Aker BP ASA
OSE:AKRBP
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of one AKRBP stock under the Base Case scenario is 696.43 NOK. Compared to the current market price of 231.8 NOK, Aker BP ASA is Undervalued by 67%.
The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:
Valuation Backtest
Aker BP ASA
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Fundamental Analysis
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Aker BP ASA
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Aker BP ASA is a dynamic player in the Norwegian continental shelf's oil and gas sector, emerging as a hub of innovation and sustainable practices. Established through the merger of Aker Exploration and BP Norge, the company combines the expertise of two industry veterans to pursue efficient and responsible hydrocarbon production. With a strategic focus on growth, Aker BP is not only committed to maintaining its substantial production levels but also emphasizes exploration, aiming to unlock potential reserves in the North Sea. This commitment is complemented by a strong financial foundation, driven by disciplined capital investment and operational efficiency, positioning Aker BP as an attrac...
Aker BP ASA is a dynamic player in the Norwegian continental shelf's oil and gas sector, emerging as a hub of innovation and sustainable practices. Established through the merger of Aker Exploration and BP Norge, the company combines the expertise of two industry veterans to pursue efficient and responsible hydrocarbon production. With a strategic focus on growth, Aker BP is not only committed to maintaining its substantial production levels but also emphasizes exploration, aiming to unlock potential reserves in the North Sea. This commitment is complemented by a strong financial foundation, driven by disciplined capital investment and operational efficiency, positioning Aker BP as an attractive prospect for investors seeking exposure to the energy sector amidst the global transition toward sustainable practices.
Investors are particularly drawn to Aker BP's robust dividend policy and its solid track record of financial performance, reflecting consistent revenue growth and effective cost management. The company's forward-thinking approach, including investments in technology and renewable energy projects, underscores its alignment with evolving market demands and regulatory landscapes, further enhancing its long-term viability. With a dedicated management team focused on maximizing shareholder value while prioritizing environmental responsibilities, Aker BP ASA stands out as a compelling opportunity for investors looking to navigate the complexities of the energy market with confidence.
Aker BP ASA is a significant player in the Norwegian continental shelf (NCS) and operates in the oil and gas sector. The company focuses on several core business segments:
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Exploration and Production: Aker BP is primarily involved in the exploration and production of oil and natural gas. The company has a strong portfolio of assets across several licenses on the NCS, where it seeks to maximize resource recovery through efficient drilling and production techniques.
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Development Projects: Aker BP engages in the development of new fields and projects, applying advanced technological solutions to enhance operational efficiency. This includes both greenfield and brownfield developments, where the company focuses on optimizing existing production facilities and infrastructure.
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Asset Management: The company manages its portfolio of assets strategically to ensure sustainability and profitability over the long term. Asset management involves evaluating potential acquisitions and divesting underperforming assets to enhance overall shareholder value.
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Sustainability Initiatives: Aker BP is increasingly focusing on sustainability within its operations. This includes investments in carbon capture and storage, reduction of emissions, and transitioning towards more renewable energy sources, aligning with global trends towards sustainability in the energy sector.
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Partnerships and Collaborations: The company often engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with other firms and organizations, be it through joint ventures on exploration projects or collaborations on technological innovations.
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Technology and Innovation: Aker BP invests significantly in technological advancements that help optimize production and lower costs. This includes innovations in drilling technology, data analytics, and automation to improve operational efficiency.
By maintaining a diversified approach within these core segments, Aker BP strives to enhance its operational resilience and ensure long-term growth in a challenging global energy market.
Aker BP ASA, a Norwegian oil and gas company, has several unique competitive advantages that set it apart from its rivals in the industry:
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Strong Financial Position: Aker BP often emphasizes a robust balance sheet, allowing it to invest in new projects, research, and development, and weather fluctuations in oil prices better than competitors.
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Operational Efficiency: The company has a reputation for high operational efficiency and cost management. This is supported by advanced technologies and practices that optimize production processes and reduce operational costs.
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Access to High-Quality Assets: Aker BP has a strong portfolio of offshore assets in the Norwegian Continental Shelf, which is known for its high production efficiency and relatively low operational costs compared to deep-water projects elsewhere.
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Strategic Partnerships: The company has formed strategic alliances and joint ventures with other companies, including Aker, BP, and Equinor. These partnerships allow for shared resources, knowledge, and technology that can enhance operational effectiveness.
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Focus on Sustainability: Aker BP is committed to sustainability and reducing its carbon footprint. This focus on environmental responsibility can enhance its reputation and appeal to investors who prioritize ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) criteria.
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Innovative Technology Adoption: The company invests in new technologies for exploration, production, and renewable energy initiatives, such as digital solutions and automation, providing a competitive edge in efficiency and sustainability.
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Strong Management Team: Aker BP boasts a management team with significant experience in the industry, which contributes to effective decision-making and strategic direction.
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Portfolio Diversification: Beyond traditional oil and gas production, Aker BP is exploring renewable energy options and has interests in carbon capture and storage (CCS), positioning itself for the future energy landscape.
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Solid Production Growth: The company has consistently demonstrated production growth through efficient field development projects, enabling it to capitalize on market opportunities.
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Regulatory and Tax Environment: Operating in Norway, Aker BP benefits from a stable regulatory and tax environment, which can be more predictable compared to countries with less stable governance structures.
These competitive advantages enable Aker BP to navigate the challenges of the oil and gas sector effectively while positioning itself for future opportunities, especially in transitioning towards more sustainable energy solutions.
Aker BP ASA, like many companies in the oil and gas sector, faces several risks and challenges that could impact its operations and financial performance in the near future. Here are some key risks and challenges:
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Volatility in Oil Prices: Fluctuations in global oil prices can significantly affect revenues. Aker BP's ability to profit from its operations is closely linked to the price of crude oil, which can be influenced by geopolitical tensions, supply and demand dynamics, and changes in production cuts by OPEC+.
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Regulatory Changes: The oil and gas industry is subject to strict regulations, and changes in environmental policies, taxation, and exploration licenses can impact operations. Countries may impose stricter emissions regulations, which could compel companies to invest in cleaner technologies.
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Transition to Renewable Energy: As the world shifts toward sustainable energy sources, Aker BP could face challenges in adapting its business model to remain relevant. Increased competition from renewable energy companies may put pressure on market share and could lead to long-term decreases in fossil fuel demand.
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Operational Risks: The exploration and production of oil and gas involve various operational risks, including technical failures, accidents, and environmental disasters. Such incidents could result in significant financial losses and reputational damage.
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Financial Risks: Aker BP is exposed to financial risks related to currency fluctuations, interest rate changes, and credit risks associated with counterparty transactions. High debt levels can also situate the company precariously during downturns.
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Geopolitical Risks: Conflicts and instability in key oil-producing regions can affect supply chains and transportation routes, impacting Aker BP's ability to operate and deliver products efficiently.
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Workforce Challenges: The oil and gas industry faces a skills gap due to an aging workforce and fewer new entrants into the industry. This could result in labor shortages and increased competition for skilled workers.
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Technological Changes: Rapid advancements in technology can present both opportunities and threats. Aker BP must continuously innovate to improve efficiency and reduce costs while also being cautious of technological disruptions from competitors or new market entrants.
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Public Sentiment and Social License to Operate: Growing public concern over climate change and environmental issues may pressure Aker BP to enhance its sustainability practices and transparency, which can strain operations or escalate compliance costs.
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Mergers and Acquisitions Competitiveness: The oil and gas industry is highly competitive, and Aker BP may face challenges in its growth strategy related to acquisitions or partnerships, which can involve high costs and execution risks.
By actively monitoring these risks and adapting strategies accordingly, Aker BP ASA can navigate the challenges ahead while positioning itself for long-term success.
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Aker BP ASA
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Aker BP ASA
Current Assets | 5.2B |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 3.2B |
Receivables | 1.4B |
Other Current Assets | 605.9m |
Non-Current Assets | 35B |
PP&E | 19.3B |
Intangibles | 15.5B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 199.1m |
Current Liabilities | 4.6B |
Accounts Payable | 224.3m |
Accrued Liabilities | 32.5m |
Other Current Liabilities | 4.4B |
Non-Current Liabilities | 22.9B |
Long-Term Debt | 7B |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 15.9B |
Earnings Waterfall
Aker BP ASA
Revenue
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13.5B
USD
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Cost of Revenue
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-1.1B
USD
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Gross Profit
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12.5B
USD
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Operating Expenses
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-2.7B
USD
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Operating Income
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9.8B
USD
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Other Expenses
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-7.9B
USD
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Net Income
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1.8B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Aker BP ASA
USD | |
Free Cash Flow | USD |
Aker BP reported a robust Q3 2024 with production averaging 450,000 barrels per day, aligning with updated guidance of 430,000 to 440,000 barrels. The company achieved record cash flow from operations at $2.8 billion and a free cash flow of $2.15 per share. Despite lower liquid prices and reduced production efficiencies due to maintenance, EBITDA stood at $2.6 billion with a 91% margin. Operating costs were reduced to $6.5 per barrel, highlighting operational efficiency. Additionally, the company raised lower guidance for operational costs while enhancing liquidity and bolstering its financial strategies through recent bond issuances.
What is Earnings Call?
AKRBP Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Aker BP ASA's profitability score is 64/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Aker BP ASA's profitability score is 64/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AKRBP Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Aker BP ASA's solvency score is 74/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Aker BP ASA's solvency score is 74/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AKRBP Price Targets Summary
Aker BP ASA
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AKRBP is 282.78 NOK with a low forecast of 202 NOK and a high forecast of 388.5 NOK.
Dividends
Current shareholder yield for AKRBP is .
Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?
Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Aker BP ASA engages in the exploration, development and production of petroleum in Norway. The company is headquartered in Lysaker, Akershus and currently employs 1,839 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2009-12-23. The firm has production assets in Alvheim, Hod, Vilje, Boyla, Volund, Valhall, Ula, Tambar, Atla, Enoch, Varg, Skarv, Jotun, Jette, among others. The firm works on various development projects, such as Ivar Aasen, Gina Krog and Johan Sverdrup. The firm operates domestically through number of branch offices in Trondheim, Stavanger, Harstad and Sandnessjoen. The firm operates primarily in the mature areas of the North Sea. The remaining resources are invested primarily in the Barents Sea and in the more immature areas in the North Sea.
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Officers
The intrinsic value of one AKRBP stock under the Base Case scenario is 696.43 NOK.
Compared to the current market price of 231.8 NOK, Aker BP ASA is Undervalued by 67%.