Nel ASA
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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2022-Q1

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J
Jon Løkke
executive

Welcome, everyone, to this first quarter presentation. Welcome, everyone in the room, and welcome also everyone following this on the web. As usual, you can ask your questions already now, post them on the link attached and then we will come back and answer the questions or as many as we can at the end of the presentation.

In terms of agenda for today's presentation, as normal, we will go through Nel in brief. I remind new listeners about what Nel is doing and who we are. We will go through the first quarter highlights. And then we will move through the commercial developments that we've seen. We also need to talk a bit about what is happening politically, especially in Europe before we summarize with a summary and outlook and finish off with Q&As.

But first, let me briefly go through Nel in brief. Nel is a pure-play hydrogen technology company that delivers leading in-house and produced and developed equipment. We have manufacturing facilities in the U.S., in Europe. We have people and organization in California, Korea, Japan, China and also other relevant countries.

We are the world's largest electrolyzer producer with more than 3,500 systems units deployed in more than 80 different countries. And we're also a leading manufacturer of fueling station, hydrogen fueling stations, where we are -- have sold or have in the construction around about 120 stations in 14 different countries.

We had then placed smack in the middle of the energy transition, both with hydrogen production equipment and hydrogen fueling equipment. And we are, therefore, enabling industries and transport applications to transition to net 0. We therefore, bridging in many ways, the gap between renewable power, wind and solar and these transport and industry applications. And we are giving the renewables access to new markets and new opportunities that would not be accessible in the past.

And therefore, we are contributing to the energy transition and to the decarbonization of the globe. As I mentioned, we have 3 main production locations. We have our Wallingford facility in the United States, Connecticut, where we have approximately or slightly more than 50 megawatt production capacity, but we do have room to expand in that location.

We have our Heroya facility, where we recently had our inauguration of the fully automated 500-megawatt line, and we have space to expand that facility to at least 2 gigawatts. And then we have our Herning facility in Denmark where we produce fueling stations and where we have the production capacity to produce rather about 300 stations per year. And we are now also actively looking for new locations, both in the U.S. and in Europe for further expansion of our production capacity.

We are unique. We have the longest history in the industry by far. We have more equipment deployed than anyone else. We have the broadest technology position, and we are prepared for the future with a strong financial position. So that will see Nel in brief, and then let's move over to the first quarter highlights.

Revenues ended at NOK 213 million, which is close to 40% up from the same quarter last year, and we are therefore starting to see the contribution of the new Heroya line. The backlog ended again at all-time high level, which is good, close to NOK 1.3 billion, and we added almost NOK 300 million worth of orders during the first quarter of this year.

In terms of highlights, I'll just run through the highlights very quickly before we will obviously talk more about these elements later in the presentation, but we got a PO for multiple PEM electrolyzers from a leader within sustainable fuels. We got a PO for containerized electrolyzer and fueling station in the United States. We got a PO for the electrolyzer from Solar Foods in Finland. PO for the electrolyzer in Europe. We sold several H2Stations in Paris for the largest taxi fleet in the world running on hydrogen. We got a PO for H2Station in HTEC, one from Poland, from Biproraf and also an order for 2 stations from a European client, which remains undisclosed.

Last but not least, yesterday, we decided to push the button for ordering all the relevant production equipment or securing long-lead items for all relevant production equipment for a second 500-megawatt fully automated production line, and I'll also come back to that a bit later in the presentation.

We have communicated many times that this is the year to prepare for the future and invest. That means it will have a negative impact on EBITDA. As we now plan and build for the future and build our organization, it will have an effect -- a negative effect on EBITDA. We previously called the ramp-up cost. Now it's just a part of the EBITDA, and we don't single it out as a special item.

When it comes to the pre-tax profit, it's also impacted by our investments. This has fluctuated in the past as you've seen, and we'll probably also continue to fluctuate. We raised cash in the last quarter. Thank you very much to all of our investors that continue to support us. That means that we have an even stronger financial muscle to execute on our plans, supporting our leading position and allowing us to accelerate investments into both technology and organization going forward. And we're currently holding close to NOK 4 billion worth of cash.

In terms of some more flavor on the negative contribution on the EBITDA from our investments. And as we talked about, we are preparing for the future, and that is contributing negatively as we are investing in the organization across the board, but also the fact that we carried all the costs for the Heroya facility. And obviously, as we went through tuning and ramp up in the beginning of the quarter, we don't get full contribution on the revenue side, as you've seen. That will come later.

We also have a negative impact from global supply chain disruptions. You probably heard many companies talk about this recently. The combination of post-COVID elements and Ukraine issues. And we try to mitigate those things by, #1, cooperate very closely with our suppliers to really work with the supply chain. #2, pass on as much as possible of potential price increases to our end customers, our clients, which obviously are -- which are understandable, which do understand that we cannot carry all of these raw material elements when that is relevant.

As I mentioned, on March 23, we raised money. We completed a private placement. The -- we raised gross proceeds of NOK 1.5 billion, which is basically actually the largest transaction that we have done in the history of Nel in terms of equity raising. It was a fast accelerated book building process and the book was covered 4.5x, which is good. And the proceeds, as I mentioned, will go to investment in organization, in equipment and for general corporate purposes.

When it comes to the order backlog, we ended again at an all-time high, close to NOK 1.3 billion, and we added NOK 300 million approximately worth of orders in the quarter, which is 20% up from the same quarter last year, which we are so -- which we're quite happy about. Last time, we talked about the pipeline, and we won't keep reporting on that. Every quarter, we'll give you a snapshot from time to time. So I will not cover that this time. But I can assure you that the pipeline continues to grow. Even though I don't show it to you now, it continues to grow.

On the other hand, I want to show you something else this time. I want to talk a bit about FEED studies, front-end engineering studies. And keep in mind, these are just a few examples. This is not a complete list, but these are just a few examples of FEED studies. So don't misunderstand that. We are basically always rolling through FEED studies. We have studies behind us. We have studies ahead of us. And these are a few of the ones that we are in the middle of. And I want to show you that because most large projects that are serious starts with the FEED study, and this is paid by the customer.

So they ask you, can you please help us to make a concept around a large molecule production facility. And obviously, we take our standardized building blocks, and we put that into a solution for an end customer for a particular application. It can be steel, it can be ammonia, it can be many other technologies or end user applications. And it's typically a pretty good indication that the customer are likes to work with you, that they prefer your equipment. Otherwise, they wouldn't pay you because this is paid work.

And I wanted to kind of show you a snapshot of things because we don't normally announce this. We don't want to draw a lot of attention to these FEED studies that we are working on. But given that one customer actually wanted to announce -- and you saw that from a customer called EverWind Fuels, they wanted to announce. We said, okay, then I thought that would be a good opportunity to talk a bit about what this is, these FEED studies and we are working, as I said, through constantly rolling through various FEED studies. And these are paid work that the customers want us to perform, and it's normally -- it is a start of hopefully a long commercial relationship. And obviously, we are -- we have a lot of activities in this category. We talked about the 90 people have engaged internally. Many of these are involved in various FEED studies across the board.

And as you can see, many of them are in Europe or at least the ones that we picked out on -- I think this is representative for the total universe. Many of the FEED studies are actually in Europe, there's a lot of stuff happening there. But we also see increasing activities in other parts of the world, which is good. That is a good indication of business that is coming our way.

So that was a bit of a flavor on that. When it comes to our expansions, we decided yesterday to order long lead items for a second 500-megawatt fully automated production line. We intend to place it somewhere in Europe. We have not decided on Heroya. We have room to expand it on Heroya, but we're also evaluating other locations simply because we have to see what kind of support opportunities that are available in different parts of the world.

We have initiated there for site selection in both in Europe, obviously, evaluating Heroya and other locations. But as we talked about over the last quarter in U.S., we are initiating a site selection project to find a site for a combined PEM and alkaline production facility in the U.S. And last but not least, we're also actively looking for partners in Asia. So we're working on many fronts here to position ourselves for the future.

Future expansions will be built on the learnings that we have already made at Heroya, which gives us a great starting point. We're also doing the same, introducing automation, et cetera, on PEM. When you've done in the one platform, it's always easier to migrate it over to another platform. We have a skill set inside the company. We know how to do it. We've done it before. And this is not a task that you should underestimate when someone is telling you, we are going to automate. It is a tremendous task. But when you've done it before, you know how to do it. In other words, we are well positioned to expand both on PEM and alkaline.

Let's now move on to the commercial developments that we've seen throughout the quarter. And we started off by signing a combined electrolyzer fueling station order, basically showcasing the combined product offering that we have, which is quite unique to Nel. And it goes to show that it does generate business to have this combination of technologies. This is a customer in the U.S. It's a leading utility and not -- we're not always allowed to tell the name of the customer, but it is a leading U.S. utility, and it's a sizable order of around $5 million.

We also got an order from a new promising industry, which is now moving into hydrogen. Basically feeding the world through wind and solar by using hydrogen by producing hydrogen. And here, in this industry, you basically take the CO2 molecule. So it's not carbon capture and storage, it's carbon capture and use, so CCU. And here, you take the carbon molecule, you take the hydrogen molecule, you combine it and you make it protein. And this protein can be turned into a range of different foods, but also -- and also foods for humans over time. Also a sizable order and an interesting new industry.

And we also got another order for the same -- from the same type of industry from a different company. This time, we were allowed to talk about who it is. It's a company called Solar Foods. They're located in Finland. And they are doing -- applying the same principles on also producing protein from wind and solar. So basically feeding the world through -- from wind and solar through renewable -- green renewable hydrogen.

Great industry, which are basically coming, another example of something new that is utilizing hydrogen. We got a purchase order from Europe, from a European customer from Kraftanlagen that is working for a company called Hy2B in Bavaria region in Germany. Kraftanlagen is a combined power producer and EPC and it's really good for us to work with Kraftanlagen because they have a very strong position in that part of the world in that part of Europe. And we do think that it is a great potential to do more business also with Kraftanlagen going forward in this market. So an exciting project.

We got several -- we sold several stations to a company called HysetCo in France, in Paris, basically fueling the largest fleet of hydrogen taxis in the world, which is in Paris. And you can find it, you can search it on Google, you'll be able to find it. Very often, battery electric is preferred to hydrogen electric when it comes to small cars, as you've seen, especially in Norway, where we have good grid, but not always.

I mean, for example, in this case, you need to fuel -- you have a very high demand on utilization. The taxis need to run all the time, and you need to be able to charge extremely fast or fuel very, very fast. And then basically, hydrogen electric is the platform that is unbeatable. So that's why these taxes are running on hydrogen and hydrogen electric platform.

We sold the stage into HTEC in Canada, an order size of $1.5 million. HTEC is a market leader in Canada with fueling stations and other hydrogen applications. And this is the third station that we are selling to this client, which means that we have a good partner then also in Canada, and it could mean more opportunities in that part. We sold a hydrogen fueling station to Poland to an EPC company called Biproraf, which is a large EPC and are now starting to engage often hydrogen. And then again, an EPC that we could potentially also use for other projects. This first fueling station is going to combine fuel both light and heavy-duty vehicles as well as forklifts. So basically, this station will have multiple applications and fueling multiple fleets of vehicles, which is also interesting tenancy that could see on hydrogen equipment that can be used across the board for multiple applications.

We sold 2 stations to an undisclosed European customer, approximate value of EUR3 million. Unfortunately, we're not always, as I said, able to disclose the name. Sometimes the customers want to remain undisclosed for strategic reasons. Maybe they are competing for a bid or whatever, but that's just the way it is.

And on April 20, we had a formal inauguration of our brand new fully automated facility at Heroya, the largest and most automated electrolyzer plant in the world. We had close to 150 people present at this event to celebrate this great achievement. And all of them were partners to Nel, existing or future partners, potential clients. And many of them said afterwards that this was an eye open. This was something completely different, something unique that I haven't seen before. And we are obviously following up a long list of interesting leads after this event.

I'd like to share with you a small video to give you a flavor, someone in this room were actually participating. So they don't need to see the video, but I'll give you -- it will be kind of a reminder for you. But for everyone else, that was not there, this will hopefully give you a small flavor of what we went through. And so let's go.

[Presentation]

J
Jon Løkke
executive

So that gave you, hopefully, a bit of flavor of what happened down there at Heroya on the 20th of April. We also had investors and analysts visiting us on the day after. So it was duly covered. That means that we are on track to reach our ambition on reducing or producing renewable green renewable hydrogen at $1.5 per kilo, making green renewable competitive to fossil. And that means that we're still on track to reduce the CapEx for production equipment of molecules for our end customers by 75%. And half of that is basically coming from what you saw basically scaling up, introducing robotization, automation and scaling up the production of electrolyzers.

Higher volume, more efficient design and less use of materials, and last but not least, an increasingly important topic, which you should keep in mind, which is at the bottom of this slide, no use of rare earth materials and exotic materials, and that is basically becoming an increasing issue. It's unique to now. We've been working to engineer our way around all of these use of these materials. If you select freely from the periodic table, it's easier to make something efficient that last long. But if you really want to select only the materials that are readily available, and that doesn't give you any challenges in terms of growth, it is much more difficult. And that's basically what we've done.

So here at Heroya, we are not relying on any exotic or rare earth material, which allows us to expand freely something we don't need to worry about. And I think we need to be better at basically marketing this element because it is truly unique. Most of our competitors are actually struggling being stuck on using particular materials that will potentially limit the ability to grow.

After we have -- or what we are working on now is to add another piece of equipment to the line, which is a fully automated stacking line, which means that we take the sales and we stack them, pre-stack them, so that we are able to push the whole stack into a container and transport it to site. It allows us to execute quicker for end customers when we build molecule factories for our end customers. It allows for faster construction, less cost, and obviously, we then have a high-quality, robust proven and the design, which can carry performance guarantees.

And we've obviously then also talked -- which we talked about last quarter, talked about the way we transport these skills, whether it's a skid for stack or it's a skid for holding a piperack or gas separation tanks. It can be quickly loaded and unloaded and it can be bolted together so that we can reduce the time of construction, but also produce these elements in-house, either we produce it ourselves or we use contract manufacturing partners in other parts of the world. And this is basically how you are able to then maintain or become a leader in this industry. You have to think about many elements.

So with that, let's talk a bit about some important political elements that we've seen in the recent history in recent weeks, actually. And 6 days after the tragic Russian invasion of Ukraine, EU made an important announcement and they call it REPower Europe. The target for REPower Europe is to make Europe independent from Russian energy as soon as absolutely possible.

And in parallel with that accelerate the green transition, the decarbonization. This includes, obviously, massive ambitions on hydrogen. We wouldn't be able to do this without hyrogen. So Europe is accelerating their ambitions within hydrogen.

REPower Europe targets to produce 10 million tons of green renewable hydrogen domestically within Europe and 10 million tons of green renewable hydrogen outside Europe imported into Europe in total 20 million by 2030. Maybe that number doesn't say you a lot, but it means we need to install close to 300 gigawatt of electrolyzers between now and 2030, 300 gigawatts. And on Heroya, we have 0.5 gigawatt production capacity. Now we can go to 2 gigawatt. So it is massive ambitions that Europe has expressed.

On May 5, just a few weeks ago, we together with the European Commission, the European electrolyzer industry signed a joint declaration that basically should improve the framework conditions for electrolyzer producers. Not only end users should get CapEx and OpEx support, but Europe should also support CapEx and OpEx to expanding electrolyzer capacity.

#2, the technology needs to be scalable and cost effective. So it needs to be something that can scale. So the money should go to that. And it should be European manufacturers. So here, Europe does not want to make the same mistake again as they did with solar. They only want to support European technology providers, European producers of electrolyzers. And obviously, that -- all of those elements fit now pretty well. The European Commission expects to present a detailed plan on this REPower Europe, including the so-called hydrogen accelerator on the 18th of May. So in around about 1 week, we will know more. So something to look out for in the weeks to come.

Well, I think with that, we will move to the summary and outlook. Nel a global leader within hydrogen technologies. We have a proven track record, and we are a established market leader. We are a pure play independent technology company. We have decades of experience within both PEM and alkaline, and we have technology leadership and large-scale concepts are ready to go. We have the ability to scale. We do believe that we have a cost leadership, and we were also the first one to announce the ambitious target to reduce the cost of green renewable hydrogen down to $1.5 per kilo.

We have initiated pipe collections both in the U.S. and in Europe to find new locations for large-scale manufacturing of both PEM and alkaline. We have a strong pipeline that continues to grow. And we expect to break order records within this year. We are building also strong partnerships to cover the globe and to build a strong execution muscle around in different parts of the world on large projects. And we do always target to be the preferred partner to offer attractive solutions to our end customers.

So with that, I think we close this part of the presentation, and we'll move on to questions and answers, and I would like to invite my colleagues up here to join me at the stage, Kjell Christian Bjornsen, CFO; and Wilhelm, the IR, and we just need to get the logistics in place. We can take questions both from here in the room and from the web. I'm sure we have received a few questions over here.

W
Wilhelm Flinder
executive

Sure. First off, my name is Wilhelm Flinder, I'm the Head of Investor Relations here at Nel. We'll facilitate this Q&A session. Before we get going, I just noticed that we won't answer questions on outlook and guidance. And also, we won't kind of comment on framework condition on specific projects that we're working on. And also some of the questions that are coming through the chat has already been answered in this presentation, so we won't go through that and also try to aggregate the questions on the same topic, so we don't stand here repeating ourselves. First, start with taking questions from the room.

G
Gard Aarvik
analyst

Gard Arvik, Pareto. First, a question on the fueling side. Of course, a bit softer now this quarter and as you state, also due to the focus of going more towards multi-stations, rather than only delivering on individual stations. Can you comment a bit on the reason for doing that now and also the possibility of both focusing on individual stations, keeping the revenue momentum up while still looking for multi-station opportunities.

J
Jon Løkke
executive

Yes. I think we have, as you pointed out, and rightfully so, we are trying to target and basically selling fleet to stations to larger strategic customers. That means sometimes that you need to sell a few single ones, but hopefully to a customer that has a potential to take a fleet. And I think -- we do experience that deploying single phases in far away from each other and often having a slight twist on either the software or design of some custom element to it is driving additional cost and for the organization.

And so it's a combination of basically what the market asked for because now those opportunities are there. I mean they were not there in the past. Now we have customers actually asking for fleet of stations. And for 3, 4, 5 years ago, that wasn't the case. Then it was a demo, and a demo, and a demo, and a demo, but also the fact that we are trying to home in on those customers because we can then basically position our whole concept around that.

We can make certain adjustments to the hardware to the software, but we can also set up an organization to support a whole fleet of stations. So I think it's a win-win. It's a win for us, but it's also a win for the customer because the total experience for them is going to be better, and it's also going to be easier for us to handle.

G
Gard Aarvik
analyst

Okay. And the last one for me. The development in the electrolyzer segment was very strong. So congratulations to that. Given that Q1 is seasonally a bit softer than Q4. Is it possible to say anything on the revenue completion on some of the larger contracts you have to, for example, Everfuel and Nikola in this quarter or -- how much of that is completed in your revenue booking?

K
Kjell Bjørnsen
executive

Yes. So if I may comment on that. First of all, we would have liked the first quarter to be even stronger. And when we talk about supply chain disruptions, it is a real thing, especially on the small and many projects, they what we call the industrial series out of the U.S., we are struggling with that. So there is a backlog there, and we could have delivered more if we had all the components.

And on the individual projects, we normally don't comment on them. What we have said earlier about Nikola is that the electrolyzer part that we manufacture in-house will be spread roughly evenly throughout this year. The balance of plant, which is more pass-through cost will be decided when Nikola decides where they actually want the equipment. And that remains the case. So there's no change to that. So you could think about the electrolyzer part relatively over this year.

I think Everfuel has themselves commented about roughly midyear for completion of their plant and revenue recognition is linked to how the customer progresses.

J
Jon Løkke
executive

And so while we're moving the microphone back, let me just add also that for the many and smaller that Kjell has talked about, we still keep building these units, but there may be one piece missing. And then it's sitting there until you slot that in, and then you can ship it to a customer. So that's just the way it is this time.

A
Anders Rosenlund
analyst

Anders, SEB. Has the ramp of the Heroya plant gone according to schedule in retrospect? Because already in Q3 last year, you said you were producing and now you're still talking about ramp activity. So -- and is this a kind of ramp duration we should expect for subsequent plans as well? And I have a follow-up?

J
Jon Løkke
executive

Well, we talked about in Q3, we have basically completed the construction of the plant, and we started test production, and we did that in the fourth quarter. We started ramp-up in industrial wrap-up this year, which means in the beginning of this year. And it is going to according to plan. The plan was to run on 3 shift at least through the first half of this year and then move to 5 shift in the second half. And that's still the case. And the reason why we do it like that is because after all, this is a completely new concept. And when you are running 3 shift, you're running 24/5, 24 hours a day, with 5 days a week, which means that you will have more presence of engineers and support functions. And when you run through the weekend, you want to have that. And that means that it's kind of an extra allows for some extra robustness when you go through a ramp-up.

I think it doesn't necessarily mean that every ramp-up needs to be this way. But I think it is a very good way to do it when you ramp up a completely new concept for the first time. Then you make sure that you don't know in the situation where suddenly, you lose control over the production process or you end up producing products that are not of the quality that they need to be, and we also have been able to maintain the quality. I mean, we see that the output of the factory has never been better. I mean, in the history of Nel, it's never been more consistent in the output of the factory. And that is because we are basically doing it this way. We're definitely poor. To answer that, this is, I think, the way to do it.

K
Kjell Bjørnsen
executive

I think to add to that also on the commercial side, of course, we do not have a big enough backlog to run 24/7 for the next 2 years yet. At the same time, we are ordering long lead time items. So this is the binary situation of this industry. We are not sold out, but we are talking to customers about capacity reservation fees at the same point of time.

A
Anders Rosenlund
analyst

Okay. So I understand that everything according to plan. Okay. My second question, you say that you're the world's largest electrolyzer plant. And -- but there are some competitors saying the same. What's the -- why can't you as an industry agree on who has the largest plant?

J
Jon Løkke
executive

There will be claims -- I mean there are many claims in this industry, unfortunately. I mean I understand that it's a bit difficult to filter through. I mean you have companies claiming that they are electrolyzer producer running well with PowerPoints. And sometimes they have to announce that they were not able to do what they were able to do. You have a lot of announcement of orders, which are not orders. They are intentions. They are frameworks. They are not fixed firm POs.

So it is unfortunately a bit like that. So you have to kind of spend a bit of time filtering through what is real and what is not. I think it's no doubt that we are the largest. And when you talk about water electrolyzers, we have, by far, the longest issue, we have deployed more equipment and we are by far the large. We have the largest turnover. Tucson is also doing chlor alkali electrolyzers. And if you chlor alkali, which is a completely different platform, but they are also electrolyzers, maybe they are bigger than us. But water electrolyzers, there is no one.

And I know that companies have announced expansions. These are very often empty buildings, and that was why it was really good to have many partners and analysts in the plant that has actually been in other plants. And see what we are doing is completely different than what we've seen in other locations. So it is difficult sometimes to filter all of these news flow, but it actually needs to be filtered sometimes. And you'll be able to understand exactly what's behind.

W
Wilhelm Flinder
executive

Then we have -- can jump over to the chat. If there's no more questions from the room. We have gotten a couple of questions on increasing raw material costs and how this is affecting gross margins as well as our cost reduction targets. Can you comment a bit on that?

K
Kjell Bjørnsen
executive

So first of all, on some of the existing contracts, we have not secured fully back to back. So it is impacting margin negatively. This is typically things like steel and nickel prices, where on the PEM side on the iridium, platinum group metals, et cetera, et cetera, we would normally secure when we enter into on the customer side, we were back the other way around. So there is some impact on the ongoing contracts.

On new contracts, this has led to some interesting prolongations of final negotiations, especially when nickel prices surged because we need to see that we can back the cost position we have with what we promised on the customer side. So it is making at this point in time, some customer negotiations a bit harder to close.

W
Wilhelm Flinder
executive

Zoe Clarke from Goldman Sachs is asking in light of the announcement for securing of long lead items for the 500 megawatt production line, what is the guided time line for this to come on stream? In other words, what is the typical lead time for such an expansion?

J
Jon Løkke
executive

I think if we didn't order it now, we would see even longer delays. So we want to make sure that we get the equipment. It will allow us to hopefully expand some time during next year. I think that as far as I would like to go. And now we also need to figure out exactly where to place it, whether we'll be at Heroya or somewhere else. But we do see now that if we have the latest on 1 month or 2 months, we would have seen even longer lead times on equipment, and that is something that we want to avoid.

W
Wilhelm Flinder
executive

And following on that, Arthur Sitbon from Morgan Stanley. Could you give a rough idea of the time to get to 10 gigawatts of annual manufacturing capacity that you are targeting? Where should expect to see you in 2025? Will you need to risk for the capital to fulfill this vision?

J
Jon Løkke
executive

Well, I mean, we haven't completed all the financing for 10 gigawatts, but I think we talked about also last quarter that there are opportunities, funding opportunities. I mean we see the U.S. is launching big ambitions, and we're also trying to figure out a final location that can also combine with planning opportunities. So not everyone -- everything needs to be equity, obviously. So how we package the financing, what is funding contributions from regions compared to debt compared to equity we will come back to.

Our target is to -- we calculate the backwards. If we believe the market is developing the way it is, and we want to have a meaningful market share 20%, 25%, then we need to have in 2025 time frame, we need to have good visibility on 10-gigawatt production capacity. So that's basically what we are looking at, at the moment. And then obviously, we need to take one step at the time. But I think we should be able to accelerate faster also when we see the market is developing.

Anything to add?

K
Kjell Bjørnsen
executive

No, I think that covers it up. We move with the market. But specifically for the long-lead time market now that is also driven by the supply chain disruptions. We have earlier said about 12 months rather not line at far similar place. We fear that, that might take longer if we hadn't put the order in now just because of availability of equipment.

W
Wilhelm Flinder
executive

Also a bit further on that stated in a slide that we're looking for partners in Asia. What kind of partners is JV an alternative?

K
Kjell Bjørnsen
executive

So what we have said earlier as well is that we are very comfortable expanding in Europe, in the U.S., in Australia and in lots of other markets around the world. There are some markets, especially in Asia, where it is difficult for us still a relatively small organization to grow from 0 to the kind of levels you need. And then we will be looking at partners, including structural cooperations, the exact scope of such cooperation and how we legally organize it still needs to be decided. What is driving for us is the solid industrial rationale. So we need to see that we have a good reason for cooperating that it solves our participation in the relevant market and that we get a solid revenue and/or profit stream coming back.

J
Jon Løkke
executive

And hopefully, also visibility on orders. If we can find a partner, it can give us a lot of visibility on orders on offtake from a facility that we place in that particular region, it would be a big benefit, and that's basically what we are -- examples of companies that we are talking to are partners that can offer, that can help us into new regions, but also offer visibility on volumes.

W
Wilhelm Flinder
executive

Good. And then let's jump over to a bit more on the technology side. I got a question from Xingxu Lee. I apologize if that's pronounced incorrectly. How is your outlook on PEM versus alkaline? Are you seeing a trend in quicker adoption of PEM? And do you launch increased PEM capacity at anytime soon?

J
Jon Løkke
executive

We are now working to industrialize our PEM platform and finding a production location for that in the U.S. The disadvantage with PEM across the board is that it's more expensive and less efficient. That's a fundamental position where we are now. So many of the large projects, you typically get requests for alkaline. And when you talk about multi-hundred megawatt projects, because then even 1% more power consumption makes a big difference over the 20-year lifetime of the plant, it's huge difference actually.

Now this is -- that's a snapshot of where we are today. And then all of these, we are obviously driving developments on all platforms. So we are running forward with the technology on alkaline, introducing the automation and many other tweaks to the technology. We are running forward with PEM. The PEM versus Alkaline are obviously pushing each other also, setting the bar, so to speak. And then we're also working with the other technologies on pressurized platform from the technology environment.

So the beauty of having these positions where we think we have the best of these platforms, we can offer it to the customer, but it also gives us a technology hedge. So I don't need to kind of argue one technology up or one down, whatever the customer wants, we think that we have the relevant or the best available platform. And then who becomes a long-term win and we don't know. But I -- we've seen from other industries that parallel platforms can actually coexist for many, many, many years. Like in solar, you had monocrystalline, multicrystalline and thin-film, which were co-existing and we're positioned slightly different from market to market.

We think that this is a strong technology hedge, very good for us to be in that position and we can also see synergies across. A lot of the balance of plant elements are the same. They rectify transformers, gas liquids separator systems, a lot of that is the same. The logic of the way we produce the technology is the same. So we think that it's really one of the key strength of Nel is we have this position.

W
Wilhelm Flinder
executive

You talked a bit about usage of rare earth materials. Deepa Venkateswaran from Bernstein is asking that -- asking this could be a constrained usage of exotic materials. I presume you mean clubbing group metals with them? Could this be a bottleneck for Nel's future PEM expansion?

J
Jon Løkke
executive

It is a challenge for anyone that is stuck on -- when you use something which is very rare or very, very expensive. It is -- can represent the bottleneck to growth. So we are working to reduce the amount of platinum and iridium on our PEM platform. We are trying to do the same. We already have done on alkaline, which is basically engineer our way around the use of these exotic materials. We're trying to now do the same on the PEM side, which means that you don't go from using a lot of it to nothing, but you do gradually reduce and eventually you'll be free. But it is a fundamental challenge. And it is something which you basically need to address in a systematic way if you rely on something exotic.

And as I said, in the beginning, if you're free to choose whatever material in the periodic table, it's not so hard to develop something that lasts for a very long time and that is very efficient. But if you need to kind of remove everything that is hard to find or very expensive, then it becomes incredibly hard because you need to have a technology platform for the whole production setup may be different. And that's what we have done in alkaline, which we're now to -- now working systematically also on PEM. So hopefully, over time, it will be less of a limitation. But today, it is a disadvantage of PEM versus Alkaline.

W
Wilhelm Flinder
executive

Then Chris Leonard from Credit Suisse. 2 questions there. Order intake was up 8% in Q1. Will you disclose how many megawatts of electrolyzers were contracted? And when will we see the first 100-megawatt order achieved now that Heroya has been opened.

K
Kjell Bjørnsen
executive

Yes. So for the first one, we have a pretty low threshold for giving stock exchange notices and then those we typically give the megawatts out. We haven't yet gotten around to summarizing that in the quarterly report, but that's something we look at doing. But you can get roughly there by just looking at what we have announced to the market.

On the first 100 megawatt, that is the million-dollar question, as always, we would have loved to be precise on that, but that is a decision that's in the hand of our customers and grant agencies of funding agencies very often. So it is outside our control. We are driving as fast as we can in that direction. But of course, we need to move with the market.

W
Wilhelm Flinder
executive

And also another question from Chris. Are you seeing more competition in alkaline electrolyzers with peers committing to higher manufacturing capacity out to 2025 than we've seen during 2021?

J
Jon Løkke
executive

Not on the basis of production capacity. That's -- I think the partners that we are working on are very convinced that we will have the capacity, and we will be able to add more. So I don't see a big concern there. I do think that there are other things that are important, obviously, that comes back to the total solution and the cost of the producers and the efficiency of the total solution that -- that's something where I think we have a good position.

W
Wilhelm Flinder
executive

So a question here from Loras Walmer. What are the expectations for the next years in the hydrogen sector? And how are the government helping to renewable -- helping to renewable sector to reduce the cost of producing this energy?

J
Jon Løkke
executive

Producing electrolyzers? I mean here, you have a -- we kind of have to go through and do region by region. And we talked about Europe today, and we see a lot of underlying positive momentum in Europe. And it would be very interesting to see how this accelerator hydrogen accelerator will be deployed. And obviously, we have the position of the President in hydrogen Europe. So we try to obviously have one hand on the wheel there.

When it comes to the U.S., the underlying momentum with the Build Back Better Act and those things, which we have talked about earlier also fundamentally very positive. I think the U.S. is slightly behind Europe, but the way that we see that is developing with the hydrogen hubs, part of the reason for why we have initiated this site selection search and combining with funding opportunities is exactly because of that. I think we could see some interesting developments there.

And it's a combination of scale of cost down and new technology development. But I think I keep -- every time I have the chart to talk to politicians, I keep reminding them that this is not about developing something new and exciting, which is far out into the future. In many ways, we have the technology today. It's about just deploying what we have and scaling that up, and it will be competitive. So there will always be technology developments that you referred to, but it's not fundamental. We don't want to sit and wait for some magic technology appearing in years out in time.

W
Wilhelm Flinder
executive

And from Garrett. When the EU talks about supporting only European companies, do you think a Norwegian company like Nel will benefit, Norway is not an EU member?

J
Jon Løkke
executive

Now we are a European company, and we are supporting -- we are a member of EU through our agreements with EU indirectly. And we are definitely seen as European. Keep in mind, we also have a lot of employees in Denmark. So we have more employees in Denmark than we have inside the EU and outside the EU. So we are definitely seen as a European player, an European company.

W
Wilhelm Flinder
executive

I think we can do one more last question. Lately, a lot of companies are developing pressurized alkaline electrolyzers. And we have also been talking about that. What is the advantage from the normal alkaline elecrolyzer over pressurized alkaline elecrolyzer?

J
Jon Løkke
executive

Basically 2 things. You have some output pressure, and very often, you need some pressure, not very high pressure for industrial application, but you need some pressure, 10, 15 bar at least. And if that comes out of the elecrolyzer, you don't need to have compressors, which can be a benefit. And then its footprint, you have smaller footprint. However, it very often carries a disadvantage, and that's why we spend time on developing and spend a lot of time developing, because you need to have something which is more efficient and cheaper, but not carry the disadvantages, which very often is also following its safety issues, it's efficiency issues and stuff like that, that are associated with that kind of technology.

So it is not trivial to kind of come with something which is better than what is already available, which is already covered by PEM and alkaline atmospheric, you need to have something which is basically on a different level. That's why we are investing a lot and taking time to do that. We do think that we are on track to have something really exciting, which we will talk more about later, but it's not trivial.

W
Wilhelm Flinder
executive

And then lastly, there are some comments here. This is your last quarterly presentation comments that you will definitely be missed going forward. So questions that we haven't had time to answer, I will try to get back to you on those or else you can also send me an e-mail at ir@nelhydrogen.com. Any final remarks?

J
Jon Løkke
executive

No. I mean I just want to thank everyone. This was my last quarterly presentation. So thank you very much also for showing up here today. It was really nice to see you. I will still be around. I'm also very, very well coordinated with Hakon, which will take over on the 1st of July. So we are well coordinated, so it will be a handover running relay handover. So I wouldn't worry about that. But -- and then obviously, I will follow from the board. And hopefully, I'll see you guys again in some other events. So thank you very much for joining and welcome back in August, I believe, now. Thank you.