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Cargotec Corp
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Earnings Call Transcript

Earnings Call Transcript
2022-Q2

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A
Aki Vesikallio
executive

Welcome to Cargotec Second Quarter Results Call. My name is Aki Vesikallio, I'm heading IR. Today's results will be presented by our CEO, Mika Vehvilainen; and CFO, Mikko Puolakka. After the presentation, there will be a Q&A session.

Cargotec second quarter was a record breaking one. We broke new records in orders received, order book and in comparable operating profit. Especially Hiab and the service businesses had a record performances in the quarter. On the other hand, supply chain challenges continued and we expect them still to continue in the second half of the year.

Please pay attention in the disclaimer in the presentation as we will be making forward-looking statements. So first, Mika will go through second quarter highlights and the market development and also the group level financials. Then Mikko Puolakka will take over and go through the business areas and our finances and the outlook. With that over to you, Mika.

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Thank you, Aki, and good afternoon from my behalf as well. Thank you for joining the Cargotec Q2 Call. The second quarter 2022 was a strong quarter for Cargotec. The demand in all of our business areas were strong results into the record order intake. Despite the supply chain challenges our revenue both in Kalmar as well as in Hiab developed favorably and as a result of our capability to defend margin of those businesses that resulted in the record operating profit margin as well.

Overall, when we look at the market development, we can see now the stabilization in the equipment running hours. Even though some of the numbers you see here on the slide are negative, [indiscernible] is to remember that these are sequential development. If I compare the running hours here to the same running hours during the Q2 last year, those running hours are roughly stable or somewhat up. Very clearly we see -- we saw exceptionally high running hours for some quarters and we now see the stabilization of that one further sort of capacity is coming to the customer operations as well.

Overall, on the market development, we see slower growth, however, at the moment. First of all, when you look at the container traffic development, the Q1 actually turned to be a negative quarter in terms of the container development or container traffic growth that was really caused by disturbances first of all from the war in Ukraine and secondly from the COVID issues in China.

For the rest of the year, we expect the container traffic to grow again, with somewhat lower rates as well as in '23, one is expecting still a further growth in the container traffic. In the construction, both in U.S. and Europe, we have seen the growth slowing down, but at the very high level of activity. At the moment actually the growth is really primarily limited by the supply factors such as the labor and material shortages.

The picture in the shipping side is very good. Last year shipping -- ship order number actually proved to be higher than expected nearly at 2,000 ships and now that starts to be visible in the MacGregor order intake during the Q2. We also see a more favorable development now starting to take place into offshore side, both in terms of renewables which has been growing and very strong market for a while as well as oil and gas, of course primarily driven by the energy situation now, especially in Europe.

Asset orders were at the very high level and across all 3 businesses. This very good order development resulted into the record high order book over EUR 3.5 billion. As said, the excellent development despite the supply chain challenges higher than Kalmar resulted in better revenue. That revenue in combination with our capability to defend our margins through sourcing actions and pricing actions resulted in good profitability in both of those businesses. MacGregor is struggle in a number of issues, one caused by the very low revenue number only EUR 127 million in Q2 and Mikko will go through the metric or situation a bit more in detail in a moment.

Our services business goes from strength to strength, another quarter of double digit grow, a 13% combined. In MacGregor, we suffer from certain logistic issues related to some of the arrangements we are doing in our warehousing and that's also impacting obviously for MacGregor profitability as well. Kalmar, excellent performance with 22% growth. In Hiab, the services growth was good, but that was really limited by the availability of truck chassis that actually limits our revenue growth in installation services, for example.

During the Q1 Cargotec announced renewed strategy. Our strategic targets remain the same. We will drive for profitable growth and sustainability. As a part of the renewed strategy, we are really building from the very strengths we are having there, leading very strong market positions, leading brands, strong services operations with double-digit growth, investments in the leading technology and equipment driving for robotization, automation, electrification and digitalization. We are enabling our customers to go for more sustainable and safer operations.

As a part of renewed strategy announcement, we also describe some of the next steps we will be taking. We are making good progress on those ones. We have now started the strategic evaluation of MacGregor and have appointed advisors for that one.

We already announced recently the agreement that enables us to plan for the heavy exit -- heavy cranes exit in Kalmar. In terms of our capital allocation going forward, we will be driving for further development in our M&A pipeline. We are continuing to invest in our R&D in robotics, automation, electrification, digitalization. Our R&D investments actually grew another 13% during the Q2.

We are maintaining strong focus on our mission climate actions. Our eco portfolio of sales grew by 25% in Q2. Actually on a comparable basis if you take away the Navis numbers from the previous year our eco portfolio sales were growing by 45% during the Q2. That very clearly shows a very strong market demand in this type of solutions from our customers at this stage.

As a part of that exit plan we are now having on that one, there are a number of issues that we are working on at the moment. We have announced the combination of 2 operational units in Kalmar, the automation business and mobile equipment into a one operational unit into the so-called new Kalmar that will be headed by Michel van Roozendaal.

The heavy crane exit agreement has following points. First of all, business will be actually taken over by RCI, Rainbow Heavy which has been a longtime partner for Cargotec and Kalmar. The crane automation as well as the services business will remain in Kalmar and this is highly attractive business for us. We are also will be responsible for executing the remaining projects. We have about EUR 140 million of backlog in the heavy crane side. And we want to control the execution and smooth performance for our customers.

A number of assets and employees will transfer into the Rainbow as a part of this deal. We estimate that this deal will lead to the restructuring charges of roughly EUR 25 million in Q2 and a further EUR 11 million during the Q3. As a part of the strategy, our investments in the market leading technology and services are winning ground at the moment. Here are some of the proof points. We announced during the Q2 further investments in our production plant in Kansas in USA, enabling us to address the growing demand for electric vehicles.

As a part of our sustainable portfolio and automation, we announced very large agreement with APMT, enabling us to drive further automation for example in Los Angeles Port with automated straddle carriers. We keep on investing into the further expansion of our eco portfolio. My example of that one are the new heavy cranes that are enabling more energy-saving and performances during the operations [indiscernible]. And we are expanding our lifestyle [ circuses ] and more and more we are combining the new technology offering together with the service offering.

A good example of that one is the recent deal in Sweden, where we are combining the delivery of the new electric forklift trucks with the total care services packages as well. And again, we see a strong demand, both from services point of view as well as technology point of view for these types of solutions.

Sorry, I have a little technical issue. With that one, I'd like to hand over to Mikko Puolakka for the business areas.

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

Thank you, Mika, and good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, also from my side. Let's start with Kalmar where the core business is, meaning the smaller equipment straddle carriers as well as services performed very well in quarter 2. Kalmar orders were down by 5%, but if we exclude Navis which was divested in quarter 3, 2021, Kalmar orders would actually grow 1% on comparable basis.

In June, we got 2 very large straddle carrier orders, one in the U.S. and one in the Morocco, in total 85 units. We have had a very solid demand from the smaller mobile equipment customer side. But however, due to the component availability, especially in our terminal tractor business, that has led to over 300 days lead times. And due to this fact, we have temporarily closed our order book during the second quarter.

Despite the continuing component shortage, we were able to deliver actually significant volumes in equipment and in services in quarter 2. If we look the core Kalmar business, meaning the mobile -- small and mobile equipment, also the straddle business as well as all related services, that business grew in sales by 24% in quarter 2. However, like Mika said, we do not expect any easing in the supply situation during the second half of this year.

Kalmar's profitability improved also significantly. This was primarily driven by the sales growth during quarter 2. We booked also below the comparable operating profit in Kalmar, EUR 25 million restructuring costs related to the heavy cranes exit. And we estimate to book further EUR 11 million in quarter 3. And these are mainly costs which are related to the execution of the remaining order book for the business.

Then when looking Hiab, excellent performance by all metrics, all-time high orders, we had very good customer activity, both in Europe as well as in North America, especially with larger clients. Our orders grew, especially in the truck-mounted forklift business as well as in the mountables, but also the other business lines in Hiab were performing very nicely from the order intake point of view.

Also, like in Kalmar, Hiab has been able to deliver good volumes in quarter 2 despite the challenges or bottlenecks in the component availability as well as the truck chassis availability. And record high comparable operating profit, 15.6% for the quarter, very much driven by the higher volumes, but also Hiab organization has done excellent work in the component sourcing and procurement area as well as then in the price management, keeping the sales margin very stable year-on-year.

When looking a bit forward in the second half of this year, it's also good to remember the seasonal patterns in Hiab business. So if we look, for example, years 2017, '18, '19, Hiab's quarter 3 has been typically 10% to 15% lower compared to quarter 2.

Then in MacGregor, finally, a significant uptick in the order intake, very much driven by the merchant vessel contracting. This is a result of the order intake or the vessel contracting pickup in 2021. Merchant vessel orders were driving the order intake in MacGregor. Roughly 80% of MacGregor's quarter 2 order intake was related to merchant vessels. Also, service orders grew very nicely supported by the high vessel utilization. MacGregor sales were unfortunately impacted and down due to the offshore -- fairly low offshore orders in the past few quarters. The merchant as well as the service business has been stable in quarter 2.

MacGregor profitability for quarter 2 was unsatisfactory. This is driven by a few factors. As mentioned earlier, low offshore sales, we have done quite significant investments in offshore wind-related product development. And we unfortunately continue to have a negative result in a very limited number of offshore wind projects. Also, like Mika indicated, we have had some delays in service spare parts deliveries temporarily in quarter 2.

MacGregor service is a highly profitable business. And also the merchant vessel results have been positive during this year despite fairly low volumes. When we exclude in MacGregor first half results, the offshore wind projects, MacGregor comparable operating profit would be 2.1%, while now the total reported MacGregor first half results were minus 2.7%.

Couple of financial highlights from the first half and the second quarter. We have a record high order book, almost EUR 3.6 billion. And this is, of course, a very good basis for our deliveries for the several quarters ahead. Of course, very dependent still on the component availability as well as transportation availability.

We had a significant improvement in the first half comparable operating profit, up by 24%, very much driven by the volumes, but also effective sourcing and price management. We booked in total EUR 38 million items affecting comparability in the second quarter. Largest single item was related to previously mentioned Kalmar heavy cranes exit EUR 25 million.

Year-to-date June, net income was EUR 62 million, up by 75%, very much driven by the volume growth. Our effective tax rate for the first half was 19%, very low compared to the historical levels as we have been booking some tax income from a old tax dispute, which -- for which we have received a positive decision. And then when we look the core businesses, Hiab and the future Kalmar, those were growing 26% in the second quarter and having a 12% comparable operating profit margin.

Looking our cash flow, that improved slightly from the comparison period. We actually generated EUR 80 million EBITDA during quarter 2. But then we continued to tie up some working capital, in total EUR 42 million during quarter 2, mainly in inventories, work-in-progress, goods in transit and also inventory supporting the service growth.

Our balance sheet is very strong. Gearing has remained stable. Our net debt-to-EBITDA ratio has been 1.2. And our balance sheet or financing structure is very favorable, no big debt repayments coming up in the coming years.

And then we reiterate our guidance for 2022. We estimate the comparable operating profit to increase from last year's EUR 232 million. Good to remember, like I said earlier, quarter 3 will be seasonally somewhat lower than quarter 2, especially in Hiab. And then we are having -- expecting to have a weaker mix in quarter 3 compared to quarter 2.

A
Aki Vesikallio
executive

Thank you, Mikko, and thank you, Mika. And we have also sent out save the day invitation to our Capital Markets Day, which will be held 15th of November in Helsinki, followed by a site visit in Raisio, Hiab's assembly unit also here in Finland. So pencil in the dates in your calendar.

So with that, operator, we are ready for Q&A.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We will now take our first question. Please say your name before asking your question.

J
Johan Eliason
analyst

This is Johan Eliason from Kepler Cheuvreux. I have a few. Now starting maybe with the most important issue here, the MacGregor orders, EUR 300 million order intake. I can't see that has happened since the fourth quarter of 2014. You did mention a couple of big RoRo orders in the quarter that I know is quite big for you typically. Is that what drove it? Or is it this big container shipyard order intake that we saw last year that is now finally turning into orders, implying that we should sort of expect the order intake to be around this level for another couple of quarters for MacGregor? That's my first question.

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Okay. Johan, if I take that one. Thanks for the question. Yes, the MacGregor outlook is actually very bright at the moment. So the order intake is actually a combination of what you just described. We have seen very good development in the RoRo car ferry market, but also in the container shipping as well. And we had a number of orders in both vessel categories.

As Mikko was saying, about 80% of the order intake was in Merchant Marine. This is the core business, that the traditional strength of the MacGregor is that -- and as such, the margin development on those orders and order book is very favorable for us. I think we will see that development continue favorably. There are still a lot of vessels. And it's a combination of number of vessels, but also what you will see now is that when the shipyards' capacity started to be full, what typically happens, and we see it happening this time as well, is that the scope of our orders will be expanding. So rather than doing just the design and key components, we are also now starting to do full deliveries, including a larger scope as well, and that's also expanding the order book as well.

J
Johan Eliason
analyst

Good. And I think you mentioned offshore, and we heard Alfa Laval this morning talking about offshore CapEx being on the up going forward. What potential do you see in the offshore segment for you, not only in the wind, I think it's an early phase, but in the traditional offshore vessels that used to be quite a big part of the business some 8 years ago or so?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

That's right. So we still see a very favorable development on the wind sector, obviously, at the moment, and that market remains very strong. But we have seen now a recovery of the oil and gas market as well. And if you look at the Clarkson estimate now about 30%, 31% uptake predicted on that one. Some of that will be sort of back in more in the traditional oil and gas and production and exploration type of ships as well, which is a good market for us as well.

J
Johan Eliason
analyst

Good. That should bode well for your divestment process of MacGregor, so you don't miss the opportunities similar to what happened in '12/'13. Can you say anything, you mentioned you have hired bankers, are you talking to any potential buyers for the MacGregor division already?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

It's in early phases at the moment and we have seen interest sort of increasing towards MacGregor. But we have now hired advisers, and we'll keep you updated once the sort of the plans will progress further.

J
Johan Eliason
analyst

Okay. Good. Then a question on Hiab. It seems like the order intake was really good in the quarter. Again, I was sort of expecting it to slow down. But is this also an issue about taking market share, I guess, your competitor with sourcing in Russia might be a little bit more impacted by the political situation and the war in Ukraine and Russia? Any comment on that?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

I think it's primarily driven by the fact that especially the large fleet customers in U.S. placed a number of large orders during the quarter as well on that one. We've also seen a positive development in the military side of the business where we have seen acceleration of the order intake from some of the deals that we have announced a while ago, and that's really driving the demand primarily. But as Mikko was saying, it's across the different business line, across the different markets, we see overall still a very, very favorable development.

J
Johan Eliason
analyst

Okay. And then on this eco share, which I think is interesting. The number you have presented was 25% or so of your total order. I guess most of this is in Kalmar and to some extent Hiab. So how would it look like in the share being in your sort of core business remaining after the potential divestment of the MacGregor division and this winding down of the heavy cranes? Are we talking about above 30% or 40%? Or how should I think about it?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Most of this eco portfolio products are actually within the core businesses themselves. So that remains strong. It really has been -- I mean, we clearly have seen the customer demand increasing. And as I said, we had a 25% increase. And if you take the Navis numbers out from last year, it was 45% increase in sales of the eco portfolio. And it's also in terms of our total revenue, it was, if I now remember correctly, like 23% of our...

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

Correct.

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Revenues in Q2 and very good order development on that side as well.

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

For example, in Kalmar -- in Kalmar forklift trucks, nearly 40% of the order intake was for fully electric forklifts during quarter 2.

J
Johan Eliason
analyst

Yes. That sounds good for your future profile as well. And then finally, just a small detail here. You announced this large CapEx for the Ottawa plant. Where will your full year CapEx number end up at around?

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

Yes. Last year, our CapEx number was approximately EUR 65 million. We expect to be somewhat higher on the CapEx this year. Not all these sort related CapEx numbers will -- or investment will land on this year yet. So it will be 2022, '23, slightly higher than last year's EUR 65 million.

Operator

We will now take our next question.

M
Massimiliano Severi
analyst

It's Massimiliano from Credit Suisse. I had just a couple of questions. The first one would be maybe on the Kalmar business. If you could provide some more color on the heavy crane side versus the core side for this quarter in terms of maybe how many sales were actually related to the heavy cranes business and the margin profile that Kalmar core would have excluding the heavy crane side?

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

Yes, the Kalmar -- out of the total Kalmar revenues, the heavy cranes were representing approximately EUR 10 million in quarter 2 and roughly EUR 40 million in the first half of 2022.

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Maybe a bit of warning on that one, as Mikko indicated earlier, we actually expect that proportion of the deliveries to be somewhat higher in Q3 that we will have then a diluting impact on the margins.

M
Massimiliano Severi
analyst

Okay. Yes, it makes sense. And in terms of component shortages and the delayed sales, because in the past quarters, you provided very useful quantifications of how much of your sales were actually delayed because of component shortages and supply chain issues. If you could comment on where delayed sales were going in Q2 and maybe the outlook for H2, if you see getting better or worse given China, and you had commented that there would have been a lag between the lockdowns in China and component availability.

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Yes. If I start with China, first of all, I think the -- right now there is a catching up to be done. I think they are roughly 2 weeks delayed in terms of shipments out of Shanghai at the moment. But one is to remember that there is a delayed impact. So most of the issues that we actually saw happening during the COVID -- heavy COVID restrictions are only starting to be visible for us during the Q3.

And a very large part of that one is not the direct. We don't have that many components coming directly from China. But I think our -- we can see our suppliers actually being impacted by that one. So that still will be very much visible during the Q3. Overall, there maybe has been some easing of the list of the critical suppliers has somewhat reduced, but we're still weak from rig and it keeps on -- you have one component, and the next one becomes a bottleneck and so forth.

Overall, the missed revenues is probably in the same ballpark as we had in the Q1. And still today, and I think for the remaining part of the year, we are not capacity-constrained. We could deliver more, but we are clearly supply-constrained. And that situation we expect to be continuing in the second half as well.

M
Massimiliano Severi
analyst

Okay. Perfect. So in the second half due to this China situation, would you expect it -- I know that the visibility is limited, but would you expect it to be stable or perhaps it could worsen again before actually getting better towards the end of the year?

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

Yes. The visibility and predictability of that one is really, really hard at the moment because it keeps on changing such a quick variant. And then of course, you have COVID issues. I think the COVID still pretty rampant, and that's impacting our sort of absentee, but very much our supplies as well. So at this stage, as said, generally I think there is a trend of starting to see easing off, but that situation changes from one week to another. So the visibility is still there. There is certainly opportunities to do quite well on the second half as well, but the situation is fragile.

Operator

We will now take our next question.

M
Magnus Kruber
analyst

Magnus with UBS. A couple of questions from me. So first, order intake again very strong. And could you comment a bit on how far into 2023 your backlog extend? And if you have any cancellation charges that customers would incur if they decide to not take deliveries?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Yes, we have -- I can start from the end of the question then. We have introduced cancellation charges during this year for us. Overall, we have seen very little, if at all, cancellations at the moment. I think one of the maybe the safeguards we have at this stage with a very high inflationary situation is that I think the customers' decision potentially to cancel is more unlikely than typically because of simply if you now cancel and then you reorder that equipment is likely to cost you considerable more at the moment. So that's one thing.

And again, underlying operations with our customers remain at a very high level at the moment and all of the main categories in terms of construction and container movements and then logistics overall, the activity level is still very, very high on that one.

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

And perhaps on that question...

M
Magnus Kruber
analyst

And what is the sort of -- okay, go on.

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

Yes. On your question concerning the backlog coverage or extension, I'd say that in Kalmar's case, or Kalmar mobile equipment case, smaller mobile equipment, we are talking about 4 quarters with the current component availability situation. And then in Hiab's case, the current backlog basically covers close to 3 quarters of sales, again with the current component availability situation.

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

To simplify, if you place an order on those categories of equipment, you are more likely to have it in the second half of the '23 rather than the first half.

M
Magnus Kruber
analyst

Perfect. That's clear. And with respect to the cancellation charges, is that a charge that's proportion of the value of the order or how does it work?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Yes, it of course, always a question negotiated. Generally, it's a fee or charge against the value of the order.

M
Magnus Kruber
analyst

Perfect. Makes sense. And then secondly, how much did the currency contribute to revenue and order growth and there was a difference across Kalmar here in the quarter?

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

All in all, during quarter 2, the currencies had approximately 4% unit impact in order intake as well as in revenues. And this is pretty much similar for Kalmar and for Hiab.

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

But it's good to note that I think...

M
Magnus Kruber
analyst

In terms of...

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Yes, sorry. And if you look at the Hiab performance, I think what makes it particularly excellent is the fact that, of course, as we are -- we have a U.S. dollar exposure in Hiab, unlike we don't have that in so much in Kalmar, is that we are hedging that one. So actually, the current dollar strength is not coming through in the Hiab numbers at this stage because those deals that we delivered during the Q2 have been hedged sort of mostly during the '21 actually.

M
Magnus Kruber
analyst

Okay. Got it. That's clear. And then could you comment a bit on the price cost situation across Hiab and Kalmar in Q1? You suggested Kalmar was lagging a bit there and given what you've seen in Q2 doesn't seem to be a major issue, but how do you see -- how did that turn out in Q2? And what do you expect for the second half?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

I'd say, overall, in Hiab, we done well in defending our margin, and it's really a combination of sourcing activities and proactive pricing meeting the market demands. And I'd say in most of the product areas in Hiab, the margin has been roughly at a stable level. In Kalmar, we were a little bit slower maybe to introduce some of the pricing, but then we have introduced last year a successful number of surcharges for customers, and they started to have a positive impact already in Q2, and that has also helped the situation in Kalmar.

M
Magnus Kruber
analyst

Excellent. And sorry, a final one and a follow-up there. Could you help us a bit quantify the EBITA margins on Kalmar mobile in the quarter? And what was core margins for the group in the first quarter?

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

Basically what I showed in one of the slides for the second quarter, the core businesses, meaning Hiab as well as the Kalmar, new Kalmar that delivered 12% comparable operating profit margin. And for the year-to-date June, so for the first half, it has been slightly above 11%.

Operator

We will now take our next question.

E
Erkki Vesola
analyst

It's Erkki from Inderes. A couple of questions from me as well. First, regarding Kalmar, the demand drivers in the second half look a little bit questionable as container traffic, both expectations have been cut all the time. I mean what are the customers playing now and how is your own voltages number developing?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Yes. On that one, so our sort of sales pipeline actually has remained pretty stable now in the first half of this year and still very strong. The -- Q2, we landed as we announced 2 fairly large or large straddle carrier contracts with APMT, especially the Los Angeles one being fairly significant. At the same time, the demand in the mobile equipment remained robust, but as Mikko was saying, we closed actually the order book for most of Q2 for terminal tractors because of the long lead times, and that obviously then reduced order number compared to last year on that product sector.

E
Erkki Vesola
analyst

Okay. That was actually what I was going to ask next. What was the impact of this closure of your order book? And how long will it last?

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

We have not quantified the impact, but the, let's say, closure of the order book was valid, I'd say, during the whole May and a good part of June. So majority of the second quarter. And it had a significant -- volume-wise a significant impact, which was partially compensated by this -- to a great extent, compensated by this large straddle orders which we got during quarter 2.

E
Erkki Vesola
analyst

Do you see that these orders would come back later in Q3 and so forth?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Yes, the demand continues to be strong on that and the activity levels remain high at the moment. So we have now opened order book in this one.

E
Erkki Vesola
analyst

Okay. And then finally, a housekeeping order. Mikko, what is going to be the group tax rate in the second half of this year?

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

Yes. That depends, of course, our country mix to a great extent. But if you use roughly 30% as a proxy, as said, year-to-date, June was 19%, but it was impacted by this one-off tax decision. But 30% would be a good proxy for this year.

E
Erkki Vesola
analyst

For full year or for the second half?

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

For full year.

Operator

We will now take our next question.

T
Tomi Railo
analyst

It's Tomi from DNB. Still wondering if you were able to quantify the delay impact in terms of sales in the second quarter.

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

Yes, we -- yes, it's a bit difficult to quantify the magnitude. But as Mika said, definitely, we could have delivered some tens of millions of more revenues during the second quarter if we would have had the needed components. We have enough assembly capacity, both factory capacity and personnel. But we are still significantly limited by the certain component availability.

T
Tomi Railo
analyst

And is this level expected to continue also in a way some tens of millions in the next couple of quarters?

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

Correct. Yes.

T
Tomi Railo
analyst

So there's no easing. There's no improvement. Yes?

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

Not inside.

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Let's put it that way. I wouldn't count on that. When I said there is a sort of somewhat underlying trend of the number of suppliers. So the list of the critical component suppliers is reducing, but the new challenges are popping up, and it's so unpredictable still at the moment that I certainly wouldn't count on the clear improvement during the second half.

T
Tomi Railo
analyst

And then are you able to quantify the cost overrun relating to the wind offshore project in the second quarter?

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

We have approximately EUR 10 million in the first half of this year. Like said, if we exclude this offshore wind projects during the first half of this year MacGregor results, the rest of the MacGregor profitability would be 2.1%. And the full MacGregor first half results, as we have reported, are minus 2.7%. So it's a sizable number, very much related to the first of its kind technology for the offshore wind business where we see opportunities going forward.

T
Tomi Railo
analyst

You booked EUR 27 million last year. Is it possible that the number by the end of this year would be similar?

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

We try to do a prudent assessment of those offshore wind projects end of last year. It's good to remember that when we booked this -- when we have booked these costs in the past that takes the project profitability to a very low level, and it remains there until -- it remains on a low level until we close the project. So that is why we have this drag during this year in the offshore wind projects. We expect the service business to deliver a strong year. And also the merchant now gradually, thanks to the improving order intake, will also improve profitability.

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

It's good to note, of course, when you look at the MacGregor, I mean, the revenue was exceptionally low with only EUR 127 million. And the issue, combined with the cost overruns with the fact that the offshore revenue remained very, very small, of course, and had an impact there.

T
Tomi Railo
analyst

And then maybe on the pricing, are you able to comment the pricing component in the order and sales growth?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Yes, I would say that the -- on a year-on-year basis, we are probably somewhere between 15% to 20% higher depending on the type of equipment in there. Overall, when I look at that one, we've been able to defend our margins to quite a large extent by pricing increase, then additional surcharges in Kalmar side as well.

T
Tomi Railo
analyst

And then I think you wrote that you are monitoring the pricing environment after completing price increases. Have you planned price increases also for the second half? Or...

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Yes. Yes. We actually did a pricing increase round in a number of product categories during the July.

T
Tomi Railo
analyst

Good. Final question, if you may. The sales mix. Is there anything else, you mentioned the heavy crane equipment share may be bigger in the third quarter? Is there something else since you raised this issue for the third quarter?

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

The heavy cranes, Kalmar heavy cranes volumes and then also MacGregor volumes growing in the second half compared to the first half. And then taking into account what I said also earlier that typically high up quarter 3 revenues are 10% to 15% lower than in quarter 2 due to the less delivery days in the Northern Hemisphere during the summer break time, customers summer break times.

Operator

We will now take our next question.

T
Tomas Skogman
analyst

Yes, this is Tom from Carnegie. I wonder about this heavy crane project losses that you seem to book as EOIs. I mean, when will you move over to reporting heavy cranes as a discontinued business instead?

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

Yes, the heavy cranes order book, like Mika said, is some EUR 125 million, EUR 130 million. And it takes approximately 2 years to deliver majority of this order book. We have booked now based on the prudent risk assessment, this EUR 25 million for quarter 2, some exit-related bookings still in quarter 3, but we expect that we should cover from these bookings basically the project risks until we have delivered the order book.

We have had quite significant one-off items in this year, also in the past years. And these are mainly related to Kalmar, especially to this heavy cranes business as well as MacGregor restructuring. And now with the new refocused strategy of Cargotec, we expect that we have reshuffled the business portfolio so that we do not need to have these one-off items like we have had in the past.

T
Tomas Skogman
analyst

So this means that the business will now run at a 0 EBIT margin the next 2 years until all the projects have been delivered. Is that right?

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

Basically the heavy cranes order book deliveries are having a single-digit profitability margin. If we can execute those projects better than what we have done based on the current risk assessment, then of course, we do not necessarily need to use all those risk provisions.

T
Tomas Skogman
analyst

Okay. And then the dollar hedging in Hiab, we know, of course, that the dollar has strengthened a lot. So when will that impact the margin positively?

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

We start to see the -- due to the long lead times, we do not necessarily see any visible impact during this year. So we start to see that more starting from the beginning of next year.

T
Tomas Skogman
analyst

Okay. And then the new strategy, you say the review of the operational model to support a refocused group. Can you just help us understand what are we talking about? Is it possible to split Cargotec into 2 companies, into Hiab and the Kalmar, or is it just to take out head office costs and move that into the business areas rather than we are talking about?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Yes. And if you think about actually now with the combining, first of all, the Kalmar into the one business area and then potential possible exit for MacGregor, we would actually end up with only 2 business areas now in Cargotec. And obviously, the requirements in terms of the headquarter activities and support for that one. So effectively, we are looking at what activity should be retained in the group cost and what activities would be better actually shared directly in the businesses themselves and that review is going on.

T
Tomas Skogman
analyst

Okay. And then about this -- the automation business. So is the plan to sell now automation solutions using whatever, Konecranes, ZPMC or Rainbows Cranes? Is that what we should understand if you plan to keep automation on?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

I don't think so. I think it's primarily focused in the capabilities we have in automation. First of all, of course, to still serve the straddle business that is highly successful and having a good progress for us. And then also using the same automation software capabilities we have built for other parts of our businesses in Kalmar mobile equipment and potentially even in Hiab.

T
Tomas Skogman
analyst

So we are working out basically of automating RTG and RMG cranes, et cetera. I mean that's not -- plan is not to do that in the future?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

That's not in our focus anymore.

T
Tomas Skogman
analyst

Is it like the facilities then oversize that you have there. I mean, is there a big opportunity to cut back on fixed costs a lot then? You have built up, I don't know how many people you have working for and what the fixed cost base is in automation.

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

I think it's a highly skilled team that we can certainly leverage in other businesses. And part of the current deployment of the automation technology has been actually done in combination with some external resources and partners. And I would assume that that part of the business would be ramped down.

T
Tomas Skogman
analyst

And then this very large order growth in Kalmar, mainly in any quarter, it sounds like -- I mean, the market cannot grow like this. So who is losing markets here, so that especially like U.S. customers want to buy from western suppliers or what's going on behind the scene we don't know as outsiders?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Sorry, Tom, was it about Kalmar or...

T
Tomas Skogman
analyst

Yes. I mean the Kalmar market cannot grow like this, what you have shown the last year?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Yes. Let's remember first that we have had a growth spurt in the container traffic. And as we know, these investment decisions always become delayed on that one. So we've seen some of that impact happening there. And it's good to remember now that the -- with the refocused strategy, actually, the primary customer group for Kalmar is not anymore the large container ports, although we still serve them with the straddle solutions. But it's primarily the sort of inland terminals and logistics yards, et cetera.

And that, as we know, has been a business that has a sort of clear underlying growth trends driven by e-commerce and changes in the logistics, et cetera. And we assume that -- and expect that market to continue to grow going forward as well.

T
Tomas Skogman
analyst

So for the new Kalmar, how large [ carry ] is port terminal and how large carry is inland terminals and logistic terminal?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

I would say that roughly speaking, this, of course, varies. The larger container terminals will probably represent not more than maybe 20% -- 20% to 30% of the revenues. The rest is actually smaller inland terminals, logistics operators, et cetera.

T
Tomas Skogman
analyst

The port terminal is 20%, 30% of the new kind of business growth, was that right?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Yes.

Operator

We will now take our next question.

M
Massimiliano Severi
analyst

Just a couple of follow-ups from me, it's Massimiliano from Credit Suisse. The first one would be on MacGregor. And given that all the shipyards are -- not only shipyard, but the shipyard capacity is almost full, when do you expect this increase in order to flow into revenues? And what are your capabilities to scale up very quickly? I know that MacGregor is very outsourced. So when should we expect this larger -- this big increase in orders to flow through revenues?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

I think typically, we have seen about 12-month cycle from the ship order to our order cycle, another 12 months from the order into the revenues as well. And I think we primarily look at the good order intake now during Q2, which we expect to continue to be having a revenue impact from '24 onwards, then on that one.

Some of those orders that are fairly sizable can be a series of ships, for example, one of them was a series of 12 ships. So obviously, that revenue will be actually deployed over multiple years when those ships are built there as well. But primarily, the revenue impact should be visible from '24 onwards.

In terms of the scaling, actually, as you pointed out yourself, that MacGregor is asset-light operation mode, so we are relying on the subcontractors, which are usually located close to the shipyards in China, Korea, Japan and other locations. And that supply chain is actually very much intact. And I think we should be able to ramp up the visibility at the moment on that one is quite positive.

M
Massimiliano Severi
analyst

Okay. Clear. And my second one would be on Hiab and Kalmar prices because I remember that in July 2021, you put up prices significantly. And if I look at Q2 revenues, these price increases have already flowed through revenues completely, or should we expect something more from that July 2021 increase in Q3?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

I think if you think roughly and simplify almost now, as Mikko was saying, 3 to 4 quarter cycles because of the lead time. So the Q1 pricing increases, they're relatively modest. Some of that has flowed into the Q2 this year. The Q2 pricing increases, I think we were starting to be a little bit more aggressive. That had probably a small impact on Q2, but we would actually primarily see the first half pricing impacts from '21 to be visible in our second half revenues now this year.

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

Yes, if we think that Hiab and then the Kalmar core businesses have been growing roughly 26% year-on-year, roughly -- more than 2/3 of that is coming still from the volume growth and 1/3 from the price impact.

Operator

We will take now our next question.

J
Johan Eliason
analyst

Yes. It's Johan. Just a bit of a follow-up here. On these heavy cranes, you've given the IPs to your Chinese partner, Rainbow Heavy. Didn't you get anything paid for that? Or is it just to make sure that you keep some service revenues in the future? And do you still own the shares in Rainbow Heavy? And what's the plan with those?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Mikko, maybe you take the Rainbow Heavy shares, I can't remember the actual situation.

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

Yes, we still own shares in Rainbow Heavy. If I remember correctly, the ownership is roughly 4%. Originally, it was around 7%. We have divested some of the shares. We are not planning to be a long-term shareholder there. So the ownership has been gradually declining.

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Yes. Coming back to your question. So we looked at the multiple of options here and just simply ramping down the business and selling the whole business to an outside partner, there was some interest for that one than this option. And from our point of view, the business case on this option was the most attractive. And we did receive a payment for the IPR and the assets we are moving, it was in the sort of single million.

What made this primarily attractive was the fact that we are able to retain the services business related to this type of equipment in-house, retained automation capabilities and then having the control on the closing of the open projects.

J
Johan Eliason
analyst

Okay. Excellent. And these surcharges you announced in relation to this development is net of the potential purchase price you received then?

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

Yes.

Operator

We will now take our last question.

M
Magnus Kruber
analyst

Hi, it's Magnus again. Just a couple of follow-ups. I mean, first, you talked about pricing hikes about 15% to 20%, and then you had 4% FX on top of that. Does that mean that your volume growth in the quarter was significantly negative or am I missing something?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

No, actually, Mikko, why don't you take that?

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

Are you referring now to orders or sales?

M
Magnus Kruber
analyst

Now it was sales, but -- yes. Yes.

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

Yes. We got roughly 4% tailwind in sales as a total Cargotec taking into account the strengthening, for example, of the U.S. dollar during quarter 2. And then as said, yes, we have been increasing prices and the kind of Cargotec core businesses, the price increase impact has been roughly 1/3 of the total quarter 2 sales growth.

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

So 2/3 of volume. When I talked about pricing increases, I was talking about the order in price levels now and comparison to last year.

M
Magnus Kruber
analyst

Okay. So we still have some conversion on the sales, of course, in those prices as well. So how -- what should we expect on pricing into the second half of the year on the volume, how much growth contribution should we get from pricing in the second half?

M
Mika Vehviläinen
executive

Obviously, as said, as the -- the main pricing increases were really around the Q2 last year and the summer last year. And then with the 3 to 4 quarters delivery time that pricing should be more visible in the second half of the year.

M
Magnus Kruber
analyst

Okay. And then finally to Tomas' point on the FX impact. I think a couple of years ago, you had a quite significant tailwind from FX in here. But I mean do you have any assessment on how much that could help margins through the course of next year?

M
Mikko Puolakka
executive

Yes, correct. We have said that typically kind of once U.S. dollar change should contribute a couple of million euros to Hiab. If it's a strengthening U.S. dollar, that would have a positive impact, weakening U.S. dollar negative impact. But like Mika said earlier, the hedge is what we have been doing now for the deliveries. What we are now delivering, those have been done already in 2021. And due to the long lead times. So we are currently not seeing yet the impacts from the stronger U.S. dollar. That will become more visible in the beginning part of next year.

A
Aki Vesikallio
executive

Okay. Thank you for great questions and great answers, Mikko and Mika. Our third quarter results will be published on 22 -- 26 of October, so stay tuned.

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