinese-speaking users looking for information online. However, Baidu’s vision extends far beyond search; it has embarked on an ambitious transformation towards artificial intelligence (AI) and autonomous driving technologies. This shift reflects its commitment to remaining at the forefront of technological advancement in China, enabling gr...
Baidu Inc., often referred to as the "Google of China," has established itself as one of the leading technology companies in the country, primarily known for its robust search engine capabilities. Founded in 2000 by Robin Li and Eric Xu, the company initially gained traction through its innovative search algorithms, quickly becoming the go-to platform for Chinese-speaking users looking for information online. However, Baidu’s vision extends far beyond search; it has embarked on an ambitious transformation towards artificial intelligence (AI) and autonomous driving technologies. This shift reflects its commitment to remaining at the forefront of technological advancement in China, enabling growth opportunities in both traditional and emerging markets.
For investors, Baidu presents a compelling story of resilience and potential. While facing stiff competition from rivals like Alibaba and Tencent, Baidu is leveraging its expertise in AI and cloud computing to diversify its revenue streams. The company’s strategic investments in areas such as autonomous vehicles through its Apollo project showcase its forward-looking approach, positioning it well in an increasingly tech-driven economy. Moreover, the Chinese government's supportive stance towards innovation and technology further enhances Baidu's growth prospects. As Baidu continues to pivot and innovate, it remains a pivotal player in China’s digital landscape, making it an enticing option for those looking to invest in a company poised to capitalize on the burgeoning technology sector.
Baidu Inc., often referred to as the "Google of China," has several core business segments that contribute to its revenue and overall strategy. As of my last knowledge update in October 2023, the primary segments include:
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Search and Advertising Services:
- This is the cornerstone of Baidu's business model. The company generates significant revenue through its search engine, which attracts millions of users daily. Advertisers pay to promote their products and services on Baidu's platform, using a pay-per-click model. This segment also includes Baidu's mobile advertising services.
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Cloud Services:
- Baidu Cloud offers a range of services, including cloud storage, computing power, and artificial intelligence (AI) tools. With the increasing demand for cloud infrastructure in China, this segment is rapidly growing and contributes significantly to Baidu's diversification strategy.
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AI and Smart Devices:
- Baidu has heavily invested in artificial intelligence, focusing on areas such as machine learning, natural language processing, and computer vision. This segment includes the development of products like the Baidu DuerOS (voice assistant platform) and smart devices like speakers and smart home products.
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Apollo Autonomous Driving:
- Baidu's Apollo project aims to develop autonomous vehicle technology, including software and hardware systems for self-driving cars. This initiative places Baidu in direct competition with other tech giants in the mobility sector.
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Mobile Ecosystem:
- Baidu also manages a variety of mobile applications and services, including Baidu Maps, Baidu Wenku (document sharing), and Baidu Tieba (social media platform). These offerings help to maintain user engagement and provide alternative revenue streams.
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Content and Community:
- Baidu operates a range of online platforms that host user-generated content, ranging from videos to blogs and forums. This includes Baidu Baike (an online encyclopedia) and Baidu Zhidao (a Q&A platform), which contribute to building a community around its search engine.
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Financial Services:
- While not a core focus, Baidu has ventured into financial technology, offering services such as microloans and online payment solutions through Baidu Wallet, expanding its footprint in the fintech sector.
These core segments underline Baidu's strategy to not just be a search engine but a comprehensive technology company leveraging AI and data to enhance user experience and drive growth. As the business landscape evolves, Baidu's diversification and technology-led initiatives position it to capitalize on emerging trends and market opportunities.
Baidu Inc. has several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals in the technology and search engine sectors, particularly in China:
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Market Leadership in China: Baidu is often referred to as the "Google of China." It holds a dominant position in the Chinese search engine market, capturing a significant share of user traffic. This established brand recognition and user trust provide a competitive edge over emerging rivals.
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Advanced AI Capabilities: Baidu has heavily invested in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning technologies. Its AI initiatives, including natural language processing and autonomous driving (through Baidu Apollo), enhance its service offerings and drive innovations in various sectors.
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Comprehensive Ecosystem: Baidu has built a vast ecosystem encompassing various services such as Baidu Maps, Baidu Baike (Wikipedia-like platform), and Baidu Tieba (social media forum). This integrated suite of services encourages user retention and engagement, which can be less easily replicated by competitors.
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Strong Data Advantage: As a leading search engine, Baidu has access to an extensive amount of user data. This data allows Baidu to refine its algorithms, deliver personalized content, and improve advertising relevance, thus leading to higher conversion rates for advertisers.
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Regulatory Familiarity: Baidu's long-standing presence in the Chinese market means it has experience navigating local regulations and relationships with the government. This familiarity can give Baidu an advantage over foreign competitors who may struggle to comply with specific legal requirements.
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Robust Advertising Model: Baidu has a well-developed and established advertising platform that allows businesses to reach a large potential customer base. Its AdWords-like system has been optimized for the Chinese market, enabling effective targeting for advertisers.
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Investment in Emerging Technologies: Baidu is actively investing in technologies such as cloud computing, autonomous vehicles, and AI-powered healthcare solutions. These forward-looking investments position Baidu to capitalize on emerging trends, giving it an edge over competitors.
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Partnerships and Collaborations: Baidu has formed strategic partnerships with various companies and organizations in different sectors, enhancing its technological capabilities and expanding its service offerings. These collaborations help Baidu stay ahead in technology innovation.
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Local Content and Services: Baidu excels in providing local content tailored for Chinese users, including news, videos, and other media that resonate with the domestic audience. This local focus helps in attracting and retaining users who prefer culturally relevant content.
Overall, Baidu’s combination of market leadership, technological advancements, comprehensive service offerings, and strong data utilization, set against a backdrop of regulatory familiarity, creates formidable barriers against competitors.
Baidu Inc. faces several risks and challenges in the near future, which can affect its growth and market position:
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Regulatory Environment: As a major player in China's tech industry, Baidu is subject to significant scrutiny by government regulators. Increased regulations, particularly concerning data privacy, content censorship, and anti-competitive practices, could impact its operations and growth strategies.
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Competition: The competitive landscape in China's technology sector is intense, with rivals like Alibaba, Tencent, and newer entrants challenging Baidu's market share in online advertising, cloud computing, and AI technologies. This competition could pressure Baidu to innovate faster and invest heavily in new areas.
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Shifts in Advertising Revenue: Baidu's primary revenue source is online advertising. Changes in user behavior, such as declining engagement with traditional search and an increase in the use of social media and alternative search engines, could impact its advertising revenue.
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Economic Conditions: Economic fluctuations, such as those caused by the COVID-19 pandemic or geopolitical tensions, could lead to reduced ad spending from businesses, affecting Baidu's revenue.
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Technological Change: The rapid pace of technological change means that Baidu must continually invest in research and development to keep up with trends such as AI, machine learning, and autonomous driving. Failure to maintain technological leadership could result in losing ground to competitors.
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International Expansion Risks: While Baidu has made efforts to expand internationally, entering new markets poses risks such as cultural differences, regulatory challenges, and establishing a competitive presence against well-entrenched local players.
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Public Perception and Brand Trust: Past controversies, such as the scrutiny over alleged unethical advertising practices and the handling of user data, could impact public trust and brand perception, which may affect user retention and customer acquisition.
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Cybersecurity Threats: As a major internet company, Baidu is a potential target for cyberattacks. A significant breach could lead to data loss, reputational damage, and financial losses.
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AI and Innovation Risks: While Baidu is investing in AI and autonomous vehicles, there is inherent risk in the development and deployment of these technologies, including technical failures, public acceptance, and regulatory hurdles.
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Talent Acquisition and Retention: The tech industry is highly competitive for skilled talent. Baidu may face challenges in attracting and retaining top professionals, particularly in areas like AI and data science, where demand is high.
Baidu will need to navigate these challenges strategically to sustain its growth trajectory and adapt to the dynamic environment in which it operates.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Baidu Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Baidu Inc
Current Assets | 187.3B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 150.4B |
Receivables | 12.5B |
Other Current Assets | 24.4B |
Non-Current Assets | 228.3B |
Long-Term Investments | 118.7B |
PP&E | 40.1B |
Intangibles | 44.6B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 24.9B |
Current Liabilities | 80.8B |
Accounts Payable | 38B |
Accrued Liabilities | 3.2B |
Short-Term Debt | 12.5B |
Other Current Liabilities | 27.1B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 82B |
Long-Term Debt | 51.1B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 30.9B |
Earnings Waterfall
Baidu Inc
Revenue
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134.8B
CNY
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Cost of Revenue
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-65.4B
CNY
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Gross Profit
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69.4B
CNY
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Operating Expenses
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-46.3B
CNY
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Operating Income
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23.1B
CNY
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Other Expenses
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-3.6B
CNY
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Net Income
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19.5B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Baidu Inc
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
Baidu's Q2 2024 showed slight revenue growth to RMB 26.7 billion driven by AI cloud acceleration despite a 2% decline in online marketing. Non-GAAP operating margin improved by nearly 2 percentage points to 26%, with a non-GAAP operating profit growth of 8%. The firm aggressively expanded AI initiatives, with ERNIE handling over 600 million daily API calls. Apollo Go also saw a 26% year-over-year increase in rides. AI Cloud revenue grew by 14%, now making up nearly 9% of total AI Cloud revenue【7:1†source】【7:4†source】【7:5†source】【7:6†source】【7:13†source】.
What is Earnings Call?
BAIDF Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Baidu Inc's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Baidu Inc's profitability score is 56/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
BAIDF Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Baidu Inc's solvency score is 57/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Baidu Inc's solvency score is 57/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
BAIDF Price Targets Summary
Baidu Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for BAIDF is 16.11 USD with a low forecast of 10.09 USD and a high forecast of 26.61 USD.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for BIDU is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
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Dividend Yield
Description
Baidu Inc is a CN-based company operating in Interactive Media & Services industry. The company is headquartered in Beijing, Beijing and currently employs 45,500 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2005-08-05. Baidu Inc is a Chinese language Internet search provider. The firm offers a Chinese language search platform on its Baidu.com Website that enables users to find information online, including Webpages, news, images, documents and multimedia files, through links provided on its Website. The firm operates through two segments, Baidu Core segment and iQIYI segment. Baidu Core mainly provides search-based, feed-based, and other online marketing services, as well as products and services from the Company’s new artificial intelligence (AI) initiatives. Within Baidu Core, the Company’s product and services offerings are categorized as Mobile Ecosystem, Baidu AI Cloud and Intelligent Driving & Other Growth Initiatives. iQIYI is an online entertainment service provider that offers original, professionally produced and partner-generated content on its platform.
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The intrinsic value of one BAIDF stock under the Base Case scenario is 21.02 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 10.15 USD, Baidu Inc is Undervalued by 52%.