Telenor ASA
OSE:TEL
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one TEL stock under the Base Case scenario is 171.69 NOK. Compared to the current market price of 132.1 NOK, Telenor ASA is Undervalued by 23%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Telenor ASA
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Fundamental Analysis
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Telenor ASA, a leading telecommunications company based in Norway, has established itself as a major player in the global telecom landscape. Founded in 1855, the company has grown from its roots in telegraph services to become a robust provider of mobile, broadband, and digital services in a diverse range of markets, including Scandinavia and parts of Asia. With over 185 million subscribers across its operations, Telenor is not just a telecommunications provider; it’s a catalyst for digital transformation in its regions. By emphasizing innovation and sustainable growth, Telenor is able to compete effectively with local and international firms, leveraging its strong brand reputation to mainta...
Telenor ASA, a leading telecommunications company based in Norway, has established itself as a major player in the global telecom landscape. Founded in 1855, the company has grown from its roots in telegraph services to become a robust provider of mobile, broadband, and digital services in a diverse range of markets, including Scandinavia and parts of Asia. With over 185 million subscribers across its operations, Telenor is not just a telecommunications provider; it’s a catalyst for digital transformation in its regions. By emphasizing innovation and sustainable growth, Telenor is able to compete effectively with local and international firms, leveraging its strong brand reputation to maintain market leadership.
From an investment perspective, Telenor offers a unique opportunity for sustainable returns, underscored by its strategic focus on improving operational efficiencies and expanding into new markets. The company’s commitment to responsible business practices resonates with the increasing demand for ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) investments, making it attractive to socially conscious investors. Moreover, Telenor's recent initiatives to explore partnerships in fintech and digital services further position it for future growth in a rapidly evolving landscape. By providing essential connectivity and digital solutions, Telenor not only addresses a universal need but also aligns its vision with broader technological trends, promising potential upside for shareholders as the digital world continues to expand.
Telenor ASA, a leading telecommunications company based in Norway, operates in several core business segments. Here’s an overview of its primary segments:
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Mobile Telecommunications: This is the most significant segment for Telenor, encompassing voice, data, and mobile internet services. Telenor offers mobile plans for individual consumers and businesses, and its services often include value-added services like mobile payments and internet of things (IoT) solutions.
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Fixed Telecommunications: Telenor also provides fixed-line telecommunication services, which include broadband internet services, conventional landline telephony, and various business communication solutions. This segment is critical in markets where fixed broadband is still essential for high-speed internet access.
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Digital Services: Telenor has increasingly focused on expanding its portfolio of digital services beyond traditional telecommunications. This includes mobile financial services, online banking, and digital platforms for various applications. These services cater to the growing demand for integrated digital solutions.
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Enterprise Solutions: Telenor offers tailored solutions for businesses, including cloud services, cybersecurity, and data analytics. These solutions cater to both small and large enterprises looking for comprehensive ICT (Information and Communications Technology) offerings.
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International Operations: Telenor operates in several countries across Europe and Asia, adapting its services to local market needs. This geographic diversification allows Telenor to leverage different growth opportunities and mitigate risks associated with any single market.
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Media and Content Services: Through partnerships and acquisitions, Telenor has ventured into media and content delivery, providing streaming services, content platforms, and advertising solutions. This segment is designed to capture the increasing consumer demand for digital content.
Overall, Telenor ASA aims to leverage its technological expertise and market presence to deliver innovative solutions and maintain a competitive edge in the rapidly evolving telecommunications landscape.
Telenor ASA, a major telecommunications company based in Norway, possesses several unique competitive advantages that differentiate it from its rivals. Here are some of the key factors:
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Strong Brand Reputation: Telenor has established a strong brand presence in the Nordic region and other markets. Its reputation for reliability and customer service enhances customer loyalty.
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Diverse Market Presence: Telenor operates in multiple countries across Europe and Asia, reducing its dependency on a single market and allowing it to leverage growth opportunities in emerging markets while maintaining stable revenues from mature ones.
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Investment in Technology: Telenor has consistently invested in the latest telecommunications technology and infrastructure. This commitment helps ensure high-quality service delivery and positions the company to efficiently roll out new technologies like 5G.
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Robust Financial Position: With strong cash flow and a disciplined capital allocation strategy, Telenor is well-positioned to invest in growth opportunities, R&D, and necessary infrastructure without excessively leveraging its financial health.
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Focus on Sustainability: Telenor is committed to sustainable practices, which can resonate positively with increasingly eco-conscious consumers. Initiatives in reducing carbon emissions and promoting digital inclusion also enhance its brand image.
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Extensive Distribution Network: Telenor has built a vast distribution network which allows the company to reach a wider customer base effectively, delivering products and services in various market segments.
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Strong Regulatory and Compliance Track Record: Telenor's experience navigating complex regulatory environments across different countries often enables it to manage risks better than its competitors.
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Digital Services and Solutions: Telenor is moving beyond traditional telecommunications to offer a range of digital services, such as IoT solutions, cloud services, and digital financial services. This diversification can attract different customer segments and increase revenue streams.
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Customer-Centric Approach: A focus on understanding and responding to customer needs helps Telenor to develop tailored products and services, leading to higher satisfaction and retention rates.
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Strategic Partnerships and Alliances: Telenor has formed strategic partnerships with technology providers, content creators, and other firms to enhance its service offerings, which can provide a competitive edge in terms of customer value and experience.
By leveraging these competitive advantages, Telenor ASA positions itself effectively in the competitive telecom landscape, allowing it to capitalize on both existing customer bases and new market opportunities.
Telenor ASA, a leading telecommunications company in the Nordic region and Asia, faces various risks and challenges in the near future. Here are some key considerations:
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Regulatory Challenges: Telecommunications is a heavily regulated industry. Changes in regulations in the markets where Telenor operates may impact operations, pricing structures, and profitability. Compliance with evolving data privacy laws is also critical.
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Market Competition: The telecom sector is highly competitive, with both established players and new entrants. This competition can lead to pricing pressure and reduced margins. The emergence of Over-the-Top (OTT) services may further challenge traditional telecom revenue streams.
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Technology Changes: Rapid technological advancements necessitate continual investment in infrastructure and services (e.g., 5G rollout). Failing to keep pace with technology may result in losing market relevance and customer base.
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Cybersecurity Risks: As a telecom operator, Telenor is a target for cyberattacks. Data breaches can compromise customer data and lead to legal repercussions and reputational damage.
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Economic Factors: Economic downturns, particularly in emerging markets, may lead to reduced consumer spending on telecom services. Currency fluctuations can also impact profitability when operating in multiple countries.
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Customer Retention: With increasing customer expectations for better service, maintaining customer loyalty and reducing churn is a significant challenge. Companies need to invest continuously in customer service and experience.
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Global Supply Chain Disruptions: Supply chain issues, particularly those exacerbated by geopolitical tensions or global events (like pandemics), can affect infrastructure deployment and service reliability.
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Sustainability Expectations: There is increasing pressure from stakeholders regarding sustainability practices. Telenor must focus on reducing its environmental impact and promoting responsible business practices to meet these expectations.
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Integration Challenges: Any mergers or acquisitions may pose integration challenges related to systems, cultures, and business operations, potentially affecting service delivery and performance.
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Geopolitical Risks: Operating in various countries exposes Telenor to geopolitical tensions, which may lead to operational disruptions or changes in market conditions.
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Shifting Customer Preferences: The increasing demand for digital services, such as mobile payments and cloud services, requires Telenor to adapt quickly to shifting consumer preferences to remain competitive.
These risks and challenges require a proactive strategy, including investments in technology, compliance, customer engagement, and operational resilience to navigate the dynamic telecommunications landscape successfully.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Telenor ASA
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Telenor ASA
Current Assets | 33.1B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 17B |
Receivables | 14.7B |
Other Current Assets | 1.4B |
Non-Current Assets | 187.6B |
Long-Term Investments | 58.3B |
PP&E | 78.2B |
Intangibles | 34.9B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 16.1B |
Current Liabilities | 57.1B |
Accounts Payable | 21.9B |
Other Current Liabilities | 35.2B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 98.6B |
Long-Term Debt | 80B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 18.6B |
Earnings Waterfall
Telenor ASA
Revenue
|
80.4B
NOK
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-18.2B
NOK
|
Gross Profit
|
62.2B
NOK
|
Operating Expenses
|
-43.9B
NOK
|
Operating Income
|
18.3B
NOK
|
Other Expenses
|
-9.5B
NOK
|
Net Income
|
8.9B
NOK
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Telenor ASA
NOK | |
Free Cash Flow | NOK |
In Q3, Telenor achieved a 2.1% rise in group service revenues, bolstered by 4.6% EBITDA growth in the Nordics, driven by strategic price increases and operational efficiencies. The service revenue growth in the Nordics was 3.2%, while Asia experienced a 1.2% decline, largely due to Bangladesh's macroeconomic challenges. The company narrowed its 2024 EBITDA growth forecast for the Nordics to 6% and for the group to 3-4%. Telenor's free cash flow guidance was tightened towards NOK 9-10 billion for the year, reflecting strong performance and a resilient operational model despite external pressures in Asia.
What is Earnings Call?
TEL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Telenor ASA's profitability score is 62/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Telenor ASA's profitability score is 62/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
TEL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Telenor ASA's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Telenor ASA's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
TEL Price Targets Summary
Telenor ASA
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TEL is 151.55 NOK with a low forecast of 111.1 NOK and a high forecast of 178.5 NOK.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for TEL is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Telenor ASA engages in the provision of telecommunications, data, and media services. The company is headquartered in Fornebu, Akershus and currently employs 16,000 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2000-12-04. The firm's segments include Norway, Sweden, Denmark, Hungary, Bulgaria, Montenegro & Serbia, dtac-Thailand, Digi-Malaysia, Grameenphone-Bangladesh, Pakistan, Myanmar, Broadcast and Other units. The firm's main products and services are mobile communication, fixed line communication and broadcasting activities. The firm's mobile communication business mainly includes voice, data, Internet, content services, customer equipment and messaging. Its fixed services comprise telephony, Internet and television, leased lines, as well as data services and managed services. Its broadcast activities comprise Canal Digital DTH in the Nordics, satellite broadcasting and terrestrial radio and television transmission in Norway and Belgium. Its Other units consist of International wholesale, Telenor Digital, corporate functions and others.
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The intrinsic value of one TEL stock under the Base Case scenario is 171.69 NOK.
Compared to the current market price of 132.1 NOK, Telenor ASA is Undervalued by 23%.