Aluminum Corp of China Ltd
OTC:ALMMF
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one ALMMF stock under the Base Case scenario is 1.08 USD. Compared to the current market price of 0.64 USD, Aluminum Corp of China Ltd is Undervalued by 41%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling ALMMF based on its intrinsic value.
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Fundamental Analysis
![](https://ik.imagekit.io/kkbzr2uz4cp/other/ai-assistant.png)
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd., also known as CHALCO, stands as a premier player in the global aluminum industry, marking its presence as one of the largest aluminum producers in the world. Established in the 2001 as a central entity to promote the development of China’s aluminum sector, the company leverages its vast resources and technologies to dominate both domestic and international markets. CHALCO engages in a wide spectrum of activities including bauxite mining, alumina refining, and aluminum production, ensuring a vertically integrated operation that maximizes efficiency and cost-effectiveness. The company’s strategic position in the resource-rich region of China grants it access to som...
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd., also known as CHALCO, stands as a premier player in the global aluminum industry, marking its presence as one of the largest aluminum producers in the world. Established in the 2001 as a central entity to promote the development of China’s aluminum sector, the company leverages its vast resources and technologies to dominate both domestic and international markets. CHALCO engages in a wide spectrum of activities including bauxite mining, alumina refining, and aluminum production, ensuring a vertically integrated operation that maximizes efficiency and cost-effectiveness. The company’s strategic position in the resource-rich region of China grants it access to some of the world’s largest bauxite reserves, essential for aluminum manufacturing, thus bolstering its competitive advantage and ensuring a steady supply of raw materials.
Investors looking into CHALCO can find a compelling narrative underscored by a commitment to innovation and sustainability. The company actively embraces technological advancements to improve production processes and reduce environmental impact—aligning with the growing focus on sustainable practices in the manufacturing sector. Additionally, with the increasing global demand for aluminum driven by its extensive use in automotive, aerospace, and construction industries, CHALCO is well-positioned to benefit from market trends. The recent initiatives to expand its footprint internationally and bolster its product offerings further paint a picture of growth potential. For investors, CHALCO represents not just a stake in a vital industry but also an opportunity to be part of a journey toward a more sustainable and technologically advanced future.
Aluminum Corporation of China Limited (Chalco) has several core business segments that contribute to its overall operations and financial performance. Here's an overview of its primary business segments:
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Aluminum Smelting: This segment involves the production of primary aluminum through electrolytic processes. Chalco is one of the largest aluminum producers in China and focuses on high-quality aluminum ingots and products.
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Bauxite Mining: Chalco engages in the extraction and mining of bauxite, which is the primary ore for aluminum production. This segment ensures a steady supply of raw materials, thus supporting its smelting operations.
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Alumina Production: The company processes bauxite into alumina, which is then refined into aluminum. Alumina production is a critical step in the aluminum supply chain, making this segment vital for Chalco's operations.
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Aluminum Fabrication: In addition to primary aluminum production, Chalco also engages in aluminum fabrication, producing various aluminum products used in construction, automotive, machinery, and consumer goods.
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Power Generation: Given the energy-intensive nature of aluminum smelting, Chalco invests in power generation facilities, often utilizing coal-fired power plants. This segment not only supplies energy for its operations but also aims to generate revenue from excess power sales.
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Research and Development: Chalco invests in research and development to innovate new products and improve production efficiency. This segment includes the development of advanced materials and processes as well as sustainability initiatives.
Chalco's integrated approach across these segments allows it to control costs, improve product quality, and enhance its market position within the aluminum industry. The company's strategic focus on vertical integration helps it mitigate risks associated with fluctuating raw material prices and supply chain disruptions.
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd, also known as Chinalco, has several unique competitive advantages over its rivals in the aluminum industry:
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Vertical Integration: Chinalco has a strong presence across the entire aluminum value chain, from bauxite mining to alumina refining and aluminum smelting. This vertical integration helps reduce costs, improve operational efficiencies, and provide better control over supply chains.
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Government Support: As a state-owned enterprise, Chinalco benefits from favorable government policies, subsidies, and support initiatives, which can provide financial advantages and help in securing strategic assets.
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Scale of Operations: Chinalco is one of the largest aluminum producers in the world, which allows it to take advantage of economies of scale. This scale not only reduces per-unit costs but also enhances its bargaining power when negotiating with suppliers and customers.
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Access to Raw Materials: Chinalco has significant access to key raw materials, such as bauxite and alumina, which helps reduce dependence on external suppliers and shields it from price volatility in the raw material markets.
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Technological Advancements: The company invests in research and development to enhance its production efficiency and develop innovative technologies, which can lead to lower production costs and improved product quality.
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Market Position in China: Being a major player in the Chinese market provides Chinalco with a competitive edge over international rivals, considering China's growing demand for aluminum across various sectors, including automotive, construction, and electronics.
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Sustainability Practices: As environmental concerns grow, Chinalco's investments in sustainable practices and lower carbon emission technologies can position it favorably against competitors who may not prioritize sustainability.
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Diversified Product Portfolio: Chinalco produces a wide range of aluminum products, catering to various industries. This diversification can help mitigate risks associated with fluctuations in specific market segments.
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Strong Financial Position: With support from the government and its large scale of operations, Chinalco often enjoys a strong balance sheet, enabling it to invest in strategic growth opportunities and weather market downturns more effectively than smaller rivals.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, Chinalco can maintain its leadership position in the global aluminum market.
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd (Chalco) faces several risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some of the key ones:
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Market Volatility: The aluminum market is subject to price fluctuations due to changes in supply and demand dynamics, global economic conditions, and geopolitical tensions. Volatile prices can impact profitability and financial stability.
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Environmental Regulations: Increasing environmental regulations globally and in China may lead to higher compliance costs. The aluminum industry is energy-intensive and has significant environmental footprints, which can lead to stricter regulations and possible fines.
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Supply Chain Disruptions: Global supply chain disruptions, exacerbated by events like the COVID-19 pandemic, natural disasters, or geopolitical tensions, can affect the availability of necessary raw materials and distribution of finished products.
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Trade Policies and Tariffs: Changes in trade policies, tariffs, and international trade relations can impact export and import costs, affecting pricing strategies and market access in key markets, particularly in North America and Europe.
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Competition: The aluminum industry is highly competitive, both domestically and internationally. Chalco faces competition from low-cost producers, particularly in regions with cheaper energy sources or labor costs, which can pressure margins.
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Technological Advancements: Rapid advancements in production technologies and alternative materials create pressure to innovate. Failure to adopt new technologies or improve efficiency can lead to a competitive disadvantage.
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Economic Downturns: Global economic slowdowns can affect demand for aluminum in key sectors like construction, automotive, and aerospace. Economic uncertainties can lead to decreased production and increased inventory costs.
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Debt Levels: If Chalco has accumulated significant debt, rising interest rates can increase borrowing costs. Additionally, cash flow disruptions due to market conditions could impact its ability to service debt.
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Energy Costs: The aluminum production process is highly energy-intensive. Fluctuations in energy prices, particularly electricity, can adversely affect operational costs and profitability.
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Geopolitical Risks: Regional tensions, particularly involving China, can affect trade relationships and market access. This might lead to sanctions or restrictions that could impact business operations.
By addressing these risks and challenges proactively, Aluminum Corp of China Ltd can position itself to navigate the complexities of the market and maintain its competitive edge.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd
Current Assets | 58.4B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 24.1B |
Receivables | 8.9B |
Other Current Assets | 25.5B |
Non-Current Assets | 153.3B |
Long-Term Investments | 14.2B |
PP&E | 113.5B |
Intangibles | 21B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 4.6B |
Current Liabilities | 58.7B |
Accounts Payable | 13.6B |
Accrued Liabilities | 1.8B |
Short-Term Debt | 17.5B |
Other Current Liabilities | 25.8B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 92.6B |
Long-Term Debt | 50.5B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 42.1B |
Earnings Waterfall
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd
Revenue
|
207.7B
CNY
|
Cost of Revenue
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-180B
CNY
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Gross Profit
|
27.8B
CNY
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Operating Expenses
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-8.5B
CNY
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Operating Income
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19.2B
CNY
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Other Expenses
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-12.2B
CNY
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Net Income
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7.1B
CNY
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Free Cash Flow Analysis
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd
CNY | |
Free Cash Flow | CNY |
ALMMF Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ALMMF Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd's solvency score is 45/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd's solvency score is 45/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ALMMF Price Targets Summary
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ALMMF is 0.78 USD with a low forecast of 0.51 USD and a high forecast of 1.02 USD.
Shareholder Yield
Current shareholder yield for ALMMF is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
ALMMF Price
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd
Average Annual Return | 8.53% |
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 39.3% |
Max Drawdown | -69% |
Market Capitalization | 16.7B USD |
Shares Outstanding | 26 163 699 712 |
Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Aluminum Corp of China Ltd is a CN-based company operating in Metals & Mining industry. The company is headquartered in Beijing, Beijing and currently employs 60,056 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2007-04-30. Aluminum Corp of China Ltd is a China-based company principally engaged in the production and sales of alumina, primary aluminum and aluminum alloy products. The firm operates businesses through five segments. The Alumina segment is engaged in the production and sales of alumina, fine alumina and aluminum ore. The Primary Aluminum segment is engaged in the production and sales of primary aluminum, carbon products, aluminum alloys and other electrolytic aluminum products. The Energy segment is mainly engaged in coal mining, thermal power generation, wind power generation, photovoltaic power generation and new energy equipment manufacturing. The Trading segment mainly provides alumina, primary aluminum, aluminum processed products and other non-ferrous metal products and coal and other raw materials, auxiliary materials trading and logistics services. The Headquarters and Other Operating segment is engaged in other research and development of aluminum business and other activities.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one ALMMF stock under the Base Case scenario is 1.08 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 0.64 USD, Aluminum Corp of China Ltd is Undervalued by 41%.